Sentences with phrase «of key marginal»

The party needs to win over floating voters in a number of key marginal seats in towns and cities in the North and the Midlands.

Conservative backbenchers were expressing fears on Saturday that Ukip — which leapfrogged the Conservatives into second place in Thursday's Eastleigh byelection — represents a serious threat to their support not just in the south of England but also in the north, where the Tories face a struggle to defend a number of key marginal seats at the 2015 general election.

Lord Ashcroft has repeated the same sort of large marginals poll that PoliticsHome did in 2008 and 2009, looking at the clusters of key marginal seats that will provide the battleground for the next general election.

Recent polling of key marginal seats by Lord Ashcroft found that Cameron's party can afford to lose no more than 21 seats to Labour in order to remain the largest party in parliament.

Labour campaigners hope pointing to «Tory cuts» in Conservative - run local authorities will help their defence of key marginal seats.

Both the main parties could count on winning hundreds of safe seats each and the electoral battle would be won or lost in a smaller number of key marginal seats.

Although gaining 22 seats, Labour lost all but one of its MPs in Scotland and ended up with a net loss of 26 seats, failing to win a number of key marginal seats that it had expected to win comfortably.

Lord Ashcroft's mega poll of key marginals, released yesterday, has been interpreted as showing three things:

If Nigel Farage wins 2,000 to 3,000 unhappy Tories in each of the key marginals, he has written, the party could lose thirty seats and install Ed Miliband in Number 10 Downing Street.

Apart from David Cameron, the object of this week's pig - molestation allegations, few know better than Vince Cable, a 7 May victim in Twickenham of the key marginals strategy that Lord Ashcroft's millions did so much to refine.

Not exact matches

Canada's dairy market is protected by high tariffs and has been a key bone of contention, but experts expect only «marginal» concessions from Ottawa.

Past achievements include building the case for deficit reduction in the 1980s and early 1990s, for consolidation of the Canada and Quebec Pension Plans in the late 1990s, a series of shadow federal budgets and fiscal accountability reports in that began in the 2000s, and work on marginal effective tax rates on personal incomes and business investment, which has laid the foundation for such key changes as sales tax reform, elimination of capital taxes, and corporate income tax rate reductions.

The key economic change introduced by the Internet is the effective elimination of marginal distribution and transaction costs.

Labour ministers have been accused of using regional Cabinet meetings to help the party in key marginal seats.

Instead of mucking in with the multifarious resistance movement - which, as you rightly state here, does not require universal agreement in order to progress, that sort of Leninist thinking is weedkiller to the grassroots - Labour is already positioning itself for the next election, terrified of doing anything at all which might upset the few swing voters in key marginal seats that the party has repositioned itself towards over the past twenty years.

In the key marginal of Thanet South in Kent, the Conservative party are set to lose the seat to Labour with Ukip coming a close second, according to the first of eight new constituency polls.

For more on the Channel 4 News / YouGov poll and the Ashcroft tax row - Exclusive: Tory lead shrinks in key marginals - Analysis: Tories short of overall majority - Download the Channel 4 News / YouGov poll results - Ashcroft comes clean over non-dom status - Cameron knew Ashcroft was non-dom - Hague told Ashcroft non-dom «in recent months» - Exclusive: Ashcroft «not suitable for a peerage»

«The UKIP threat is draining Tory support in key marginal seats so much that the party could let Ed Miliband into Downing Street, according to a poll released today by Lord Ashcroft, former deputy chairman of the Conservative party.

But the idea that UKIP is the reason the Tories are behind in these key marginals is just not true — or at best it's a quarter of the truth.

How can it be right that the electoral battleground is fought in 100 key marginal seats which swing at each election and decide the colour of the government?

Funding targeting key marginal seats is being provided by one of the Conservatives» shadiest sources of cash, as the debate about party funding continues.

A poll of 100 key marginals by Crosby / Textor is reported in today's Daily Telegraph to show the Conservatives picking up 74 Labour seats but none of the 20 Liberal Democrat seats in the sample.

Key marginal seats, UK big names, Tory and Labour target constituencies - they're all here in our summary of the most exciting ones to watch on election night 2017

At every election, local or national, the attention of politicians and political pundits turns to Nuneaton, a key marginal, a bellwether seat in the heart of England that oscillates between Labour and the Tories.

