The work supports the Laboratory's Global Security mission area and the Information, Science, and Technology science pillar through enhanced ocean model components
of global climate simulations.
This error must then enter into every single step
of a global climate simulation.
Not exact matches
New supercomputer
simulations suggest that the stratospheric vortex
of winds helps churn the oceans around the planet — and therefore also might help shape
global climate, the researchers say.
Global simulations conducted by the team found that microbial responses to enhanced root activity under rising CO2, while depending on plant species, climate and soil mineralogy, led to a loss of global soil carbon stocks that counteracted the additional carbon storage resulting from increased plant growth in many regions of the
Global simulations conducted by the team found that microbial responses to enhanced root activity under rising CO2, while depending on plant species,
climate and soil mineralogy, led to a loss
of global soil carbon stocks that counteracted the additional carbon storage resulting from increased plant growth in many regions of the
global soil carbon stocks that counteracted the additional carbon storage resulting from increased plant growth in many regions
of the world.
The model has already been integrated into the next generation
of the
global land model used for
climate simulations by the NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, a major national
climate modeling center.
Academic: includes lectures by international leaders in the different fields
of science diplomacy (energy, environment,
climate, water,
global health, nuclear nonproliferation, space, etc.), exclusive online learning tools, interactive case studies, and experiential learning through role - playing exercises and
simulations.
Unfortunately, current
simulation models, which combine
global climate models with aerosol transport models, consistently underestimate the amount
of these aerosols in the Arctic compared to actual measurements during the spring and winter seasons, making it difficult to accurately assess the impact
of these substances on the
climate.
The study, led by the Berlin - based think - tank
Global Climate Forum (GCF) and involving the University of Southampton, presents, for the first time, comprehensive global simulation results on future flood damages to buildings and infrastructure in coastal flood p
Global Climate Forum (GCF) and involving the University
of Southampton, presents, for the first time, comprehensive
global simulation results on future flood damages to buildings and infrastructure in coastal flood p
global simulation results on future flood damages to buildings and infrastructure in coastal flood plains.
Simulations by Cristina Archer at the University
of Delaware in Newark and Ken Caldeira
of Stanford University in California suggest that extracting enough energy from high - level winds to meet all our current energy demands would have no significant impact on
global climate.
Because ocean currents play a major role in transporting the planet's heat and carbon, the ECCO
simulations are being used to understand the ocean's influence on
global climate and the melting
of ice in polar regions.
The model is designed so that they can embed it within coarser
global climate models — a combination that results in precise
simulations of hurricanes in the context
of a globally changing
climate.
An international group
of atmospheric chemists and physicist could now have solved another piece in the
climate puzzle by means
of laboratory experiments and
global model
simulations.
Model
simulations of 20th century
global warming typically use actual observed amounts
of atmospheric carbon dioxide, together with other human (for example chloroflorocarbons or CFCs) and natural (solar brightness variations, volcanic eruptions,...)
climate - forcing factors.
After the field campaign, Fast will perform computer
simulations to help evaluate all
of the field campaign data and quantify the uncertainties associated with using coarse grid
global climate models to study megacity emissions and to determine the radiative impact
of the Mexico City particulates on the local and regional
climate.
CESM models the
global climate, providing state -
of - the - art computer
simulations of the Earth's past, present, and future
climate states.
(Top left)
Global annual mean radiative influences (W m — 2)
of LGM
climate change agents, generally feedbacks in glacial - interglacial cycles, but also specified in most Atmosphere - Ocean General Circulation Model (AOGCM)
simulations for the LGM.
Hines, K.M., D.H. Bromwich, and Z. Liu, 1997: Combined
global model and mesoscale
simulations of Antarctic
climate.
Scaife, A.A., et al., 2000: Realistic quasi-biennial oscillations in a
simulation of the
global climate.
Our new study links a framework for
global and local sea - level rise projections with
simulations of two major mechanisms by which
climate change can affect t...
Walsh, J.E., et al., 2002: Comparison
of Arctic
climate simulations by uncoupled and coupled
global models.
Roberts, M., et al., 2004: Impact
of an eddy - permitting ocean resolution on control and
climate change
simulations with a
global coupled GCM.
This study links a framework for
global and local sea - level rise projections with
simulations of two major mechanisms by which
climate change can affect the vast Antarctic ice sheet.
This information increases
global climate simulation accuracy through better representation
of deep ocean heat and carbon fluxes.
Scientists are using airborne observations
of atmospheric trace gases, aerosols, and cloud properties from the North Slopes
of Alaska to improve their understanding
of global climate, with the goal
of reducing the uncertainty in
global and regional
climate simulations and projections.
A large ensemble
of Earth system model
simulations, constrained by geological and historical observations
of past
climate change, demonstrates our self ‐ adjusting mitigation approach for a range
of climate stabilization targets ranging from 1.5 to 4.5 °C, and generates AMP scenarios up to year 2300 for surface warming, carbon emissions, atmospheric CO2,
global mean sea level, and surface ocean acidification.
Global climate simulations are just beginning to be able to resolve the largest
of these key scales.
So understanding the physical processes that affect these phenomena has been critical for improving
simulations of global climate.
The Institute will spur significant advances in software infrastructure, education, standards, and best - practices that are needed to enable the molecular science community to open new windows on the next generation
of scientific Grand Challenges, ranging from the
simulation of intrinsically disordered proteins associated with a range
of diseases to the design
of new catalysts vital to the
global chemical industry and
climate change.
The
simulations were produced with a suite
of global and regional
climate models as part of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment P
climate models as part
of the North American Regional
Climate Change Assessment P
Climate Change Assessment Program.
