We can do this for obliquity and precession themselves, to gauge the changing strength of the driving influence, and to the LR04 stack to gauge the strength
of the glacial response.
Not exact matches
In
response to a shareholder question about what could be done to speed up the
glacial pace
of adoption
of electric car production by other car companies, Musk said he was «playing with doing something fairly significant on this front which would be kind
of controversial with respect to Tesla's patents.»
«the last
glacial period is a good example
of a large forcing (~ 7 W / m ^ 2 from ice sheets, greenhouse gases, dust and vegetation) giving a large temperature
response (~ 5 ºC) and implying a sensitivity
of about 3ºC (with substantial error bars).»
As we have discussed previously, the last
glacial period is a good example
of a large forcing (~ 7 W / m2 from ice sheets, greenhouse gases, dust and vegetation) giving a large temperature
response (~ 5 ºC) and implying a sensitivity
of about 3ºC (with substantial error bars).
The sequence
of climatic forcings and
responses during deglaciations (transitions from full
glacial conditions to warm interglacials) are well documented.
Kim, S. - J., G.M. Flato, G.J. Boer, and N.A. McFarlane, 2002: A coupled climate model simulation
of the Last
Glacial Maximum, Part 1: Transient multi-decadal
response.
Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) occurs in response to retreating ice from the last glacial period, where around most of the world, land is subsiding at a fraction of a millimetre per year, compounding the problem of sea - leve
Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) occurs in
response to retreating ice from the last
glacial period, where around most of the world, land is subsiding at a fraction of a millimetre per year, compounding the problem of sea - leve
glacial period, where around most
of the world, land is subsiding at a fraction
of a millimetre per year, compounding the problem
of sea - level rise.
CAMBRIDGE, MA — The Obama administration characterizes its plan to offer states waivers from some provisions
of the No Child Left Behind Act (NCLB) as a necessary
response to
glacial congressional progress on reauthorizing and revising the Elementary and Secondary Education Act (whose current version is NCLB).
[
Response: Given your extensive reading
of the blog, you surely can't be unaware that I have consistently stated that the best constraints on sensitivity come from the paleo record - and most importantly the last
glacial period.
«the last
glacial period is a good example
of a large forcing (~ 7 W / m ^ 2 from ice sheets, greenhouse gases, dust and vegetation) giving a large temperature
response (~ 5 ºC) and implying a sensitivity
of about 3ºC (with substantial error bars).»
Two independent multidisciplinary studies
of climatic change during the
glacial - Holocene transition (ca, 14,000 - 9,000 calendar yr B.P.) from Norway and Switzerland have assessed organism
responses to the rapid climatic changes and made quantitative temperature reconstructions with modern calibration data sets (transfer functions).
«Data from GPS measurements and carbon dating
of marsh sediments indicate that regional land subsidence in
response to
glacial isostatic adjustment in the southern Chesapeake Bay region may have a current rate
of about 1 mm / yr (Engelhart and others, 2009; Engelhart and Horton, 2012).
Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) occurs in response to retreating ice from the last glacial period, where around most of the world, land is subsiding at a fraction of a millimetre per year, compounding the problem of sea - leve
Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) occurs in
response to retreating ice from the last
glacial period, where around most of the world, land is subsiding at a fraction of a millimetre per year, compounding the problem of sea - leve
glacial period, where around most
of the world, land is subsiding at a fraction
of a millimetre per year, compounding the problem
of sea - level rise.
The mid-Holocene (6000 years ago) and Last
Glacial Maximum (~ 20,000 years ago) are also attractive targets
of model validation, and while some successes have been noted (i.e. Joussaume et al, 1999, Rind and Peteet, 1985) there is still some uncertainty in the forcings and
response.
[
Response: All forcings are calculated by changing the boundary conditions (in this case the distribution
of glacial ice, and looking to see what the change in net radiation is while keeping everything else constant.
[
Response: To pre-empt some mutual incomprehension, note that industrial CO2 rises are certainly an anthropgenic forcing and not a response (see here and here), but clearly CO2 changes over glacial - interglacial cycles is both a response (to Milankovitch - driven changes) and a forcing (since the additional radiative forcing from CO2 is about a third of that needed to keep the ice ages as cold as they are — se
Response: To pre-empt some mutual incomprehension, note that industrial CO2 rises are certainly an anthropgenic forcing and not a
response (see here and here), but clearly CO2 changes over glacial - interglacial cycles is both a response (to Milankovitch - driven changes) and a forcing (since the additional radiative forcing from CO2 is about a third of that needed to keep the ice ages as cold as they are — se
response (see here and here), but clearly CO2 changes over
glacial - interglacial cycles is both a
response (to Milankovitch - driven changes) and a forcing (since the additional radiative forcing from CO2 is about a third of that needed to keep the ice ages as cold as they are — se
response (to Milankovitch - driven changes) and a forcing (since the additional radiative forcing from CO2 is about a third
of that needed to keep the ice ages as cold as they are — see here).