So if, as this poll suggests, they fail to win any of the 20 key Lib Dem - Tory marginals, they will struggle to prevent a hung parliament.

[10][11] He was also a target of the strategy led by Lord Ashcroft to concentrate resources on key marginal seats which saw # 50,000 donated to the Conservative campaign to unseat him.

Labour faces the problem of needing 2010 Liberal Democrat voters to win key marginals, but it quietly hopes that Liberal Democrat voters will stay put in the South West and South East against the Conservatives.

This finding correlates with one from last week's Crosby / Textor poll for the Telegraph (carried out before Cleggmania) which found that that the Conservatives would fail to win any of the 20 key Lib Dem - Tory marginals.

Survation finds CON to LAB swing of 7.3 % with the LDs dropping to just 2 % in four key commuter - belt marginals 24 June 2014

I had undertaken an analysis of the potential impact of the issue on key marginal seats and sent the findings to the Chairman of the Tory Party.

David Cameron said the party's second place in Scotland and its showing in England, where it took control of Peterborough Council and won council seats in key Westminster marginals such as Dudley and Nuneaton, represented a good result for a party in government for six years.

That's a swing from Conservative to Labour of just one point, far lower than the swing shown in ComRes's GB polls (it would be the equivalent of a national poll showing a Conservative lead of five points) suggesting Labour are doing worse in key marginals than in the country as a whole.

The good news is that the swing from Labour to Conservative is higher in the key Labour marginals than in the rest of Britain.

Oakeshott believes the Tories are outspending progressive candidates, and believes the appetite for anti-Tory tactical voting remains strong, especially since so much of the polling by Lord Ashcroft in key marginals can be used to guide voters how to vote tactically.

It is this battle in the Labour marginals that will determine the scale of May's expected victory and it is these working - class voters who hold the key.

Finally, despite the important effects of the substantial rise of UKIP on the shares of the vote for the two main parties, UKIP are not set to win many seats nor have a disproportionate effect on the competition for seats between the two main parties in their key marginals.

Janice Small is director of Conservative Action for Electoral Reform and fought the key marginal of Batley and Spen at the general election, gaining an additional 5,000 votes.

With Ed Miliband as the leader of the opposition party, the adoption of an expansionist visit strategy has the potential to boost Labour's local vote share — a factor that may be key in marginal constituencies.

There is little reason to expect this, but it is nonetheless important to check whether UKIP are managing to do particularly well in (certain kinds of) key marginals to test uniform change assumptions.

In the Labour - Lib Dem marginal of Oldham East and Saddleworth, the key question for candidates was whether they were laughing with you - or at you.

The two main parties are in the low 30s in the polls now in large part because of UKIP, but uniform change still seems to provide a reasonable guide as to how those overall vote shares translate into seats among key Con - Lab and Lab - Con marginals in England and Wales.

They might secure only a handful of MPs (thanks to a voting system that many believe is increasingly out of date) but their surging popularity could still disrupt Tory and Labour battles in key marginal seats.

This idea had some merit: Labour had failed to win key marginals across England and Wales, came under serious electoral pressure from UKIP in the north of England, and was all but wiped out in Scotland.

Perfectly logical then that Conservatives should target key marginal seats in Birmingham, birthplace of Nick Timothy, one of the two brains that make up Team May.

BBC Wales Political Editor Nick Servini has been to the key marginal seat of the Vale of Glamorgan to find out.

We find that Conservative support is holding up better in its key marginal seats than the rest of the country, and also that the Liberal Democrats are recovering strongly, albeit from a low base, in the seats they are defending.

Momentum has been given much of the credit for the party's gains in the June election, during which it deployed thousands of activists and volunteers in key marginal seats.

Despite losing the seat by just 103 votes at last year's general election and although the Tories are allegedly holding back their campaign at David Cameron's request, Nick Clegg's party trails by 17 points in two separate surveys of voters in the key marginal.

They include key marginals like Hendon, where the Conservative MP Matthew Offord has a majority of just 106.

This is a swing of 6 points (the equivalent of a Labour lead of about 5 points in a national poll), so suggests Labour may be doing somewhat better in key marginal seats than in the country as a whole.