Sentences with phrase «of pause in warming»

«I propose a robust definition for the length of the pause in the warming trend over the closing subsample of surface and lower tropospheric data sets.

well that criterion isn't fullfilled either, as is well known from the many analyses where the effects of ENSO have been subtracted from the time series (after which there is no evidence of any pause in the warming, suggesting that the pause is due to the effects of ENSO).

Don't bother trying to convince them of a pause in the warming.

Dr. Swanson: Another question — This prediction of a pause in the warming seems somewhat similar to the prediction of Keenlyside et al., although, as I understand it, theirs is based simply on a direct model prediction (with an attempt, whether successful or not, to use realistic initial conditions in initializing their model).

I think the interesting question raised (though not definitively answered) by this line of work is the extent to which some of the pause in warming mid-century might have been more due to decadal ocean variability rather than aerosols than is commonly thought.

There is no longer any evidence of a pause in warming through present in any of the land surface temperature records.

To believe in a complex theory after 1 correct prediction (modified a bit in light of the pauses in warming that were not predicted) would be what the Skinnerians called «superstition», and what Feynman called «Cargo Cult» science.

Not exact matches

It offers many dividends: The opportunity to meet And chat with old and new - found friends; The amiable atmosphere; The comfortable cushioned seat; The promise of two hours clear Of irritating chores, restraints, Dilemmas, quarrels, and complaints; The vespertine impressive hall That grants equality to all And cover for a nap to some; The stirring burst of warm applause When the conductor comes in view And talkers instantly grow dumb; The pleasantly suspenseful pause As the ensemble waits its cuof two hours clear Of irritating chores, restraints, Dilemmas, quarrels, and complaints; The vespertine impressive hall That grants equality to all And cover for a nap to some; The stirring burst of warm applause When the conductor comes in view And talkers instantly grow dumb; The pleasantly suspenseful pause As the ensemble waits its cuOf irritating chores, restraints, Dilemmas, quarrels, and complaints; The vespertine impressive hall That grants equality to all And cover for a nap to some; The stirring burst of warm applause When the conductor comes in view And talkers instantly grow dumb; The pleasantly suspenseful pause As the ensemble waits its cuof warm applause When the conductor comes in view And talkers instantly grow dumb; The pleasantly suspenseful pause As the ensemble waits its cue.

On the warm afternoon of Labor Day, five days before Nebraska would open its football season with a 55 - 14 pasting of Michigan State, Cornhuskers junior defensive end Grant Wistrom paused as he left the practice field in Lincoln and pondered the ribbon of greatness that stretched back over two years.

Jochem Marotzke and Piers M. Forster have now explained the warming pause in terms of random fluctuations arising from chaotic processes in the climate system.

However, in light of our substantiation of the effects of «grand solar minima» upon past global climates, it could be speculated that the current pausing of «Global Warming», which is frequently referenced by those sceptical of climate projections by the IPCC, might relate at least in part to a countervailing effect of reduced solar activity, as shown in the recent sunspot cycle.»

«What this study addresses is what's better described as a false pause, or slowdown,» rather than a hiatus in warming, says climate scientist Michael Mann of Pennsylvania State University, University Park.

The deceleration in rising temperatures during this 15 - year period is sometimes referred to as a «pause» or «hiatus» in global warming, and has raised questions about why the rate of surface warming on Earth has been markedly slower than in previous decades.

A favourite climate contrarian talking point is that there was a pause or «hiatus» in warming from 1998 until the early part of the current decade.

So the report notes that the current «pause» in new global average temperature records since 1998 — a year that saw the second strongest El Nino on record and shattered warming records — does not reflect the long - term trend and may be explained by the oceans absorbing the majority of the extra heat trapped by greenhouse gases as well as the cooling contributions of volcanic eruptions.

Evidence of the «pause» in surface warming «has sparked a lively scientific and public debate», says the Nature Climate Change editorial.

If a person can not detect a rather precise pattern of warming and pause in warming in the Global temperature record starting in 1880 I can only say that to me the pattern is obvious.

They suggest this «pause» in the acceleration of carbon dioxide concentrations was, in part, due to the effect of the temporary slowdown in global average surface warming during that same period on respiration, the process by which plants and soils release CO2.

And it's the year in which any credible sign of a pause or «hiatus» in the warming of Earth's surface through present day was thoroughly refuted.

Using Cowtan and Way as an example again, the team would chose a specific subject; in this case the claims of a «warming pause from 1998 to 2012».

The fact that the hindcasts with their method perform worse than a standard IPCC scenario, the number of failed previous cooling predictions, the negative skill in the Gulf Stream and deep - water formation regions... should these not have cautioned them against going to the media to forecast a pause in global warming?

(see http: / / wattsupwiththat.com / 2014 / 09 / 11 / list - of - excuses - for - the - pause - in - global - warming - is - now - up - to - 52 /).

Increasingly shrill and scary pronouncements in the face of the warming «pause» (however you want to spin it or explain it) don't sound credible.

