Most assessments
of ice sheet contribution to sea level rise indicate an acceleration over the past decade, whereas altimeter - measured SLR has not been faster over the most recent decade (2003 - 2012) compared to the previous one (1993 - 2002).
@ 1 Paul S. Most assessments
of ice sheet contribution to sea level rise indicate an acceleration over the past decade, whereas altimeter - measured SLR has not been faster over the most recent decade There was a paper published within the last couple of years by some of this sites contributors that suggested part of the disparity may be due to an increase in land based water.
IMBIE is an international collaboration of polar scientists, providing improved estimates
of the ice sheet contribution to sea level rise.
«By processing the historical archive acquired by the Danish during the last century, they were able to provide an estimation
of the ice sheet contribution to sea - level rise since 1900, which was critically missing in the last IPCC report,» noted Jeremie Mouginot, a climate scientist at the University of California, Irvine.
Not exact matches
Pine Island Glacier and the neighbouring Thwaites Glacier are responsible for nearly a third
of total
ice loss from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, and this contribution has increased greatly over the past 25 yea
ice loss from the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet, and this contribution has increased greatly over the past 25 yea
Ice Sheet, and this
contribution has increased greatly over the past 25 years.
Chen's team calculated that the biggest
contribution is coming from the melting
of the Greenland
ice sheet, which is losing about 250 gigatonnes
of ice each year.
We reassess the potential
contribution to eustatic and regional sea level from a rapid collapse
of the
ice sheet and find that previous assessments have substantially overestimated its likely primary
contribution.
And while the Wind River Range is the headwaters
of tributaries feeding the Colorado, Missouri and Snake rivers, glaciologists say the
ice sheets»
contributions to those basins are relatively small.
«The fact that the mass loss
of the Greenland
Ice Sheet has generally increased over the last decades is well known,» Khan said, «but the increasing contribution from the northeastern part of the ice sheet is new and very surprising.&raq
Ice Sheet has generally increased over the last decades is well known,» Khan said, «but the increasing contribution from the northeastern part of the ice sheet is new and very surprising.&r
Sheet has generally increased over the last decades is well known,» Khan said, «but the increasing
contribution from the northeastern part
of the
ice sheet is new and very surprising.&raq
ice sheet is new and very surprising.&r
sheet is new and very surprising.»
Recent projections show that for even the lowest emissions scenarios, thermal expansion
of ocean waters21 and the melting
of small mountain glaciers22 will result in 11 inches
of sea level rise by 2100, even without any
contribution from the
ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica.
Rapidly increasing melt from Greenland and Antarctica may also contribute although
ice sheet contribution is a small part
of sea level rise.
The Greenland
ice sheet (GIS) has been melting so slowly and so negligibly in recent decades that the entire
ice sheet's total
contribution to global sea level rise was a mere 0.39
of a centimeter (0.17 to 0.61 cm) between 1993 and 2010 (Leeson et al, 2017).
However, it does say that if the collapse is underway, the
contribution of ice sheets would not «exceed several tenths
of a metre during the 21st century».
Measurements
of ice sheet elevation changes indicate the volume
of ice lost, and hence the
contribution to sea levels, he tells Carbon Brief.
This effort is going on, with major projects such as the EU funded
Ice2sea project, which has brought together researchers across disciplines, from across Europe, in order to address the challenges faced in predicting the
contribution of ice sheets to future sea level change.
From 1992 to 2003, the decadal ocean heat content changes (blue), along with the
contributions from melting glaciers,
ice sheets, and sea
ice and small
contributions from land and atmosphere warming, suggest a total warming (red) for the planet
of 0.6 ± 0.2 W / m2 (95 % error bars).
This acceleration in sea - level rise is consistent with a doubling in
contribution from melting
of glaciers,
ice caps and the Greenland and West - Antarctic
ice -
sheets.
Scientific knowledge input into process based models has much improved, reducing uncertainty
of known science for some components
of sea - level rise (e.g. steric changes), but when considering other components (e.g.
ice melt from
ice sheets, terrestrial water
contribution) science is still emerging, and uncertainties remain high.
The findings «lend support to our confidence in recent estimates
of sea level rise and the increasing
ice sheet contribution,» said Michael Oppenheimer, the Albert G. Milbank professor
of geosciences and international affairs at Princeton University's department
of geosciences, in an email to The Post.
Has realclimate ever done (or considered doing) an entry about the immense
contribution that satellite measurements have made in the past two - three decades, in helping us to understand various components
of the earth system (e.g., vegetation, ozone,
ice sheet mass, water vapor content, temperature, sea level height, storms, aerosols, etc.)?
The net loss in volume and hence sea level
contribution of the Greenland
Ice Sheet (GIS) has doubled in recent years from 90 to 220 cubic kilometers / year has been noted recently (Rignot and Kanagaratnam, 2007).
Mass changes
of the Greenland and Antarctic
ice sheets and shelves and
contributions to sea - level rise: 1992 - 2002.
The lower trend found by our study is consistent with the median projected sums
of thermal expansion and glacier mass loss, implying that no net
contribution from polar
ice sheets is needed over 1901 - 1990.
One point that was not fully considered was the
contribution of the melting
of the artic
ice sheet.
In the following we consider for the total
ice sheet contribution, the average
of the two methods presented in Section 3, i.e., ∼ 1.0 + / − 0.15 mm / yr for 2003 - 2008.
Our physical patterns are based on the physics
of glacier /
ice sheet melt (static equioibrium fingerprints), glacial isostatic adjustment models, and an ensemble
of GCMs to inform the ocean dynamic
contribution.