[
Response: If the rise in atmospheric CO2 at the end
of the last
glacial time had come from organic carbon (trees, peat, dissolved organic matter in the ocean) or especially methane (which is even more isotopically «light» than CO2) it would have left an isotopic signature.
[
Response: The climate
of the last
glacial maximum was six degrees colder than today.
Once the ice reaches the equator, the equilibrium climate is significantly colder than what would initiate melting at the equator, but if CO2 from geologic emissions build up (they would, but very slowly — geochemical processes provide a negative feedback by changing atmospheric CO2 in
response to climate changes, but this is generally very slow, and thus can not prevent faster changes from faster external forcings) enough, it can initiate melting — what happens then is a runaway in the opposite direction (until the ice is completely gone — the extreme warmth and CO2 amount at that point, combined with left - over
glacial debris available for chemical weathering, will draw CO2 out
of the atmosphere, possibly allowing some ice to return).
A process
of dynamic
glacial thinning also seems to occur, running back - stream up the glacier, in
response to the initial shock
of the ice - shelf loss.
Nor can it create the match between changes in the * amplitude *
of astronomical cycles and
glacial response.
However, there's less match between the amplitude changes in the most recent million years or so, yet another indicator that the
response of glacial changes to astronomical cycles is itself changing over time.
The one big temp
response that may increase is a decrease in
glacial melt which would reduce the dampening effect
of latent heat transfer.
Abrupt and severe temperature shifts have occurred on occasion in the past, typically separated by hundreds
of years or more, but shifts
of this magnitude that are global in extent have almost always occurred during
glacial eras, when the extent
of snow and ice allowed for great changes in feedback in
response to only modest signals.
A, G., J. Wahr, and S. Zhong (2013) «Computations
of the viscoelastic
response of a 3 - D compressible Earth to surface loading: an application to
Glacial Isostatic Adjustment in Antarctica and Canada», Geophys.
That is to say that we have seen 100ppm CO2 rise for * maybe * one degree warming in the MWP whereas the ~ 100ppm CO2
response in the
glacial periods was in
response to a rise
of 10oC.
This is pretty lame as the CO2 in the atmosphere is clearly unnatural and the
response is an order
of magnitude greater than what the MWP might cause if it were the same mechanism as in the
glacial periods.
The latest slandering
of climate science in the press has been dubbed «glaciergate «-- about the Himalayan
glacial melt issue (see David Spratt's
response here).
Glacial ice presses down on the bedrock below it: when the ice melts, the bedrock rises in
response to the drop in pressure, and sophisticated satellite measurements can deliver enough information to help scientists put a figure on the loss
of ice.
Second, the abstract admits that, «Pleistocene climate oscillations yield a fast - feedback climate sensitivity
of 3 ± 1 °C for a 4 W m − 2 CO2 forcing if Holocene warming relative to the Last
Glacial Maximum (LGM) is used as calibration, but the error (uncertainty) is substantial and partly subjective» and also «Ice sheet
response time is poorly defined».
Glacial earthquakes are associated with the accelerating retreat
of glaciers such as Kangerdlugssuaq in
response to global warming.1
This is supported by multiple lines
of evidence, including GCMs, paleoclimate evidence (including climate
response to forcing during
glacial periods as well as millennial proxies), the instrumental record, and the climate
response to volcanic forcings among others.
GMT drops initially at
glacial inception in
response to decreased summer radiation at high northern latitudes that would have led to equatorward extension
of sea ice and snow cover with associated cooling from increased albedo.
This second point was also made by James Annan in
response to Hansen's 2008 Target CO2 paper, where he essentially used the same method as Snyder is using (but came to a smaller ESS value
of 6 degrees, because Snyder uses a greater temperature - amplitude between
glacial - interglacial).
Mann, D.H., D.M. Peteet, R.E. Reanier, and M.L. Kunz, 2002:
Responses of an arctic landscape to late
glacial and early Holocene climatic changes: The importance
of moisture.
Related Volcanoes, Tree Rings, and Climate Models: This is how science works Fossil Focus: Using Plant Fossils to Understand Past Climates and Environments Atmospheric oxygen over Phanerozoic time Coupled carbon isotopic and sedimentological records from the Permian system
of eastern Australia reveal the
response of atmospheric carbon dioxide to
glacial growth and decay during the late Palaeozoic Ice Age
That was toward the end
of the Holocene Thermal Maximum, itself the drawn - out
response to peak orbital (Milankovitch) forcing and associated feedbacks that terminated the last
glacial 11.5 ka.
Researchers investigated the
response of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) to the rise
of atmospheric CO2 in the NCAR Climate System Model version 3, with the focus on the different
responses under modern and
glacial periods.
Florida scientists have identified a series
of these natural marine «hotspots» where the seas are rising far faster than the oceans as a whole, in
response to
glacial melting and thermal expansion
of the waters.