Sentences with phrase «of future greenhouse warming»

Changes in the heating and cooling degree days are another likely extreme temperature - related effect of future greenhouse warming.
A large enough number of such roofs could «completely offset warming due to urban expansion and even offset a percentage of future greenhouse warming over large regional scales,» says sustainability scientist Matei Georgescu at Arizona State University, who lead the research.

Not exact matches

About half of this near - term warming represents a «commitment» to future climate change arising from the inertia of the climate system response to current atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases.
A few of the main points of the third assessment report issued in 2001 include: An increasing body of observations gives a collective picture of a warming world and other changes in the climate system; emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols due to human activities continue to alter the atmosphere in ways that are expected to affect the climate; confidence in the ability of models to project future climate has increased; and there is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities.
«This quantitative attribution of human and natural climate influences on the IPWP expansion increases our confidence in the understanding of the causes of past changes as well as for projections of future changes under further greenhouse warming,» commented Seung - Ki Min, a professor with POSTECH's School of Environmental Science and Engineering.
This suggests that the research community has a sound understanding of what the climate will be like as we move toward a Pliocene - like warmer future caused by human greenhouse gas emissions.»
Global greenhouse gas emissions have already committed the residents of the Maldives to a watery future: ocean expansion due to warming has raised sea levels enough to regularly deluge the islands, and melting glaciers will only make matters worse.
I am ready and willing to examine the possibility that greenhouse gases produced the warming of the past 130 years, and that the future of the world is in jeopardy with further CO2 emissions — provided that sufficient technical proof is provided.
Themes: Aerosols, Arctic and Antarctic climate, Atmospheric Science, Climate modelling, Climate sensitivity, Extreme events, Global warming, Greenhouse gases, Mitigation of Climate Change, Present - day observations, Oceans, Paleo - climate, Responses to common contrarian arguments, The Practice of Science, Solar forcing, Projections of future climate, Climate in the media, Meeting Reports, Miscellaneous.
By the way, in my opinion, the elevated greenhouse gas levels already in the air, combined with the future emissions from machines already built, plus increased natural emissions from carbon sinks becoming carbon emitters (i.e. permafrost melting) will cause the rate of warming to top 0.4 C / decade by mid-century.
It is this background warming from the heat trapped by greenhouse gases that actually accounts for most of the predictability in future temperature change, said Michael Mann, a climate scientist at Penn State.
Contemporary global mean sea level rise will continue over many centuries as a consequence of anthropogenic climate warming, with the detailed pace and final amount of rise depending substantially on future greenhouse gas emissions.
In contrast to historical droughts, future drying is not linked to any particular pattern of change in sea surface temperature but seems to be the result of an overall surface warming driven by rising greenhouse gases.
Since this goes along with an increasing greenhouse effect and a further global warming, a better understanding of the carbon cycle is of great importance for all future climate change predictions.
Do you think that in the same way that the Solanki et al paper on solar sunspot reconstructions had a specific statement that their results did not contradict ideas of strong greenhouse warming in recent decades, this (the fact that climate sensitivity projections are not best estimates of possible future actual temperature increases) should be clearly noted in media releases put out by scientists when reporting climate sensitivity studies?
The whole problem of how much warming will occur convolves lots of questions involving how the climate reacts to greenhouse gases, the carbon cycle, and our future path as societies in terms of our energy use (and other emissions).
Certainly future ocean warming from increasing levels of greenhouse gases is reasonable to expect.
The findings laid out below reinforce the reality that the biggest impacts of greenhouse - driven global warming still lie several generations in the future.
If, for example, scientists had somehow underestimated the climate change between Medieval times and the Little Ice Age, or other natural climate changes, without corresponding errors in the estimated size of the causes of the changes, that would suggest stronger amplifying feedbacks and larger future warming from rising greenhouse gases than originally estimated.
«Future projections based on theory and high - resolution dynamical models consistently suggest that greenhouse warming will cause the globally averaged intensity of tropical cyclones to shift towards stronger storms,» Knutson et al. (2010); Grinsted et al. (2013) projected «a twofold to sevenfold increase in the frequency of Katrina magnitude events for a 1 °C rise in global temperature.»
Two of President Bush's onetime and possibly future political rivals joined forces today to warn that the nation's isolation from a global warming pact could hurt American businesses as well as the environment and said that they wanted to guide the nation toward limits on greenhouse gases.
Continued greenhouse gas emissions leading to further warming would mean that the chances of seeing years at 1.5 °C or more would likely increase in future years.»
Quantification of the likely contributions of greenhouse gases and other forcing factors to past temperature change (Section 9.4.1.4) in turn provides observational constraints on the transient climate response, which determines the rapidity and strength of a global temperature response to external forcing (see Glossary and Sections 9.6.2.3 and 8.6.2.1 for detailed definitions) and therefore helps to constrain likely future rates of warming.
Heartland's spokesperson frequently say there is no scientific consensus that most of the global warming of the twentieth century was man - made, or that scientists are able to predict future climate conditions, or, finally, that there is a basis in science or economics for passing laws that would reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
This is because over the past three years, hundreds of new scientific field accounts of global warming's impacts, as well as improved peer - reviewed analyses of global warming itself in both the deep past and the very near future, have depicted earth's atmosphere as far more «sensitive» to the invisible CO2, methane and other human - sourced greenhouse gases than had been hoped.
