These scores will be analysed as continuous outcomes, with appropriate checking
of model assumptions because the data are negatively skewed.
However, there a couple of recent discussions on the accuracy of climate model feedbacks on the credibility
of model assumptions and on ability of models to accurately model past known climate change on Anthony Watts» blog that I think are pertinent to this debate and interesting:
I don't know how to do this but there must be some enterprising academics out there who can find ways to substantiate
some of the model assumptions with real data rather than continuing to tweak computer models to «find» the right formulas I would rather we did real science and found the parameters by experiment.
This, «pause», hiatus, slow down or whatever has lots of folks reviewing «known» physics that lead to a lot
of model assumptions.
They were also insensitive to the details of the biological tree growth model over a reasonable range
of model assumptions.
The test
of model assumptions is not the same as a test for bias.
Since future teachers can not directly affect students» current achievement, a finding that future teacher assignments are associated with those outcomes («the future predicts the past») suggests a violation
of the model assumptions that could lead to confounding.
Quantitative MR estimates of blood oxygenation based on T2 *: a numerical study of the impact
of model assumptions.
Overall, this work is accessible to a general audience; however, Randers's limited analysis and justification
of model assumption restrict the usefulness of this book as a stand - alone text.
Not exact matches
If you like the principle
of Occam's Razor, that among competing ideas, those with the fewest
assumptions should be selected, you can get rid
of the one - dimensional
model.
HOWEVER... said the report summary: «Under the
assumption that e-cigarette use increases the rate at which adults quit conventional smoking,
modeling projects that use
of e-cigarettes will generate a net public health benefit...»
It's worth noting that the binomial
model for the number
of winners has an extra
assumption: that lottery players are choosing their numbers at random.
Use real customers to test the
assumptions of your business
model.
The more likely culprit is unconscious bias, a set
of assumptions that cause recruiters or managers to overlook candidates because they don't fit their mental
model of the ideal employee.
Test all business
model assumptions, ranging from the notion
of the customer problem to the hypothosized revenue stream.
It is essential that the right financial
model be used and that correct
assumptions be made in forecasting the anticipated benefits, costs and returns
of the new value proposition being considered.
Many a desktop computer has been purchased specifically to take advantage
of these programs, which allow even an unsophisticated computer user to change a few critical
assumptions and, in the blink
of an eye, recalculate an entire financial
model (see «How VisiCalc Works,» INC., November 1981, page 104).
The
model on which it was based is a marvel
of restrictive
assumptions: an economy that is closed to trade, expectations about inflation that are essentially myopic, interest rates that are largely impervious to the demand for credit and investment that is largely impervious to interest rates.
«Our traditional
assumptions of ownership are really frustrated by these digital distribution
models,» said Aaron Perzanowski, an associate professor
of law at Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland.
Mundell's
model was extremely simple and included a number
of heroic
assumptions, but it accurately reflected important elements
of the world in which open economies operate.
The problem is when investors adopt theories and
models that embed the most optimistic
assumptions possible, run contrary to historical evidence, or embed subtle peculiarities that actually drive the results (see, for example, the «novel valuation measures» section
of The Diva is Already Singing).
One implication
of that particular
model was that a 1 % increase in interest rates would send stocks plummeting by 50 %, but nobody brought that up because nobody took the time to examine the
assumptions of the
model seriously.
I think Joan has explained repeatedly what we see as the bands for growth, with a 10 - year
model, with a stock price somewhere around — you know, in terms
of assumptions that we've used — $ 85 stock price with another $ 25 to $ 30
of cash income.
anything that is held as a store
of value willingly can not be used to tie down the price level path (except via strong
modeling assumption likes the last period exchange
of real debt for real goods in the FTPL for example).
Moreover, I am sceptical
of many
of the underlying
assumptions and calibrations in these
models.
If any
of the
assumptions used in the Black - Scholes
model change significantly, stock - based compensation expense may differ materially in the future from that recorded in the current period.
Model - based investing takes that type
of embedded
assumption error and multiplies it.»
This news release contains forward - looking statements within the meaning
of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act
of 1995 and Canadian securities laws, including statements regarding: BlackBerry's expectations regarding new product initiatives and timing, including the BlackBerry 10 platform; BlackBerry's plans and expectations regarding new service offerings, and
assumptions regarding its service revenue
model; BlackBerry's plans, strategies and objectives, and the anticipated opportunities and challenges in fiscal 2014; anticipated demand for, and BlackBerry's plans and expectations relating to, programs to drive sell - through
of the company's BlackBerry 10 smartphones; BlackBerry's expectations regarding financial results for the second quarter
of fiscal 2014; BlackBerry's expectations with respect to the sufficiency
of its financial resources; BlackBerry's ongoing efforts to streamline its operations and its expectations relating to the benefits
of its Cost Optimization and Resource Efficiency («CORE») program and similar strategies; BlackBerry's plans and expectations regarding marketing and promotional programs; and BlackBerry's estimates
of purchase obligations and other contractual commitments.
