BrightSource focuses its selection process on areas
of high insolation, or solar radiation, for project sites to maximize land efficiency and minimize a project's footprint.
Not exact matches
In addition, current
insolation values are not predicted to return to the
high values
of late MIS 11 for another 65 kyr.
However, increase
of solar
insolation in the
high latitudes did not warm the tropics and so GAT rose relatively little.
The combination
of insolation at
high latitude, solar irradiance, cloud cover, and carbon dixoide concentrations all combine to influence glacial cycles.
However as the area was ice covered at that time increased
insolation wouldn't have caused
high temperatures, although inflow
of air or large leads / polnyas could.
A recent study on the GIS melt during the Eemian argues that temperature rise alone produced 55 %
of the melt and the rest was caused by
higher solar
insolation and feedbacks.
Precession dominates * midsummer *
high - latitude
insolation (the usual Milankovitch metric), but obliquity has a stronger influence on Huybers» notion
of «summer heat» (which takes into account the astronomical influence on length -
of - season.
We know that there were two other factors at play, increasing CO2 and
higher insolation, both
of which also change the energy balance positively and therefore increase the equilibrium response to the changes in the environment.
During a sun cycle, the global cloud cover changes with + / - 2 %, good for a change
of several W / m2 (depending on type
of clouds and region), far
higher than the effect
of insolation change as result
of the sun's energy variation.
Thus the «only 0.6 W / m2» in
insolation since the Maunder Minimum, in reality may have been fortified to a difference
of several W / m2... While there is no change in solar strength in the past 25 years, the level still is
high and the oceans still may not be in equilibrium with the heat inflow...
IMHO, the increase in speed
of the Hadley / Walker cells may be the result
of higher ocean temperatures (or temperature differences over long distances), not the origin (or to a lesser extent, as less clouds lead to some extra
insolation, thus warming).
So really it's the gain
of the temperature - convection feedback that's at stake, and if it were
high enough to fully offset all radiative effects on temperature, there'd be some obvious symptoms — low natural variability and glacial cycles perfectly correlated with
insolation perhaps.
AIUI, the assumption is that most
of the first - year ice will melt, and much
of it is located around the North Pole this year, so it will melt late (if at all) because
of less
insolation at
high latitudes.
See e.g. slide 31
of http://www.soest.hawaii.edu/GG/FACULTY/POPP/Lecture12.ppt E.g. a decreased
insolation at
high northern latitudes would cause ice sheets to grow.
The references you gave for variance
of insolation reaching the ground in this post are for decadal variations, in particular mid-century dimming (1950's -1980's), the well known cooling associated with
high aerosols, and in fact discussed on SkS.
Past and future changes in
insolation can be calculated over several millions
of years with a
high degree
of confidence.
Keep in mind there's a dearth
of insolation at
high latitudes so albedo becomes increasingly less important so snow cover over land doesn't mean as much.
MILANKOVITCH CYCLES overall favor N.H. cooling and an increase in snow cover over N.H
high latitudes during the N.H summers due to the fact that perihelion occurs during the N.H. winter (highly favorable for increase summer snow cover), obliquity is 23.44 degrees which is at least neutral for an increase summer N.H. snow cover, while eccentricity
of the earth's orbit is currently at 0.0167 which is still circular enough to favor reduced summertime solar
insolation in the N.H. and thus promote more snow cover.
What we know with some certainty about oceans (if data is to be believed) is that the intra-annual change in the
insolation effects (suspiciously)
high symmetricity in the N. Atlantic's sea surface temperature, cantered on 1st
of March and 31st
of August.
Because
of the
high Sun, the intertropical convergence zone receives the greatest quantity
of daily solar
insolation in the tropics.
The rapid 1940s retreat is linked to unusually
high solar
insolation and patterns
of precipitation governed by the Atlantic Multidecadal and North Atlantic Oscillation.42, 43
The temperature
of the tropics does not vary much from season to season because
high quantities
of solar
insolation are received here regardless
of the time
of the year.
The warm early - Holocene climate around Svalbard was driven primarily by
higher insolation and greater influx
of warm Atlantic Water, but feedback processes further influenced the regional climate.»
In the early Holocene, Fisher argues that the glacier elevation was considerably
higher than at present and was lowered through the
high summer
insolation of the early Holocene.
(For a given location on Earth's surface, the
highest daily temperatures are achieved just after the period
of greatest
insolation, since time is required to heat the ocean surface waters and the soil.)
Even on the most aggressive interpretation
of CO2 forcing, the increase in forcing is much, much lower than the Holocene summer
insolation forcing (JJA
insolation in the Holocene optimum was more than 40 wm - 2
higher than at present.)
Dry climates have a
higher mean annual temperature than wet cllimates when
insolation is the same at top
of atmosphere.
In this article I present prima facie evidence that the ongoing natural increase in spring
insolation occurring at
high northern latitudes, coupled with the positive feedback effect
of the resultant snow and ice loss reducing the region's mean albedo over summer, comprises just such a causative agency.
