Since the 1950s, social scientists have been comparing the predictive accuracies
of number crunchers and traditional experts — and finding that statistical models consistently outpredict experts.
This is a pedagogy useful for creating armies
of number crunchers and for downgrading teachers to supervising the administration of standardized tests, but not much more.
BALTIMORE — Most mathematicians are more interested in double integrals than triple axels, but one team
of number crunchers is concerned that the International Skating Union's new rules for awarding marks for competitive figure skating may fall flat on their face.
Not exact matches
Last year, the company added 70 employees to its roster (head count is one signal
number crunchers say indicates growth) for a current total
of more than 250.
An increase
of just $ 10 a barrel would likely boost any measure
of inflation government
number crunchers could devise above the Fed's 2 percent target for price stability.
The Fed's own
number crunchers say that 11 % delinquency rate only reflects only about half
of the delinquencies because it doesn't look at loans under forbearance or grace periods.
He's not a Bert Blyleven type, who will suddenly get a surge
of support from
numbers crunchers.
While it can be hard to find a way
of accurately measuring a player's value, the
number crunchers show PSG may have overpaid for Neymar by about # 64million — though we doubt they'll care.
Unfortunately our success led to the arrival
of the middling bloodsucker Kroenke and that was when the
number -
crunchers invaded our team and devised a formula that maximized profits with little to no concern for truly competing at the highest levels, thus the emergence
of the Wenger Cup.
A point worth remembering is that successful handicappers usually have some skill at this and most groups
of professional bettors have at least one «
number cruncher» among them who didn't muck around at the back
of the class and paid attention in school during math lessons.
Under par performances and limited match minutes have seen the
number crunchers over at the bookies slash the Manchester United and England captain's odds to a tight 4/1 to leave the United come the start
of next year.
Opening those massive stores
of statistical data to researchers, watchdogs and that crazy guy who's coding in his basement all night could have serious positive effects, not the least in bringing in a lot more
number -
crunchers to help with analysis and also with relating that data to other non-governmental sources.
Meanwhile, a previously unknown
number cruncher called Nate Silver appeared to prove that statistical analysis was a far better predictor
of the result than traditional pollsters, sending shockwaves through politics.
The ace political
number cruncher Robert (now Lord) Hayward tells me: «Unless something substantial changes in the remaining days
of the Euro referendum campaign, the balance
of probability is that the nation will vote to leave.»
«The
number crunchers were telling him that there was good evidence that the Tories» economic recovery was only going to work for a few people rather than for everyone — and that in an election about the cost
of living, he would always have the upper hand.»
But the party's
number crunchers have been hard at work and reckon they're either ahead
of the SNP or within a single percentage point
of them in more than a dozen more.
Political
numbers cruncher Jerry Skurnik called Ulrich the «strongest»
of the contenders mentioned so far, noting about 50,000 to 60,000
of the voters in his Council district also live in NY - 9.
What must be worrying for the
number crunchers in the Lib Dem Cowley Street HQ is that Clegg and the Lib Dems should have been the natural depository
of the dustbin vote
of those who are fleeing from the disaster which is Gordon Brown.
According to Democratic consultant and
numbers -
cruncher Matt Isbell, this is the highest share
of the vote received by any Florida Democrat in at least a decade.
Liberal Democrats have been polled on their favourite
number -
crunchers, with the choice
of self - proclaimed Jeremiah
of Twickenham Vince Cable, or the member
of the powerful «quad» group
of ministers, Danny Alexander.
While Ukip has been commanding the headlines, and the prospects
of the Liberal Democrats and Scottish National Party cause political
number -
crunchers to scratch their heads, the Greens have been gradually gaining ground.
De Blasio is relying on Heastie and his members to carry his water in those talks, and the two men huddled for over an hour Saturday afternoon along with several mayoral aides including Dean Fuleihan, director
of the city's Office
of Management and Budget and formerly a top
number cruncher in the Assembly.
Now, astrophysicists Michael Warren and Chris Fryer have used the IBM RS / 6000 SP supercomputer
of the National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center in Oakland, California, (the fourth fastest
number cruncher in the world) to carry out the first three - dimensional supernova simulations.
The speediness was only possible because the collaboration had approved the text
of the paper in advance, leaving just a few gaps to fill in once the
number -
crunchers had analysed 284
of the first ALICE collisions.
A tactical RPG at heart, filled with equal measures
of gothic Lolita fetishizing and wicked humor, Mugen Souls is a quirky little gem that will satisfy the most hardcore
number crunchers, while leaving the rest
of us slightly bored after the first hours.
