Sentences with phrase «of higher degrees of uncertainty»

Not exact matches

The price of oil has risen to its highest since late 2014 this month, driven by concern over the potential for disruption to Iranian crude flows, but analysts say the degree of uncertainty hanging over the deal means the market is extremely sensitive to any developments.

Although the company believes that such statements are based on reasonable assumptions within the bounds of its knowledge of its business and operations, the forward - looking statements are neither promises nor guarantees and they are necessarily subject to a high degree of uncertainty and risk.

The relatively wide range for the forecast reflects the higher than normal degree of uncertainty regarding the prospects for the UK economy this year.»

His excuse was that rapidly falling oil prices were creating an unusual high degree of uncertainty for budget planning and that he needed more time to assess the future course of oil prices and their impact on the economy.

Clarke said that Worm's estimate of 100 million sharks killed every year may be too high because of the degree of uncertainty in conducting a global estimate.

Combined with the unexpectedly early departure of the Fed's vice chair, Stanley Fischer, and the three pre-existing vacancies out of the seven seats on the Fed's board of governors, there has remained a high degree of uncertainty about the future composition of the central bank's leadership.

The degree of uncertainty for businesses today probably is at the highest level in decades.

This high degree of uncertainty and chaotic environment is showing up in many forms for both buyers and sellers.

An essential point and the reason buyer behavior research is a primer for this understanding is that buyers themselves are dealing with a high degree of uncertainty and chaos.

The high degree of uncertainty and chaos in today's marketplaces makes a presumed understanding one that can be filled with many craters.

The results of the fourth wave of Bord Bia's Feeling the Pinch survey, completed in late 2010, also shows a high degree of uncertainty remains among Irish and British consumers.

«We have a high degree of uncertainty, market turbulence and lack of confidence that governments in other countries have got a sufficient grip on their economies,» she commented.

Then, almost as a joke: «The OBR notes that there is a higher than usual degree of uncertainty in this forecast.»

«We should be very careful at a time when the British economy is still haltingly recovering from the worst economic shock in a generation to create a very high degree and a prolonged period of uncertainty because in my view uncertainty is the enemy of growth and jobs and our priority, in this government and in the national duty, has got to be to foster growth and jobs.»

While the pattern for Central and Western Europe was one of a consistent increase in flood risk, the study also found that flood risk may actually decrease with warmer temperatures in some countries in Eastern Europe, but those results also show a high degree of uncertainty.

Agenda 21 gives science a critical role in reducing «the high degree of uncertainty in present information, which inhibits effective management» of the oceans.

Structured expert judgment has been used for decades in fields where scenarios have high degrees of uncertainty, most notably nuclear - energy generation, Oppenheimer explained.

And though I've led a fair many readers to winning their Oscar pools in the past (you're welcome), this year presents a degree of higher uncertainty, if only because so many of the lower tier picks could bump between The Revenant and Mad Max: Fury Road.

«There remains a high degree of uncertainty about the effectiveness of Mats, and there is not yet the evidence to prove that large - scale expansion would significantly improve the school landscape,» says the report.

However, just because there is uncertainty and complexity does not mean that they are not well within our ability to understand with a fairly high degree of confidence.

What is clear is that uncontrolled emissions will very soon put us in range of temperatures that have been unseen since the Eemian / Stage 5e period (about 120,000 years ago) when temperatures may have been a degree or so warmer than now but where sea level was 4 to 6m higher (see this recent discussion the possible sensitivities of the ice sheets to warming and the large uncertainties involved).

There is enough difficulty in deciding how to weave workable policy into high degrees of uncertainty without crossing bright lines of misrepresentation.

In terms of climate change model predictions, there is a high degree of uncertainty in both regions as to what comes next in an anthropogenic climate change scenario.

The uncertainty is whether this, when applied to the real world, is a trivial effect (say the lowest outlier position), if there is a couple of degrees warming coming (an average position, where warming will have some observable effects within a decade or two) or 5 + deg C (the highest outlier position, where significant and rapid change would occur, and where detrimental effects probably significantly outweigh beneficial ones).

