Here are examples of two papers that don't seem to have huge gaping flaws, and cover the data and the modeling
of hydrologic changes:
Not exact matches
The scientists analyzed 76 years
of data (1938 through 2013) collected from six unmanaged, reference watersheds at the SRS Coweeta
Hydrologic Laboratory located in the southern Appalachian Mountains in North Carolina, to determine whether annual water yield from those watersheds has
changed over time, and if so, to determine causes for significant
changes.
Human - induced climate and
hydrologic change is likely to make many parts
of the world uninhabitable, or at least uneconomic.
Keiluweit, assistant professor in UMass Amherst's School
of Earth and Sustainability, says the team's next steps include quantifying the amount
of anaerobic microsites in different soil ecosystems and assessing how carbon stabilization in them is affected by variables such as the soil
hydrologic regime, which is expected to
change dramatically due to climate
change.
«Our finding that vegetation plays a key role future in terrestrial
hydrologic response and water stress is
of utmost importance to properly predict future dryness and water resources,» says Gentine, whose research focuses on the relationship between hydrology and atmospheric science, land / atmosphere interaction, and its impact on climate
change.
Bridget Scanlon discusses the use
of global
hydrologic models for studying
changes in water storage worldwide.
Modeling
changes in the observed harmonic frequencies indicates that the spectral characteristics
of seismic data can provide important information about hydraulic fracture geometry and fluid pressure at depth, leading to important insights into subglacial
hydrologic processes.
The team was able to demonstrate that the loss
of species is related to
changes in the
hydrologic regime resulting from the conversion
of forested areas to agricultural land.
They have provided a much better understanding
of hydrologic responses to climate
change, which in turn will provide tremendous guidance for future planning.»
From the Prize Council: «If we are going to talk about hydrology in the 21st century, and the challenges hydrologists face, clearly the overwhelming challenge is to understand
hydrologic variability, and the likely impact on hydrology
of anticipated climate
change.
A few things are unequivocal, perhaps (doubling from the present concentration
of CO2 will take 140 years [give or take]; the idea that the
changes in climate since 1880 have been in the aggregate beneficial; it takes more energy to vaporize a kg
of water than to raise its temperature by 1K; ignoring the energy cost
of water and latent heat transport [in the
hydrologic cycle] leads to equilibrium calculations overestimating the climate sensitivity), but most are propositions that I think need more research, but can't be refuted on present evidence.
I encountered «great difficulties» from Jan
of 2000 until July
of 2005 as a result
of my concerns with climate
change effects on
hydrologic modeling and flood prediction.
I removed as a federal employee in July
of 2005 for objecting to not be able to study or talk about climate and
hydrologic change while at the office.
The issue with the Mauritsen and Stevens piece is that it tries to go well beyond a «what if» modeling experiment, and attempts to make contact with a lot
of other issues related to historical climate
change (the hiatus,
changes in the
hydrologic cycle, observed tropical lapse rate «hotspot» stuff,
changes in the atmsopheric circulation, etc) by means
of what the «iris» should look like in other climate signals.
The
hydrologic cycle can
change because
of changes in plant cover — it's a common observation that after a forest fire or logging, streams and springs will flow higher and longer for a period
of years.
If so, I think we want to include tightly coupled chemical and biological processes, in that case — for example, the chemical fate
of atmospheric methane over time, the effects
of increasing atmospheric CO2 on oceanic acid - base chemistry, and the response
of the biological components
of the carbon cycle to increased temperatures and a
changing hydrologic cycle.
Energetic constraints and response
of hydrologic cycle to climate
change.
The pattern
of change for the wettest day
of the year is projected to roughly follow that
of the average precipitation, with both increases and decreases across the U.S. Extreme
hydrologic events are projected to increase over most
of the U.S.
Shrestha, R. R., M. A. Schnorbus, A. T. Werner, and A. J. Berland, 2012: Modelling spatial and temporal variability
of hydrologic impacts
of climate
change in the Fraser River basin, British Columbia, Canada.
The
Hydrologic Impacts theme is concerned with estimating the effects of climate variability and change on water resources using downscaled global climate models and hydrolog
Hydrologic Impacts theme is concerned with estimating the effects
of climate variability and
change on water resources using downscaled global climate models and
hydrologichydrologic models.
Schnorbus, M. A., K. E. Bennett, A. T. Werner, and A. J. Berland, 2011:
Hydrologic Impacts
of Climate
Change in the Peace, Campbell and Columbia Watersheds, British Columbia, Canada.
With the impact
of climate
change, sole reliance on historical
hydrologic weather patterns is no longer a viable forecast for water authorities.
Also, he should define what he means by «climate
change» in terms
of time and space scales, and
of what specific societally and environmentally relevant metrics (such as
hydrologic drought; agricultural drought; large basin river floods, etc) he is focusing on.
Here Huntington et al. measured how climate
change alters
hydrologic conditions in New England and affects DOC transport into the Gulf
of Maine.
