Improved in situ, satellite and surface - based measurements have enabled verification
of global aerosol models.
Not exact matches
And by carefully measuring and
modeling the resulting changes in atmospheric composition, scientists could improve their estimate
of how sensitive Earth's climate is to CO2, said lead author Joyce Penner, a professor
of atmospheric science at the University
of Michigan whose work focuses on improving
global climate
models and their ability to
model the interplay between clouds and
aerosol particles.
Now, the NSF is helping researchers develop new chemical
models that will provide better estimates on the
global contribution
of these
aerosols.
Unfortunately, current simulation
models, which combine
global climate
models with
aerosol transport
models, consistently underestimate the amount
of these
aerosols in the Arctic compared to actual measurements during the spring and winter seasons, making it difficult to accurately assess the impact
of these substances on the climate.
Such
model included meteorological factors like levels
of aerosols, anthropogenic and biogenic volatile organic compounds (VOCs), ozone, carbon dioxide, methane, and other items that influence
global temperature — the surface albedo among them.
Using climate
models and data collected about
aerosols and meteorology over the past 30 years, the researchers found that air pollution over Asia — much
of it coming from China — is impacting
global air circulations.
Past calculations
of the cooling effect
of aerosols have been inferred from «missing»
global warming predicted by climate
models.
Scientists are involved in the evaluation
of global - scale climate
models, regional studies
of the coupled atmosphere / ocean / ice systems, regional severe weather detection and prediction, measuring the local and
global impact
of the
aerosols and pollutants, detecting lightning from space and the general development
of remotely - sensed data bases.
The data has been massaged to make them fit the
models, but then the new figure are completely incompatible with the effects
of aerosols which it is purported are causing
global dimming.
FMI has been involved in research project, which evaluated the simulations
of long - range transport
of BB
aerosol by the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS - 5) and four other global aerosol models over the complete South African - Atlantic region using Cloud - Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) observations to find any distinguishing or common model
aerosol by the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS - 5) and four other
global aerosol models over the complete South African - Atlantic region using Cloud - Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) observations to find any distinguishing or common model
aerosol models over the complete South African - Atlantic region using Cloud -
Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) observations to find any distinguishing or common model
Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) observations to find any distinguishing or common
model biases.
Themes:
Aerosols, Arctic and Antarctic climate, Atmospheric Science, Climate
modelling, Climate sensitivity, Extreme events,
Global warming, Greenhouse gases, Mitigation
of Climate Change, Present - day observations, Oceans, Paleo - climate, Responses to common contrarian arguments, The Practice
of Science, Solar forcing, Projections
of future climate, Climate in the media, Meeting Reports, Miscellaneous.
Sally, who was nominated by Dr. Beat Schmid, Associate Director, Atmospheric Sciences and
Global Change Division, was honored for her exceptional contribution in the field
of atmospheric science, particularly in her efforts to improve understanding
of the radiative effect
of clouds and
aerosols on the Earth's atmosphere and their representation in climate
models.
Global climate
models are essential tools for understanding climate change and for developing policy regarding future emissions
of greenhouse gases, primary
aerosol particles, and
aerosol precursor gases.
«Until recently,
aerosol processes were under - represented in
global climate
models because
of disconnects between various research programs,» explained Ghan.
Methods: Scientists at PNNL developed a new
aerosol - climate
model as an extension
of a multi-scale
modeling framework
model that embeds a cloud - resolving
model (CRM) within each grid column
of a
global climate
model.
In Stage 4, these
aerosol models are validated and coupled to
global climate
models, which also incorporate
models of the land surface, ocean, and sea ice.
These programs focus on climate,
aerosol and cloud physics;
global and regional scale
modeling; integrated assessment
of global change; and complex regional meteorology and chemistry.
Parameterizations
of cloud microphysics, cumulus clouds, and
aerosol - cloud interactions in regional /
global climate
models
Much
of the uncertainty in projections
of global climate change is due to the complexity
of clouds,
aerosols, and cloud -
aerosol interactions, and the difficulty
of incorporating this information into climate
models.
Mission The mission
of PNNL's
Aerosol Climate Initiative is to advance the current scientific understanding and parameterization of aerosol processes and properties to improve comprehensive climate modeling frameworks and to inform policy decisions related to global climate change and the environmental impacts of ae
Aerosol Climate Initiative is to advance the current scientific understanding and parameterization
of aerosol processes and properties to improve comprehensive climate modeling frameworks and to inform policy decisions related to global climate change and the environmental impacts of ae
aerosol processes and properties to improve comprehensive climate
modeling frameworks and to inform policy decisions related to
global climate change and the environmental impacts
of aerosols.
He has had a central role in PNNL's
global aerosol, chemistry, and climate
modeling, and in
modeling studies
of aerosols and cloud -
aerosol interactions at local and regional scales.
Takemura, T., et al., 2002: Single scattering albedo and radiative forcing
of various
aerosol species with a
global three - dimensional
model.
Within the integrated Earth system science paradigm, our major research thrusts include the physics and chemistry
of aerosols, clouds and precipitation; integrating our understanding
of climate, energy, and other human and natural systems through the development and application
of models that span a wide range
of spatial scales; and determining the impacts
of and informing responses to climate and other
global and regional environmental changes.
Kinne, S., et al., 2003: Monthly averages
of aerosol properties: A
global comparison among
models, satellite, and AERONET ground data.
To find out if including the shielding
of PAHs by viscous
aerosols would improve
global atmosphere
models, the scientists used laboratory experiments to develop a new way
of representing PAHs in a
global model.
«We developed and implemented new
modeling approaches based on laboratory measurements to include shielding
of toxics by organic
aerosols in a
global atmosphere
model that resulted in large improvements
of model predictions,» said PNNL scientist Dr. Manish Shrivastava.
