But the central bank has argued that the likelihood
of household debt levels becoming a serious problem remains low and the situation is likely to improve once the economy starts to recover.
Take away: Media reports points out that Australia is well above their neighbors in terms
of household debt levels.
Not exact matches
Debt levels for the average Canadian
household are moving down (perhaps we've been taking those warnings from the Bank
of Canada to heart), and as a result there's been «modest» growth in consumer spending, said Ferley.
U.S.
household debt rose to a
level not seen in five years in the third quarter
of 2013, according to the latest data from the Federal Reserve Bank
of New York.
It suggests the weight
of a record
level of household debt is starting to feel heavy.
Here are three off the top
of my head: Record
levels of household debt threaten future spending, too many
of our companies need a weaker currency to be competitive, and international energy companies are giving up on Canada as a place to invest.
He included original research that suggests a looser fiscal policy after 2010 may have resulted in a lower
level of household debt today.
YELLOWKNIFE, Northwest Territories, May 1 - Bank
of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz said on Tuesday that the view
of the Canadian economy is quite good despite record
levels of household debt, and he was confident the central bank can manage the risk
of that
debt even as interest rates rise.
«Canadian policy - makers have allowed
household debt to rise above the disturbingly high
levels reached in the U.S. in 2007, raising the risk
of a similar potentially disastrous deleveraging down the road,» Madani wrote.
That's a drag on growth, but a welcome one if it means
households have begun doing something about record
levels of debt.
There's an economic imperative at play,
of course: thanks to steadily increasing costs
of living, and record
levels of household debt, many sexagenarians and even septuagenarians simply can't afford to stop working.
Previously, the Bank
of Canada hinted it might raise rates to curb the borrowing binge, but in March it abruptly changed tack by affirming the
household debt - to - income ratio is «stabilizing near current
levels.»
The house - price bubble, combined with record
levels of household debt, represent the biggest threat facing the Canadian economy; the sooner real - estate markets mellow and Canadians lower their
debt burdens, the better.
If we came to learn that excessive
household debt posed a bigger threat to economic growth than does a certain
level of government
debt, then policy makers would want to take that into account when setting interest rates.
Cheap credit has caused a host
of problems: it has blown out
household debt and inflated home prices in some markets to unsustainable
levels.
«Domestically, the
household debt level is quite high,» said Wong, a member
of the opposition Parti Keadilan Rakyat (PKR).
Bank
of Canada governor Mark Carney has warned that the biggest risk to the financial system is now
household debt, even if it's still «relatively low» and unlikely to reach
levels that could cripple banks» balance sheets.
In its latest statement, it said «
household vulnerabilities have moved higher,» which is how policy makers describe the troubling nexus between excessive housing prices in many cities and record
levels of household debt.
But against the backdrop
of slow average wage gains and record
levels of household debt, she says, «it looks like the average Canadian is about to get into a pretty serious squeeze play.»
Across the developed world, it's contributed to record
levels of household debt.
The central bank has concerns about the ability
of households to keep paying down their high
levels of debt when interest rates continue their rise, as is widely expected over the coming months.
They also fear that at such elevated
levels, many Canadian
households would be unable to withstand a financial shock such as a loss
of income, or a sudden spike in interest rates that raised
debt services charges.
One was to send
household debt levels up to nearly 150 %
of income, a record.
Any number
of shocks could send Canada's house
of cards tumbling, the bank says, particularly higher borrowing costs that pinches
households already carrying record high
levels of debt.
So, in summary these are some
of the themes we might expect to see in the next chapter — the impact
of technology and the growth
of Asia; the normalisation
of monetary conditions; the effects
of higher
levels of household debt; and the capability
of our workforce and businesses to be flexible, innovative and adaptable.
The third question we have focused on over recent times is the implications
of the high and rising
level of household debt.
At that time, the main data sources on consumer
debt consisted
of loan -
level data sets on specific categories
of loans, such as mortgages, as well as aggregated data on
household sector
debt from the Board
of Governors» Flow
of Funds statistical release.
The bubbling interest comes as regulators grow increasingly worried about
debt levels and the capacity
of ordinary
households to pay back big loans on expensive houses.
The low
level of interest rates means that even though
debt levels are higher, the share
of household income devoted to paying mortgage interest is lower than it has been for some time.
This brings me to a third plot line: that is, how we deal with the higher
level of household debt and higher housing prices, especially in a world
of more normal interest rates.
Risks associated with the Consumer Discretionary sector include, among others, apparel price deflation due to low - cost entries, high inventory
levels and pressure from e-commerce players; reduction in traditional advertising dollars; increasing
household debt levels that could limit consumer appetite for discretionary purchases; declining consumer acceptance
of new product introductions; and geopolitical uncertainty that could impact consumer sentiment.
At the heart
of this uncertainty is the high
level of household debt.
In a low - inflation environment, nominal interest rates are also low, and
households are able to service much higher
levels of debt than they could in the past.
The Report is based on data from the New York Fed's Consumer Credit Panel, a nationally representative sample
of individual - and
household -
level debt and credit records drawn from anonymized Equifax credit data.
«However, historically high
levels of household debt and low wage growth will offset some
of the positive impact
of recent strong employment data, so consumers are likely to remain cautious.»
In the case
of the
household sector, both Mr. Flaherty and the Governor
of the Bank
of Canada are warning Canadians about their high
debt levels and urging them to curtail their consumption and to reduce their
debt.
Part
of this additional spending can be used to pay down existing
household debt, enabling a significant
level of debt reduction overall.39»
The PBO identified four key downside risks to the private sector forecast: global growth, especially in the U.S. could be slower than anticipated; the appreciation
of the Canadian dollar could adversely affect exports; sovereign
debt issues in Europe could restrain recovery there and put upward pressure on global interest rates; and the high
level of household debt in Canada could restrain domestic demand.
However, I suspect that spending by the average
household, strapped with a record
level of debt, will continue to contract — especially spending on discretionary items.
This he presents unequivocally as good news, since it suggests an easing
of high, mortgage - driven
household debt levels that have been among Carney's more acute longstanding concerns about the Canadian economy.
One reason for trying to understand this complex picture is that the
level of household debt is relatively high.
«Major declines in house prices and the continuing high
level of unemployment are reflected in the various measures
of household debt and credit.
And by that we mean bring an end to double - digit price gains, bring about a steep correction in house prices to
levels the city's lowly middle - class incomes can afford, bring about an end to staggering
household debt levels and ultimately, bring about the end
of housing as the economy's engine
of growth?
«He doesn't want to leave any question about the independence
of the Governor
of the Bank
of Canada, but we have a situation under the Conservative government that has allowed record
household debt... and the bank is really caught between a rock and a hard place, because these high
debt levels create pressure for higher interest rates, but inflation is very low.
Report to CMHC warns steady climb
of household debt - to - GDP
level puts Canada's economic growth prospects at risk
Minister
of Finance Bill Morneau is trying to balance soaring
household debt levels against the need for strength in consumer spending.
In the past, China's
household sector has been characterised by relatively low
levels of debt.
However, this is changing, and the increase in the
level of household debt over the past decade is a major shift, with significant knock - on implications for consumption.
Aggregate
household debt outstanding totaled $ 12.116 trillion in the fourth quarter
of 2015, 2.4 %, $ 289 billion, greater than its
level of one year ago.
The recent rise in the
debt - servicing ratio is largely a result
of households increasing their
debt levels, rather than an unexpected sharp rise in interest rates, as occurred in the late 1980s.