Researchers at CIRES» National Snow and Ice Data Center [About NSIDC] investigate the dynamics
of Antarctic ice shelves, new techniques for the remote sensing
of snow and freeze / thaw cycle
of soils, the role
of snow in
hydrologic modeling, linkages between
changes in sea ice extent and weather patterns, large - scale shifts in polar climate, river and lake ice, and the distribution and characteristics
of seasonally and permanently frozen ground.
Dr Lenton (who is also one
of the creators
of the planetary - boundaries concept) and Dr Watson suggest that energy might be used to
change the
hydrologic cycle with massive desalination equipment, or to speed up the carbon cycle by drawing down atmospheric carbon dioxide, or to drive new recycling systems devoted to tin and copper and the many other metals as vital to industrial life as carbon and nitrogen are to living tissue.
Hydrologic modelling has been applied to assess the impacts
of projected climate
change within three study areas in the Peace, Campbell and Columbia River watersheds
of British Columbia, Canada.
Modelling spatial and temporal variability
of hydrologic impacts
of climate
change in the Fraser River basin, British Columbia, Canada.
Their work involved using a
hydrologic model that included a simple representation
of glaciers, run by statistically - downscaled output from global climate models, in order to come up with projected
changes to evaporation, precipitation, runoff, snow, soil moisture and temperature in the Canadian portion
of the Columbia River Basin.
The aim
of the
Hydrologic Impacts (HI) theme at PCIC is to quantify the effect
of climate
change and climate variability on regional hydrology in order to provide analysis and information relevant to water resources management.
During this time, Markus developed a clear and pragmatic appreciation
of the
hydrologic effects
of climate
change and variability.
Evaluating hydro - climatic impacts
of climate
change signals from statistically and dynamically downscaled GCMs and
hydrologic models.
The work
of the theme anticipates the need to provide information on multiple time and spatial scales and the requirement to understand potential
changes in extreme
hydrologic events.
Markus leads the effort at PCIC to quantify the direct and indirect effects
of climate
change and variability upon the various components
of hydrologic cycle at the local and regional scale.
Activity between 2019 and 2020 will focus on expanding the
hydrologic projections and water temperature modelling into additional basins and completing an analysis
of regional
changes in
hydrologic extremes.
Chapter 13: Variability and
change in the atmospheric branch
of the Arctic
hydrologic cycle.
Some
of the major human activities responsible for the destruction
of wetlands in India include
hydrologic alteration, agricultural activities, pollution, legal - policy failures, direct deforestation in wetlands, inundation by dammed reservoirs, degradation
of water quality, global climate
change effects, ground - water depletion and introduced species — extinction
of native biota.
Even though you do not know how increasing CO2 or warming will
change the
hydrologic cycle, and even though you make elementary errors in statistics and probability, and even though I basically have faint praise for your csalt model (i.e. it hasn't been tested or disconfirmed by out
of sample data), I stipulate that you know more
of just about all
of physics than I do.
Hunter writes: Gavin's is the fallacy that CO2 is the driver
of climate, not albedo, not land use
changes, not
changes in
hydrologic flows, not solar variability.
Gavin's is the fallacy that CO2 is the driver
of climate, not albedo, not land use
changes, not
changes in
hydrologic flows, not solar variability.
For many years, GFDL scientists have been at the forefront
of research on the
hydrologic cycle, understanding how it fits in the full earth - atmosphere system, and how it may
change in the coming decades and centuries.
Latin name: Quercus lyrata These oak cores were collected in northeastern Arkansas to investigate a
change in the
hydrologic regime
of a wildlife refuge beginning in the 1990s.
Final results from the first phase
of PCIC's
Hydrologic Impacts research program with BC Hydro have been published, the culmination
of four years
of collaborative work aimed at better understanding the potential effects
of climate variability and
change on BC water resources.
The group used field observations
of the burned watershed, spatially explicit data on watershed characteristics, historic rainfall and runoff measurements, and accepted modeling techniques to estimate post-fire
changes in
hydrologic and sedimentary processes in the Mission Creek watershed.
«
Hydrologic Impacts
of Climate
Change in the Peace, Campbell and Columbia Watersheds, British Columbia, Canada»
This policy document consists
of a COP 14 position paper presenting the role that the
hydrologic, meteorological and climate communities can play in achieving the objectives
of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC).
PCIC has published «
Hydrologic Impacts
of Climate
Change on BC Water Resources: Summary Report for the Campbell, Columbia and Peace River Watersheds».
The study uses an extensive suite
of existing simulations with the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC)
hydrologic model driven by Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3) climate simulations to train and evaluate the nonlinear and nonstationary Generalized Extreme Value conditional density network (GEVcdn) model
of Fraser River streamflow extremes, and subsequently applies the model to project
changes in Fraser River extremes under CMIP5 based climate
change scenarios.
My comments led to the first
of four suspensions issued to me as result
of my trying to research and speak about climate and
hydrologic change in Minnesota and global warming.
For example, nearly all features
of the
hydrologic system are now impacted by the Human System [60] with important feedbacks onto humans, e.g., snowpack decline due to climate
change [53] reduces water availability; agricultural processes further affect water availability and water quality [54]; and land - use
changes can reduce groundwater recharge [77].