Five years ago we published two papers [1, 2], which introduced a new macroeconomic model explaining the evolution
of labour productivity in developed countries.
Growth in non-farm GDP per hour worked — a broad measure
of labour productivity — has averaged 1.8 per cent per annum since the start of the recovery, a higher rate than in the corresponding phase of the previous cycle, but slightly lower than in the 1970s cycle.
Policies that spur more efficient corporate restructuring can revive productivity growth by targeting three inter-related sources
of labour productivity weakness: the survival of «zombie» firms (low productivity firms that would typically exit in a competitive market), capital misallocation and stalling technological diffusion... As the zombie firm problem may partly stem from bank forbearance, complementary reforms to insolvency regimes are essential to ensure that a more aggressive policy to resolve non-performing loans is effective.
This is the conventional measure
of labour productivity.
If Canada's level
of labour productivity had increased to the U.S. level (and the other four factors had stayed the same), Canada's income per capita would have been $ 8,500 higher.
And the third is that the rate
of labour productivity growth in the production of services is lower than that in the production of goods.
Raise interest rates in the U.S. and you could kill the recovery and exacerbate the problem of long - term unemployment, with lasting effects
of labour productivity, economic growth and, yes, even government revenues.
Not exact matches
STAFF turnover is costing Western Australian companies billions
of dollars and needs to be addressed to combat
labour shortages and improve
productivity.
innovation results — i.e., evidence
of the impact
of research, innovation and commercialization as captured in patents, and overall
labour productivity.
«Differences in the average use
of reading skills explain around 30 %
of the variation in
labour productivity across countries,» states the OECD study Skills Outlook 2013.
(Wonkish detail:
Labour productivity measures average productivity, but the mechanism described in the preceding paragraphs predicts that real wages should track marginal productivity — the extra output produced by an additional unit of l
Labour productivity measures average
productivity, but the mechanism described in the preceding paragraphs predicts that real wages should track marginal
productivity — the extra output produced by an additional unit
of labourlabour.
If you ignore the fact that the prices
of resources relative to manufactures increased sharply after 2002, you'd interpret the shift from manufacturing to resources as a
productivity - reducing reallocation
of capital and
labour.
(Note: multifactor
productivity, or MFP, is commonly seen as measure
of technical progress — the increase in output that can not be explained by the accumulation
of labour and capital inputs.
«We find that industrial robots increase
labour productivity, total factor
productivity, and wages,» write lead researchers Georg Graetz, an assistant professor in the department
of economics at Uppsala, and Guy Michaels, an associate professor in the department
of economics at LSE.
In a presentation to the Canadian Association for Business Economics in August, Industry Canada economist Annette Ryan reiterated the familiar
productivity lament: beginning in the 1980s, growth in Canadian
labour productivity, defined as GDP per hour worked, has been steadily declining and now trails the U.S. and the majority
of other G7 countries.
«That's equal to a permanent increase in output
of almost $ 1,000 per Canadian every year, and that's even before you factor in the possible investment and
productivity gains that would come with such an increase in
labour supply,» he said.
More than 40 years ago, the Magna founder decided his company would experience higher
productivity and less
labour strife — and, as a result, faster growth — if its workers got some
of the financial benefits
of strong performance.
I don't know what was happening to Canadian
productivity before 1973, but even if there was no growth in output per worker, the increase in our
labour terms
of trade would have induced significant gains in real wages.
The
productivity - median compensation divergence can be broken down into two aspects
of rising inequality: the rise in top - half income inequality (divergence between mean and median compensation) which began around 1973, and the fall in the
labour share (divergence between
productivity and mean compensation) which began around 2000.
Lower
labour productivity associated with searching
of items put your company at risk.
The slowing in 2015 results from a further decline in the growth
of trend
labour input coupled with no change in the growth rate
of trend
labour productivity.
High wages increase the benefits
of an innovation that increases
labour productivity.
Potential output growth can be thought
of as the sum
of the growth rates
of trend
labour input and trend
labour productivity.
There was no discussion
of how an ageing population will affect
labour force growth, or
productivity growth.
Most economists expect potential economic growth to decline from about 3 per cent annually to about 2 per cent over the next ten years, as a result
of continued poor
productivity growth and a slowing
labour force growth as the population ages.
The budget does not even provide a projection
of Canada's long - term potential economic growth and the key determinants underlying it -
productivity growth and
labour force growth.
