«We are still at least a decade away from developing a detailed enough understanding that can be converted in any sort
of operational forecasting,» Szabo notes.
We continually monitor the accuracy
of our operational forecasts.
Not exact matches
«It's impressive, considering that current state -
of - the - art numerical weather models, such as NOA's Global Forecast System, or the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather
Forecasts»
operational model, are only skillful up to one to two weeks in advance,» says paper co-author Cory Baggett, a postdoctoral researcher in the Barnes and Maloney labs.
Also, the Jason - 3 measurements
of ocean waves and ocean surface topography will be essential inputs to numerical
forecasts of sea state and ocean currents and to other applications in the areas
of marine meteorology and
operational oceanography.
«His understanding
of the vital collaborations between NOAA, private
forecasting companies, and the academic community can help foster the movement
of research to
operational forecasting and advance the nation's weather prediction capabilities.
While that «certainly bodes well in terms
of our
forecast,» Jon Gottschalck, chief
of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center -
Operational Prediction Branch, said, whether or not that is already El Niño pushing the atmosphere around is less certain, given that the strongest connections don't typically begin until December.
To provide mechanisms for transition
of predictive /
forecasting and monitoring tools into
operational use for management;
Moukouba Moutoumounkata is a Meteorologist, Data Scientist, specialized in
operational seasonal and interannual climate
forecasting at the National Meteorological Department
of the Agence Nationale d'Aviation Civile (ANAC Congo) in Brazzaville, Congo.
A significant element
of this work is to understand the strategic and demand
forecast plans for each
of the major programmes
of work, and to translate how those demands will feed into the
Operational Pipelines.
Such statements reflect the current views
of Barnes & Noble with respect to future events, the outcome
of which is subject to certain risks, including, among others, the general economic environment and consumer spending patterns, decreased consumer demand for Barnes & Noble's products, low growth or declining sales and net income due to various factors, possible disruptions in Barnes & Noble's computer systems, telephone systems or supply chain, possible risks associated with data privacy, information security and intellectual property, possible work stoppages or increases in labor costs, possible increases in shipping rates or interruptions in shipping service, effects
of competition, possible risks that inventory in channels
of distribution may be larger than able to be sold, possible risks associated with changes in the strategic direction
of the device business, including possible reduction in sales
of content, accessories and other merchandise and other adverse financial impacts, possible risk that component parts will be rendered obsolete or otherwise not be able to be effectively utilized in devices to be sold, possible risk that financial and
operational forecasts and projections are not achieved, possible risk that returns from consumers or channels
of distribution may be greater than estimated, the risk that digital sales growth is less than expectations and the risk that it does not exceed the rate
of investment spend, higher - than - anticipated store closing or relocation costs, higher interest rates, the performance
of Barnes & Noble's online, digital and other initiatives, the success
of Barnes & Noble's strategic investments, unanticipated increases in merchandise, component or occupancy costs, unanticipated adverse litigation results or effects, product and component shortages, the potential adverse impact on the Company's businesses resulting from the Company's prior reviews
of strategic alternatives and the potential separation
of the Company's businesses, the risk that the transactions with Microsoft and Pearson do not achieve the expected benefits for the parties or impose costs on the Company in excess
of what the Company anticipates, including the risk that NOOK Media's applications are not commercially successful or that the expected distribution
of those applications is not achieved, risks associated with the international expansion contemplated by the relationship with Microsoft, including that it is not successful or is delayed, the risk that NOOK Media is not able to perform its obligations under the Microsoft and Pearson commercial agreements and the consequences thereof, risks associated with the restatement contained in, the delayed filing
of, and the material weakness in internal controls described in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended April 27, 2013, risks associated with the SEC investigation disclosed in the quarterly report on Form 10 - Q for the fiscal quarter ended October 26, 2013, risks associated with the ongoing efforts to rationalize the NOOK business and the expected costs and benefits
of such efforts and associated risks and other factors which may be outside
of Barnes & Noble's control, including those factors discussed in detail in Item 1A, «Risk Factors,» in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended April 27, 2013, and in Barnes & Noble's other filings made hereafter from time to time with the SEC.
