When scientists in the 1960s - 70s compiled data to build their global average temperature series they used state averages
of monthly mean temperatures from weather stations around the world.
A similar conclusion was drawn from a similar analysis applied to a (spatially sparse) global network
of monthly mean temperatures, where the effect of spatial dependencies for inter-annual and inter-decadal variations could be ruled out (Benestad, 2004).
The first is Bias - Correction Spatial Disaggregation (BCSD)(Wood et al., 2004) following Maurer et al., (2008) with the following modifications: the incorporation of monthly minimum and maximum temperature instead
of monthly mean temperature, as suggested by Bürger et al., (2012) and bias correction using detrended quantile mapping with delta method extrapolation following Bürger et al., (2013).
Observed change
of monthly mean temperature for Northern Norway since year 1900, relative to the 1901 - 2000 mean.
Observed change
of monthly mean temperature for Vardø since year 1840, relative to the 1901 - 2000 mean.
Observed change
of monthly mean temperature for Jan Mayen since year 1921, relative to the 1901 - 2000 mean.
Observed change
of monthly mean temperature for Svalbard since year 1912, relative to the 1901 - 2000 mean.
Effective May 2, 2011, the Global Historical Climatology Network - Monthly (GHCN - M) version 3 dataset
of monthly mean temperature has replaced GHCN - M version 2 as the dataset for operational climate monitoring activities.
Not exact matches
Normalised RMS error in simulation
of climatological patterns
of monthly precipitation,
mean sea level pressure and surface air
temperature.
This figure from the McLean et al (2009) research shows that
mean monthly global
temperature (MSU GTTA) corresponds in general terms with the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI)
of seven months earlier.
The
monthly mean temperature of the coldest month is below the freezing point.
Data
of climate variables (
mean precipitation;
mean temperature;
mean ground frost frequency) at
monthly intervals (1961 - 90) were sourced from the IPCC (http://www.ipcc-data.org).
The map is set to chart a course around the world based on a
monthly mean temperature of 72ºF (22ºC), which according to Canadian Geographic, is the
temperature some medical experts believe to be ideal for the human body.
The
mean monthly minimum
temperature in winter is 61F and 75F in summer, with maximums
of 82F in winter and 91F in summer.
The
mean monthly minimum
temperature in winter is 61C and 75C in summer, with maximums
of 82C in winter and 91C in summer.
There is a difference in
monthly mean temperature of 10 °C between the cities
of Los Angeles and San Diego.
The warming trends in looking at numerous 100 year
temperature plots from northern and high elevation climate stations... i.e. warming trends in annual
mean and minimum
temperature averages, winter
monthly means and minimums and especially winter minimum
temperatures and dewpoints... indicate climate warming that is being driven by the accumulation
of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere — no visible effects from other things like changes in solar radiation or the levels
of cosmic rays.
The
monthly mean is obtained as the average
of each daily maximum and minimum
temperature, so that the warm bias is not reduced by averaging.
This can be done a number
of ways, firstly, plotting the observational data and the models used by IPCC with a common baseline
of 1980 - 1999
temperatures (as done in the 2007 report)(Note that the model output is for the annual
mean,
monthly variance would be larger):
Mean temperature,
mean monthly precipitation, frequency
of hot / cold days / nights, and indices
of extreme precipitation are all estimated for each country based on observed and modeled data.
The warmth was most dramatic in September, which saw a
mean temperature anomaly
of +2.75 C, setting a new
monthly record by more than a degree.
Further analysis showed that the absolute
monthly maximum / minimum
temperature was poorly correlated with that
of the previous month, ruling out depeendency in time (this is also true for
monthly mean temperature — hence, «seasonal forecasting» is very difficult in this region).
About taking differences (current period figures less prior period figures)
of anomalies: the anomalies are the value less the
monthly mean (i.e., the
mean for the particular month over the years, in this case 32 full years), as is the usual practice with climate data (most notably
temperature).
While the changes in both the
mean and higher order statistical moments (e.g., variance)
of time - series
of climate variables affect the frequency
of relatively simple extremes (e.g., extreme high daily or
monthly temperatures, damaging winds), changes in the frequency
of more complex extremes are based on changes in the occurrence
of complex atmospheric phenomena (e.g., hurricanes, tornadoes, ice storms).
Normalised RMS error in simulation
of climatological patterns
of monthly precipitation,
mean sea level pressure and surface air
temperature.
Further to my last post on the climate at Heathrow a couple
of hours ago, I have now analysed the weather there and at Oxford since 1958 using annual rather than
monthly data on sun, rain, CO2, and
mean maximum
temperature.