Spatial distributions and seasonal cycles
of aerosol climate effects in India seen in a
global climate -
aerosol model.
The information can be applied, for example, in
global climate
models to improve the description
of aerosols and clouds,» says Researcher Juha Tonttila.
The data has been massaged to make them fit the
models, but then the new figure are completely incompatible with the effects
of aerosols which it is purported are causing
global dimming.
Summary for Policymakers Chapter 1: Introduction Chapter 2: Observations: Atmosphere and Surface Chapter 3: Observations: Ocean Chapter 4: Observations: Cryosphere Chapter 5: Information from Paleoclimate Archives Chapter 6: Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles Chapter 7: Clouds and
Aerosols Chapter 8: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing Chapter 8 Supplement Chapter 9: Evaluation
of Climate
Models Chapter 10: Detection and Attribution
of Climate Change: from
Global to Regional Chapter 11: Near - term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability Chapter 12: Long - term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility Chapter 13: Sea Level Change Chapter 14: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change Chapter 14 Supplement Technical Summary
«A
Global Average
Model of Atmospheric
Aerosols for Radiative Transfer Calculations.»
The
global Aerosol Model Intercomparison project, AeroCom, has also been initiated in order to improve understanding of uncertainties of model estimates, and to reduce them (Kinne et al., 2
Model Intercomparison project, AeroCom, has also been initiated in order to improve understanding
of uncertainties
of model estimates, and to reduce them (Kinne et al., 2
model estimates, and to reduce them (Kinne et al., 2003).
Constraining the influence
of natural variability to improve estimates
of global aerosol indirect effects in a nudged version
of the Community Atmosphere
Model 5.
Here I summarize two recent papers that
model solar radiation management: the practice
of offsetting
global warming by partially blocking sunlight, whether by seeding clouds, adding sulfate
aerosols to the stratosphere, or placing giant mirrors in space.
Lee, Y.H., P.J. Adams, and D.T. Shindell, 2015: Evaluation
of the
global aerosol microphysical ModelE2 - TOMAS
model against satellite and ground - based observations.
As part
of my past and ongoing research I have used a range
of observations and
models to examine how clouds interact with background
aerosols, how clouds respond to warming, and what role clouds play in the
global water cycle.
Basic physical science considerations, exploratory climate
modeling, and the impacts
of volcanic
aerosols on climate all suggest that SWCE could partially compensate for some effects — particularly net
global warming —
of increased atmospheric CO2.
I'm puzzled by your assignment
of only a 30 percent probability to the proposition that «
Global climate
model simulations that include anthropogenic forcing (greenhouse gases and pollution
aerosol) provide better agreement with historical observations in the second half
of the 20th century than do simulations with only natural forcing (solar and volcanoes).»
Global climate
model simulations that include anthropogenic forcing (greenhouse gases and pollution
aerosol) provide better agreement with historical observations in the second half
of the 20th century than do simulations with only natural forcing (solar and volcanoes).
The input
of assumed anthropogenic
aerosol cooling is needed because the
model «ran hot»; i.e. it showed an amount and a rate
of global warming which was greater than was observed over the twentieth century.
the assumed degree
of anthropogenic
aerosol cooling input to each
model as a «fiddle factor» to obtain agreement between past average
global temperature and the
model's indications
of average
global temperature.
None
of the
models — not one
of them — could match the change in mean
global temperature over the past century if it did not utilise a unique value
of assumed cooling from
aerosols.
More than a decade ago I published a peer - reviewed paper that showed the UK's Hadley Centre general circulation
model (GCM) could not
model climate and only obtained agreement between past average
global temperature and the
model's indications
of average
global temperature by forcing the agreement with an input
of assumed anthropogenic
aerosol cooling.
If the
aerosol hypothesis were correct then the
global distribution
of warming and cooling over the twentieth century would be matched by the
model which was adjusted with the
aerosol cooling.
««Climate
model simulations that consider only natural solar variability and volcanic
aerosols since 1750 — omitting observed increases in greenhouse gases — are able to fit the observations
of global temperatures only up until about 1950.»
In our study, we tested 17 recent
global BC
models from an
aerosol model intercomparison group known as AeroCom against a variety
of measurements.
We track each
of these types within the
global GISS «ModelE»
aerosol model.
However, there is not compelling evidence that anthropogenic CO2 was sufficient to influence Earth's temperatures prior to 1950, i.e. «Climate
model simulations that consider only natural solar variability and volcanic
aerosols since 1750 — omitting observed increases in greenhouse gases — are able to fit the observations
of global temperatures only up until about 1950.»
http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/3525/2016/ Kristiansen, N. I., Stohl, A., Olivié, D. J. L., Croft, B., Søvde, O. A., Klein, H., Christoudias, T., Kunkel, D., Leadbetter, S. J., Lee, Y. H., Zhang, K., Tsigaridis, K., Bergman, T., Evangeliou, N., Wang, H., Ma, P. - L., Easter, R. C., Rasch, P. J., Liu, X., Pitari, G., Di Genova, G., Zhao, S. Y., Balkanski, Y., Bauer, S. E., Faluvegi, G. S., Kokkola, H., Martin, R. V., Pierce, J. R., Schulz, M., Shindell, D., Tost, H., and Zhang, H.: Evaluation
of observed and
modelled aerosol lifetimes using radioactive tracers
of opportunity and an ensemble
of 19
global models, Atmos.
2) CAGW movement type
models never reconstruct any lengthy past history accurately without creative and unique adjustment
of aerosol values used as a fudge factor; that is why
models of widely varying sensitivities supposedly all accurately reconstruct the past (different made - up assumed historical values used for each) but fail in future prediction, like they didn't predict how
global average temperatures have been flat to declining over the past 15 years.