Sentences with phrase «of modern climate models»

I spoke to Syukuro Manabe, one of the founders of modern climate models and a researcher at the GFDL about this in Atlanta last month.»

Not exact matches

It would be like trying to model 1000 years of global climate change on a TRS - 80 computer when it takes a modern 16,000 processor supercomputer a week to process the data.

I confess that I have become somewhat blasé about the range of exciting — I think revolutionary is probably more accurate — technologies that we are rolling out today: our work in genomics and its translation into varieties that are reaching poor farmers today; our innovative integration of long — term and multilocation trials with crop models and modern IT and communications technology to reach farmers in ways we never even imagined five years ago; our vision to create a C4 rice and see to it that Golden Rice reaches poor and hungry children; maintaining productivity gains in the face of dynamic pests and pathogens; understanding the nature of the rice grain and what makes for good quality; our many efforts to change the way rice is grown to meet the challenges of changing rural economies, changing societies, and a changing climate; and, our extraordinary array of partnerships that has placed us at the forefront of the CGIAR change process through the Global Rice Science Partnership.

Professor Dan Lunt, from the School of Geographical Sciences and Cabot Institute at the University of Bristol said: «Because climate models are based on fundamental scientific processes, they are able not only to simulate the climate of the modern Earth, but can also be easily adapted to simulate any planet, real or imagined, so long as the underlying continental positions and heights, and ocean depths are known.»

I can read any peer - reviewed article I like on modern climate models, but until I go through much of the process of building, running, validation, discussing with colleagues how they solved particular wrinkles etc of some models, I am unlikely to fully comprehend climate modelling as a skilled craft.

Future forecasts of climate models forced with greenhouse gas levels as high as modern ones tend to result in Pliocene - like climate (~ 3 million years ago) when sea levels were estimated to be 14 meters higher than they are today.

To put it another way, modern climate models are simulations of physics — thermodynamics, fluid dynamics, some chemistry, and in some cases a little simulated biology.

Does this mean that the hypothesis of nuclear winter does not survive testing by modern climate models?

He explains how he once thought that climate change theory was based solely on computer models, where in fact it's based on scientific measurements of both modern and ancient climates.

They took the amount of soot (based on geologic record) and put that into a modern climate model.

Our RAV4 was a top - tier Limited model that goes beyond the entry LE trim with interior enhancements such as dual - zone climate controls, autodimming rearview mirror, heated front bucket seats, and SofTex trim for all seats and door trim — SofTex being a nice and modern way of saying leatherette.

Options Included: 4 - Wheel ABS, 4 - Wheel Disc Brakes, A / C, Adjustable Steering Wheel, Aluminum Wheels, Cassette, CD Player, Cell Phone Hookup, Climate Control, Cruise Control, Driver Air Bag, Front Wheel Drive, Gasoline Fuel, Keyless Entry, Passenger Air Bag, Power Door Locks, Power Driver Seat, Power Passenger Seat, Premium Sound System, Tires - Front All - Season, Tires - Rear All - Season, Vehicle Anti-Theft SystemOur Infiniti sedan offers a lot of modern day goodness for a 1996 year model!

I can read any peer - reviewed article I like on modern climate models, but until I go through much of the process of building, running, validation, discussing with colleagues how they solved particular wrinkles etc of some models, I am unlikely to fully comprehend climate modelling as a skilled craft.

On July 23, I wrote about the rocky rollout, prior to peer review, of «Ice Melt, Sea Level Rise and Superstorms: Evidence from Paleoclimate Data, Climate Modeling, and Modern Observations that 2 °C Global Warming is Highly Dangerous.»

Future forecasts of climate models forced with greenhouse gas levels as high as modern ones tend to result in Pliocene - like climate (~ 3 million years ago) when sea levels were estimated to be 14 meters higher than they are today.

in the meantime, in the absence of reliable climate models or any certainty of «how much climate may change,» how many trillions should we spend and how far backward must modern industrial civilization be propelled by imposing draconian co2 emissions cuts?

The papers questioned everything from the relative role of natural mechanisms in changes to the climate system vis - à - vis increased CO2 concentrations, the allegedly «unprecedented» nature of modern climate phenomena such as warming, sea levels, glacier and sea ice retreat, and the efficacy and reliability of computer climate models for projecting future climate states.

(M1 & M2): We are the very model for all modern Climate Modellers We forecast things for foolish kings and not precocious toddlers By using tricks that would excite a high priest of the Aztecs For example those subjective «priors» in Baysian stitastecs??

Climate Models smooth the data for the past ten thousand years and then put modern warming on the end of the stick.

As we have seen, there are bad climate scientists who rig the computer models representing a huge rise in the Earth's overall average temperature and there are good climate scientists who have waged a long and increasingly successful effort to debunk the greatest hoax of the modern era.

Farmers, unions, social organizations, indigenous peoples, women and youth (at the national, regional and global level) have come together to demand climate justice and fight against the consumerist and extractivist model that, along with the capitalism and neoliberalism systems of the modern world, is harming Mother Earth.

The initial title of «Ice melt, sea level rise and superstorms: evidence from paleoclimate data, climate modeling, and modern observations that 2 °C global warming is highly dangerous» had the final phrase changed to «could be dangerous.»

In addition to running climate models, the researchers compared modern warming to similar temperature increases that happened approximately 120,000 years ago in a period known as the Eemian, when global sea level was 5 to 9 meters (between 16 and 30 feet) higher than it is today due to the release of glacial water.

