Sentences with phrase «of operational forecasting»

«We are still at least a decade away from developing a detailed enough understanding that can be converted in any sort of operational forecasting,» Szabo notes.
We continually monitor the accuracy of our operational forecasts.

Not exact matches

«It's impressive, considering that current state - of - the - art numerical weather models, such as NOA's Global Forecast System, or the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts» operational model, are only skillful up to one to two weeks in advance,» says paper co-author Cory Baggett, a postdoctoral researcher in the Barnes and Maloney labs.
Also, the Jason - 3 measurements of ocean waves and ocean surface topography will be essential inputs to numerical forecasts of sea state and ocean currents and to other applications in the areas of marine meteorology and operational oceanography.
«His understanding of the vital collaborations between NOAA, private forecasting companies, and the academic community can help foster the movement of research to operational forecasting and advance the nation's weather prediction capabilities.
While that «certainly bodes well in terms of our forecast,» Jon Gottschalck, chief of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center - Operational Prediction Branch, said, whether or not that is already El Niño pushing the atmosphere around is less certain, given that the strongest connections don't typically begin until December.
To provide mechanisms for transition of predictive / forecasting and monitoring tools into operational use for management;
Moukouba Moutoumounkata is a Meteorologist, Data Scientist, specialized in operational seasonal and interannual climate forecasting at the National Meteorological Department of the Agence Nationale d'Aviation Civile (ANAC Congo) in Brazzaville, Congo.
A significant element of this work is to understand the strategic and demand forecast plans for each of the major programmes of work, and to translate how those demands will feed into the Operational Pipelines.
Such statements reflect the current views of Barnes & Noble with respect to future events, the outcome of which is subject to certain risks, including, among others, the general economic environment and consumer spending patterns, decreased consumer demand for Barnes & Noble's products, low growth or declining sales and net income due to various factors, possible disruptions in Barnes & Noble's computer systems, telephone systems or supply chain, possible risks associated with data privacy, information security and intellectual property, possible work stoppages or increases in labor costs, possible increases in shipping rates or interruptions in shipping service, effects of competition, possible risks that inventory in channels of distribution may be larger than able to be sold, possible risks associated with changes in the strategic direction of the device business, including possible reduction in sales of content, accessories and other merchandise and other adverse financial impacts, possible risk that component parts will be rendered obsolete or otherwise not be able to be effectively utilized in devices to be sold, possible risk that financial and operational forecasts and projections are not achieved, possible risk that returns from consumers or channels of distribution may be greater than estimated, the risk that digital sales growth is less than expectations and the risk that it does not exceed the rate of investment spend, higher - than - anticipated store closing or relocation costs, higher interest rates, the performance of Barnes & Noble's online, digital and other initiatives, the success of Barnes & Noble's strategic investments, unanticipated increases in merchandise, component or occupancy costs, unanticipated adverse litigation results or effects, product and component shortages, the potential adverse impact on the Company's businesses resulting from the Company's prior reviews of strategic alternatives and the potential separation of the Company's businesses, the risk that the transactions with Microsoft and Pearson do not achieve the expected benefits for the parties or impose costs on the Company in excess of what the Company anticipates, including the risk that NOOK Media's applications are not commercially successful or that the expected distribution of those applications is not achieved, risks associated with the international expansion contemplated by the relationship with Microsoft, including that it is not successful or is delayed, the risk that NOOK Media is not able to perform its obligations under the Microsoft and Pearson commercial agreements and the consequences thereof, risks associated with the restatement contained in, the delayed filing of, and the material weakness in internal controls described in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended April 27, 2013, risks associated with the SEC investigation disclosed in the quarterly report on Form 10 - Q for the fiscal quarter ended October 26, 2013, risks associated with the ongoing efforts to rationalize the NOOK business and the expected costs and benefits of such efforts and associated risks and other factors which may be outside of Barnes & Noble's control, including those factors discussed in detail in Item 1A, «Risk Factors,» in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended April 27, 2013, and in Barnes & Noble's other filings made hereafter from time to time with the SEC.
