I just finished the initial stages of an analysis that will be available to my clients highlighting the value
of momentum strategies.
Momentum is one of the most compelling factors in theoretical long — short paper portfolios, but live results
of momentum strategies fall short of theoretical returns.
Clif Droke is the editor
of Momentum Strategies Report and Gold & Silver Stock Report.
«An important advantage
of momentum strategies is that they may provide downside protection during sharp market corrections, while maintaining upside participation during bull markets... Undoubtedly, these strategies also experience periods of subpar performance.
Years of suppressed volatility and the success
of momentum strategies — betting on yesterday's winners rising even further — have led many investors to pile into similar investments, as the chart below shows.
Investment advisory firm Aptus Capital Advisors (ACA) is making its first entry into the ETF space today with the launch
of a momentum strategy ETF on the Bats Global Markets Exchange (which owns ETF.com).
The obvious way to combine strategies is to use leverage: for example, to reduce the market risk
of a momentum strategy as much as possible, to do the same thing with a value strategy, and then to borrow money at a low rate in order to get exposure to both.
Third, based on this result, we investigate whether there exist capacity constraints in time - series momentum strategies, by running predictive regressions
of momentum strategy performance on lagged capital flows into the CTA industry.
Thus, the implementation capabilities of an active manager
of a momentum strategy should be reviewed just as rigorously as, if not more so, the manager's trading expertise.
But in our opinion, passive implementation
of a momentum strategy is not advisable.
For example, Frazzini, Israel, and Moskowitz (2012) analyze trading costs associated with an actual implementation
of a momentum strategy by an active manager.
Three versions
of the momentum strategy are reported for the United States because three different holding periods were used to measure recent returns.
Other researchers, including Novy - Marx and Velikov (2014) and Hsu et al. (forthcoming), have estimated the trading costs associated with index - like implementation
of a momentum strategy.
Being cognizant of these risks, how can an investor best exploit the insights
of a momentum strategy?
Certainly, an active implementation
of a momentum strategy, which incorporates a careful study of liquidity, makes sense for some investors.
Not exact matches
On the initiative's launch, H.E. Huda Al Hashimi, Assistant Director General for
Strategy and Innovation at the UAE Prime Minister's Office asserts that owing to the
momentum of the previous years» innovation - themed week, this year, it was extended to a whole month to give people more time to visit and interact with activities.
This is a great
strategy for showing what your team is made
of and building some strong
momentum for the coming year.
«With the US labor market recovery gaining
momentum, the hope for stronger global growth in 2014 is motivating investors to take on risk,» said Kathy Lien, managing director
of FX
Strategy at BK Asset Management.
However, utilizing most or all
of these
strategies simultaneously over time will definitely give your credit score upward
momentum, the results
of which you should start seeing within six to 12 months (possibly sooner), depending on your unique situation.
Alberto Gallo, Algebris Head
of Macro
Strategies, says the growth
momentum is fading.
During my review
of several quantitative trading books and papers, I kept on seeing information on two classes
of trading
strategies: mean reversion and
momentum.
Because my
strategy is focused on trend trading the
momentum of leading stocks, I generally avoid the short side
of the market whenever my market timing model is on a buy signal (as it presently is).
Because our
momentum - based
strategy for swing trading stocks focuses primarily on small to midcap stocks (many
of which are traded on the Nasdaq), we would obviously welcome the next phase
of the market rally being driven by the Nasdaq.
On the heels
of a
momentum - based environment in 2017, we may be approaching a market inflection point that could benefit Fundamental Index ™
strategies.
In their May 2012 paper entitled «Adaptive Asset Allocation: A Primer», Adam Butler, Michael Philbrick and Rodrigo Gordillo backtest a progression
of strategies culminating in an Adaptive Asset Allocation (AAA)
strategy that incorporates return predictability from relative
momentum (last 120 trading days, about six months), volatility predictability from recent volatility (last 60 trading days) and pairwise correlation predictability from recent correlations (last 250 trading days).
In their November 2017 paper entitled «Risk Adjusted
Momentum Strategies: A Comparison between Constant and Dynamic Volatility Scaling Approaches», Minyou Fan, Youwei Li and Jiadong Liu compare performances of five futures momentum strategies and two ben
Momentum Strategies: A Comparison between Constant and Dynamic Volatility Scaling Approaches», Minyou Fan, Youwei Li and Jiadong Liu compare performances of five futures momentum strategies and two b
Strategies: A Comparison between Constant and Dynamic Volatility Scaling Approaches», Minyou Fan, Youwei Li and Jiadong Liu compare performances
of five futures
momentum strategies and two ben
momentum strategies and two b
strategies and two benchmarks:
To check, we add PowerShares DB G10 Currency Harvest (DBV) to the following mix
of asset class proxies (the same used in «Simple Asset Class ETF
Momentum Strategy»):
For comparison, the table also shows ranking
of asset classes by
momentum as specified in the baseline Momentum S
momentum as specified in the baseline
Momentum S
Momentum Strategy.