First, most
climate simulations, including ours above and those
of IPCC [1], do not include slow feedbacks such as reduction
of ice sheet size with
global warming or release
of greenhouse gases from thawing tundra.
M2009 use a simplified carbon cycle and
climate model to make a large ensemble
of simulations in which principal uncertainties in the carbon cycle, radiative forcings, and
climate response are allowed to vary, thus yielding a probability distribution for
global warming as a function
of time throughout the 21st century.
It is a permanent part
of the German Max Planck Instituut's
climate system model, which is used for
global climate change
simulations in the IPCC reports and elsewhere.
Working with Tom Chase, a colleague at the institute, the researchers were comparing
climate simulations from the Community Land Model — part of a select group of global models used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's 2007 climate change report — against observ
climate simulations from the Community Land Model — part
of a select group
of global models used in the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change's 2007 climate change report — against observ
Climate Change's 2007
climate change report — against observ
climate change report — against observations.
Other AgMIP initiatives include
global gridded modeling, data and information technology (IT) tool development,
simulation of crop pests and diseases, site - based crop -
climate sensitivity studies, and aggregation and scaling.
We analysed high - temporal - resolution records
of iceberg - rafted debris derived from the Antarctic Ice Sheet, and performed both high - spatial - resolution ice - sheet modelling
of the Antarctic Ice Sheet and multi-millennial
global climate model
simulations.
Mike's work, like that
of previous award winners, is diverse, and includes pioneering and highly cited work in time series analysis (an elegant use
of Thomson's multitaper spectral analysis approach to detect spatiotemporal oscillations in the
climate record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal
climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth
of GFDL showing evidence in both
climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate model
simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the
climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role of solar variations in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role
of solar variations in explaining the pattern
of the Medieval
Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the
climate changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global sea level, and even a bit of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measure
climate changes
of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and
global sea level, and even a bit
of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis
of beryllium - 7 measurements).
Gerald A. Meehl, Haiyan Teng & Julie M. Arblaster, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado 80307, USA (http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n10/full/nclimate2357.html): «The slowdown in the rate
of global warming in the early 2000's is not evident in the multi-modal ensemble average
of traditional
climate change projection
simulations.»
Even putting aside the OHC data and fingerprinting, there is absolutely no evidence in model
simulations (or in prevailing reconstructions
of the Holocene), that an unforced
climate would exhibit half - century timescale
global temperature swings
of order ~ 1 C. I don't see a good theoretical reason why this should be the case, but since Judith lives on «planet observations» it should be a pause for thought.
In a recent paper by Bengtsson & Hodges (2006),
simulations with the ECHAM5
Global Climate Model (GCM) were analysed, but they found no increase in the number
of mid-latitude storms world - wide.
Second, the absolute value
of the
global mean temperature in a free - running coupled
climate model is an emergent property
of the
simulation.
In this case the CO2 concentration is instantaneously quadrupled and kept constant for 150 years
of simulation, and both equilibrium
climate sensitivity and RF are diagnosed from a linear fit
of perturbations in
global mean surface temperature to the instantaneous radiative imbalance at the TOA.
The team ran a suite
of 400 computer
simulations incorporating both what is known about how the
climate could react to a greenhouse - gas buildup and a wide range
of variations in the
global economy and other human factors that might affect the outcome.
Kosaka and Xie made
global climate simulations in which they inserted specified observed Pacific Ocean temperatures; they found that the model simulated well the observed
global warming slowdown or «hiatus,» although this experiment does not identify the cause
of Pacific Ocean temperature trends.
Member
of the team Alena Kimbrough says, «We've shown ENSO is an important part
of the
climate system that has influenced
global temperatures and rainfall over the past millennium... Our findings, together with
climate model
simulations, highlight the likelihood that century - scale variations in tropical Pacific
climate modes can significantly modulate radiatively forced shifts in
global temperature.»
The same
simulations found that — were the world to achieve the 1.5 °C
global warming limit which 195 nations agreed upon at the Paris
climate summit in 2015 — then the Mediterranean region would experience only 3.2 months
of drought.
http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu/Includes/Documents/Publications/gray2012.pdf The Physical Flaws
of the
Global Warming Theory and Deep Ocean Circulation Changes as the Primary
Climate Driver The water vapor, cloud, and condensation - evaporation assumptions within the conventional AGW theory and the (GCM)
simulations are incorrectly designed to block too much infrared (IR) radiation to space.
Due to the important role
of ozone in driving temperature changes in the stratosphere as well as radiative forcing
of surface
climate, several different groups have provided databases characterizing the time - varying concentrations
of this key gas that can be used to force
global climate change
simulations (particularly for those models that do not calculate ozone from photochemical principles).
Jerry's research team has developed and uses a
simulation model, the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM), to consider the impacts
of various aspects
of global change —
climate, chemistry
of the atmosphere and precipitation, land cover and land use — on the structure and function
of terrestrial ecosystems across the globe.
A realistic treatment
of the hydrologic cycle would show that the influence
of a doubling
of CO2 should lead to a
global surface warming
of only about 0.3 °C — not the 3 °C warming as indicated by the
climate simulations....
A recent meta - analysis published in the journal Nature
Climate Change, by Challinor et al. (2014) examines 1,722 crop model simulations, run using global climate model output under several emissions scenarios, to evaluate the potential effects of climate change and adaptation on crop
Climate Change, by Challinor et al. (2014) examines 1,722 crop model
simulations, run using
global climate model output under several emissions scenarios, to evaluate the potential effects of climate change and adaptation on crop
climate model output under several emissions scenarios, to evaluate the potential effects
of climate change and adaptation on crop
climate change and adaptation on crop yield.