Such statements reflect the current views of Barnes & Noble with respect to future events, the outcome of which is subject to certain risks, including, among others, the effect of the proposed separation of NOOK Media, the general economic environment and consumer spending patterns, decreased consumer demand for Barnes & Noble's products, low growth or declining sales and net income due to various factors, possible disruptions in Barnes & Noble's computer systems, telephone systems or supply chain, possible risks associated with data privacy, information security and intellectual property, possible work stoppages or increases in labor costs, possible increases in shipping rates or interruptions in shipping service, effects of competition, possible risks that inventory in channels of distribution may be larger than able to be sold, possible risks associated with changes in the strategic direction of the device business, including possible reduction in sales of content, accessories and other merchandise and other adverse financial impacts, possible risk that component parts will be rendered obsolete or otherwise not be able to be effectively utilized in devices to be sold, possible risk that financial and operational forecasts and projections are not achieved, possible risk that returns from consumers or channels of distribution may be greater than estimated, the risk that digital sales growth is less than expectations and the risk that it does not exceed the rate of investment spend, higher - than - anticipated store closing or relocation costs, higher interest rates, the performance of Barnes & Noble's online, digital and other initiatives, the success of Barnes & Noble's strategic investments, unanticipated increases in merchandise, component or occupancy costs, unanticipated adverse litigation results or effects, product and component shortages, risks associated with the commercial agreement with Samsung, the potential adverse impact on the Company's businesses resulting from the Company's prior reviews of strategic alternatives and the potential separation of the Company's businesses (including with respect to the timing of the completion thereof), the risk that the transactions with Pearson and Samsung do not achieve the expected benefits for the parties or impose costs on the Company in excess of what the Company anticipates, including the risk that NOOK Media's applications are not commercially successful or that the expected distribution of those applications is not achieved, risks associated with the international expansion previously undertaken, including any risks associated with a reduction of international operations following termination of the Microsoft commercial agreement, the risk that NOOK Media is not able to perform its obligations under the Pearson and Samsung commercial agreements and the consequences thereof, the risks associated with the termination of Microsoft commercial agreement, including potential customer losses, risks associated with the restatement contained in, the delayed filing of, and the material weakness in internal controls described in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended April 27, 2013, risks associated with the SEC investigation disclosed in the quarterly report on Form 10 - Q for the fiscal quarter ended October 26, 2013, risks associated with the ongoing efforts to rationalize the NOOK business and the expected costs and benefits of such efforts and associated risks and other factors which may be outside of Barnes & Noble's control, including those factors discussed in detail in Item 1A, «Risk Factors,» in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended May 3, 2014, and in Barnes & Noble's other filings made hereafter from time to time with the SEC.
Such statements reflect the current views of Barnes & Noble with respect to future events, the outcome of which is subject to certain risks, including, among others, the general economic environment and consumer spending patterns, decreased consumer demand for Barnes & Noble's products, low growth or declining sales and net income due to various factors, including store closings, higher - than - anticipated or increasing costs, including with respect to store closings, relocation, occupancy (including in connection with lease renewals) and labor costs, the effects of competition, the risk of insufficient access to financing to implement future business initiatives, risks associated with data privacy and information security, risks associated with Barnes & Noble's supply chain, including possible delays and disruptions and increases in shipping rates, various risks associated with the digital business, including the possible loss of customers, declines in digital content sales, risks and costs associated with ongoing efforts to rationalize the digital business and the digital business not being able to perform its obligations under the Samsung commercial agreement and the consequences thereof, the risk that financial and operational forecasts and projections are not achieved, the performance of Barnes & Noble's initiatives including but not limited to its new store concept and e-commerce initiatives, unanticipated adverse litigation results or effects, potential infringement of Barnes & Noble's intellectual property by third parties or by Barnes & Noble of the intellectual property of third parties, and other factors, including those factors discussed in detail in Item 1A, «Risk Factors,» in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended April 30, 2016, and in Barnes & Noble's other filings made hereafter from time to time with the SEC.
The measurement systems were designed to meet the operational requirements of aviation meteorology and the daily weather forecasting mainly, with some cost vs. accuracy trade - offs.
NASA's Carbon Monitoring System (CMS) combines mechanistic «forward» models and empirical «inverse» models of atmospheric CO2 and other variables using a technique called «data assimilation» that is closely analogous to operational weather forecasting (Bowman et al, 2017).
I think the obvious way to do it would be to escrow the exact code and operational scripts at the time of prediction, and then at the time of evaluation load all best - available current data on forcings and mother model inputs and then measure forecast accuracy.
In doing so, they fail to recognize the important distinction between the operational hurricane forecasting problem (a classical initial value problem) and the boundary value problem addressed in KT04, where one is concerned with the maximum hurricane intensity that is possible for a given set of largescale environmental conditions (i.e., a climatological or statistical distribution of maximum intensities).
It has forecast that switching to renewable power will save 6 % of its operational costs by 2020 — and up to 26 % by 2030.
Operational difficulties arising from inadequate renewable electricity generation forecasting, market design or management issues, and the availability and coordination of ancillary services
A primary goal of JRA - 25 is to provide a consistent and high - quality reanalysis dataset for climate research, monitoring, and operational forecasts, especially by improving the coverage and quality of analysis in the Asian region.
Sea surface temperature (SST) measured from Earth Observation Satellites in considerable spatial detail and at high frequency, is increasingly required for use in the context of operational monitoring and forecasting of the ocean, for assimilation into coupled ocean - atmosphere model systems and for applications in short - term numerical weather prediction and longer term climate change detection.
