Not exact matches
Albedo is a measure
of the reflectance
of the
ice sheet.
What G&T are missing is the linear effect
of water vapour accelerating the
ice albedo effect
of change in size
of the sea
ice sheets.
This mitigates the
albedo feedback, as does the lowering in sea level that accompanies the formation
of ice sheets.
The importance
of orbital variations,
of the greenhouse gases CO2, CH4 and N2O,
of the
albedo of land
ice sheets, annual mean snow cover, sea
ice area and vegetation, and
of the radiative perturbation
of mineral dust in the atmosphere are investigated.
On the studies
of sensitivity based on the last glacial maximum, what reduction in solar forcing is used based on the increased
Albedo of the
ice -
sheets, snow and desert.
26 Paul W asked, «On the studies
of sensitivity based on the last glacial maximum, what reduction in solar forcing is used based on the increased
Albedo of the
ice -
sheets, snow and desert.
Ice sheet albedo forcing is estimated to have caused a global mean forcing
of about — 3.2 W m — 2 (based on a range
of several LGM simulations) and radiative forcing from increased atmospheric aerosols (primarily dust and vegetation) is estimated to have been about — 1 W m — 2 each.
How the
albedo of the Greenland
ice sheet in July 2017 compared to the average for July from 2000 - 2009.
Other factors would include: —
albedo shifts (both from
ice > water, and from increased biological activity, and from edge melt revealing more land, and from more old dust coming to the surface...); — direct effect
of CO2 on
ice (the former weakens the latter); — increasing, and increasingly warm, rain fall on
ice; — «stuck» weather systems bringing more and more warm tropical air ever further toward the poles; — melting
of sea
ice shelf increasing mobility
of glaciers; — sea water getting under parts
of the
ice sheets where the base is below sea level; — melt water lubricating the
ice sheet base; — changes in ocean currents -LRB-?)
Note also that going back to the
ice ages, the glacial - interglacial temperature swing can not be explained without full water vapour feedback on top
of both the
ice sheet albedo and CO2 effects.
What G&T are missing is the linear effect
of water vapour accelerating the
ice albedo effect
of change in size
of the sea
ice sheets.
For example, the
ice age — interglacial cycles that we have been locked in for the past few million years seem to be triggered by subtle changes in the earth's orbit around the sun and in its axis
of rotation (the Milankovitch cycles) that then cause
ice sheets to slowly build up (or melt away)... which changes the
albedo (reflectance)
of the earth amplifying this effect.
This implies a forcing
of 3 W / m2 for
albedo changes presumably due to additional
ice / snow
sheets.
This was a relatively stable climate (for several thousand years, 20,000 years ago), and a period where we have reasonable estimates
of the radiative forcing (
albedo changes from
ice sheets and vegetation changes, greenhouse gas concentrations (derived from
ice cores) and an increase in the atmospheric dust load) and temperature changes.
I agree that most people will not fully understand the implications
of this, because most don't know diddly about Hadley cells, Ferrel cells, the Polar cell,
albedo, latent or sensible heat, and mechanisms by which solar energy can be transported from the Arctic to melt more
of the Greenland
ice sheet.
On the studies
of sensitivity based on the last glacial maximum, what reduction in solar forcing is used based on the increased
Albedo of the
ice -
sheets, snow and desert.
(Orbital forcing doesn't have much
of a global annual average forcing, and it's even concievable that the sensitivity to orbital forcing as measured in terms
of global averages and the long - term response (temporal scale
of ice sheet response) might be approaching infinity or even be negative (if more sunlight is directed onto an
ice sheet, the global average
albedo might increase, but the
ice sheet would be more likely to decay, with a global average
albedo feedback that causes warming).
Based on evidence from Earth's history, we suggest here that the relevant form
of climate sensitivity in the Anthropocene (e.g. from which to base future greenhouse gas (GHG) stabilization targets) is the Earth system sensitivity including fast feedbacks from changes in water vapour, natural aerosols, clouds and sea
ice, slower surface
albedo feedbacks from changes in continental
ice sheets and vegetation, and climate — GHG feedbacks from changes in natural (land and ocean) carbon sinks.
«Summer melting on lower reaches
of the
ice sheets and on
ice shelves introduces the «
albedo flip» mechanism.
Simulating the variation
of the
ice sheet's
albedo using a regional climate model — Modèle Atmosphérique Régionale (MAR), which some members
of the team helped develop — indicated that increasing temperatures and melting accompanied by snow grain growth and greater bare
ice exposure account for about half the decline, the scientists report.
So how much
of the temperature swings are orbitally forced and how much GHG forced and how much
ice sheet albedo forced?
«The positive
ice -
albedo feedback acts to amplify the climate change as a consequence
of the melting
of sea
ice and
ice sheets in the Northern Hemisphere.
The new study quantitatively assessed how surface
ice algae contribute to darkening
of the
ice sheet, and found the algae reduce the
ice sheet's
albedo significantly more than non-algal materials, like mineral particles and black carbon.
A CO2 pulse in the atmosphere will take centuries to finally return to original levels, and that is completely ignoring any potential feedbacks from other parts
of the system (ie temperatures raised for centuries could result in massve methane releases and loss
of signficant low
albedo ice sheets etc.) The experiments I am aware
of that show improved plant growth in elevated CO2 levels require that all additional biological needs are amply provided for.
