Petrie envisions a number
of growth scenarios for offshore communities.
Not exact matches
The central bank maintained its long - standing prediction that regions experiencing elevated house price
growth, such as British Columbia and Ontario, will face localized risks, but the most likely
scenario remains a «soft landing» and stabilization
of debt - to - income ratios.
If you are taking out the loan to invest in a
growth opportunity, you need to calculate the best - and worst - case
scenarios for that investment and compare that against the true cost
of the loan.
One
of the biggest factors for Uber's hyper
growth is their thinking to improve the overall customer experience — ultimately solving the problem and delivering a payment experience that eliminated this uncomfortable cabbie
scenario.
The worst case
scenario is that the country will experience what economists call a «hard landing,» essentially a major slowdown in GDP
growth, to less than 5 % or the approximate rate
of inflation.
But with so many interests — and political careers — at stake, the risk that talks could fall through at any point remains a serious risk,» he warned, adding that such a
scenario would have an impact
of a 1.5 percent contraction on the U.K.'s long - term
growth trend.
Greger Johansson, analyst at research firm Redeye who had a bull case
scenario of 250 crowns per share, said he thought the main owners had been unwilling to sell below 300 crowns as Axis had high revenue
growth and was the No. 1 player in its market.
The best - case
scenario for stocks would seem to be wage
growth in line with expectations (0.2 percent month - over-month, 2.7 annualized
growth) and job
growth in line with expectations
of 178,000.
It added that «the effect on U.S.
growth is estimated to be positive through 2020, cumulating to 1.2 percent through that year, with a range
of uncertainty around this central
scenario.»
The worst case
scenario is likely wage
growth higher than expected (0.3 percent or higher month over month, 2.9 percent to 3 percent annual), with upward revisions from February, and job
growth much higher, all
of which would increase the chances for a Fed rate hike.
At this point then yes price appreciation is secondary bonus and we have an arguement
of how and why Real Estate can be better than
Growth Stocks in some
scenarios and for some investors.
These, and other recent data, are consistent with the Reserve Bank's central
scenario for GDP
growth averaging around the 3 per cent mark over the next couple
of years.
As the event opened, the panellists were presented with five global risk
scenarios: uncontrolled city
growth, lack
of fresh water, extreme weather, continued fossil fuel lock - in and rising cases
of non-communicable diseases (NCDs).
This conundrum shares some characteristics and common roots with the theory
of secular stagnation; in both
scenarios, interest rates,
growth, and inflation are persistently low (Summers 2015).
Such caution is especially warranted given the asymmetric risk
scenario recently outlined by Fed governor Lael Brainard (the risks
of weaker demand are greater than those
of accelerating price
growth).
Our models compare and contrast multiple forecast
scenarios so clients can assess the valuation impact
of different forecasts for revenue
growth, margins and capital allocation strategies.
The central
scenario for the Australian economy is a positive one, with
growth over the next couple
of years at, or above, average, a relatively strong labour market, and inflation consistent with the medium - term target.
For most
of this current bull market,
growth stocks have outperformed value fare, but some market observers believe that
scenario could be...
In a more optimistic
scenario of 5 % compound annual NOPAT
growth over the next decade, the stock is worth $ 100 / share today — a 54 % upside.
This is the same criticism made in Stephen Gordon's comments about attributing all job
growth over the past eight years to the Conservative government: Much
of this
growth would have happened under most alternative policy
scenarios.
I have 2 questions: 1) How does the recent announcement
of plans to open up the Chinese financial economy to foreign firms change the equation
of «control» by the Chinese government 2) How do you envision the
scenario where we reach maximum debt capacity and a transition into a low
growth scenario?
Under that
scenario, Social Security, health care, and interest will be responsible for 77 percent
of nominal spending
growth.
As I have argued before, except under implausible
scenarios (at least 2 - 4 %
of GDP transferred every year from the state to households) I can not work out arithmetically any meaningful rebalancing process that is consistent with average GDP
growth much above 3 - 4 % during President Xi's 2013 - 23 term in office.
It modeled the implications for the company
of a requirement for emissions to decline to levels consistent with a so - called «2 °C world» after 2030 and also looked at a number
of alternative
scenarios based on divergent ranges in global
growth and trade, geopolitics, technological innovation and responses to climate change.
