This issue
of the Macroprudential Bulletin looks at how euro area banks are linked to each other and to investment funds and how this may affect the stability of the financial system.
Unfortunately, the energy rout and its effects on global financial markets originated in the commodity sector, and it would have occurred regardless the readiness
of macroprudential measures (financial regulations).
The limitations
of macroprudential policies reflect the potential for risks to emerge outside sectors subject to regulation, the potential for supervision and regulation to miss emerging risks, the uncertain efficacy of new macroprudential tools such as a countercyclical capital buffer, and the potential for such policy steps to be delayed or to lack public support.14 Given such limitations, adjustments in monetary policy may, at times, be needed to curb risks to financial stability.15
Second, policymakers must carefully monitor evolving risks to the financial system and be realistic about the ability
of macroprudential tools to influence these developments.
APRA introduced its first set
of macroprudential reforms late in 2014 when it introduced speed limits on the banks» investor loan books by capping growth at 10 per cent per annum.
The rate hike has arrived at a critical time for the banks with many speculating that the chief banking regulator the Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority is about to introduce a new series
of macroprudential measures designed to slow the property market.
As my colleagues David Orsmond and Fiona Price note in a Bulletin article in December 2016, there is no universally accepted definition
of macroprudential policy.
So what I am describing is very much in keeping with the «state of mind»
of macroprudential policy that I described in my speech here in 2012.
The U.S. housing boom and subsequent bust might have been less severe had a set
of macroprudential measures been in place at the time to limit the degree of leverage and speculative activity in the housing sector.
If the effectiveness
of macroprudential policies could be relied on, would that mean that monetary policy is off the hook, allowing the Bank to focus on its inflation target and leave macroprudential policies to take care of financial stability?
This might mean, for example, that the central bank would need to run a more stimulative policy than it would have otherwise to offset the effect
of macroprudential policies, and the macroprudential authority would impose more stringent measures than it would have otherwise to counteract the leverage and risk taking generated by looser monetary policy.
When other countries saw the promise
of macroprudential policy, they set up stand - alone entities to apply it, leaving monetary authorities free to concentrate on economic growth and inflation.
Even six rounds
of macroprudential rule tightening to restrict access to credit and prevent Canadians from becoming overleveraged has done little to temper the housing market.
Not exact matches
«One thing we do know is that over the course
of the years we have had some
macroprudential changes to how this system works and we are comfortable those changes have done a lot to make sure the most fragile or the most vulnerable
of those in that borrowing space are in effect being protected or have been prevented from excessive borrowing,» he said.
The lack
of transparency around
macroprudential policy feeds confusion and doubt.
The
macroprudential measures that give Poloz and Schembri comfort were ad hoc, devised behind closed doors by an informal committee
of senior technocrats led by the deputy minister
of finance.
WASHINGTON - Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester moderates «Financial Innovation and
Macroprudential Policy» panel before the Financial Stability and Fintech Conference organized by the Federal Reserve Bank
of Cleveland, the Office
of Financial Research and the University
of Maryland 1330 GMT.
«The best thing we can do is to support the transition
of the Canadian economy and leave it to the authorities who have the
macroprudential tools related to the housing market.»
The best way to safeguard financial stability and improve the balance between economic and financial risk taking is to put in place policies that enhance the transmission
of monetary policy to the real economy — thus promoting economic risk taking — and address financial excesses through well - designed
macroprudential measures.
So we need a better grasp
of how monetary policy and
macroprudential measures interact.
Thus, it is possible that, in a situation
of sustained weak aggregate demand, relying primarily on monetary policy to provide stimulus may lead to financial vulnerabilities that
macroprudential policy can not, or should not, offset.
If the external shocks seemed to pose financial stability risks,
macroprudential measures might be introduced as a complement or backstop to existing regulations and oversight
of domestic financial systems.
There are also
macroprudential tools — regulatory measures that can be used to promote not just the safety
of an individual financial institution, but also that
of the entire financial system.
However, even with an ideal set
of institutional arrangements, there may be limits to how independently monetary policy and
macroprudential policy can work.
2See
Macroprudential Policy: Case Study from a Tabletop Exercise, Tobias Adrian, Patrick de Foutnouvelle, Emily Yang, and Andrei Zlate, Federal Reserve Bank
of New York Staff Report No. 742, September 2015.
