Since that report was released, scientists have worked hard to improve their understanding
of ice sheet behavior and improve estimates of future sea level rise.
Not exact matches
Impacts
of thermal expansion and melting mountain glaciers can be predicted with moderate confidence, but more uncertainty remains in the potential
behavior of polar
ice sheets.
But, rapid change in the
behavior of parts
of the Antarctic
ice sheet might cause much greater rise than is often included in coastal planning.
The plume has been a factor in the
ice sheet's
behavior throughout its history, and recent surges in melting are the result
of all the additional heat humans have pumped into it.
Murali Haran, a professor in the department
of statistics at Penn State University; Won Chang, an assistant professor in the department
of mathematical sciences at the University
of Cincinnati; Klaus Keller, a professor in the department
of geosciences and director
of sustainable climate risk management at Penn State University; Rob Nicholas, a research associate at Earth and Environmental Systems Institute at Penn State University; and David Pollard, a senior scientist at Earth and Environmental Systems Institute at Penn State University detail how parameters and initial values drive an
ice sheet model, whose output describes the
behavior of the
ice sheet through time.
«Incorporating all
of these uncertainties is daunting, largely because
of the computational challenges involved,» and to an extent, «whatever we say about the
behavior of ice sheets in the future is necessarily imperfect,» note the authors.
Evidence
of past glacial advance and retreat is also more easily observed in the Dry Valleys, providing a window into the past
behavior of the vast Antarctic
ice sheets and their influence on global sea levels.
But our understanding
of the
ice sheet's complex
behavior before about 125,000 years ago has been fragmentary at best.
Surprise find The team's actual mission was to survey ocean currents near the Ross
Ice Shelf, a slab of ice extending more than 600 miles (970 kilometers) northward from the grounding zone of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet into the Ross Sea, to model the behavior of a drill string, a length of pipe extending to the seafloor which delivers drilling fluids and retrieves sediment sampl
Ice Shelf, a slab
of ice extending more than 600 miles (970 kilometers) northward from the grounding zone of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet into the Ross Sea, to model the behavior of a drill string, a length of pipe extending to the seafloor which delivers drilling fluids and retrieves sediment sampl
ice extending more than 600 miles (970 kilometers) northward from the grounding zone
of the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet into the Ross Sea, to model the behavior of a drill string, a length of pipe extending to the seafloor which delivers drilling fluids and retrieves sediment sampl
Ice Sheet into the Ross Sea, to model the
behavior of a drill string, a length
of pipe extending to the seafloor which delivers drilling fluids and retrieves sediment samples.
«The past
behavior and dynamics
of the Antarctic
ice sheets are among the most important open questions in the scientific understanding
of how the polar regions help to regulate global climate,» said Jennifer Burns, director
of the NSF Antarctic Integrated Science System Program.
The question now, experts said, is what the discovery
of the bottoms - up
ice formation means for efforts to understand
ice sheet behavior and to investigate past climate by extracting
ice cores.
Answering that question requires a solid understanding
of the factors that affect the Antarctic
ice sheet's
behavior — how it adds and loses
ice.
The findings, published yesterday in the journal Science, suggest scientists still have much to learn about the factors that govern the
behavior of ice sheets — knowledge that is crucial to developing more accurate projections
of future sea level rise.
«We see processes that operate in the climate system that either don't operate in glacial times we've seen in the last 2 million years, or they operate very differently,» she said, citing the
behavior of ice sheets as an example.
Lack
of knowledge about the
ice sheets and their
behavior is the primary reason that projections
of global sea level rise includes such a wide range
of plausible future conditions.
The information from the study helps improve scientists» understanding
of the
behavior of the
ice sheet and what processes control the loss
of ice, Beata Csatho, a geophysicist at the University
of Buffalo in New York who was not involved with the work, said in a commentary published in the same issue
of Nature.
Anandakrishnan, S., R.B. Alley, R.W. Jacobel and H. Conway, The flow regime
of ice stream C and hypotheses concerning its recent stagnation, in R.B. Alley and R.A. Bindschadler, eds., The West Antarctic Ice Sheet: Behavior and Environment, American Geophysical Union, Antarctic Research Series, v. 77, p. 283 - 296 (200
ice stream C and hypotheses concerning its recent stagnation, in R.B. Alley and R.A. Bindschadler, eds., The West Antarctic
Ice Sheet: Behavior and Environment, American Geophysical Union, Antarctic Research Series, v. 77, p. 283 - 296 (200
Ice Sheet:
Behavior and Environment, American Geophysical Union, Antarctic Research Series, v. 77, p. 283 - 296 (2001).
