Sentences with phrase «of inflation trends»

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However, although the BCC believes the country will manage to avoid recession, it does anticipate slowing economic momentum over the next two years given higher inflation trends and a continued lack of clarity about the process by which the U.K. leaves the EU.

«In the grand scheme of things, this report merely shows that euro zone inflation pressures returned to «trend» in May following an unsustainable jump in April,» Claus Vistesen, chief euro zone economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said in an email.

Indeed, the broader inflation trends shown in Friday's data confirm recent signs of a more sure - footed recovery in the world's second - biggest economy, allowing authorities to resist any fresh monetary easing as they move to curb an unsustainable build up of credit in the financial system.

Polish inflation figures which often predict trends in the rest of the region, showed a pick - up in the annual rate to 1.6 percent in April from 1.3 percent a month earlier, largely in line with expectations.

Low volatility shows that investors believe that long - term global economic trends of modest growth and tepid inflation will also define shorter - term cycles.

With the inflation - adjusted value of small business loans still under 80 % of what it was in 2007, that's a concerning trend.

Since the bank's inflation bull's - eye is two per cent, the latest reading reinforced experts» expectations that Bank of Canada governor Stephen Poloz will continue to gradually raise the trend - setting interest rate.

If Poloz was correct, and the media only care about prices when they spike to absurd levels, then let me suggest that some us are about to make up for it by working overtime to explain why the Bank of Canada wants to raise interest rates even though core inflation is trending away from the two - per - cent target.

«What makes the Bank of Canada uncomfortable is inflation that is north of target at a time where growth isn't necessarily that different from trend,» said Ian Pollick, head of rates strategy at Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, by phone from Toronto.

Although a number of temporary factors are keeping headline inflation near its 2 per cent target, our measures of core inflation are in the lower half of the target band and have been trending downward in recent quarters.

So far, the percent raising prices is not supportive of serious inflation, but a clear trend has been established.

The Bank also monitors a set of «core» inflation measures that allow the Bank to «look through» temporary changes in total CPI and focus on the underlying trend of inflation.

Core inflation is higher than the underlying trend, because a decline in the dollar is raising the prices of imports.

Finally, in a nominal GDP targeting regime, a decline in r - star caused by slower trend growth automatically leads to a higher rate of trend inflation, providing a larger buffer to respond to economic downturns.

The weak economic performance in the first half of this year means that Canada has more excess capacity, which is increasing the downward pressure on the underlying trend in inflation.

«The extra reward you get in the form of higher yields from stretching on maturity will come back to haunt you should inflation trend upwards faster than expected,» said financial advisor Manisha Thakor, director of wealth strategies for women at The BAM Alliance.

As you've pointed out, your 2 % inflation target plus 1.5 % trend productivity growth allows for noninflationary nominal wage growth of 3.5 %.

However, Meyer acknowledged signs of a slow recovery in the housing market, which should add 0.2 % to GDP this year, while her colleague Priya Misra, head of U.S. rates strategy, said inflation is not a concern because the U.S. Treasury market is on a continued flattening trend.

Asia has displayed the strongest growth of any emerging region, as well as favorable trends in inflation and current accounts measures (Source: IMF, Bloomberg).

Total inflation, however, remains much lower than the underlying trend because of past declines in fuel prices.

As the temporary effects dissipate, all these measures of inflation will converge on the underlying trend.

As economies become more integrated, and as the share of goods and services that are «tradable,» or are affected by trade, increases, the challenge of extracting some measure of underlying or trend inflation gets more interesting.

Core inflation is currently higher than the underlying trend, because the lower dollar is raising the prices of imports.

Technology is just one of many major trends that are contributing to weak inflation.

It is worth noting that there was a clear downward trend in inflation between 1980 and 1990, interrupted by the effects of the exchange rate depreciation in the middle.

To do so credibly would presumably require confidence that the upward trend in inflation seen over the past couple of years would be likely to turn down.

* Information efficiency * Economic slack * Contained inflation * Coordinated Central Banks * The growth of China and India and their continued purchasing of US debt * The growing perception that US dollar denominated assets are the safest assets in the world * A 30 + year trend of declining rates that is telling us we're more adept at managing inflation with each new cycle that passes

At the onset of the Asian crisis, the Australian economy was growing at around trend rates, with domestic demand beginning to accelerate, and underlying inflation at 1.6 per cent.

Coupled with the falling dollar, which raises the cost of imports, those trends could elevate inflation for several years and, he said: «The upside risk to inflation is something markets should be paying more attention to.»

