Ljungqvist also states that: «'' a very cautious interpretation of the level of warmth since AD 1990 compared to
that of the peak warming during the Roman Warm Period and the Medieval Warm Period is strongly suggested.»
The eddy transport mechanism results from a reduction in both the diffusive and advective southward eddy heat transports, driven by decreasing isopycnal slopes and decreasing along - isopycnal temperature gradients on the northern edge
of the peak warming.
Thus, pathways with lower rates of emission in 2050 are likely to result in a similar amount
of peak warming, while higher rates of emission in 2050 can lead to varying levels
of peak warming, as seen in figure 2d.
As in Lowe et al. [33], we find that emissions in the year 2020 are not a good indicator
of peak warming, because they are largely a function of current emissions, and are not a key determinant of cumulative emissions.
Based on the metrics presented in figure 2, we conclude that, for cases with no emissions floor, the strongest correlation across all pathways occurs between peak warming and the cumulative emissions from pre-industrial times to the time
of that peak warming, as shown in figure 2a.
We consider other emission metrics, such as the emissions in year 2020 and 2050, and find that these cause a much wider range of magnitudes of resultant peak warming than metrics based on cumulative carbon emissions to the time
of peak warming.
The type of cumulative emission metric varies between the plots: cumulative emissions to (a) 2500, (b) the time
of peak warming, (c) 2100, and (d) 2200.
Those trajectories considered here that do not peak near 2200 have all warmed to within a small fraction
of their peak warming by this date, and therefore the emissions emitted in these pathways after 2200 only serve to maintain temperatures, and not to induce more warming.
This phenomenon is illustrated by the lowest yellow curve, which peaks in 2273, but has warmed to 99 per cent
of its peak warming by 2200.
The correlation is almost as strong if cumulative emissions out to 2500 are considered (shown in black squares in figure 3a) because the vast majority of the emissions in these zero emissions floor pathways have occurred by the time
of peak warming.
We show in figure 2 that cumulative emissions to the time
of peak warming are tightly correlated with peak CO2 - induced warming for the case with no emissions floors, and here we investigate whether emissions floors affect this correlation.
We also find that, for large cumulative totals in particular, cumulative metrics based on integrations over smaller time periods, such as 2010 — 2050, do not correlate with peak warming as well as cumulative emissions to a given date near the time
of peak warming.
Figure 3b shows peak warming plotted against cumulative emissions integrated between the year 1750 and the time
of peak warming.
If the cumulative emissions over the duration of the floor are a large fraction of the cumulative total, then the level of the floor is a crucial determinant
of peak warming.
This occurs because the cumulative totals include contributions for portions of the emissions floor that are emitted after the time
of peak warming, which can have no effect on peak warming, as illustrated by the green curves in figure 1.
We consider cumulative carbon emissions (i) from pre-industrial times to the time
of peak warming and (ii) from year 2010 to year 2050.
Not exact matches
If in the 1970s we had begun a program
of efficient use and switching gradually to other sources
of energy, «
peak oil» would remain quite far in the future and there might still be some chance to reduce global
warming.
The
peak of the Florida strawberry season was delayed a little this year because
of the
warmer weather last fall.
Lightly cover (with plastic wrap or a damp tea towel) and let rise in a
warm, draft - free place for 1 hour, or until it has risen to near a full loaf size, and the crown
of the dough is
peaking about an inch above the pan.
Allow the dough to rise in a
warm area until is
peaking over the top
of the pan.
«We are very excited to have
WARM Restaurants on board with Twin
Peaks,» says Shannon Glaser, senior director
of Franchising at Twin
Peaks.
Fresh California Avocados are in
peak season March through September, making this the perfect light dinner to enjoy during
warmer months or any time
of the year.
At
peak hour, consumption comes to about 2,200 megawatts that is during the
warm season in March when people turn on all their air conditioners and all
of that.
Peace Bridge Authority General Manager Ron Reinas said the months
of November through May were selected for the work because they are outside the
warm - weather travel season when the bridge sees
peak volume.
The fires were costly for the rest
of the planet, too: At their
peak, the blazes belched more climate -
warming carbon dioxide into the atmosphere each day than did all U.S. economic activity.
Of course, summer temperatures when the warming portion of the wobble cycle peaked roughly 7,500 years ago were at least 0.8 degrees Celsius warmer than 20th - century average temperature
Of course, summer temperatures when the
warming portion
of the wobble cycle peaked roughly 7,500 years ago were at least 0.8 degrees Celsius warmer than 20th - century average temperature
of the wobble cycle
peaked roughly 7,500 years ago were at least 0.8 degrees Celsius
warmer than 20th - century average temperatures.