Our stock and dividend reports together can provide a unique picture
of each firm's investment potential, from value through income through
momentum strategies and beyond.
In their September 2016 paper entitled «Risk - Managed Industry
Momentum and Momentum Crashes», Klaus Grobys, Joni Ruotsalainen and Janne Aijo investigate the profitability of risk - managed industry momentum str
Momentum and
Momentum Crashes», Klaus Grobys, Joni Ruotsalainen and Janne Aijo investigate the profitability of risk - managed industry momentum str
Momentum Crashes», Klaus Grobys, Joni Ruotsalainen and Janne Aijo investigate the profitability
of risk - managed industry
momentum str
momentum strategies.
Without revenue growth, roll - up
strategies lose
momentum, and the underlying economics
of business are revealed for what they truly are.
A history
of massive earnings growth, a valid base
of consolidation, and a price at / near the 52 - week high are three key elements
of our
momentum trading
strategy for finding the best stock breakouts.
Commonly called the «debt snowball,» this
strategy can help you win the crucial psychological battle
of overcoming debt: Paying off the smallest balances first means you'll score some «big wins» and start gaining
momentum right away in what can be a long, discouraging process.
The
momentum factor — securities with strong recent price gains — has outperformed in economic expansions, our Factor - based
Strategies Group's analysis
of U.S. factor performance since 1990 suggests.
«We agree that the majority
of the
momentum generated by Lulu during 4Q and extending into 1Q is being driven by exceptional product innovation, a solid omnichannel
strategy with an improved website, and investments in marketing,» wrote Chen.
In addition, we take a look at combining value and
momentum for a winning
strategy and review the dismal track record
of stock market forecasters.
«Our estimates... imply that implementation costs erode almost the entirety
of the return to value and
momentum strategies...
momentum profits, in particular, may be out
of reach for the typical asset manager.»
Since our stock trading
strategy focuses on buying breakouts and pullbacks
of strong, uptrending, there remains a lack
of quality,
momentum - driven ETFs and stocks to buy for short - term trading.
Is there a best time
of the month for measuring
momentum within the Simple Asset Class ETF Momentum Strategy (
momentum within the Simple Asset Class ETF
Momentum Strategy (
Momentum Strategy (SACEMS)?
Does adding a position stop - loss rule improve the performance
of the «Simple Asset Class ETF
Momentum Strategy» (SACEMS) by avoiding some downside volatility?
A subscriber requested corroboration
of the findings in «Simple Debt Class Mutual Fund
Momentum Strategy» with a universe restricted to a family
of bond funds (such as Fidelity) to enable low - cost fund switching.
He then investigates the performance
of this dual
momentum strategy as a safe haven during S&P 500 crises defined in two ways: (1) drawdowns
of at least 20 % peak to trough; or, (2) monthly declines
of at least 5 %.
One
of the TAA
strategies that I have often been asked about is Antonacci's Composite Dual
Momentum (ACDM from now on).
In the November 2013 version
of his paper entitled «The Real - Life Performance
of Market Timing with Moving Average and Time - Series
Momentum Rules», Valeriy Zakamulin tests realistic long - only implementations
of these
strategies with estimated trading frictions.
A subscriber requested confirmation
of the performance
of a simple
momentum strategy that each month selects the best performing debt mutual fund based on total return over the past three months.
Their
momentum strategy employs a complex daily moving average cross-over model with target volatility 10 % that has an average annual turnover
of 400 %.
To check, we add BWX to the following mix
of asset class proxies (the same used in «Simple Asset Class ETF
Momentum Strategy»):
In the November 2015 version
of their paper entitled «Dissecting Investment
Strategies in the Cross Section and Time Series», Jamil Baz, Nicolas Granger, Campbell Harvey, Nicolas Le Roux and Sandy Rattray explore time - series and cross-sectional carry, momentum and value strategies as applied to multiple asse
Strategies in the Cross Section and Time Series», Jamil Baz, Nicolas Granger, Campbell Harvey, Nicolas Le Roux and Sandy Rattray explore time - series and cross-sectional carry,
momentum and value
strategies as applied to multiple asse
strategies as applied to multiple asset classes.
How do the behaviors
of time - series (absolute) and cross-sectional (relative) carry,
momentum and value
strategies differ?
Does adding a position take - profit (stop - gain) rule improve the performance
of the «Simple Asset Class ETF
Momentum Strategy» (SACEMS) by harvesting some upside volatility?