«There's a lot more money and funding to produce modern climate products like these advanced climate models, than there is wallowing around in some third world pit of a storage shed and unearthing a bunch of paper records,» says Allen.

Using modern measurements of air temperature, incoming / outgoing radiation, and ocean temperature / heat content should provide much more robust techniques of climate model validation.

I'll say again... Lindzen, Spencer, and some others catch a lot of heat for attempts to verify climate models by some of the more modern, more accurate measures, but I believe they are moving in the right direction.

«scientists have assumed» «The climate models assume» «assumption that Natural CO2 is totally fixed and unchanging» «if you assume a long lifetime for atmospheric CO2 ″ «falsification of the basic assumption» «it requires assumptions that violate empirical knowledge» «assumed so that the ice cores and modern measurements fit together» «arbitrary and unjustified assumption»

Modern climate models simulate the conditions of the earth fairly well, albeit not perfectly.

That the climate model need not work is perfectly acceptable to the Post Modern (Climate) Scientists because their model of science has no Cause & Effect, so it has no way to predict, and can have no standard that the modelclimate model need not work is perfectly acceptable to the Post Modern (Climate) Scientists because their model of science has no Cause & Effect, so it has no way to predict, and can have no standard that the modelClimate) Scientists because their model of science has no Cause & Effect, so it has no way to predict, and can have no standard that the models work.

More substantial changes would be along the lines of «Exploring potential impacts of a 2C world using insights from paleo climate records, modern observations and climate modelling» or «Exploring the potential for tipping points in the climate system before 2C».

Above all, these supposed modeling experts and climate scientists need to terminate their biases and their evangelism of political agendas that seek to slash fossil fuel use, «transform» our energy and economic systems, reduce our standards of living, and «permit» African and other impoverished nations to enter the modern era only in a «sustainable manner,» as callous elitists often insist.

It is still not well understood how model biases in simulation of modern climate affect climate sensitivity.

These records can then be integrated with observations of Earth's modern climate and placed into a computer model to infer past as well as predict future climate.

Our analysis is based on about equal parts of information gleaned from paleoclimate studies, climate modeling, and modern observations of ongoing climate changes.

Modern numerical models of weather and climate are over half a century old.

To better understand these discrepancies, a recent study published in Geophysical Research Letters investigates the drivers of changes in deep ocean circulation across a range of modern and Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ~ 21000 years ago) climate simulations from the latest Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP).

But the modern range of estimates is based on more lines of evidence and better methodology (analyzing recent observations, better models, and investigations into pre-human climate conditions), which give about the same picture for now.

AMO / PDO on the other hand are system states that last 20 - 40 years, and there's very good reasons to think that they are the cause of the entire modern warming, these should be modeled by GCM's, but they don't do this either, and they have a far bigger effect on «climate» while the smaller scale chaotic artifacts have no effect on «climate».

Despite long searches for «fatal flaws» in modern climate models, a handful of contrarians still have no supporting evidence.

Despite the fact that both the models and the YD hypothesis indicate changes in heat transport can affect the global temperature, and in the case of the YD so dramatically temperatures go against the forcing trend, you are steadfast in your beliefs that it is impossible that any long term trend in heat transport can be affecting modern climate.

Indeed ACP does not have strong roots in paleo - climate, while the sister journal «Climate of the Past» does not address modern climate moclimate, while the sister journal «Climate of the Past» does not address modern climate moClimate of the Past» does not address modern climate moclimate modeling.

The multidisciplinary aspect of the paper made it difficult to chose the journal for this work, that covers paleo - climate, modern observations and climate modelling.

Eli, and the bunnies, have been following the on line review of Ice melt, sea level rise and superstorms: evidence from paleoclimate data, climate modeling, and modern observations that 2 °C global warming is highly dangerous by J. Hansen, M. Sato, P. Hearty, R. Ruedy, M. Kelley, V. Masson - Delmotte, G. Russell, G. Tselioudis, J. Cao, E. Rignot, I. Velicogna, E. Kandiano, K. von Schuckmann, P. Kharecha, A. N. Legrande, M. Bauer, and K. - W.

Modern predictive models require data about the specific mechanisms of change too, in order to better project the response to climate change.

It's an observation, and the observed range of natural variation in response to (say) solar cycles are incorporated into modern climate models.

Researchers investigated the response of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) to the rise of atmospheric CO2 in the NCAR Climate System Model version 3, with the focus on the different responses under modern and glacial periods.

That might have changed this week with the coverage of announcement of «Ice Melt, Sea Level Rise and Superstorms: Evidence from Paleoclimate Data, Climate Modeling, and Modern Observations that 2 °C Global Warming is Highly Dangerous» by James Hansen and 16 other eminent scientists.

The injection of stratospheric aerosols from the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo was noted as the first modern test of a known radiative forcing, and indeed one climate model accurately predicted the temperature response (Hansen et al., 1992).

«It is unlikely that coastal cities or low - lying areas such as Bangladesh, European lowlands, and large portions of the United States eastern coast and northeast China plains could be protected against such large sea level rise,» states a report co-authored by Hansen, titled «Ice Melt, Sea Level Rise and Superstorms: Evidence from Paleoclimate Data, Climate Modeling, and Modern Observations that 2 °C Global Warming is Highly Dangerous».

Instead climate scientists have developed scientific predictive techniques (aka computer climate models) that are informed by the paleoclimatic data we have, but that also incorporate the differences between the climate of modern humanity and the analyzed paleoclimates into their analyses.