Apart of course from the amount of greenhouse gases we keep pumping into the atmosphere, there are mainly three factors that determine the amount of warming we will experience in the near future: CO2 climate sensitivity, ocean thermal inertia, and... Continue reading →
They reported that «no catastrophic hurricane of category 4 or 5 intensity has made landfall in the Western Lake [northern Florida] area during the last 130 year documentary record» but «If future climatic changes, whether or not related to the anticipated greenhouse warming, lead to a return of a «hyperactive» hurricane regime characteristic of the first millennium A.D., then the northeastern Gulf Coast is expected to experience a dramatic increase in the frequency of strikes by catastrophic hurricanes.»
Agriculture must feed 7bn people, and to do this already emits somewhere between 25 % and 33 % of all greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, to drive global warming and put future food supplies at hazard.
First, the computer climate models on which predictions of rapid warming from enhanced atmospheric greenhouse gas concentration are based «run hot,» simulating two to three times the warming actually observed over relevant periods — during which non-anthropogenic causes probably accounted for some and could have accounted for all the observed warming — and therefore provide no rational basis for predicting future GAT.
The weather we've seen this fall may or may not be due to the global warming trend, but it's certainly a clear picture of what the future is going to look like if we don't act quickly to cut emissions of the greenhouse gases.
Contemporary global mean sea level rise will continue over many centuries as a consequence of anthropogenic climate warming, with the detailed pace and final amount of rise depending substantially on future greenhouse gas emissions.
Since the temperature increase dates from the beginning of the industrial age and the warming apparently accelerates as greenhouse gasses accumulate in the atmosphere (picture below this), it is used as strong evidence of cause and effect and projected into the future (which I'll write about later).
Measuring CO2 to fight global warming University of Utah and Harvard scientists develop way to enforce future greenhouse gas treaty SALT LAKE CITY, May 14, 2012 — If the world's nations ever sign...
It adopted a moderate anthro - emissions scenario from AR4 as the AGW input, but set arbitrary constraints on its findings by excluding the greenhouse gas outputs» warming from the assessment of the permafrost's rate of melting, and by assuming that only CO2 was emitted - which allowed the projected future output to be stated in simple carbon tonnage.
They used a number of climate models and made a «moderate estimate» of future emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases that are widely believed to be contributing to the recent warming trend of the Earth's climate.
... In light of their recent findings, Davies et al. say there is «little support for the existence of a «permanent El Niño»... that there was robust ENSO variability in past «greenhouse» episodes and that future warming will be unlikely to promote a permanent El Niño state,» which point they also emphasize in the final sentence of their abstract, where they say that their evidence for robust Late Cretaceous ENSO variability «does not support the theory of a «permanent El Niño,»» [Andrew Davies, Alan E.S. Kemp, Graham P. Weedon, John A. Barron 2012: Geology]
Our need to limit future greenhouse warming is proportional to how severe we think the impacts of climate change will be.
According to the Cato Institute's book summary, «Acknowledging that industrial emissions of greenhouse gasses have warmed the planet and will continue to do so over the next several decades, Michaels and Balling argue that future warming will be moderate, not catastrophic, and will have benign economic and ecological effects.»
However, future projections based on theory and high - resolution dynamical models consistently indicate that greenhouse warming will cause the globally averaged intensity of tropical cyclones to shift towards stronger storms, with intensity increases of 2 — 11 % by 2100.
A greenhouse warming may reduce the 1,500 - year cycle aspects, but this provides us with no comfort regarding future prospects since a warming can shortcut the usual circuit, bypassing the usual stage - setting by amplification of the 1,500 - year cycle.
The legislation is entirely based on the agency's finding, in 2009, that key greenhouse gases in the atmosphere «threaten the public health and welfare of current and future generations» — because of their contribution to global warming.
Because nations have failed to make commitments to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions to levels that will limit future warming do 2 °C, there is an increasing sense of urgency among climate scientists around the world on the need for all nations to significantly increase their greenhouse gas emissions reductions commitments to their fair share of safe global emissions.
«Because there is considerable uncertainty in current understanding of how the climate system varies naturally and reacts to emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols, current estimates of the magnitude of future warming should be regarded as tentative and subject to future adjustments (either upward or downward).»
It acknowledges that global warming will continue as long as humans continue increasing the greenhouse effect, and merely suggests that future warming will be toward the lower, slower end of the IPCC estimates.
This suggests that IPCC projections of future global warming, which are based on various possible human greenhouse gas emissions scenarios, are reliable.
Most of the «future» effect is already «dialed in», it is the observation of delayed effect that is being given «regard» as a «greenhouse issue», even as the «greenhouse effect» is seen as not possible, or that «greenhouse warming amplification» is not evidenced within possible surface incident energy (as Photons).
With this in mind, I would really like to know how the social and financial costs will change in the future as droughts set in earlier, faster, and harder because of greenhouse gas warming.
Manabe and Stouffer (1993) pioneered the demonstration of a transition under future warming; an improved model showed a shutdown was especially likely with rapid increase of greenhouse gas emissions, Stocker and Schnitter (1997); see also Broecker (1997); Wood et al. (1999); summary: Rahmstorf (1999); Ganopolski and Rahmstorf (2001) for instability during a glacial period; IPCC (2001a), pp. 439 - 40.
-LSB-...] Future warming of the climate is inevitable for many years due to the greenhouse gases already added to the atmosphere and the heat that has been taken up by the oceans.
However, were future technologies and policies able to achieve a rapid reduction of greenhouse gas emissions â $» an approach termed â $ œmitigationâ $ â $» this would greatly lessen future global warming and its impacts.
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