I believe strongly in the need to go through the exercise
of building a financial
model (can focus mind and expose hidden
assumptions and flaws), and agree that the focus should not be on formal financial documents or even on the resulting numbers themselves (that is, until you are up and running and have real numbers).
This news release contains forward - looking statements within the meaning
of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act
of 1995 and Canadian securities laws, including statements regarding: BlackBerry's expectations regarding new product initiatives and timing, including the BlackBerry 10 platform; BlackBerry's plans and expectations regarding new service offerings, and
assumptions regarding its service revenue
model; BlackBerry's plans, strategies and objectives, and the anticipated opportunities and challenges in fiscal 2014; anticipated demand for, and BlackBerry's plans and expectations relating to, programs to drive sell - through
of the Company's BlackBerry 7 and 10 smartphones and BlackBerry PlayBook tablets; BlackBerry's expectations regarding financial results for the second quarter
of fiscal 2014; BlackBerry's expectations with respect to the sufficiency
of its financial resources; BlackBerry's ongoing efforts to streamline its operations and its expectations relating to the benefits
of its Cost Optimization and Resource Efficiency («CORE») program and similar strategies; BlackBerry's plans and expectations regarding marketing and promotional programs; and BlackBerry's estimates
of purchase obligations and other contractual commitments.
«Most
of the
assumptions behind the CAPM
model do not come close to reality - at least not on this planet» David Dreman
Obsolescence is hard to
model and can make a mockery
of the detailed financial
assumptions underlying buyouts.
The
assumption of abundant natural gas could be wrong — many «experts» are not even thinking
of vastly different outcomes to their
models.)
The objective
of this customer validation process is to validate your sales process and the
assumptions that underpin your business
model.
Develop
modeling instincts so modelers know what
assumptions are reasonable and likely to result in dependable results, and what parameter ranges are realistic to account for invariable deviations
of reality from
models.
The problem with the Fed
Model is that it presumes a one - to - one relationship between those two yields, an
assumption which is an artifact
of the disinflationary period from 1982 to 1998.
At Valuentum, we often use a discounted cash - flow
model as a means to back into the current share price
of firms in order to ascertain whether the market is unfairly pricing their stock relative to reasonable long - term growth and profitability
assumptions.
When you say «Copernicanism», are you referring to the heliocentric
model of the solar system — which David's post discussed — or are you referring more broadly to the
assumption that we aren't in an especially privileged position in the universe?
Since the post you're replying to distinguished between «Copernicus» heliocentric
model of the solar system» and «the
assumption that we aren't in an especially privileged position in the universe» — i.e. the «Copernican principle» — I'm not really sure why you ask that.
As Bernstein discusses, the dominant intent
of Easton and others has been to develop a study
of politics «
modeled after the methodological
assumptions of the natural sciences» (EPA 8; see RSPT, part I).
We build up a simplified
model of reality by making
assumptions about how the world works, and then we try to assume everything away apart from that specific issue we are focusing on.
«The
assumptions often made are that Scripture should have no tensions and that any such tensions are not real but introduced from the outside, namely, by scholarship hostile to Christianity... It is a great irony that both the critical and evangelical options (as distinct from the Jewish
model) take part in the same
assumption: God's word and diversity at the level
of factual content and theological messages are incompatible.»
The underlying
assumption behind all the
models in this chapter is that a congregation has an exciting possibility and responsibility to create a comprehensive marriage and family nurture program, beginning with remote preparation for marriage and extending through all the changing seasons
of the life cycle
of a family.
Yes, Bigfoot would force us to modify our map
of known species, but it wouldn't completely invalidate the Standard
Model and all
of our working
assumptions about the observed properties
of the natural world.
Process - theological
models stand generally under the cosmological
assumption of an infinite process
of the production
of always new events without end and aim — an
assumption, to which Whitehead gave the name
of the «remorseless working
of things in Greek and Buddhist thought» (PR 244).
But for my purposes it is enough to say that the
assumptions I have listed have many practical consequences when governments adopt policies oriented to economic growth on the basis
of advice from neoliberal economists, or, indeed, many other economists who share this
model.
In that role we share the thrill
of discovery, and
model the courage and humility necessary for letting go an old
assumption in order to receive something new.
The teacher can bring out the role
of inductive and deductive reasoning, the construction
of conceptual schemes and
models, idealization and simplifying
assumptions, quantitative measurement and the controlled experiment.
@Lawrence
of Arabia, A mathematical
model by definition is an approximation based on certain
assumptions, such as the existence
of zombies, without which it means nothing, but the math still works.
Models that try to explain how life can come from non-life, and models that try to explain how something can come from nothing... THOSE kinds of models where un-observable assumptions must be inserted into the math to make it
Models that try to explain how life can come from non-life, and
models that try to explain how something can come from nothing... THOSE kinds of models where un-observable assumptions must be inserted into the math to make it
models that try to explain how something can come from nothing... THOSE kinds
of models where un-observable assumptions must be inserted into the math to make it
models where un-observable
assumptions must be inserted into the math to make it work.