The researchers from Wageningen University & Research, Bogor Agricultural University in Indonesia, University of East Anglia and the Center for International Forestry Research analysed the spatially distributed pattern
of hydrological drought, that is the drought in groundwater recharge, in Borneo using a simple transient water balance model driven by monthly climate data from the period 1901 - 2015.
Not exact matches
This study highlights the importance
of considering
hydrological drought for wildfire prediction, and the researchers recommend that hydrology should be considered in future studies
of the impact
of projected ENSO strength, including effects on tropical ecosystems, and biodiversity conservation.
In
hydrological data, there are series
of 20 or 30 years, when we would need 100 years or more to see if there is a cycle
of flooding and
drought.»
The paradox is that this season stands in such stark contrast to the past 11 years
of drought, highlighting the types
of variability that climate change can wreak on the
hydrological cycle.
This indicator has a profound meaning for the
hydrological cycle and is relevant for the question
of flood risk and
droughts.
By the 2100 humankind could be looking at a very different world, 7 metres more water apparantly, a slowdown
of the worlds thermohaline system which could plunge northern europe into some canada style winters, a major realignment
of the planets
hydrological cycle which would mean
drought and monsoons where none exist now perhaps, the disapperance
of the Amazon rainforest, more extreme el ninos that last a lot longer along with the sister efect (la nina I think.
Visible changes in
hydrological cycle have been observed in the form
of changing precipitation patterns, cropping patterns,
droughts, water availability periods, frequency and intensity
of heatwaves, precipitation events and weather - induced natural disasters.
The end
of the first half
of the Holocene — between about 5 and 4 ka — was punctuated by rapid events at various latitudes, such as an abrupt increase in NH sea ice cover (Jennings et al., 2001); a decrease in Greenland deuterium excess, reflecting a change in the
hydrological cycle (Masson - Delmotte et al., 2005b); abrupt cooling events in European climate (Seppa and Birks, 2001; Lauritzen, 2003); widespread North American
drought for centuries (Booth et al., 2005); and changes in South American climate (Marchant and Hooghiemstra, 2004).
with increasing stress on crops due to changes in the
hydrological cycle and heat stress, more and more farmers are seeking answers from modified crops to heartier breeds
of cattle that are more accustomed to
drought conditions such as those that come from Africa and India.
More accurate and reliable precipitation data would be invaluable, not only for the study
of climate trends and variability, but also as inputs to
hydrological and ecological models and for model validation, characterization
of extreme events, and flood and
drought forecasting.
For example,
hydrological drought is closely related to human activities, such as irrigation, thus accurate prediction necessitates the modeling
of human activities.
These include increased average land and ocean temperatures that lead to reduced snowpack levels,
hydrological changes, and sea level rise; changing precipitation patterns that will create both
drought and extreme rain events; and increasing atmospheric CO2 that will contribute to ocean acidification, changes in species composition, and increased risk
of fires.
The results have implications for how we interpret the impact
of global warming on the
hydrological cycle and its extremes, and may help to explain why palaeoclimate
drought reconstructions based on tree - ring data diverge from the PDSI - based
drought record in recent years9, 10.
Besides this study, there are robust theory and modeling results that show increased risk
of hydrological extremes (floods and
droughts) and heat - related problems.
Although the recent
drought may have significant contributions from natural variability, it is notable that
hydrological changes in the region over the last 50 years can not be fully explained by natural variability, and instead show the signature
of anthropogenic climate change.
Managing
hydrological impacts
of simultaneously - occurring record El Niño and record
drought in California will be challenging.
Risky Business in the Face
of Climate Change Catastrophic flooding in Pakistan, dam breaks around the world, and
drought - caused blackouts in Africa provide ample warning
of how global warming is changing the
hydrological cycle.
Drought - In general terms,
drought is a «prolonged absence or marked deficiency
of precipitation,» a «deficiency that results in water shortage for some activity or for some group,» or a «period
of abnormally dry weather sufficiently prolonged for the lack
of precipitation to cause a serious
hydrological imbalance.»
Hydrological drought is based on both precipitation and temperature, which affect the amount
of soil moisture.