Following Earth's last ice age, which
peaked 20,000 years ago, the Antarctic
warmed between two and three times the average temperature increase worldwide, according to a new study by a team
of American geophysicists.
These models currently predict that as a result
of today's global climate change, Antarctica will
warm twice as much as the rest
of the planet, though it won't reach its
peak for a couple
of hundred years.
As
of March 2013, surface waters
of the tropical north Atlantic Ocean remained
warmer than average, while Pacific Ocean temperatures declined from a
peak in late fall.
The form
of phosphate plants can use is in danger
of reaching its
peak — when supply fails to keep up with demand — in just 30 years, potentially decreasing the rate
of crop yield as the as the world population continues to climb and global
warming stresses crop yields, which could have damaging effects on the global food supply.
The researchers found that due to
warm spring temperatures on Kodiak, the berries were developing fruit weeks earlier, at the same time as the
peak of the salmon migration; 2014 was one
of the
warmest years on the island since record - keeping began 60 years ago.
And achieving any stabilization target — whether 2 degrees C
of warming or 450 ppm or 1,000 gigatons
of carbon added to the atmosphere by human activity — will require at least an 80 percent cut in emissions from
peak levels by the end
of this century and, ultimately, zero emissions over the long term.
«If you reduce emissions
of methane or black carbon, it would help you trim the
peak warming that will be achieved in the next century or so,» Solomon says.
Although the Ben Nevis data are from a single spot, it is rare even today to have data — especially hourly data — from a mountain
peak and from such a northerly location, where the climate is
warming at one
of the fastest rates on Earth.
«Accidents most frequently occurred when no parental supervision was present from the time
of school dismissal until the early evening hours, and were most often located mid-block,» said orthopaedic surgery resident and lead study author Alexa J. Karkenny, MD. «Injuries
peaked during the
warm months and clustered both near schools and bus stops located near schools.
The national average
peak is June 12, but the
peak in particular regions can be anywhere from early May to early July, when
warm, moist air from over the Gulf
of Mexico can venture northward and clash with other air masses, creating an unstable atmospheric environment.
Regardless
of when China's emissions
peak might come — the year
of 2020, 2022 or 2025 — Yang said that falling Chinese emissions have already sent out a positive signal to the international campaign against global
warming.
The repeated bouts
of warm weather this season have stunned polar researchers, and could push the Arctic to a record low winter
peak for the third year in a row
«They reached their
peak intensity at higher latitudes, following an expansion
of tropical conditions with
warming.
Hurricanes, the largest and most damaging weather events,
peak in late autumn, when winds coming off the coast
of West Africa meet thunderstorms clustered over the
warm tropical ocean.
This shift will have to take place nearly immediately in order to avoid more than two degrees Celsius
of warming: «Emissions will have to
peak no later than 2015 and start back down again,» Moomaw says.
A cryptic chemical weather log kept by Tarawa Atoll's stony coral in the tropical Pacific archipelago has been cracked, helping scientists explain a century
of peaks and troughs in global
warming — and inflaming fears that a speedup will follow the recent slowdown.
Results on the trend toward advanced spring emergence were published this February in the journal Philosophical Transactions
of the Royal Society B. Among the paper's findings: nymphal ticks
peak in the spring, larval ticks
peak in the summer, and both emerge nearly three weeks earlier in
warmer years.
Analyzing tens
of thousands
of data points, Schatz and Kucharik found the urban heat island effect
peaked in summer, when downtown Madison averaged 7 degrees Fahrenheit
warmer at night and 3 degrees
warmer during the day when compared to rural Dane County.
For the Quelccaya Ice Cap (13.95 oS, 70.83 oW), this work revealed that
peak temperatures
of the mediaeval
warm period were
warmer than those
of the last few decades
of the 20th century.»
The repeated bouts
of warm weather this season have stunned even seasoned polar researchers, and could push the Arctic to a record low winter
peak for the third year in a row.
In the Gulf
of Mexico, buoy data from the
peak of hurricane season — August through October — shows waters have
warmed 1 - 2 °F in the past 40 years alone.
peak temperatures
of the mediaeval
warm period were
warmer than those
of the last few decades
of the 20th century»?
A confounding factor in discussions
of this period is the unfortunate tendency
of some authors to label any
warm peak prior to the 15th Century as the «Medieval Warm Period» in their rec
warm peak prior to the 15th Century as the «Medieval
Warm Period» in their rec
Warm Period» in their record.
Also, highland regions at the equator would get colder and northern low - lying regions would get
warmer; this is the so - called «icy highlands effect,» which results in the
peaks of mountains on Earth being snow - covered.