Such statements reflect the current views
of Barnes & Noble with respect to future events, the outcome
of which is subject to certain risks, including, among others, the effect
of the proposed separation
of NOOK Media, the general economic environment and consumer spending patterns, decreased consumer demand for Barnes & Noble's products, low growth or declining sales and net income due to various factors, possible disruptions in Barnes & Noble's computer systems, telephone systems or supply chain, possible risks associated with data privacy, information security and intellectual property, possible work stoppages or increases in labor costs, possible increases in shipping rates or interruptions in shipping service, effects
of competition, possible risks that inventory in channels
of distribution may be larger than able to be sold, possible risks associated with changes in the strategic direction
of the device business, including possible reduction in sales
of content, accessories and other merchandise and other adverse financial impacts, possible risk that component parts will be rendered obsolete or otherwise not be able to be effectively utilized in devices to be sold, possible risk that financial and
operational forecasts and projections are not achieved, possible risk that returns from consumers or channels
of distribution may be greater than estimated, the risk that digital sales growth is less than expectations and the risk that it does not exceed the rate
of investment spend, higher - than - anticipated store closing or relocation costs, higher interest rates, the performance
of Barnes & Noble's online, digital and other initiatives, the success
of Barnes & Noble's strategic investments, unanticipated increases in merchandise, component or occupancy costs, unanticipated adverse litigation results or effects, product and component shortages, risks associated with the commercial agreement with Samsung, the potential adverse impact on the Company's businesses resulting from the Company's prior reviews
of strategic alternatives and the potential separation
of the Company's businesses (including with respect to the timing
of the completion thereof), the risk that the transactions with Pearson and Samsung do not achieve the expected benefits for the parties or impose costs on the Company in excess
of what the Company anticipates, including the risk that NOOK Media's applications are not commercially successful or that the expected distribution
of those applications is not achieved, risks associated with the international expansion previously undertaken, including any risks associated with a reduction
of international operations following termination
of the Microsoft commercial agreement, the risk that NOOK Media is not able to perform its obligations under the Pearson and Samsung commercial agreements and the consequences thereof, the risks associated with the termination
of Microsoft commercial agreement, including potential customer losses, risks associated with the restatement contained in, the delayed filing
of, and the material weakness in internal controls described in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended April 27, 2013, risks associated with the SEC investigation disclosed in the quarterly report on Form 10 - Q for the fiscal quarter ended October 26, 2013, risks associated with the ongoing efforts to rationalize the NOOK business and the expected costs and benefits
of such efforts and associated risks and other factors which may be outside
of Barnes & Noble's control, including those factors discussed in detail in Item 1A, «Risk Factors,» in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended May 3, 2014, and in Barnes & Noble's other filings made hereafter from time to time with the SEC.
Such statements reflect the current views
of Barnes & Noble with respect to future events, the outcome
of which is subject to certain risks, including, among others, the general economic environment and consumer spending patterns, decreased consumer demand for Barnes & Noble's products, low growth or declining sales and net income due to various factors, including store closings, higher - than - anticipated or increasing costs, including with respect to store closings, relocation, occupancy (including in connection with lease renewals) and labor costs, the effects
of competition, the risk
of insufficient access to financing to implement future business initiatives, risks associated with data privacy and information security, risks associated with Barnes & Noble's supply chain, including possible delays and disruptions and increases in shipping rates, various risks associated with the digital business, including the possible loss
of customers, declines in digital content sales, risks and costs associated with ongoing efforts to rationalize the digital business and the digital business not being able to perform its obligations under the Samsung commercial agreement and the consequences thereof, the risk that financial and
operational forecasts and projections are not achieved, the performance
of Barnes & Noble's initiatives including but not limited to its new store concept and e-commerce initiatives, unanticipated adverse litigation results or effects, potential infringement
of Barnes & Noble's intellectual property by third parties or by Barnes & Noble
of the intellectual property
of third parties, and other factors, including those factors discussed in detail in Item 1A, «Risk Factors,» in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended April 30, 2016, and in Barnes & Noble's other filings made hereafter from time to time with the SEC.
The measurement systems were designed to meet the
operational requirements
of aviation meteorology and the daily weather
forecasting mainly, with some cost vs. accuracy trade - offs.