His solution is to — with the help
of unprepossessing Peter Brand (Jonah Hill), a geeky
numbers -
cruncher whose radical ideas are dismissed by every other club in the league — completely throw out the conventional wisdom and apply a whole new set
of metrics to measure player skills.
But before the staid
numbers -
cruncher realizes what he's getting into, it's too late to get out, as his increasingly unpredictable new friend drags him through a world
of shoot - outs, double - crosses and espionage that could get them both killed in more ways than Calvin can count.
But before the staid
numbers -
cruncher realizes what he's getting into, it's too late to get out, as his increasingly unpredictable new friend drags him through a world
of shoot - outs, double - crosses and espionage that could get them both killed in more ways than he can count.
Suddenly, veteran scouts, with their unempirical observations, were cast aside in favor
of Ivy League
number -
crunchers, and the longstanding value
of sacrifice bunts and stolen bases gave way to the cult
of on - base percentage and walks.
Super
Crunchers: Why Thinking - by -
Numbers Is the New Way to Be Smart by Ian Ayres reports on the «crunching»
of massive amounts
of data.
For the
number crunchers, here's what the R8 can do: 0 - 100 in just 3.2 seconds and a top speed
of 330kmph.
New information and knowledge have come to light thanks to the efforts
of a core group
of individuals; author Hugh Howey and his mathematical
number cruncher Data Guy have released exhaustive information through the Author Earnings reports designed to help authors make informed decisions concerning their... [Read more...]
So when DC Entertainment president Diane Nelson let slip in an interview last month that «Now there are a million downloads a month
of DC stories from our digital publishing,» that gave the
numbers crunchers something to play with.
For the
number crunchers, IDC has predicted Apple to end up with a market share
of 53.8 percent by end 2012 (down from 56.3 percent in 2011), while Android is likely to have 42.7 percent
of the market, up from 39.8 a year ago.
It appears that announced bar industry details are in an indistinguishable class from features moaning about Hollywood's «declining» film industry; by neglecting to represent continually developing remote receipts, the
number -
crunchers bar 60 - 80 %
of aggregate b.o. receipts.
It seems that reported pub industry stats are in the same class as headlines bemoaning Hollywood's «declining» box office; by failing to account for constantly - growing foreign receipts, the
number -
crunchers exclude 60 - 80 %
of total b.o. receipts.
Of course some number cruncher could bend some kind of stat so more money can be bled from the publi
Of course some
number cruncher could bend some kind
of stat so more money can be bled from the publi
of stat so more money can be bled from the public.
Tom Gisler, CPA at Clifton Larson Allen, says, «Most people think
of accountants as
number crunchers just sitting at their computers looking at spreadsheets all day.»
Super
Crunchers is a more full version
of James Montier's 2006 research report, Painting By
Numbers: An Ode To Quant, providing several more anecdotes in support
of Montier's thesis that simple statistical models outperform the best judgements
of experts.
The Fed's own
number crunchers say that 11 % delinquency rate only reflects only about half
of the delinquencies because it doesn't look at loans under forbearance or grace periods.
In order to determine where Americans» furry and slimy companions can enjoy the best quality
of life without breaking the bank, WalletHub's
number crunchers compared the creature - friendliness
of the 100 largest cities across 21 key metrics.
My mania for all things Uncharted 2: Among Thieves is a well known fact around these parts, but it is by no means a singular obsession according to Sony's diligent
number crunchers, who calculate a collective total
of 27 + years has been logged on the multiplayer demo.
BioWare's trilogy - ending space RPG sold double what Mass Effect 2 managed during its opening month
of January 2010,
number -
cruncher NPD revealed.
Number crunchers checking my calculation might notice that 29 mtoe
of electricity is only 362 TWh, not 380.
Cargo Cult logicians accuse the father
of Dynamic Logic
of getting crunched
numbers aver crunching
numbers with a
number cruncher.
Sometimes in their zeal to exaggerate the «social benefits»
of one
of its programs, the
number -
crunchers at government agencies will stoop to absurd arguments that end up coming back to bite them.
But
number -
crunchers on both sides
of the debate will likely keep trying.
Not sure I follow your train
of thought, but I can handle that last question: the Hadley graphs clearly come down for the past two years, and I have seen the results from
number crunchers which validate that result.
The
number crunchers at corporate get very sensitive when they start to see a lot
of one star reviews, because they can quantify the how much money that loses their franchises.
Both Lexis and Westlaw have done their usual slew
of Joint Ventures, Mergers and Buyouts in the world
of legal technology to boost ever decreasing revenues and as late as mid March press departments at both companies were in silent mode as the
number crunchers and management run around furiously creating end
of... [more]