• Very disappointed by the pessimistic analysis from the Guardian
of the local election results in England for Labour.
Analysis
of the local election results led many to conclude that the shift of Ukip's 4 million former voters had almost all gone directly back to the Conservatives.
Surprises: few but the most avid watcher
of local election results or the most optimistic Liberal Democrat would have predicted Conservative banker Solihull falling to the Lib Dems in 2005.
Provisional analysis
of local election results declared so far suggests the Labour party will become the largest group within the LGA — the organisation that represents authorities in England and Wales.
Despite a strong showing in some held councils, Liberal Democrats are today reflecting on another bitterly disappointing set
of local election results with the number of Lib Dem councillors likely to fall below 3000 for the first time ever.
Jeremy Corbyn was today warned «the clock is ticking» on his leadership after the worst set
of local election results for an Opposition party in decades.
Labour's Sadiq Khan has capped a bumper day
of local election results by winning the London mayoralty by a landslide.
Not exact matches
Since there are no exit polls for the referendum, unlike the general
election, this is our best gauge
of voter sentiment until
results start trickling in from
local counting areas around 1 a.m. BST.
The full
results of the
local elections won't be known until Friday evening, as some councils don't start the count until the day after polling...
More from Mike: «Republicans in both chambers will have to contend with the
results of Tuesday's
elections, in which state and
local Republicans were drubbed by Democrats.
Ireland had just had an
election then, and the newly elected Prime Minister, Enda Kenny (now triumphing over his referendum
result) in one
of his first speeches in the Parliamentary chamber, blamed the Vatican for everything whilst the visitation was underway, thus undermining it completely — as though it were Italian or French priests and Cardinals who were guilty
of the Irish abuses, conveniently letting the
locals off the hook, and redirecting the anger towards Church discipline and teaching rather than criminal individuals.
Residents living in 88
local authorities across England, Scotland and Wales took to the polls on Thursday, with
results declared on Friday indicating a boost for Theresa May ahead
of next month's General
Election.
The two appellants asked the Appellate Court to set aside the judgment
of the Tribunal in relation to the validation
of election results in 13
local government areas
of the state.
For now, and with November a long way off, let's beware
of breathless speculation and attempts to nationalize the
results of what are still a handful
of local elections.
Silvio Berlusconi's People
of Freedom coalition is heading for a decisive win over the centre - left Democratic Party which is still reeling from the disastrous
local election results which forced the resignation
of opposition leader Walter Veltroni.
However, given lax proof requirements at registration, and even laxer requirements
of identity proof at the time
of voting, the
results of every
local / regional
election in areas highly populated by non-citizens is in doubt.
This will allow a comparison between information on the distribution
of development resources and the
results of local elections throughout the period.
On the basis
of this
result, a
local charity had organised
elections in each
of Mahra's provinces to identify 260 delegates who were to attend a Congress in the capital, al - Ghayda, to elect The Mahra Council.
The
results of the
local and European
elections look set to go to the wire, with the last batch
of opinion polls putting Labour and Ukip neck - and - neck
On average estimates for the national level vote at
local elections are different from the
results of a subsequent national
election by nearly 5 %.
There are countless motivations in general
elections and even more in
locals - the
results are reflected through a prism
of local issues,
local connections,
local parties, national politics and national issues.
And today's underwhelming
local election results provide plenty
of evidence that he can not challenge the Tories.
In all likelihood, next year's
local election results will be less bad for Labour than this year's were, perhaps showing a Conservative lead
of 10 - 15 % in terms
of national equivalent vote share.
Whatever the
results of the
local elections today, the outcome
of the next general
election is far from a foregone conclusion.
The
resulting general
election year PNS then provided a robust baseline for the calculation
of the PNS in the
local elections that were held during the course
of the subsequent parliament.
But there are a number
of problems with these observations as a way
of looking at the
results of this year's
local elections.