NASA's Carbon Monitoring System (CMS) combines mechanistic «forward» models and empirical «inverse» models
of atmospheric CO2 and other variables using a technique called «data assimilation» that is closely analogous to
operational weather
forecasting (Bowman et al, 2017).
I think the obvious way to do it would be to escrow the exact code and
operational scripts at the time
of prediction, and then at the time
of evaluation load all best - available current data on forcings and mother model inputs and then measure
forecast accuracy.
In doing so, they fail to recognize the important distinction between the
operational hurricane
forecasting problem (a classical initial value problem) and the boundary value problem addressed in KT04, where one is concerned with the maximum hurricane intensity that is possible for a given set
of largescale environmental conditions (i.e., a climatological or statistical distribution
of maximum intensities).
It has
forecast that switching to renewable power will save 6 %
of its
operational costs by 2020 — and up to 26 % by 2030.
Operational difficulties arising from inadequate renewable electricity generation
forecasting, market design or management issues, and the availability and coordination
of ancillary services
A primary goal
of JRA - 25 is to provide a consistent and high - quality reanalysis dataset for climate research, monitoring, and
operational forecasts, especially by improving the coverage and quality
of analysis in the Asian region.
Sea surface temperature (SST) measured from Earth Observation Satellites in considerable spatial detail and at high frequency, is increasingly required for use in the context
of operational monitoring and
forecasting of the ocean, for assimilation into coupled ocean - atmosphere model systems and for applications in short - term numerical weather prediction and longer term climate change detection.
In fact, a major rationale for doing reanalysis at all was the possibility to create long records
of weather, using modern analysis /
forecast systems, and without the
operational discontinuities.
This enables process - driven model development and validation following the scientific method, and is enabling proper initialization
of the land surface in
operational forecast models.
The current
operational ensemble
forecast systems model sea ice dynamically using the LIM2 model within NEMO ocean model to represent the dynamic and thermodynamic evolution
of sea ice within the coupled
forecast system.
The program will include all aspects and methods
of model development from deterministic numerics to stochastic forcing; process modelling to parametrization; observational constraints to diagnostic techniques; idealized modelling to
operational forecasting and climate predictions.
Each year, the June — September
forecasts simulated by the
operational model
of the India Meteorological Department seem to have a «dry bias» over the Ganga basin, predicting less rain will fall than actually does.
«A four - percent increase in
forecast accuracy at five or six days normally takes several years to achieve,» «This is a major advancement, and it is only the start
of what we may see as much more data from this instrument is incorporated into
operational forecast models at the NOAA» s Environmental Modeling Center.»
Stochastic parametrisations have significantly improved the skill
of weather
forecasting models, and are now used in
operational forecasting centres worldwide.
In practice, the probabilities generated from
operational weather ensemble
forecasts are not highly reliable, though with a set
of past
forecasts (reforecasts or hindcasts) and observations, the probability estimates from the ensemble can be adjusted to ensure greater reliability.
NPOESS was intended as an
operational system to provide state -
of - the art data for weather
forecasting and climate system monitoring.
The overall performance
of the
operational medium - range
forecasts is summarised using a set
of headline scores which highlight different aspects
of forecast skill.
Observations, assimilation and the improvement
of global weather prediction - some results from
operational forecasting and ERA - 40 A. J. Simmons 17.
Operational Weather
Forecasting covers the whole process of forecast production, from understanding the nature of the forecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which to initialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (or models) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time and then interpreting the model output and putting it into a form which is relevant to customers of weather
Forecasting covers the whole process
of forecast production, from understanding the nature
of the
forecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which to initialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (or models) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time and then interpreting the model output and putting it into a form which is relevant to customers of weather
forecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which to initialise and verify
forecasts, designing and building a model (or models) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time and then interpreting the model output and putting it into a form which is relevant to customers
of weather
forecasts.
In this study, a comprehensive set
of multimodel ensemble averaging techniques with varying complexities are investigated for
operational forecasting over four river basins in the Western United States.
Using meteorological data in addition to
operational and facility data for variable wind and solar generators greater than 5 MW, the IESO is able to
forecast the amount
of hourly energy to be provided from variable resources in regions across Ontario.