If a negative surface mass balance were sustained for millennia, that would lead to virtually complete elimination
of the Greenland
ice sheet and a resulting
contribution to sea level rise
of about 7 m.
However, because they are partly submerged, their direct
contribution to sea level rise is much smaller than the
contribution made by the melting
of an equivalent volume
of (land - based)
ice sheets.
Significant
contribution of insolation to Eemian melting
of the Greenland
ice sheet for an in - depth discussion about these differences.
Thus, whatever the
contribution of mass loss from the Greenland
ice sheet to the huge (4 - 8 m) rise in sea level
of the Eemian, it occurred under very strong temperature forcing.
This acceleration in sea level rise is consistent with a doubling in
contribution from melting
of glaciers,
ice caps and the Greenland and West - Antarctic
ice sheets.
In total, this adds up to 40 cm, with an
ice sheet contribution of zero.
For recent years, better estimates
of the land
ice contribution to sea level are available from various observations
of glaciers,
ice caps and
ice sheets.
If the melting rate continues to stay within those two points, and given that the current
contribution to sea level from the Greenland
Ice Sheet is only about 0.1 mm / year, we won't see a lot
of sea level rise until later this century.
These values have been estimated using relatively simple climate models (one low - resolution AOGCM and several EMICs based on the best estimate
of 3 °C climate sensitivity) and do not include
contributions from melting
ice sheets, glaciers and
ice caps.
The Greenland
Ice Sheet and other arctic ice fields likely contributed no more than 4 m of the observed sea level rise, implying that there may also have been a contribution from Antarcti
Ice Sheet and other arctic
ice fields likely contributed no more than 4 m of the observed sea level rise, implying that there may also have been a contribution from Antarcti
ice fields likely contributed no more than 4 m
of the observed sea level rise, implying that there may also have been a
contribution from Antarctica.
NASA hosted a media teleconference to discuss new research results on the stability
of the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet and its potential
contribution to future sea level rise.
«Mass Changes
of the Greenland and Antarctic
Ice Sheets and Shelves and
Contributions to Sea - Level Rise: 1992 - 2002.»
With the IPCC previously «taking a pass», in its assessment
of Greenland's
contribution to sea - level rise - due to poor understanding
of how
ice sheets would respond to global warming back in 2007 - this new paper is an important first stab at pinning down the slippery mechanisms
of «
ice sheet dynamics».
We quantify sea - level commitment in the baseline case by building on Levermann et al. (10), who used physical simulations to model the SLR within a 2,000 - y envelope as the sum
of the
contributions of (i) ocean thermal expansion, based on six coupled climate models; (ii) mountain glacier and
ice cap melting, based on surface mass balance and simplified
ice dynamic models; (iii) Greenland
ice sheet decay, based on a coupled regional climate model and
ice sheet dynamic model; and (iv) Antarctic
ice sheet decay, based on a continental - scale model parameterizing grounding line
ice flux in relation to temperature.
Recent work has suggested that rapid retreat is already underway for sections
of the West Antarctic
ice sheet, raising the possibility
of increasing
contributions to sea - level rise.
To assess these implications, we translate global into local SLR projections using a model
of spatial variation in sea - level
contributions caused by isostatic deformation and changes in gravity as the Greenland and Antarctic
ice sheets lose mass (36 ⇓ — 38), represented as two global 0.5 ° matrices
of scalar adjustment factors to the
ice sheets» respective median global
contributions to SLR and (squared) to their variances.
(A 2014 study by McMillan et al. examining CryoSat - 2 data more than doubled the estimated rate
of Antarctic
ice sheet contribution to sea level.
Acceleration
of the
contribution of the Greenland and Antarctic
ice sheets to sea level rise.
An international team
of experts supported by NASA and the European Space Agency (ESA) has combined data from multiple satellites and aircraft to produce the most comprehensive and accurate assessment to date
of ice sheet losses in Greenland and Antarctica and their
contributions to sea level rise.
It suggests that current
ice sheet modeling studies are too simplistic to accurately predict the future contributions of the entire Greenland Ice Sheet to sea level rise, and that Greenland may lose ice more rapidly in the near future than previously thoug
ice sheet modeling studies are too simplistic to accurately predict the future contributions of the entire Greenland Ice Sheet to sea level rise, and that Greenland may lose ice more rapidly in the near future than previously tho
sheet modeling studies are too simplistic to accurately predict the future
contributions of the entire Greenland
Ice Sheet to sea level rise, and that Greenland may lose ice more rapidly in the near future than previously thoug
Ice Sheet to sea level rise, and that Greenland may lose ice more rapidly in the near future than previously tho
Sheet to sea level rise, and that Greenland may lose
ice more rapidly in the near future than previously thoug
ice more rapidly in the near future than previously thought.
From 1992 to 2003, the decadal ocean heat content changes (blue), along with the
contributions from melting glaciers,
ice sheets, and sea
ice and small
contributions from land and atmosphere warming, suggest a total warming (red) for the planet
of 0.6 ± 0.2 W / m2 (95 % error bars).
This method concluded that there is a less than 1 - in - 20 risk
of the
contribution of ice sheets to global sea - level rise exceeding 84 cm by 2100.
Gardner also notes that the study does not include Greenland and Antarctica — which contain 30 per cent
of global glacier
ice — and their «
ice sheets are the big unknowns for future
contributions to sea level».
So then, just when some papers are coming out with projected 4 mm / yr rates, here we have Daniel Bailey at 235, in the course
of discussing that there is a larger
contribution to SLR from
ice sheets rather than thermal expansion he states as follows: