Progress in the longer term depends on identifying and correcting model biases, accumulating as complete a set of historic observations as possible, and developing improved methods of detection and correction
of observational biases.»
Nevertheless, the nodal distances mainly depend on the size and shape of the orbit, parameters which are relatively free
of observational bias.
Not exact matches
Another possibility is that they have seen only a fraction
of all the satellites associated with the Milky Way due to various
observational biases.
Now, however, two astronomers from the Complutense University
of Madrid have applied a new technique, less exposed to
observational bias, to study a special type
of trans - Neptunian objects: the extreme ones (ETNOs, located at average distances greater than 150 AU and that never cross Neptune's orbit).
Although reanalysis
of the available evidence is important, the ability to properly control for
bias and confounding [factors that can influence outcomes] in
observational studies is often limited, and without randomized controlled trials specifically designed to test the hypothesis, the issue
of nonspecific effects
of vaccines may remain subject to continuing debate.»
We estimate that ~ 35 %
of KOIs are false positives due to contamination, when performing a first - order correction for
observational bias.
Also, the spectra did not show any signs
of binarity or artefacts, so although these three superflare stars with low S index are hard to explain with any
of the proposed scenarios, we do not find any
observational bias that can remove them from the sample population.
The most accepted theory establishes that the orbits
of these objects, which travel beyond Neptune, should be distributed randomly, and by an
observational bias, their paths must fulfil a series
of characteristics: have a semi-major axis with a value close to 150 AU (astronomical units or times the distance between the Earth and the Sun), an inclination
of almost 0 ° and an argument or angle
of perihelion (closest point
of the orbit to our Sun) also close to 0 ° or 180 °.
We have chosen the PEBO as an example because 1) it is a topic that is amenable to conducting randomized controlled trials (RCTs), and thus, there are not insurmountable barriers to moving beyond
observational evidence, and 2) it seems like a less politically charged topic than the topics
of some previous publications on
biased reporting [eg, sugar - sweetened beverages (2, 3) and breastfeeding (4)-RSB- to better facilitate the discussion
of extrascientific factors that affect the fidelity
of research reporting.
When performed properly, they allow the least amount
of bias and demonstrate causation — unlike lesser - quality study approaches, such as
observational studies or case - control studies.
Observational studies have a high risk
of bias owing to problems such as self - selection
of interventions (people who believe in the benefits
of meditation or who have prior experience with meditation are more likely to enroll in a meditation program and report that they benefited from one) and use
of outcome measures that can be easily
biased by participants» beliefs in the benefits
of meditation.
Not only does it use a small sample size, but it is a non-randomized, non-blinded, prospective
observational study that may also be confounded by selection
bias — in other words, the subjects may not be representative
of the population
of individuals with IBD.
The results in Table 10 support the notion that the
observational study design does a good job
of controlling for selection
bias in the evaluation
of charter effects (or that there is not much selection
bias in the first place).
In the program evaluation literature, this is known as selection
bias, and it makes it very hard to infer the impact
of a particular program or policy from
observational data.
Because value - added measures adjust for the characteristics
of students in a given classroom, they are less
biased measures
of teacher performance than are unadjusted test score measures, and they may be less
biased even than some
observational measures.
Researchers concluded that because districts «do not have processes in place to address the possible
biases in
observational scores,» statistical adjustments might be made to offset said
bias, as might external observers / raters be brought in to yield more «objective»
observational assessments
of teachers.
She designed simulations (2) and (3) to illustrate the plausibility
of the situation suggested next (as written into Audrey's post prior) about potential
bias in both value - added and
observational estimates:
However, researchers found that
observational bias also exists, as akin to value - added
bias, whereas teachers who are non-randomly assigned students who enter their classrooms with higher levels
of prior achievement tend to get higher
observational scores than teachers non-randomly assigned students entering their classrooms with lower levels
of prior achievement.
She used R (i.e., a free software environment for statistical computing and graphics) to simulate correlation scatterplots (see Figures below) to illustrate three unique situations: (1) a simulation where there are two indicators (e.g., teacher value - added and
observational estimates plotted on the x and y axes) that have a correlation
of r = 0.28 (the highest correlation coefficient at issue in the aforementioned post); (2) a simulation exploring the impact
of negative
bias and a moderate correlation on a group
of teachers; and (3) another simulation with two indicators that have a non-linear relationship possibly induced or caused by
bias.
This is true not only for stability, but also for issues
of bias (another claim commonly leveled against VAMs that may well apply to
observational and student survey measures).
At the time, we reported that this would certainly be taken into account in revisions
of data set as more data was processed and better classifications
of the various
observational biases occurred.
In short, irrespective
of what
observational dataset was used — it's likely that an estimate
of forced response made in 2014 would be
biased cold, which on its own would translate to an overestimate
of the available budget
of about 40GtC.
Although I've not been able to find enough to get a broad view
of the Arctic, and some data such as Buoys suffers from an
observational bias — more substantial floes
of ice are chose for the placement
of buoys.
As they point out, «In reality, however,
observational coverage varies over time, observations are themselves prone to
bias, either instrumental or through not being representative
of their wider surroundings, and these
observational biases can change over time.
IN this case, Judith's explains her own «
bias» (what could be fairer that that) thusly: «my reasoning is weighted heavily in favor
of observational evidence and understanding
of natural internal variability
of the climate system, whereas the IPCC's reasoning is weighted heavily in favor
of climate model simulations and external forcing
of climate change.»
This reminds me
of the time I mixed uncorrected radiocarbon dates with corrected ones, and got a bit skewed distribution
of volcanic events, though I tried to correct for
observational bias on earlier and smaller eruptions.
Accounting for the considerable disagreement among satellite - era
observational datasets on the distribution
of snow water equivalent, CanESM2 has too much springtime snow cover over the Canadian land mass, reflecting a broader Northern Hemisphere positive
bias.
The experts you selectively quote say» it is not clear whether the difference is a result
of common
biases in GCMs,
biases in
observational datasets, or both», whereas you make your own conclusion and suggest that the radiosonde are correct and everything else is wrong.
As a result, the study would provide little evidence that historical period
observational estimates
of ECS have been
biased low in relation to effective climate sensitivity.
Po Chedley say: «The apparent model -
observational difference for tropical upper tropospheric warming represents an important problem, but it is not clear whether the difference is a result
of common
biases in GCMs,
biases in
observational datasets, or both.»
Finally, unlike precipitation, for which long and reliable historical records exist in some parts
of the world, records for other aspects
of weather are too short to detect trends or contain
observational biases that render trends meaningless.
The third paragraph states, «One source
of bias - due to poor
observational coverage - has been discussed in our recent paper, although it was reported back in 2009, and it was addressed by NASA as long ago as 1987.»
In order to reliably interpret surface temperature variations we need a good idea
of all the causal factors, including El Niño, solar irradiance, volcanic eruptions,
observational biases, changes in ocean circulation and possible long term oscillations.
One source
of bias - due to poor
observational coverage - has been discussed in our recent paper, although it was reported back in 2009, and it was addressed by NASA as long ago as 1987.
The
bias in the other versions
of the global temperature record due to change in
observational platforms can be estimated from the difference between the raw and adjusted HadSST3 data, and is shown in Figure 2.
On the other hand, the results would be founded in
observational facts and data, and would not be nearly as subject to the whims and
biases of an agendized clique
of climate modelers whose basic starting point is, and always will be, «Nothing else but C02 explains it.»
The scenario encapsulates so much BS from assumptions, ignorance
of observational trends, rational action on big and apparent dangers, and then there is the data sets, the models, the potential for
bias, did I mention the assumptions.
... But by placing the null hypothesis in a priviledged position from which it can only be dislodged by a mountain
of observational evidence, this approach provides a strong inbuilt
bias for the status quo which can not be justified on any rational decision - theoretic grounds.»
• These results could arise due to errors common to all models; to significant non-climatic influences remaining within some or all
of the
observational data sets, leading to
biased long - term trend estimates; or a combination
of these factors.
Previous studies found large
biases between individual
observational and model estimates
of historical ocean anthropogenic carbon uptake.
An understudied yet crucial source
of measurement variance within
observational tools is whether the «gold standard» ratings that account for whether a trained rater passes certification
of reliability has cultural
biases that would unfairly privilege some groups
of people with certain cultural vantage points over others.
However, the significant correlation obtained between maternal and paternal supportive strategies displayed during the Picture - book Task could indicate a
bias of the
observational design by inhibiting fathers» spontaneous behaviors.
[jounal] Floyd, F. J. / 1983 /
Observational biases in spouse observation: Toward a cognitive / behavioral model
of marriage / Journal
of Consulting and Clinical Psychology 51 (3): 450 ~ 457