Hitherto, the coincidence
of local and general
election results provided an opportunity to estimate a PNS for the parallel
local elections by comparing the
local and parliamentary
election results in those constituencies where all the component wards were contested, and then applying the
resulting difference for each party to its share
of the Britain - wide parliamentary vote.
Yesterday Rob Hayward drew our attention to a House
of Commons Library briefing paper, regarding the
results of the
local and mayoral
elections in May.
Local council election results in the wards making up Hallam constituency, while by no means good for the Liberal Democrats, paint a more equivocal picture than the polls, as a comparison of the 2010 local election results with those in the most recent local elections in 2014 s
Local council
election results in the wards making up Hallam constituency, while by no means good for the Liberal Democrats, paint a more equivocal picture than the polls, as a comparison
of the 2010
local election results with those in the most recent local elections in 2014 s
local election results with those in the most recent
local elections in 2014 s
local elections in 2014 shows.
Based on the
results of the
local elections, the BBC has estimated that Labour would win the next
election, but would fall short
of an overall majority, with 322 seats.
In a number
of Labour targets, constituency polls and
local election results suggest the party simply does not have enough
of a lead (and sometimes none at all) over the Conservative incumbent.
So, with the
result of the Greater Manchester metro mayor
election declared, Andy Burnham completes his move from opposition MP to
local leader.
The BBC's projected national share
of the vote, which uses the
results in
local elections to estimate the parties» standing across the country, put Labour and the Conservatives neck - and - neck on 35 % apiece.
Scottish
local election results will give Nicola Strugeon's party the intelligence they need ahead
of the general
election.
As the dust settles on the
results of the 2014
local and European
elections several questions remain unanswered about what the
results mean for the future
of British politics: Who will win the next general
election?
Additionally, if we use the
results of the
local elections in 2011, when the Conservatives received 35 %
of the vote, Labour 37 % and the Liberal Democrats 15 %, the
results of the predictions are very similar.
Two years ago I developed a simple statistical model that tries to predict the outcome
of general
elections from
local election results.
As the
results of the
Local elections began to trickle in on Thursday night it soon became clear that the Labour Party had done well, gaining 824 councillors.
The Mavens
of London research, which was originally reported by Politics.co.uk, combines traditional polling data with information about people's online searches for their
local candidates to come up with predictions
of the
election result.
There were other unsatisfactory, to say the least, aspects to the former first - past - the - post system which are also adequately illustrated by the overall
results of the 2003 Scottish
local government
elections.
The recent violence mainly
results from
local tensions between the 19,000 candidates for the 500 seats in parliament and the
election campaigns
of the two main presidential candidates, Etienne Tshisekedi and Joseph Kabila.
European Parliament
elections also seem to be becoming worse predictors
of general
election results (the same is not true for
local elections)-- the difference between vote shares at European and general
elections for the 1999 EP
election was 7.5, 8.5 for 2004, and 10.3 in 2009.
First the
local election results will give them an idea
of where the Tory surge is going to come at the general
election.
The
local election results will give a good indication
of how tactical voters are willing to be to stop the SNP and their independence agenda.
Over the following four agonising days, the party watched as first the
local and then the European
election results brutally revealed the cost
of entering into coalition with the Conservatives.
Of course using different local election results produces different predictions, but note that for all three parties the confidence intervals of both predictions overla
Of course using different
local election results produces different predictions, but note that for all three parties the confidence intervals
of both predictions overla
of both predictions overlap.
Labour were already concerned by the
local election results, in which they had underperformed in a number
of their key seats.
Labour's advance on 5 May, beating the Tories in the English
local elections, is a
result of the party's change
of orientation under Jeremy Corbyn's leadership.
«Lord Forsyth likens Lords reform to the Austin Allegro's square steering wheel Main Record
of how Conservative MPs are reacting to the
local election results»
We need to appeal to people, and I would note that in these
results, while I'm sorry that Conservative councillors who've worked hard lost their seats, in places like Amber Valley in Derbyshire, the heart
of England, a part that's actually been Labour for decades, we still have a Conservative council, a place where I launched our
local election campaign.»