(c) The global
mean (80 ° N to 80 ° S) radiative signature
of upper - tropospheric moistening is given by
monthly time series
of combinations
of satellite brightness
temperature anomalies (°C), relative to the period 1982 to 2004, with the dashed line showing the linear trend
of the key brightness
temperature in °C per decade.
During the drought years
of 2012 — 2015,
mean monthly water
temperatures in the freshwater regions
of the Delta from April to July were on average higher than between 1995 and 2011 (two - factor ANOVA, Bonferroni corrected P < 0.01), demonstrating the effects
of drought on surface water
temperatures (Fig. 1B).
Screen shot
of the «
Monthly mean maximum
temperature» page for St Helens Aerodrome at the Bureau's website
The four climate variables were the first two axes
of two principal components analyses (PCA), one based on the 12
monthly mean temperatures and one on the 12
monthly precipitations, respectively (Fig.
A comparison
of the long term and short term
mean for
monthly precipitation and
temperature from the eight NOAA State
of Washington Division 5 Weather Stations (Cascade Mountains) illustrates three important climate changes in the North Cascades for the 1984 - 1994 period.
• On the climatic scale, the model whose results for
temperature are closest to reality (PCM ‐ 20C3M) has an efficiency
of 0.05, virtually equivalent to an elementary prediction based on the historical
mean; its predictive capacity against other indicators (e.g. maximum and minimum
monthly temperature) is worse.
High values
of the Hurst exponent
of H = 0.66 ± 0.05 for deseasonalized
monthly mean surface
temperatures in the sample period 1850 - 2015 suggest persistence and long term memory in the
temperature time series.
An appreciable number
of nonurban stations in the United States and Canada have been identified with statistically significant (at the 90 % level) decreasing trends in the
monthly mean diurnal
temperature range between 1941 - 80.
The source
of the
monthly mean station
temperatures for the GISS analysis is the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN)
of Peterson and Vose [1997] and updates, available electronically, from the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).
Monthly averages
of global
mean surface
temperature (GMST) include natural variability, and they are influenced by the differing heat capacities
of the oceans and land masses.
Our study suggests that these patterns may also exist in deseasonalized
monthly means of the measured
temperature record in the post industrial era, a period that is normally associated with global warming and climate change.
Running twelve - month averages
of global -
mean and European -
mean surface air
temperature anomalies relative to 1981 - 2010, based on
monthly values from January 1979 to March 2018.
Running twelve - month averages
of global -
mean and European -
mean surface air
temperature anomalies relative to 1981 - 2010, based on
monthly values from January 1979 to April 2018.
Running twelve - month averages
of global -
mean and European -
mean surface air
temperature anomalies relative to 1981 - 2010, based on
monthly values from January 1979 to February 2018.
The warm anomalies in June lasted throughout the entire month (increases in
monthly mean temperature of up to 6 to 7 °C), but July was only slightly warmer than on average (+1 to +3 °C), and the highest anomalies were reached between 1st and 13th August (+7 °C)(Fink et al., 2004).
Instead
of changes in
monthly values
of Temp and precip (and cloud cover) changes in ANNUAL
mean temperature were used to force LPJ.
The record - warm September
means 11
of the past 12 consecutive months dating back to October 2015 have set new
monthly high -
temperature records.
Similarly, the evaporative demand, expressed as
mean day - time vapor pressure deficit (VPD) each month and the number
of frost days (< − 2 °C) were calculated from
monthly mean temperature extremes using the 3 - PG function tools (3PGpjs version 2.7, 3 - PG version 1, September 2010).
The lower two panels compare the reconstructions using the TRW chronology (d) and MXD chronology (e) with the
mean of May to August
monthly temperature from Bottenviken over the period 1860 to 2006.
The March 2010 global
mean temperature was affected by about 2/100
of a degree Celsius, well below the margin
of error (about 15/100
of a degree for
monthly global
means).
Anomalies simply take the average
of the observed
temperatures (daily,
monthly, annual, max, min, or what have you), and convert them to a scale with a different zero point — a zero defined as the
mean observed
temperature over some accepted calibration period.
In regards the gridded network» stations, I have been informed that the Climate Research Unit's (CRU)
monthly mean surface
temperature dataset has been constructed principally from data available on the two websites identified in my letter
of 12 March 2007.
We calculated three metrics
of thermal history: (1) the
mean of the annual maximum DHW from 1985 — 2003 (2) the proportion
of years from 1985 to 2003 in which the maximum DHW exceeded 4 °C · week, and (3) a year - to - year
temperature variability metric from [16], [46], which is the standard deviation
of the maximum
monthly SST from 1985 — 2000 scaled such that the
mean for the world's coral reefs is 1 °C.
Obtain high - resolution climatologies
of maximum, minimum, and
mean temperature and precipitation in British Columbia, on a
monthly and annual basis at 30 arc second (~ 1 km) resolution (developed using PRISM).