Yes, NASA data indicate
insolation is at a 1000 year
high, they however also indicate that there has been only very small changes the last century and no changes (aside from the 11 year cycles) over the last 30 years (since the onset
of the satellite era).
Here it is shown that the precession
of perihelion occurring over a century substantially affects the intra-annual variation
of solar radiation influx at different locations, especially
higher latitudes, with northern and southern hemispheres being subject to contrasting
insolation changes.
Using pollen based climate reconstructions, Field et al. (1994) suggest that instability
of the AMOC due to
high summer
insolation and increased precipitation may have led to cold winters in northern Europe.
In the case
of the 100 kyr ice age cycles, that forcing is
high northern latitude summer
insolation driven by predictable changes in Earth's orbital and rotational parameters — aka, Milankovitch theory — which has the intial effect
of melting glaciers, thereby reducing albedo at those latitudes.
Be CSI an omission or not, examination
of those graphics suggests the size
of the CSI effect AD1000 to AD2000 amounts to +2 Wm ^ -2
insolation (+0.002 Wm ^ -2 / year) over
high northern latitudes during the merry months
of April & May and -2 Wm ^ -2
insolation -LRB--0.002 Wm ^ -2 / year) over
higher northern latitudes during the jolly months
of July & August.
To compare this with AGW, AR5 Table AII.2 yields an annual average year - round and global forcing increase averaged over the last 30 years
of +0.026 Wm ^ -2 / year, many times
higher than the part - year, part - globe CSI which is also a small part
of the
insolation changes over the last 1,000 years, an effect which is adjudged, with or without any omission, to be insignificant in comparison to AGW.
In the first case, an ECS
of 8 K / 2xCO2 is too
high... obvious to me because I know that I didn't take methane into account, which is a significant contributor, nor ice albedo feedback as a function
of high northern latitude
insolation cycles a la Milankovitch.
A good place to start in comprehending the
high variability
of temperatures and sea ice in the Arctic is the recognition that, at those latitudes, the available heat comes primarily from oceanic and atmospheric advection, rather than local thermalization
of insolation.
Given the global location
of Iran provides it with some
of the world's
highest solar
insolation, there is actually solar research occurring.
Despite enjoying some
of the
highest wind and
insolation levels in the world, Mexico has yet to develop most
of the potential
of its renewable energy sources.
In the case
of the early Holocene, the forcing was a maximum in Milankovitch - related northern
high latitude summer
insolation.
Regardless
of the carbon source (s), it has been shown that the hyperthermals were astronomically paced, spurred by coincident maxima in the Earth's orbit eccentricity and spin axis tilt [17], which increased
high - latitude
insolation and warming.
Until climatologists can properly make models that reflect the entire global history and take into account plate position and how
high the plates ride, oceanic levels due to this and the position
of oceans, overall
insolation, overall daylength and its effects on average global temperature and factor in known carbon dioxide levels over that time period, then they will be unable to give any correlation between current carbon dioxide levels and global temperature.
The direct radiative forcing (DRF) is strongest in the Northern Hemisphere summer when the
insolation is the
highest although different seasonal cycles
of the sulphate burden from the chemical transport models result in maximum global mean radiative forcings ranging from May to August (e.g., Haywood and Ramaswamy, 1998), the ratio
of the June - July - August / December - January - February radiative forcing being estimated to lie in the range less than 2 (e.g., van Dorland et al., 1997) to > 5 (e.g., Penner et al., 1998b; Grant et al., 1999) with a mean
of approximately 3.3.
http://illconsidered.blogspot.com/2006/04/historically-co2-never-causes.html 100 years
of shift does not factor into the larger scale phenomena http://illconsidered.blogspot.com/2006/01/one-hundred-years-is-not-enough.html Until climatologists can properly make models that reflect the entire global history and take into account plate position and how
high the plates ride, oceanic levels due to this and the position
of oceans, overall
insolation, overall daylength and its effects on average global temperature and factor in known carbon dioxide levels over that time period, then they will be unable to give any correlation between current carbon dioxide levels and global temperature.
The increased evaporation deposits snow on
high altitudes that survives the summer in lower
insolation periods accumulating and reflecting more
of the suns energy back into space.
The energy harvesting medium thus shares the same axis
of orientation which is a disadvantage where the
insolation may be coming from one direction in the sky
high above and the wind from another direction horizontal to the earths surface, such that both energy sources may not be harvested efficiently.
During those months the
insolation at the top
of atmosphere over the arctic is
higher than anywhere else in the world.
However, climates at
high latitude are known to be very sensitive to orbital parameters affecting
insolation (Ravelo et al., 2004), and thus proxy estimates with uncertain age constraints are not directly comparable to model simulations that typically span hundreds
of years.
And
of course changes in albedo make the dry adiabatic lapse
of stratsosphere a moot point because
high altitude clouds reject
insolation before it ever gets a chance to reach the troposphere.
However Scafetta's (2009) bridging
of contested calibration between satellites supports the lead investigator's case for
higher than direct Total Solar
Insolation (TSI) variation.
The surface temperature
of Venus is (as you probably know) a hefty 740 K. That's much
higher than the simple comparison
of insolation would indicate.