CNRM (Chevallier et al.), 4.39 (3.45 - 5.03), Modeling (fully - coupled) CNRM outlook is based on the
operational seasonal
forecast issued by Météo France in early July 2016 with the System 5 (component
of the European multi-model EUROSIP).
CAMS has several thousand users worldwide, with about 1,000
of them relying on the daily
operational near - real - time
forecasts.
The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) has recently completed two proof -
of - concepts that will make historical data and seasonal
forecasts available to the energy sector, and is now preparing to enter the
operational phase
of the follow - up services.
On behalf
of CAMS senior scientists Antje Inness and Roberto Ribas, Engelen presented their collaborative work with the data providers on acquiring and testing the preliminary Sentinel - 5P data for the CAMS system and how the new data will be implemented in the
operational CAMS
forecast system.
The two components that are
of the most significant importance to
operational forecasters are track and intensity
forecasting skill.
The group is in charge
of piloting and developing
operational weather and climate models as well as
forecast methods, which focus on weather changes and climate impacts.
The ECMWF
operational forecast model is the best on the planet, hands down under a variety
of metrics.
So does the NCEP process
of using an
operational weather
forecasting model to integrate the actual measurements into a meteorologically coherent set
of data presented on a regular grid.
The richness
of the meteorological community, including both scientific researchers and the
operational forecasting community, provides the community with both benefits and challenges.
The range
of applications includes oceanographic research,
operational oceanography, seasonal
forecast and (paleo) climate studies.
The power
of hyperspectral sounding has been amply demonstrated by the NASA EOS Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) flying on the Aqua mission in a 13:30 orbit19 in terms
of improved retrieval uncertainty and a significant positive impact on
forecast skill.20
Operational LEO atmospheric temperature and moisture sounding capability in the 2010 + time frame will be provided by two instrument pairs (three during the transition from the current system).
I then went to the ECMWF [the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather
Forecasts] and drew down some high - resolution
operational analysis data — a cocktail
of observations and model data that combine to give a really good picture
of the atmosphere.»
While this challenge poses a serious damping effect to Spotify's revenue, it stands as a facility to thwart efforts from experts to
forecast the company's performance according to its
operational cost, if not quickly taken care
of.
The Internet is not part
of the National Weather Service's
operational data stream and should never be relied upon as a means to obtain the latest
forecast and warning data.
Tags for this Online Resume: Alignment
of Business and IT Missions & Strategies, Analytics, Application Development, Asset Management, Asset Valuations, Best Practices, Big Data, Business Development, Business Intelligence, Business Process Reengineering, BPR, Business Strategy, Change Management, Cloud Computing, Consultative Sales, Consulting, Cross-Functional Team Leadership, Customer Relationship Management, CRM, Due Diligence, Enterprise Application Integration, EAI, Enterprise Architecture, Enterprise Resource Planning, ERP, Enterprise Software, Financial Analysis,
Forecasting, IT Service Management, ITSM, IT Strategy, Investment Analysis, Investment Strategy, Key Performance Indicators, KPI, Knowledge Management, Managed Service Provider, MSP, Mergers and Acquisitions, M&A, Operations,
Operational Efficiency,
Operational Excellence, Operations Management, Organizational Development, Portfolio Management, Private Equity, Profit and Loss, P&L, Program Management, Project Management, Regulatory Compliance, ROI, Sales, Salesforce, Sales Management, Security - Oriented Architecture, SOA, Staff Development, Staff Management, Supply Chain, Systems Integration, Training and Development, Training Delivery, Account Management, Client Management, Client Relations, Client Relationship Management, Crisis Communications, Crisis Intervention, Crisis Management, IaaS, Key Account Management, Major Account Management, National Account Management, PaaS, Public Speaking, Risk Assessment, Risk Management, Risk Mitigation, SaaS, Solutions Selling, Strategic Business Planning, Strategic Communications, Strategic Partnerships, Strategic Planning
reporting to the CFO, having full
operational responsibility for all global facilities, real estate management, strategic planning, construction projects and planning, EHS, and
forecasting of $ 16MM budget.