«The global warming in 1970 - 1998 was merely a phase in the 60 - year
cycles of natural warming and cooling,» Dr. Bashkirtsev says.
One that Modern Global Warming is
part of a natural warming segment of multi-centennial climate variability and the impact of CO2 is overestimated.
We are also in the midst
of a natural warming trend that began about 1850, as we emerged from a four - hundred - year cold spell known as the «Little Ice Age.»
I get about 1.7 W / m2 increase in GHG forcing between 1944 and 1998 — remember the
regime of natural warming and cooling and you wouldn't want to include natural cooling in your start point — for at most a 0.5 degree C warming.
If one assumes that the modern decadal warming in reality was simply a cyclical repeat of the early 20th century
decades of natural warming, then in actuality, at best, the gigantic increases of CO2 levels were only responsible for maybe a mere +0.14 °C increase (+0.55 °C - +0.41 °C = +0.14 °C) over the 3 decades ending in 2009.
When one does the arithmetic (86,400 seconds per day times 1,950 H - bombs / second), that's approximately 169 million Hiroshima
bombs of natural warming per day.
Since the climate has demonstrably changed in the past many times, all assumed to be natural, then our random selections of time periods would most likely encompass
periods of natural warming or natural cooling.
Cooling sea - surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific Ocean —
part of a natural warm and cold cycle — may explain why global average temperatures have stabilized in recent years, even as greenhouse gas emissions have been warming the planet.
By examining how Earth cools itself back down after a period
of natural warming, a study by scientists at Duke University and NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory confirms that global temperature does not rise or fall chaotically in the long run.
But almost
all of the natural warming, including the mid-20th century hump, was caused by the sun.
except we've measured the deep ocean temperatures and found that those waters are holding the increased warming during one
of the natural warming / cooling cycles.
The plot as such looks to me like an interesting scientific question (influence of CO2) coincided with a period
of natural warming to create a political jihad that, like Communism before it, renounces market and natural forces in favor of central planning and autocratic control, to in some way save us from ourselves even if we have to destroy civilization to do it.