With the
albedo - flip kicking in, the energy poured into killing off millennia - old MY
ice will then go into the warming of the Arctic Ocean itself, with the result of longer and longer melt seasons each year & a corresponding ramp - up of ice loss from both the Greenland Ice Sheet and the West Antarctic Ice She
ice will then go into the warming
of the Arctic Ocean itself, with the result
of longer and longer melt seasons each year & a corresponding ramp - up
of ice loss from both the Greenland Ice Sheet and the West Antarctic Ice She
ice loss from both the Greenland
Ice Sheet and the West Antarctic Ice She
Ice Sheet and the West Antarctic
Ice She
Ice Sheet.
(Other things, like
ice sheets,
albedo, etc, while super important, are also over time reflection
of that.)
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/IOTD/view.php?id=83672 http://www.nytimes.com/2014/05/13/science/earth/collapse-
of-parts-
of-west-antarctica-
ice-
sheet-has-begun-scientists-say.html It will add about 10 feet according to an interview with one
of the scientists involved; but over a long time and fairly vague time frame, unless reinforcing processes (carbon release from melting permafrost, shallow ocean bottom warmingn in the form
of methane from clathrates), a major reduction in earth's
albedo from permafrost, net
ice sheet, and total sea
ice, continue to increasingly accelerate the process.
The melting
of the
ice sheets and the change in
albedo and the change in the sea levels were all feedbacks as a result
of the insolation change.
If these plumes
of warm air operated in the same way during the last glaciation as they do know then they would make short work
of ice sheets that were hanging around because
of the
albedo effect, this is possible because not all the northern hemisphere mid latitude land surface was covered with
ice throughout the period
of glaciation and might explain why glaciations terminate quickly
Comparisons
of the impacts
of shortwave and longwave radiative forcing appropriate over the
ice sheets are not straightforward, but taking summer half - year insolation variations in shortwave (Figure 3), and assuming an
albedo of 0.5 for melting
ice, variations in summertime shortwave forcing exceed the direct CO2 radiative forcing by about a factor
of five.
The remaining slow drift to lower GMT and pCO2 over glacial time, punctuated by higher - frequency variability and the dust − climate feedbacks, may reflect the consequences
of the growth
of continental
ice sheets via
albedo increases (also from vegetation changes) and increased CO2 dissolution in the ocean from cooling.
Albedo change due to LGM — Holocene vegetation change, much of which is inherent with ice sheet area change, and albedo change due to coastline movement are lumped together with ice sheet area change in calculating the surface albedo climate fo
Albedo change due to LGM — Holocene vegetation change, much
of which is inherent with
ice sheet area change, and
albedo change due to coastline movement are lumped together with ice sheet area change in calculating the surface albedo climate fo
albedo change due to coastline movement are lumped together with
ice sheet area change in calculating the surface
albedo climate fo
albedo climate forcing.
To avoid long response times in extreme climates, today's
ice sheets are assigned surface properties
of the tundra, thus allowing them to have a high
albedo snow cover in cold climates but darker vegetation in warm climates.
Glacial — interglacial oscillations
of the CO2 amount and
ice sheet size are both slow climate feedbacks, because glacial — interglacial climate oscillations largely are instigated by insolation changes as the Earth's orbit and tilt
of its spin axis change, with the climate change then amplified by a nearly coincident change
of the CO2 amount and the surface
albedo.
Greenland and West Antarctic
Ice Sheets — Like sea - ice, ice sheets have a high albedo, locally reflecting much of the Sun's ener
Ice Sheets — Like sea - ice, ice sheets have a high albedo, locally reflecting much of the Sun's e
Sheets — Like sea -
ice, ice sheets have a high albedo, locally reflecting much of the Sun's ener
ice,
ice sheets have a high albedo, locally reflecting much of the Sun's ener
ice sheets have a high albedo, locally reflecting much of the Sun's e
sheets have a high
albedo, locally reflecting much
of the Sun's energy.
An
ice sheet teetering on the edge
of melting away is going to have a huge response because just a little extra energy changes the
albedo.
The glaciers and
ice caps /
sheets ECV is
of importance to climate models and
albedo, water balance, sea level, and radiation budget climate studies.
The land ECV breakout group was asked to consider 10 ECVs related to surface observations: glaciers and
ice caps /
sheets, snow cover, soil moisture, fire disturbance, lakes, biomass, land cover, surface
albedo, fraction
of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (FPAR), and leaf area index (LAI).
For example, the initial development
of a continental
ice sheet increases
albedo over a portion
of Earth, reducing surface absorption
of sunlight and leading to further cooling.
These include intrinsic limitations in current observational capabilities (e.g., spatial and radiometric resolution
of currently available spaceborne sensors) and limitations on how accurately surface energy balance models handle
ice sheet albedo.
A fall
of just a couple
of degrees and you have increasing
Ice sheets, Increasing
Albedo, growing Glaciers, in short..
Another way
of saying this is to estimate ECS from the last glacial - interglacial transition, the
albedo change due to
ice sheet melting is taken as a forcing rather than as a feedback.