«These are two
of the largest and most rapidly changing glaciers in Antarctica, so the potential for their evolution to influence each other is important to consider in modeling
ice sheet behavior and projecting future sea level rise,» Dustin Schroeder, a Stanford geophysicist who led the study, told Earther.
As Stefan discussed, any non-linear or threshold
behavior of ice sheets could lead to sea level rising faster than this estimate.
The National Snow and
Ice Data Center has inaugurated a useful new Web feature, Icelights, that offers the public a two - way portal for addressing questions about the behavior of sea ice and ice sheets and their relationship to the world far from the pol
Ice Data Center has inaugurated a useful new Web feature, Icelights, that offers the public a two - way portal for addressing questions about the
behavior of sea
ice and ice sheets and their relationship to the world far from the pol
ice and
ice sheets and their relationship to the world far from the pol
ice sheets and their relationship to the world far from the poles.
This result would be strongly dependent on the exact dynamic response
of the Greenland
ice sheet to surface meltwater, which is modeled poorly in todays global models.Yes human influence on the climate is real and we might even now be able to document changes in the
behavior of weather phenomena related to disasters (e.g., Emanuel 2005), but we certainly haven't yet seen it in the impact record (i.e., economic losses)
of extreme events.
We have a pretty good idea that the Heinrich events, with the most prominent bipolar seesaw
behavior, are linked to
ice -
sheet behavior, but we're less confident about the non-Heinrich cold phases
of the D / O oscillations (the cold phases do have more
ice - rafted debris in these non-Heinrich cold - phases than in warm phases, but is that an
ice - dynamical signal, a survival -
of - icebergs signal, or something else?).
Until we have a very good grip on the
behavior of ice sheets as their interior approaches 273K, and we understand just how heat is advected into
ice sheets, we should not be making long - term plans for our cities.
Studies
of this kind, which explore the
ice sheet's past
behavior, are critical to developing better predictions
of how it will evolve in the future, Csatho says.
IPCC synthesis reports offer conservative projections
of sea level increase based on assumptions about future
behavior of ice sheets and glaciers, leading to estimates
of sea level roughly following a linear upward trend mimicking that
of recent decades.
Orbital forcing combined with a waning Laurentide
ice sheet thus suppressed ENSO until around 5000 ka (1 ka = 1000 calibrated years before present), after which its
behavior emerged from records
of the Pacific region [42].
«The novel aspect
of our study is that we discover biological processes play an important role in
ice sheet behavior,» Stibal said.
We need greater attention on the strength
of uncertain processes and feedbacks in the physical climate system (e.g. carbon cycle feedbacks,
ice sheet dynamics)(NRC 2013), as well as on institutional and behavioral feedbacks associated with energy production and consumption, to determine scientifically plausible bounds on total warming and the overall
behavior of the climate system (Heal and Millner 2014).
Until recently, the contribution
of ice sheets to sea - level rise remained unknown and is still debated, but the current acceleration
of sea - level rise is attributed to heating
of the oceans and melting
of land glaciers which is supported by measurements
of ocean temperatures and the
behavior of mountain glaciers, the vast majority
of which are retreating or exhibit signs
of instability.
They ran a climate model to take account
of variations in sunlight and the rise and fall
of CO2, then took snapshots from this model and fed them into a model for
ice -
sheet behavior and fed the result back into their climate model.
In understanding the
behavior of ice sheets, attention is particularly focused on the boundary between the floating
ice and grounded
ice, which is usually called the grounding line, although in detail it is a zone with interesting but imperfectly understood properties (e.g., Schoof, 2007; Joughin et al., 2012a; Walker et al., 2013); see Figure 2.7.
Dr. Alley teaches, and conducts research on the climatic records, flow
behavior, and sedimentary deposits
of large
ice sheets, to aid in prediction
of future changes in climate and sea level.
The continental - scale
behavior of the
ice sheets depends upon difficult - to - model physics taking place at a much smaller scale.
«There's been a lot
of speculation about the stability
of marine
ice sheets, and many scientists suspected that this kind
of behavior is under way,» Ian Joughin, a glaciologist at the University
of Washington in Seattle, said in a news release about one
of the studies published Monday.
Forecasts
of future
ice sheet behavior appear even more uncertain: Under the same high — global warming scenario, eight
ice sheet models predicted anywhere between 0 and 27 cm
of sea level rise in 2100 from Greenland melt.