«Now, an entirely new discussion is capturing the imagination, based on a group of scientists from Germany predicting a pause in global warming last week»

@» the lack of heating», the best comment was from a Royal Society spokesman in 2007 around the time of the Keenlyside «AMOC shutdown» simulation... «global warming could pause... even for a decade».

And then Joe goes on to point out that one possible explanation for the pause is measurement — there's been a ton of warming in the Arctic as if we are somehow hiding that fact when we talk about the pause.

Explanations for the recent «pause» in SST warming include La Niña - like cooling in the eastern equatorial Pacific, strengthening of the Pacific trade winds, and tropical latent heat anomalies together with extratropical atmospheric teleconnections.

Our point was not to focus on 1998; in fact, in the longer version of our article that we sent to Nature we talk explicitly (and cite heavily) the work that has pinned the «pause» to shifts in El Nino / La Nina cycles and we also prominently mention the high latitude warming.

I think that the idea of a pause in the global warming has been a red herring ever since it was suggested, and we have commented on this several times here on RC: On how data gaps in some regions (eg.

It isn't a pause in global warming trend (GT Warming) which you need more than 10 years (around 30 will do fine) but a drift from the trend (which CAN be seen in 10 years, if barely) that added to the trend which hasn't paused and gives an * appearance * of the climate (30 year) trend of having swarming trend (GT Warming) which you need more than 10 years (around 30 will do fine) but a drift from the trend (which CAN be seen in 10 years, if barely) that added to the trend which hasn't paused and gives an * appearance * of the climate (30 year) trend of having sWarming) which you need more than 10 years (around 30 will do fine) but a drift from the trend (which CAN be seen in 10 years, if barely) that added to the trend which hasn't paused and gives an * appearance * of the climate (30 year) trend of having stopped.

But the pause has persisted, sparking a minor crisis of confidence in the field... On a chart of global atmospheric temperatures, the hiatus stands in stark contrast to the rapid warming of the two decades that preceded it.

Realize that as long as the Earth accumulates heat, there is no pause in warming regardless of what part of the Earth the heat goes to

That all times of enhanced coupling would tend to cause a pause in the warming trend does not seem likely.

if it's any consolation, the recent predictions discussed on this blog of a «pause» in northern hemisphere global warming — and, indeed, cooling in the u.s. — may signal the end of the line for the california wine growers.

It's a superb examination of what's known, and unknown, about what James Hansen, Susan Solomon and other climate scientists have described as a pause or hiatus in warming.

Combine with Co2 warming the surface and it can just so happen that the two effects cancel at the surface for a «pause» while the wind / current driven heating of the subsurface causes extra heating in the subsurface.

Why hasn't the «pause» been debunked just by noting that it starts at a point nearly a decade's worth of warming above the trend in 1997?

A media analysis has shown that at least in the U.S., about half of all reports about the new IPCC report mention the issue of a «warming pause», even though it plays a very minor role in the conclusions of the IPCC.

[Response: The UAH satellite data show a pause when you start in 1998, but from 1999 they show a warming of +0.15 °C per decade.

The corresponding intensification of the atmospheric Walker circulation is also associated with sea surface cooling in the eastern Pacific, which has been identified as one of the contributors to the current pause in global surface warming.

However that is a statistical non-sequitur, based on a poor understanding of frequentist hypothesis testing, unless the test can be shown to have adequate statistical power (which seems never to be mentioned by those claiming a pause in warming).

The next three climate ads misstate the science of climate change, incorrectly asserting rainfall and droughts are getting worse, that there has been no pause in rising temperatures, and suggesting carbon dioxide has historically caused climate change when the fact is warming has preceded rising carbon - dioxide levels in the past.

Her main candidate for the pause in warming is natural variability (El Nino / La Nina, for example) which would reduce attribution of warming to greenhouse gasses.

On the one hand they like to use the 1997 - 98 El Nino to «claim» a pause (their favorite starting point for a cherry pick), then in the next breath use the last big one to say that it's not to be counted as an indication of warming.

The recent pause in the rate of increase in warming has left researchers scurrying to unravel the mystery.

A «pause» in the global temperature trend can be diagnosed, when both of the following criteria are fulfilled: a) based on a robust statistical analysis, the global temperature trend is not statistically distinguishable from the Zero trend, b) based on a robust statistical analysis, the global temperature trend is statistically distinguishable from the longer - term, multi-decadal warming trend (which itself is highly statistically significant).

I find concerned liberals are loath to talk about how consistently wrong climate models have been or about the «pause» in global warming that has gone on for over fifteen years, while climate skeptics avoid discussion of things like ocean acidification and accelerated melting in Greenland and the Arctic.

The new study by the Scripps Institution of Oceanography and supported by the US government's National Oceans and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), published in the journal Nature, has linked the «pause» in global warming with the Pacific oscillation.

The study — «Possible Artifacts of Data Biases in the Recent Global Surface Warming Hiatus» — was published by Science magazine in June 2015 and pushed back against assertions from other research groups that found a pause in rising global temperatures from 1998 to 2012, which goes against climate change advocates» insistence that the earth's temperature has been on a steady incline for decades.

I note the increasing frequency of papers which either seek to deny / explain the observed 21st century pause / cessation in warming, either through uncertainty or observation error.