The average annual
rate of global sea level rise accelerated from 1993 - 2008, increasing 65 - 90 percent above the twentieth century average.
, the warming could reach a tipping point that would result in several
feet of global sea level rise by the end of the century.
But it only produced about 1
meter of global sea level rise, assuming an even spread of this volume spread across the world's oceans.
The two major
causes of global sea level rise are thermal expansion of the oceans (water expands as it warms) and the loss of land - based ice due to increased melting.
Nevertheless such variability induced by winds or currents may give a false
impression of global sea level fluctuations in analyses of tide gauge data.
Since 1992, the
rate of global sea level rise measured by satellites has been roughly twice the rate observed over the last century, providing evidence of acceleration.
But to arrive at credible
projections of global sea level, these two activities must forge an overlap going forward to carry out an interdisciplinary comparison of coupled glacier - ocean models.
Carbon emissions causing four degrees Celsius of warming could lock in 8.9
metres of global sea level rise, which is enough to submerge the homes of 627 million people around the world, they write in PNAS.
Our new study, published today in the journal Earth's Future, finds that — at least from
measurements of global sea level and continental - scale Antarctic ice - sheet changes — scientists won't be able to tell which road the planet is on until the 2060s.
The total 2000 — 2008 mass loss of ~ 1500 gigatons, equivalent to 0.46 millimeters per
year of global sea level rise, is equally split between surface processes (runoff and precipitation) and ice dynamics.
Data published yesterday by scientists at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) in Pasadena, California, and colleagues revealed that Earth's ice sheets are melting at a rate that could mean more than 32
centimeters of global sea level rise by 2050.
The «zoo»
of global sea level curves calculated from tide gauge data has grown — tomorrow a new reconstruction of our US colleagues around Carling Hay from Harvard University will appear in Nature (Hay et al. 2015).
•» According to Cazenave and Llovel (2010) rising of air temperature can warm and expand ocean waters wherein thermal expansion was the main
driver of global sea level rise for 75 to 100 years after the start of the Industrial Revolution.
Thus the entire 3 — 4 meters
of global sea level contained in that ice sheet may be vulnerable to rapid disintegration, although arguments for stability of even this marine ice sheet have been made [94].
Despite the various problems with the tidal gauge data, it is possible that the various estimates
of global sea level trends of 1 - 2 or maybe 2 - 3 mm / year might coincidentally be correct.
Laura Carbognin at the Institute of Marine Sciences in Venice and colleagues combined data on land subsidence in the city with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's
forecasts of global sea level rise.
The last glacial maximum was about 18,000 years ago, when the Patagonian ice sheet expands to include about 10 meters [33 feet] of global sea level.
The finding, detailed in the Jan. 22 issue of the journal Nature, suggests that this process could be important to more accurately modeling how Greenland will respond to climate change and contribute to the already 8
inches of global sea level rise since 1900.
Together these influences drove exceptional moisture transports into the continent's interior (Fig. 3a) and were likely responsible for one of the wettest intervals in Australia's recorded history, the intensity and persistence of its terrestrial storage anomaly, and a considerable
fraction of the global sea level response.
Several recent summers have seen particularly stark ice loss: At the peak of the 2012 melt season, about 97 percent of the ice sheet surface was melting — that melt season alone contributed 1
millimeter of global sea level rise.
But, it seems in a race to find
evidence of the global sea level rises predicted by man - made global warming models, a number of researchers have underestimated how problematic the data is.
Under this A1B scenario, the thermal expansion of the oceans alone would lead to an increase of 30 to 80
cm of global sea level by 2300, and this rise would continue over many centuries after that.
In our previous article of the series we've looked at an
overview of global sea level rise forecasts for the year 2100 — and seen that these forecasts have a very large spread, and also seem to increase with time... Continue reading →
Nah, this argument boils down to science, particularly which
part of global sea level rise is scientifically attributable to human oil combustion at the current state of human understanding.
This Part will address the insights and
challenges of global sea level from satellites, including interpretation of the sea level record since 1993, SLR acceleration and arguments for and against detection of human - caused sea level rise.