In fact, a major rationale for doing reanalysis at all was the possibility to create long records of weather, using modern analysis / forecast systems, and without the operational discontinuities.
This enables process - driven model development and validation following the scientific method, and is enabling proper initialization of the land surface in operational forecast models.
The current operational ensemble forecast systems model sea ice dynamically using the LIM2 model within NEMO ocean model to represent the dynamic and thermodynamic evolution of sea ice within the coupled forecast system.
The program will include all aspects and methods of model development from deterministic numerics to stochastic forcing; process modelling to parametrization; observational constraints to diagnostic techniques; idealized modelling to operational forecasting and climate predictions.
Each year, the June — September forecasts simulated by the operational model of the India Meteorological Department seem to have a «dry bias» over the Ganga basin, predicting less rain will fall than actually does.
«A four - percent increase in forecast accuracy at five or six days normally takes several years to achieve,» «This is a major advancement, and it is only the start of what we may see as much more data from this instrument is incorporated into operational forecast models at the NOAA» s Environmental Modeling Center.»
Stochastic parametrisations have significantly improved the skill of weather forecasting models, and are now used in operational forecasting centres worldwide.
In practice, the probabilities generated from operational weather ensemble forecasts are not highly reliable, though with a set of past forecasts (reforecasts or hindcasts) and observations, the probability estimates from the ensemble can be adjusted to ensure greater reliability.
NPOESS was intended as an operational system to provide state - of - the art data for weather forecasting and climate system monitoring.
The overall performance of the operational medium - range forecasts is summarised using a set of headline scores which highlight different aspects of forecast skill.
Observations, assimilation and the improvement of global weather prediction - some results from operational forecasting and ERA - 40 A. J. Simmons 17.
Operational Weather Forecasting covers the whole process of forecast production, from understanding the nature of the forecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which to initialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (or models) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time and then interpreting the model output and putting it into a form which is relevant to customers of weatherForecasting covers the whole process of forecast production, from understanding the nature of the forecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which to initialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (or models) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time and then interpreting the model output and putting it into a form which is relevant to customers of weatherforecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which to initialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (or models) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time and then interpreting the model output and putting it into a form which is relevant to customers of weather forecasts.
In this study, a comprehensive set of multimodel ensemble averaging techniques with varying complexities are investigated for operational forecasting over four river basins in the Western United States.
Using meteorological data in addition to operational and facility data for variable wind and solar generators greater than 5 MW, the IESO is able to forecast the amount of hourly energy to be provided from variable resources in regions across Ontario.
CNRM (Chevallier et al.), 4.39 (3.45 - 5.03), Modeling (fully - coupled) CNRM outlook is based on the operational seasonal forecast issued by Météo France in early July 2016 with the System 5 (component of the European multi-model EUROSIP).
CAMS has several thousand users worldwide, with about 1,000 of them relying on the daily operational near - real - time forecasts.
The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) has recently completed two proof - of - concepts that will make historical data and seasonal forecasts available to the energy sector, and is now preparing to enter the operational phase of the follow - up services.
On behalf of CAMS senior scientists Antje Inness and Roberto Ribas, Engelen presented their collaborative work with the data providers on acquiring and testing the preliminary Sentinel - 5P data for the CAMS system and how the new data will be implemented in the operational CAMS forecast system.
The two components that are of the most significant importance to operational forecasters are track and intensity forecasting skill.
The group is in charge of piloting and developing operational weather and climate models as well as forecast methods, which focus on weather changes and climate impacts.
The ECMWF operational forecast model is the best on the planet, hands down under a variety of metrics.
So does the NCEP process of using an operational weather forecasting model to integrate the actual measurements into a meteorologically coherent set of data presented on a regular grid.
The richness of the meteorological community, including both scientific researchers and the operational forecasting community, provides the community with both benefits and challenges.
The range of applications includes oceanographic research, operational oceanography, seasonal forecast and (paleo) climate studies.
The power of hyperspectral sounding has been amply demonstrated by the NASA EOS Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) flying on the Aqua mission in a 13:30 orbit19 in terms of improved retrieval uncertainty and a significant positive impact on forecast skill.20 Operational LEO atmospheric temperature and moisture sounding capability in the 2010 + time frame will be provided by two instrument pairs (three during the transition from the current system).
I then went to the ECMWF [the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts] and drew down some high - resolution operational analysis data — a cocktail of observations and model data that combine to give a really good picture of the atmosphere.»
While this challenge poses a serious damping effect to Spotify's revenue, it stands as a facility to thwart efforts from experts to forecast the company's performance according to its operational cost, if not quickly taken care of.
The Internet is not part of the National Weather Service's operational data stream and should never be relied upon as a means to obtain the latest forecast and warning data.
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reporting to the CFO, having full operational responsibility for all global facilities, real estate management, strategic planning, construction projects and planning, EHS, and forecasting of $ 16MM budget.
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