Specifically, this suggests that after several years of fiscal austerity and several decades of declining inflation, these trends are on the cusp of reversing.

However, our core inflation measures are all in the lower half of the target band and have been trending downward.

In each issue I summarize developments and trends for the economy, labour markets, inflation and wages, and also include short pieces of 1 - 2 pages on related topical issues. In this issue, the focus -LSB-...]

As we noted in our July Monetary Policy Report, when all the temporary factors are stripped out, the underlying trend in inflation in Canada is in the range of 1.5 per cent to 1.7 per cent, below our target of 2 per cent.

And it's because of this progress that inflation - adjusted commodity prices have generally been trending lower for 200 years.

Given the absence of a public trading market of our common stock, and in accordance with the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants Accounting and Valuation Guide, Valuation of Privately - Held Company Equity Securities Issued as Compensation, our board of directors exercised reasonable judgment and considered numerous and subjective factors to determine the best estimate of fair value of our common stock, including independent third - party valuations of our common stock; the prices at which we sold shares of our convertible preferred stock to outside investors in arms - length transactions; the rights, preferences, and privileges of our convertible preferred stock relative to those of our common stock; our operating results, financial position, and capital resources; current business conditions and projections; the lack of marketability of our common stock; the hiring of key personnel and the experience of our management; the introduction of new products; our stage of development and material risks related to our business; the fact that the option grants involve illiquid securities in a private company; the likelihood of achieving a liquidity event, such as an initial public offering or a sale of our company given the prevailing market conditions and the nature and history of our business; industry trends and competitive environment; trends in consumer spending, including consumer confidence; and overall economic indicators, including gross domestic product, employment, inflation and interest rates, and the general economic outlook.

And while Canada - wide median incomes were up by an inflation - adjusted 3.5 per cent over that time, the performance was heavily influenced by oil - rich provinces such as Alberta and Saskatchewan — a trend that's since hit a wall, thanks to the collapse of global oil prices.

An obvious feature of this inflation - adjusted series is the pattern of long - term alternations between up - and down - trends.

* Information efficiency * Economic slack * Coordinated central banks * The dominance of China and India and their increased purchase of US debt * USD and US assets as a continued safe haven * Rates have been going down for 30 + years in a row, the trend is telling us we're more adept at managing inflation with each new cycle

Quick take: At the end of April the inflation - adjusted S&P 500 index price was 108 % above its long - term trend, down from 112 % the previous month.

And it is quite likely that this change occurs in reaction to the current economic data flow, which reveals core inflation to be trending upward, nearing the Fed's target of 2 %.

The Inflation GPS, developed with BlackRock's Scientific Active Equity team, incorporates big data on price trends and a daily - updated «nowcast» of inflation - related statistics to give a read on where core inflation is headed in major eInflation GPS, developed with BlackRock's Scientific Active Equity team, incorporates big data on price trends and a daily - updated «nowcast» of inflation - related statistics to give a read on where core inflation is headed in major einflation - related statistics to give a read on where core inflation is headed in major einflation is headed in major economies.

Companies are still very focused on currency trends that are impacting their business as well as on margin pressures — whether it's cost inflation through wage growth or price deflation and the compressing of margins.

The Reserve Bank of Australia cut the cash rate in May from 2 per cent to a record low 1.75 per cent out of concern that inflation was trending too low, following first - quarter inflation data that showed prices had fallen 0.2 per cent in the first three months of the year.

Under this scenario, an eventual rise in wage growth would likely be accompanied by a secular rise in realized inflation (inflation expectations would trend with energy prices), and the policy battle onward may resemble that of Paul Volcker instead of Ben Bernanke.

Thus if the above chart does represent a trend change it would imply economic out - performance by China in terms of higher inflation outcomes and more competitive exports relative to Japan.

The data overall are consistent with the picture of UK inflation trending lower in the coming months as the impact of the pound's post-Brexit vote depreciation fade somewhat.

Survey - based measures of inflation expectations have shown divergent trends in recent months.

What is important for market dynamics is not the actual static level of inflation but the trend.

This assessment is based on an evaluation of the recent trends in core inflation and likely developments in demand conditions, and takes into account the dampening influence of the monetary policy adjustments since November 1999.

It is worth noting that the core Consumer Price Index (excluding food and energy) stood at a year - on - year rate of 1.8 % in July, and that the Fed may be content to see inflation at least trending upward — without necessarily hitting 2 % in the near term — before deciding to act.