Better
macroprudential oversight might have noticed how the sale
of those assets was propping up the financial system on brittle pillars, and the selling
of these products could have been curbed before disaster struck.
Mr. Flaherty's emphasis on accountability is important because one
of the major weaknesses
of regulatory structures as they exist now is a lack
of clarity over who's responsible for safeguarding the entire system, something officials call «
macroprudential regulation.»
This is because interest rate changes have their largest effect on inflation risk, while stronger
macroprudential settings will lead to a higher quality
of household indebtedness over time.
Indeed, a combination
of lower interest rates and more stringent
macroprudential policy would likely work to reduce both financial stability risks and the risk
of an undershoot
of inflation at the same time.
Relying upon further
macroprudential policy tools to contain housing risks in a timely manner is set against the mixed success
of such measures to date.
This is reflected in the increasing use
of what are commonly known as
macroprudential policies.
In Australia, we see
macroprudential policy as part and parcel
of the financial stability framework.
Ellis L (2012), «
Macroprudential Policy: A Suite
of Tools or a State
of Mind?»
In light
of the considerable efforts under way to implement a
macroprudential approach to enhance financial stability and the increased focus
of policymakers on monitoring emerging financial stability risks, I see three key principles that should guide the interaction
of monetary policy and
macroprudential policy in the United States.
Moreover, the improvements in household and business balance sheets have been accompanied by the increased safety
of the financial sector associated with the
macroprudential efforts I have outlined.
For a comprehensive discussion
of financial stability arrangements in Australia, see the joint RBA and APRA document
Macroprudential Analysis and Policy in the Australian Financial Stability Framework, < http://www.apra.gov.au/AboutAPRA/Publications/Documents/2012-09-map-aus-fsf.pdf > [7]
And these higher down payment rates you're talking about, some people are calling it the next big thing in terms
of public policy and that's this
macroprudential policy.
See Hoenig, «The Long - Run Imperatives
of Monetary Policy and
Macroprudential Supervision,» Cato Journal (Spring / Summer 2017), p. 195.
William C. Dudley, President and CEO (Panelist) Date: Saturday, October 3, 2015 Time: 11:00 AM Event: Federal Reserve Bank
of Boston Conference:
Macroprudential Monetary Policy Location: Federal Reserve Bank
of Boston 600 Atlantic Ave Boston, MA
«Nonetheless, participants generally agreed that the Committee should not completely rule out the possibility
of using monetary policy to address financial stability risks, particularly in circumstances in which such risks significantly threatened the achievement
of its dual mandate and when
macroprudential tools had been or were likely to be ineffective at mitigating those risks.»
The federal government has already implemented six rounds
of these so - called «
macroprudential» changes since 2008.
«Our view is that these so - called
macroprudential policies are best placed to deal with threats to financial stability because they can be designed to target specific financial vulnerabilities,» Poloz said, according to a text
of his speech released in Ottawa.
Financial repression is categorized as «
macroprudential regulation» — i.e., government efforts to «ensure the health
of an entire financial system.
Macroprudential is a term used to describe financial policies that are aimed at minimizing or eliminating risks to the financial system as a whole — think
of it like a blanket, nation - wide policy that's used to eliminate or reduce systemic risk within our country's economy.
While real estate might be a product
of local markets, probably the single biggest reason for the potential nation - wide real estate slowdown in 2017 are
macroprudential measures introduced in late 2015 and throughout 2016 (and possibly stretching into this year, should banks be required to cover a portion
of mortgage default losses).
In Canada, these
macroprudential measures included the increase to minimum down payments required for home purchases over $ 500,000 and the requirement
of all high loan - to - value borrowers (and those who chose amortizations over 25 years) to qualify based on posted mortgage rates, rather than discounted mortgage rates.
Since leaving the SEC in January 2008, she has served as Rapporteur for the Group
of Thirty's report, The Structure
of Financial Supervision: Approaches and Challenges in a Global Marketplace and as Project Director for their report, Enhancing Financial Stability and Resilience:
Macroprudential Policy, Tools and Systems for the Future.
The authorities have taken some measures to develop
macroprudential frameworks in the face
of capacity and data constraints.