Obviously this set
of scenarios — in which GDP grows on average at rates between 3 % and 6 % for ten years while credit efficiency is improved so dramatically that in 5 - 6 years China begins to deleverage and by the end
of the period these
growth rates can be maintained with no
growth in credit — is theoretically possible, but just as obviously it is highly implausible, and I can not think
of any country in history that has achieved such a turnaround in its financial sector without having first experienced a brutal financial crisis.
The latest issue
of StraightTalk ® looks at four
scenarios of how the current
growth improvement may evolve in the next few months and what the effects may be on the global economy's potential in the medium - term Our latest survey
of C - Suite executives» challenges reveal their responses to the current business environment.
Year - to - date traffic
growth has fallen by 3 percent, which Fernandez categorizes as a «troubling
scenario» when compared to the drop
of 0.8 percent for all
of 2015.
Despite the risks to the debt burden, Moody's baseline
scenario is that the debt - to - GDP will remain below 60 %, mitigated by the strong nominal GDP
growth due to high inflation and the existence
of government financial buffers (around 14 %
of GDP).
The reality is that some sort
of broadscale, robust
growth scenario is probably not in the cards.
«Our base case
of stronger for longer
growth remains intact, unless we move into an aggressive protectionist push
scenario,» says Ahya.
Instead
of the «goldilocks»
scenario of low volatility and rising global
growth, markets are likely to get a lot more choppy and individual stock performance could become more idiosyncratic.
The idea
of turning 1 $ into almost $ 320,000 sounds a lot more compelling than the bond
growth scenario discussed above.
In a fairly poor
scenario, even if only a 5.7 % long - term EPS / dividend
growth rate is achieved (chosen to match the previous 7 - year average EPS
growth), then the current price in the low $ 80's can still offer a 9 % long - term rate
of return, based on the DDM again.
A separate discussion paper published by central bank staffers in October 2017 concluded that even under an alternative
scenario in which the potential level
of growth was ultimately 1 per cent higher than forecast by 2020, the effects on inflation would be «small» and «therefore does not affect the stance
of monetary policy.»
Under this
scenario, an eventual rise in wage
growth would likely be accompanied by a secular rise in realized inflation (inflation expectations would trend with energy prices), and the policy battle onward may resemble that
of Paul Volcker instead
of Ben Bernanke.
Paradoxically, other clients were hedging against an inflationary
scenario, which drove the
growth of Deutsche Bank's inflation derivatives business.
A total
of 69,000 federal government jobs were lost over the following 21 months, an exceptional
scenario given the
growth of private sector job gain during that time.
This
scenario is detrimental to the business
growth of both the traders and brokers.
The worst case
scenario according to Credit Suisse is negative economic
growth in 2013
of -0.5 % GDP.
The most likely
scenario with the help
of some legislative action, in their opinion is positive 1.8 % GDP
growth.
The mobile Market in US is still thirsty and can absorb more than speculated, coming to global market the
scenario is still fertile and enormous amounts
of growth potential exists.
It is also useful to look at the effect on credit
growth of a number
of other
scenarios for loan approvals.
To be sure, correlations can change quickly — especially under a
scenario of a downward jolt to
growth expectations.
In the worst case
scenario LBC / USD could get back to $ 0.15 form a double bottom, but it doesn't seem like the downtrend is valid, and chanced
of growth are much higher than the downtrend continuation.
Tighter financial conditions will be factored in, knocking off 10 - 20bp from GDP
growth projections, but the staff should keep a
scenario of improving domestic demand underpinning activity beyond 2016.
What your
scenario fails to appreciate is the immediate, rapid
growth of the church within the weeks and months following Christ's resurrection that has nothing to do with what people later wrote down.
This is even more apparent when we realize that the proposed
scenario assumes continuing
growth of resource use in the already affluent world as well.
The authors tried multiple
scenarios of dealing with the multiple foreseeable problems caused by continuing
growth.
The food industry has become increasingly focused on developing different «what if»
scenarios when reformulating or developing new food and drink products to predict the levels
of microbial
growth using methods such as challenge testing.
«In an ideal
scenario, you would be investing in a company with a rock - solid balance sheet, with structural
growth on offer and at the bottom
of its cycle.