Automation, artificial intelligence and other innovations will benefit the Canadian economy by boosting
productivity and living standards, but they could also have less desirable side effects on the
labour market and income distribution that will have to be managed, Bank
of Canada Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins said today.
So, in Canada's case, lower
labour productivity and fewer hours worked caused Canada's income per capita to be lower than that
of the United States.
For example, faster
labour force growth will encourage firms to invest not only to meet greater demand but also to equip these additional workers with machines and other capital to raise their
productivity.5 The rate
of technological progress is also a key factor, since a faster pace
of innovation raises the return on each additional unit
of capital, stimulating firms to invest more.
The disappointing performance
of business investment to date could reflect more sustained structural factors, such as slowing
labour force growth, low
productivity growth and regulatory obstacles.
For example, to calculate what portion
of the Canada-U.S. gap in income per capita is due to Canada's lower
labour productivity, we substitute U.S.
labour productivity into the equation but keep Canadian data for the other four components (hours worked, unemployment,
labour force participation, and demographic structure).
Doubling employment would mean an extremely big increase in real wages to get twice as many people willing to work, and it would be a very strange (though not theoretically impossible) halving
of average
labour productivity that would be compatible with a very large increase in equilibrium real wages.
So if there are policies that would boost potential output — the sum
of labour force growth and
productivity growth — then we need to pursue them.
The latter initiative is perhaps the most important, as technological innovation is so central to the country's goal to transition from low - end,
labour - intensive manufacturing to a high - tech,
productivity - led, consumption - based economy — and such a rich source
of opportunities for investors.
«The reduced full year guidance [at South Deep] is attributable to the ongoing impact
of poor equipment reliability, the slower advance rates in Corridor 3 and delayed extraction in the composites, as well as slower rates
of destress in the March quarter, again a symptom
of the lower
productivity related to uncertainty around the
labour restructuring,» Gold Fields CEO Nick Holland said.
By using the known rates
of increase in the money supply and the population and a «guesstimate»
of the rate
of increase in
labour productivity we can arrive at a theoretical rate
of change for the purchasing power
of money.
The strength
of resource production
of late partly reflects an improvement in
labour productivity in the mining sector, which is to be expected as new productive capacity comes on line.
In the long run both types
of investment create capital that can yield substantial positive rates
of return (above the current 30 and 50 year real bond rate) and result in both higher
productivity and stronger
labour force growth.
The British economic recovery is still fragile and faces many
of the same problems Carney seemed unable to solve during his tenure in Canada: sluggish
labour productivity, businesses that are stockpiling cash, and a property bubble that seems at risk
of bursting.
But part
of the adjustment occurred via a pick - up in the pace
of wage growth, at a time when
labour productivity growth was relatively slow.
The U.S. Bureau
of Labor Statistics has just released a comparison
of manufacturing output, employment,
productivity, and unit
labour costs in 16 different industrialized countries. Here's the link: http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/prod4.pdf This data confirms that Canada's manufacturing industry is in the midst
of a uniquely terrible crisis. Some commentators have suggested that the sharp decline in Canadian -LSB-...]
However, measured
labour productivity growth has improved over the past few years across a broader range
of industries, following a period
of quite weak growth (Graph 3).
The
labour productivity of Canadian businesses fell by 0.6 per cent in the third quarter, the second consecutive decline, as the number
of hours worked grew faster than business output.
When comparing
labour productivity performance between economic cycles, it is therefore important to measure
labour productivity over common phases
of the cycle.
Labour productivity growth — the rate of growth of output per hour worked — is also a useful concept since labour productivity growth ultimately determines the sustainable rate of growth of real wages in the ec
Labour productivity growth — the rate
of growth
of output per hour worked — is also a useful concept since
labour productivity growth ultimately determines the sustainable rate of growth of real wages in the ec
labour productivity growth ultimately determines the sustainable rate
of growth
of real wages in the economy.
Greater Vancouver disappoints when it comes to its
labour productivity level, an important driver
of living standards.
Part
of the differences in
labour productivity growth between business cycles reflects differences in the rate
of capital accumulation and employment growth.
This growth slowdown reflects both declining
labour force growth as baby boomers retire in large numbers and a reduced pace
of aggregate
productivity growth.
However, total factor
productivity, which allows for changes in both
labour and capital inputs into the production process, and is therefore a better measure
of efficiency, is growing faster in the current recovery than in the corresponding phases
of either
of the two previous cycles (Box 2).
The changing capital intensity
of the economy explains some
of the differences in
labour productivity growth between business cycles.