WASHINGTON (Reuters)- The International Monetary Fund said on Wednesday it will freeze its benchmark currency basket until October 2016, giving markets more time to adjust to the possible addition of China's yuan as part of a review
of global reserve currencies.
Perhaps the rest of the world should consider the possibility
of no global reserve currency, or keep the US Dollar, or, move to a commodity standard like gold or oil.
Not exact matches
The likely eventual inclusion
of the Chinese yuan in the elite rank
of «
reserve currencies» will not threaten the
global leadership position
of the US dollar, which currently accounts for over 60 %
of global currency reserves.
Chinese authorities had been propping up the yuan, contributing to an almost $ 300 billion drop in foreign - exchange
reserves over the last four quarters, as policy makers sought to deter capital outflows and encourage
global usage
of the
currency.
As I've already noted, Fed policies have significant effects internationally, given the central place
of U.S. markets in the
global financial system and the dollar's status as the leading
global reserve currency.
Many investors have invested in bitcoin to avoid
global markets volatility and devaluation
of reserve currencies.
The problem is for this or other
currencies to become international
reserves held by foreign central banks, the issuing nation has to run a balance
of payments deficit to pump this
currency into the
global economy.
Based on the overwhelming popularity
of the Dollar among the G20 nations, it's highly unlikely the greenback will be dethroned as the
global reserve currency.
Today, it's perched atop
global currency markets as Canada wins acclaim for its economic outlook and handling
of the public debt, a point driven home Wednesday when a Russian Central Bank official confirmed that the Canadian dollar would be added to its international
reserves.
What led to the demise
of the gold standard has relevance to today's challenge to the dollar as the
global reserve currency.
Due to the massive debt being amassed by government spending, the role
of the dollar as the
global reserve currency is threatened.
For much
of my career I pretty much accepted the consensus, but as I started to think more seriously about the components
of the balance
of payments, I realized that when Keynes at Bretton Woods argued for a hybrid
currency (which he called «bancor») to serve as the
global reserve currency, and not the US dollar, he wasn't only expressing his dismay about the transfer
of international status from Britain to the US.
The future
of the US dollar as the
global reserve currency is one
of the special topics tackled in great detail this year, as is the rise
of populist politics, and potential «black swans» or «gray swans», which continue to lurk in the
global financial landscape, awaiting discovery by the unwary.
In a 6/25/15 address to the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) forum (brought to our attention by Luke Gromen in his newsletter, The Forest for the Trees), Dr.Yao Yudong
of the People's Bank
of China stated, «Main
reserve currency issuers may either fail to adequately meet the demand
of a growing
global economy for liquidity as they try to ease inflation pressures at home, or create excess liquidity in the
global markets by overly stimulating domestic demand.»
A Nuanced View
of Global Prospects While there has been a somewhat indiscriminate run on the
currencies and stocks
of emerging markets, fundamentals remain intact in many countries where
currency reserves have grown exponentially since the 1980s.
Effectively, the rise
of the US dollar... and later the euro
currency, from a single
currency to a
global or regional
currency was supported by their huge gold
reserve....
Because
of the 1994 Bretton Wood agreement, all
currencies around the world are priced in USD (making the U.S. dollar the
global reserve currency).
A bigger fall would clash with China's aim
of promoting the renminbi as a strong
global reserve currency, says Jessop.
Will the FED enact its THIRD MANDATE as a the backstop for the
global financial system because
of the key position
of the world's
reserve currency?
The IMF has linked the SDR issue with quota reform because the weighting
of the renminbi in the
reserve currency bucket would be linked to the size
of China's quota position in the IMF, according to Marc Chandler,
global head
of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman.
better yet — he's the type
of guy to extort money from a congregation that doesn't understand
global economics, fiat
currency, OPEC, oil production, the supply chain, the exploration
of oil
reserves or how foreign / state run companies keep supply low to drive up demand which they then use the proceeds to seed their Islamic theocracies which in turn oppress woman and preach anti-American propaganda.
In fact, a healthy chunk
of the US trade deficit is a result
of the dollar being the largest
global reserve currency.
On the other hand, the Fed's insistence on draining dollars out
of global circulation would be facilitated by any European endeavours to enhance the status
of Euro as a
reserve petro -
currency.
What could be more a more fitting end to being the world's
reserve currency than to default in the end, but protect their own citizens, and send a large portion
of the
global banking system into insolvency, aside from that in the US?
Many small countries will peg their
currency's value to that
of the US dollar, whilst
global banks will hold a large portion
of currency reserves in US dollar.
In this video he discusses the history
of monetary shifts and explores a scenario where the US dollar could be debunked as the
global reserve currency.
The
global reserve currency role will flow to the largest economy allowing free flow
of capital.
The Dollar also became the new
global reserve currency, and remained so throughout the rest
of the Forex history.
Ever since the Bretton Woods agreements — the accords after the Second World War which bequeathed the architecture for the modern international financial system — America's trading partners have been left to cope with the impact
of Washington's control and, in more recent years, the hegemony
of the dollar as the dominant
global reserve currency.
The collapse
of Bretton Woods system in 1973 and the shift
of major
currencies to floating exchange rate regimes lessened the reliance on the SDR as a
global reserve asset.
Though there is no logical replacement for the US Dollar as the
global reserve currency, the US is gaming the system, passing inflation through to the rest
of the world.
Because the US Dollar is the
global reserve currency, it can get away with a lot
of excess borrowing, given that there aren't any countries capable
of taking the place
of the US as the
reserve currency, yet.
Given the inflation that is happening in the rest
of the world, I find it difficult to believe that we are the only ones with low inflation, unless it is an artifact
of being the
global reserve currency.
2) With all
of the noise
of those looking for a replacement for the US Dollar as the world's
global reserve currency, I have two questions:
The
reserve could keep multiple denominations
of currency and commodity also pledges to keep the
currency from a country by which Bitland
Global operates as part
of the
reserve basket.
Shorting
of bitcoin and whales selling the digital
currency to cash out short contracts could have realistically contributed to the decline in the market cap
of bitcoin, and because bitcoin is considered the
reserve currency of the market, the rest
of the
global cryptocurrency market fell with it.
Many investors have invested in bitcoin to avoid
global markets volatility and devaluation
of reserve currencies.
The visualization showed that the fiat
currency system
of the US, which operates as one
of the few
reserve currencies that support the
global monetary system, has been on a decline.
In other words, Ripple is attempting to turn XRP into a
global reserve currency of such even though it may not seem that way just yet.
While fleeting, the concept
of XRP becoming an established
global reserve currency is an ideal scenario for investors.
Lopp noted that as
of now, Bitcoin accounts for around 0.14 percent
of global M1 money supply and still has a long way to go before surpassing the value
of reserve currencies.
The majority
of executives said bitcoin would become the sixth largest
global reserve currency within 15 years.
But, if the same measurement is used to place a valuation on bitcoin, given that bitcoin is targeting a $ 40 trillion market in offshore banking, $ 8 trillion market in gold, and $ 50 trillion in
global reserve currencies, the market cap
of bitcoin could be in the trillions.
Keeping a smaller
currency constantly pegged to a larger national one, to a regional one or even to a
global reserve currency, is a difficult task which many central banks around the world have failed to do in the past in times
of crisis.
Moreover, if bitcoin becomes one
of the
reserve currencies of the
global economy by targeting the $ 40 trillion offshore banking market, $ 8 trillion gold market, and the $ 50 trillion fiat
currency market, governments will need to have a supply
of bitcoin and alternative cryptocurrencies as the leading financial authorities.