Under those circumstances, I would say that evaluating the three time periods mentioned above are important, and as such there remains a rather high degree of uncertainty w / r / t «fat tail» large - scale impact on our climate as the result of BAU.

They point to this uncertainty, while ignoring the very high degree of confidence scientists have that carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas, currently warming the planet, causing sea level rise and ocean acidification.

Closed - minded skeptics point to higher uncertainty and the small degree of confidence that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and NCAR (National Center for Atmospheric Research) and UCAR (Unversity Corporation for Atmospheric Research) that tornadoes and hurricanes has or will become more intense with climate change.

Koonins piece reflects climate sciences» high degree of uncertainty, which is another way of saying we don't know where the boundaries lie.

Joshua says, «Does it really reflect the high degree of uncertainty as to whether ACO2 emissions might cause harmful climate change?»

The state of our knowledge about future climate change is such that the degree of uncertainty and the level of ignorance precludes formulating a PDF of outcomes, or even putting bounds on the outcomes with a high confidence level.

However, other dimensions that still hold higher degrees of scientific uncertainty — such as the linkages between climate change and hurricane intensity, or on matters of political disagreement, such as if cap and trade legislation is an effective solution — remain subjects where journalists justifiably should emphasize a greater diversity of views.

Should a developed nation such as the United States which has much higher historical and per capita emissions than other nations be able to justify its refusal to reduce its ghg emissions to its fair share of safe global emissions on the basis of scientific uncertainty, given that if the mainstream science is correct, the world is rapidly running out of time to prevent warming above 2 degrees C, a temperature limit which if exceeded may cause rapid, non-linear climate change.

Based on our assessment, we have very high confidence for climate impacts (especially sea level rise and storm surge) on ecosystems; and we have high confidence for climate impacts on agriculture (reduced to some degree, compared to our level of confidence about ecosystems, by uncertainty about the efficacy and implementation of adaptation options).

The very high significance levels of model - observation discrepancies in LT and MT trends that were obtained in some studies (e.g., Douglass et al., 2008; McKitrick et al., 2010) thus arose to a substantial degree from using the standard error of the model ensemble mean as a measure of uncertainty, instead of the standard deviation or some other appropriate measure of ensemble spread.

''... support for the effects of climate change on public health and welfare is limited and typified by a high degree of uncertainty.»

The mitigation CBAs you may be aware of that ultimately argue for adaption focused strategies forecast long lead times to much lower temperature anomalies than three degrees, (and not to mention typically feature high growth, low damages and no handling of uncertainty).

The very high significance levels of model — observation discrepancies in LT and MT trends that were obtained in some studies (e.g., Douglass et al., 2008; McKitrick et al., 2010) thus arose to a substantial degree from using the standard error of the model ensemble mean as a measure of uncertainty, instead of the ensemble standard deviation or some other appropriate measure for uncertainty arising from internal climate variability... Nevertheless, almost all model ensemble members show a warming trend in both LT and MT larger than observational estimates (McKitrick et al., 2010; Po - Chedley and Fu, 2012; Santer et al., 2013).

It had occured to me that a statement saying most warming is anthro with a high degree of certainty is more user friendly for policy then one that narrows in on the higher end of anthro attribution but with the need to explain the sources of the greater uncertainties.

[G] iven all the uncertainties and variability in the economic results of the IAMs... the claimed high degree of accuracy in GDP loss projections is highly implausible.

The primary problem for forecasting here is the high degree of uncertainty regarding the long - term price elasticity of energy demand.

We also know that MOST of the uncertainty, by far, is on the high side of that sensitivity confidence curve — that is it's a whole helluva lot more likely that sensitivity is 6 degrees than it is that it's 1 degree.

But I do think an additional, underrated factor might be a high degree of uncertainty within law departments about what their options actually are.

There is a high degree of policy and political uncertainty in South Africa at the moment which, together with the difficult economic conditions, has resulted in decreased investment which has impacted the construction sector.

The growth of the blockchain industry in general, as well as the blockchain networks with which the RepuX Protocol will rely and interact, is subject to a high degree of uncertainty.

The recessionary economy of the past few months, projected to continue for the next couple of years, has created a high degree of investor uncertainty.