If you're going to offer up a defense
of the Hockey Stick Team's pseudo-science, assuming facts not yet in evidence is most unpersuasive.
I have suggested above, and elsewhere, that the scientific implications
of the hockey stick are rather meager — they are a sideshow to the main arena».....
No, to be clear, when I said the PR campaign I meant the one that included all the noise in the UK and the US about BEST refuting all kinds of climate scepticism, therefore leading to the reinstatement
of the hockey stick.
My view on the inappropriateness of this approach has become even stronger based over time as we learn more on the proxy methodology and, also, as my colleagues and I publish on the biases and uncertainties in the «blade» part
of the hockey stick.
I have suggested above, and elsewhere, that the scientific implications
of the hockey stick are rather meager — they are a sideshow to the main arena where basic principles of climate change are emerging in growing detail.
So the warming they appropriated for the blade
of the hockey stick is doubly phony — first for having been inserted into the data set and second for not even being there according to satellites.
Our bright researcher next looks at the shaft
of the hockey stick and says «But these reconstructed temperatues were essentially constant for hundreds of years.
The entire basis
of the hockey stick is junk science.
We can see that the reaction to a lack of warming in the last few years, a few uncommonly cold winters, criticism
of the hockey stick, emails from the CRU have only driven many of them to a more intolerant and vociferous stance as the search desperately to find the lost heat or why global warming leads to cold winters.
If there is going to be a whitewashing, I would have thought that it would be of the backtracking from the previous prominence
of the Hockey Stick.
As we have been the most prominent critics
of the hockey stick, we believe that these comments were directed at us.
But Mr McIntyre's last sentence is a valid point, especially when there are so many Mann hockey graphs out there, all with different dodgy fixes to prop up his flaccid stick (I was amused by Steve's reference an inch or two below to what he calls «the first generation
of Hockey Stick issues»).
Turning up the heat on this episode of Inside Story Americas, presenter Shihab Rattansi discusses the issue with guests: Michael Mann, the director of Penn State University's Earth System Science Center and author
of The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars; Dana Nuccitelli, an environmental scientist who writes for the Skeptical Science blog, who was also involved in the survey of scientific literature on climate science that was published this week, and Rick Piltz, the director and founder of Climate Science Watch.
All that cover 20C produce some kind
of hockey stick.
# 252 I criticise Fred Pearce for shallow, initial understanding
of the hockey stick (years ago) which I thought I remembered.
By the time I'd waded through the extended and arguably refracted history of the world
of hockey stick enthusiasts I was left wondering not only whether I was reading Senate testimony as opposed to a scientific research article but also whether I should bother using any of my (tiny) precious mind reading the scientific appendix attached to the popular media piece comprising the first section.
When I tried to do a brief but fair summary of Fred P's previous errors, that had come my way, I only mentioned his earliest reports
of the hockey stick controversy.
This did not involve the technicalities
of the hockey stick.
JMurphy: Of course the deniers won't let go
of the hockey stick, and for a very simple reason: It's an incredibly effective visual for communicating with newcomers.
Until now, criticisms
of the hockey stick have been dismissed as fringe reports from marginal global warming skeptics...
The problems with the paleoclimate data are well known and will not be summarized here; however, the issue of interest in this context is not the «blade»
of the hockey stick, but rather the modes of variability and their magnitude seen in the stick handle.
he really ought to take a look at tThe Earth In The Balance — all the 29th century editions feature a rate of species extinction graph ending in the Mother
Of All Hockey Stick blades, ramping vertical to infinity in the year 2000.
# 61: he really ought to take a look at tThe Earth In The Balance — all the 29th century editions feature a rate of species extinction graph ending in the Mother
Of All Hockey Stick blades
he really ought to take a look at The Earth In The Balance — all the 29th century editions feature a rate of species extinction graph ending in the Mother
Of All Hockey Stick blades, ramping vertical to infinity in the year 2000.
It is sorted alphabetically per category with the exception
of the Hockey Stick and Cosmic Ray section (both are chronological).
There isn't much
of a hockey stick with matching smoothing.
The reality is you have to be incredibly naive to think any paleoclimatic temperature reconstruction, ever, has confirmed the «blade»
of a hockey stick.
Didn't mention this before, but in addition to providing some very interesting insight into early 16th century temperatures based on the CET record, which corrects some of the misconceptions
of the hockey stick, you have made it all interesting reading rather than just a «data dump».
Our grandchildren will be joking in university corridors: «What a load
of hockey stick science.
In the case
of the hockey stick there was a long battle to deal with grudging, inaccurate and pejorative language (well documented here).
For different people the significance
of the hockey stick has been very different.
A submission made to this Review by Andrew Montford and Tony Newbery (both active in the anti ‐ global ‐ warming movement, and the former the author
of The Hockey Stick Illusion: Climategate and the Corruption of Science) devotes much of its content to criticising not the data on temperatures but the membership of a BBC seminar on the topic in 2006, and to a lengthy discussion as to whether its Environment Analyst was carrying out BBC duties or acting as a freelance during an environment programme at Cambridge University.
The temperature trend would have looked like the shaft
of the hockey stick if we hadn't started pumping out CO2 in the 1800 ’s
Exactly the kind of science you would expect to get in defense
of the hockey stick science crew.
The temperature curve goes for a longer time period than the proxies, so visually, the temperature curve is creating the blade
of the hockey stick while all the proxies disappear behind it.
It is at present unclear whether or not it was warmer than today (as was accepted prior to the acceptance
of the hockey stick), but it was clearly warmer than the last two hundred years.
As a result, the handle
of the hockey stick may not be a bat, but a boomerang!
Of course, JSE is my favorite Dog Astrology Journal, which figures in Discussion
of The Hockey Stick Illusion.
And is it correct to say that if you remove both Tiljander and the dendro you are left with very little
of the hockey stick and, worse, the shaft is rather less than straight?
The Court finds that these statement [the «fraudulence»
of the hockey stick] taken in context must be viewed as more than honest commentary â $» particularly when investigations have found otherwise.
Also, a version
of the hockey stick featured prominently in the influential United Nation's 2001 Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
The negative reaction of Mann, Jones et all to Steve's initial critique
of the hockey stick graph was utterly uncalled for and his statistical prowess is a valuable asset which should have been capitalized on rather than rejected.
Talking about the entire holocene, the holocene, and the early holocene in the intro paragraph, while linking to a hit - piece by the NYT that focuses on the blade
of the hockey stick?
One is suppose to believe that the blade
of hockey stick is all caused by human activity - it's the whole reason the hockey stick was fabricated, the amazing rise in temperature could only be explained as being the result of human activity - industrial activity [in accordance Luddism fantasy].
Neither is BEST a review
of the hockey stick data, just the earth surface temps according to weather station sighting, rather than proxies, and yet the BBC have claimed that this non-peer review grey literature (as it is at this time) is conclusive proof of ALL AGW alarmist claims.
The history
of the hockey stick isn't relevant to the study itself, but rather relevant to the impetus.
For McIntyre it will we a wee bit harder to disentangle himself from the Wegman Report, given how he and his tribe of merry auditors have been hyping it from day one, as the vindication of their auditorial mission, the death
of the Hockey Stick etc..
This is an updated book review
of The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars, by Michael Mann, with the paperback edition released this week.
Mr. Coleman either ignored the scientific review
of the hockey stick or just failed to look deeper.
Although they now apparently concede that «the 20th century portion of our paleotemperature stack is not statistically robust, can not be considered representative of global temperature changes, and therefore is not the basis of any of our conclusions», this was definitely not the impression left by the authors when the article was published, when it was hailed as supposed confirmation
of the Hockey Stick.