Here we present a stricter approach, to improve intercomparison
of palaeoclimate sensitivity estimates in a manner compatible with equilibrium projections for futureclimate change.
«Palaeosens (2012)» — the reference in footnote 1 — is http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v491/n7426/abs/nature11574.html Making sense
of palaeoclimate sensitivity PALAEOSENS Project Members
«Palaeosens (2012)» — the reference in footnote 1 — is http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v491/n7426/abs/nature11574.html Making sense
of palaeoclimate sensitivity PALAEOSENS Project Members
Not exact matches
«The discrepancy could arise,
of course, from the opposite problem: that the
palaeoclimate proxy data are underestimating hydroclimatic extremes.
Dynamics and
palaeoclimate Reviews
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In models run with the GISS forcing data, the «natural + anthropogenic» temperature evolution matches observations very well for a climate sensitivity
of 0.75 °C / W / m ², which agrees with the value derived from
palaeoclimate data.
I'm chagrined to report that I sailed across the site
of the 1452 eruption in 1975, but did not recognize the Kuwae caldera's island remnants as such, as I was searching the New Hebrides (now Vanuatu) for archaeological lithic sources, not
palaeoclimate clues.
Nevertheless the result appears to provide a more realistic global picture than Royer / Veizer, consistent with the standard view
of Cretaceous
palaeoclimate ³.
Our results also provide a potential explanation
of persistent
palaeoclimate results showing solar influence on regional or local climate indicators.»
Many
palaeoclimate studies have quantified pre-anthropogenic climate change to calculate climate sensitivity (equilibrium temperature change in response to radiative forcing change), but a lack
of consistent methodologies produces awide range
of estimates and hinders comparability
of results.
By Amber Bentley (Aged 11) In just 16 pages, this wonderful book covers the structure
of the atmosphere, solar radiation, the water cycle, clouds, fronts, convection, air pressure, air masses, the global atmospheric circulation, making weather observations, forecasting, synoptic charts, hurricanes, regional climate,
palaeoclimates and anthropogenic climate change.
Ecological tree line history and
palaeoclimate — review
of megafossil evidence from the Swedish Scandes Leif Kullman Article first published online: 2 JAN 2013
Jones et al., 2016 http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v6/n10/full/nclimate3103.html «Most observed trends [over the 36 - year satellite data] are not unusual when compared with Antarctic
palaeoclimate records
of the past two centuries.
Nature has a very detailed discussion
of these «holes» in climate science (regional climate forecasts, precipitation forecasts, aerosols and
palaeoclimate data).
Her research interests include identifying and understanding variations and trends in Australian climate extremes; investigating the role
of multi-decadal scale climate variability in the Australian region; and characterising pre-instrumental climate variations in Australia and Antarctica using
palaeoclimate data.
Your point 4: «The early onset
of sustained, significant warming in
palaeoclimate records and model simulations suggests that greenhouse forcing
of industrial - era warming commenced as early as the mid-nineteenth century and included an enhanced equatorial ocean response mechanism.
Possible implications
of the results for sensitivities derived from GCMs and
palaeoclimate data are suggested.
Quoting from a paper that was accepted: «Many
palaeoclimate records from the North Atlantic region show a pattern
of rapid climate oscillations, the so - called Dansgaard — Oeschger events, with a quasi-periodicity
of ∼ 1,470 years for the late glacial period» http://www.nature.com/articles/nature04121
The results have implications for how we interpret the impact
of global warming on the hydrological cycle and its extremes, and may help to explain why
palaeoclimate drought reconstructions based on tree - ring data diverge from the PDSI - based drought record in recent years9, 10.
If non-CO2 GHGs such as N2O and CH4 increase with global warming at the same rate as in the
palaeoclimate record and atmospheric chemistry simulations [122], these other gases provide approximately 25 %
of the greenhouse forcing.
The evidence from surface temperature observations is strong: The observed warming is highly significant relative to estimates
of internal climate variability which, while obtained from models, are consistent with estimates obtained from both instrumental data and
palaeoclimate reconstructions.
Palaeoclimate studies show that differences in the manner in which the Earth orbited the Sun during the Last Interglacial are sufficient to explain the higher temperatures over most parts
of the Northern Hemisphere, particularly due to greater axial tilt and eccentricity compared with the present day orbital configuration.
The goal
of PAGES» LandCover6k Working Group is to use pollen, archaeological and historical data to provide information on past land cover and land use change that can be used to evaluate and improve Anthropogenic Land - Cover Change (ALCC) scenarios for
palaeoclimate modelling and the study
of land - use as a climate forcing.
In using AOGCM output in this way, it is important not only to demonstrate that these unforced simulations do not drift significantly (Osborn, 1996), but also to evaluate the extent to which model estimates
of low - frequency variability are comparable to those estimated from measured climates (Osborn et al., 2000) or reconstructed
palaeoclimates (Jones et al., 1998).
A combination
of numerical models,
palaeoclimate data and modern observations indicated that ocean saltiness was key to understanding it.
He is interested in
palaeoclimate proxies, biotic evolution and stratigraphy, with particular emphasis on the fossil record
of planktonic foraminifera from deep sea cores.
Estimates
of low (< 1C) sensitivity are not supported by observational,
palaeoclimate or modelling studies.]
Had the warming
of the late 20th century been caused by a wobble in ocean currents as Ferrara insists, such a wobble would be plainly evident within
palaeoclimate records.
Glacial geomorphology,
palaeoclimate of the tropics and Antarctica, tropical glaciers and hydrology
My work also concerns past, present, and future stability
of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, as well as
palaeoclimate - archaeologic links in the high Andes.
Specific interests include
palaeoclimate of the tropical Andes, causes
of late - glacial abrupt climate events, and the future evolution
of tropical glaciers and hydrology.