This is one of the simplest models for the pole - to - equator surface temperature distribution and ice latitude on a spherical planet in the presence
of poleward heat transport.
The resumption
of poleward heat transport by the THC produced the abrupt and very large NH warming.
Without continents, you might not get any western boundary currents, which could alter the balance
of poleward heat transport and really affect the general circulation of the atmosphere.
Not exact matches
Furthermore, even if the net meridional overturning circulation, which is broader than just the Gulf Stream, slows, that doesn't mean that the
poleward heat transport will be reduced, as a warmer wetter atmosphere can also
transport a great deal
of heat (latent
heat) to
poleward regions, which seems to be what has been happening.
This paper is an assessment
of the current climate
poleward heat transport.
Changes here have a long term effect, affecting the strength
of the north - ward horizontal flow
of the Atlantic's upper warm layer, thereby altering the oceanic
poleward heat transport and the distribution
of sea surface temperature (SST — AMO), the presumed source
of the (climate) natural variability.
More recently hurricanes have been implicated as
heat pumps responsible for up to 15 %
of poleward oceanic
heat transport.
RE # 11 The role
of hurricanes in the
poleward heat transport immediately leads to the question, how is the
poleward heat transport divided between atmospheric and oceanic routes?
I would suggest these small aerosols have a large effect on the saturated adiabatic cooling and
heating cycles and the
transport of water vapor latent
heat poleward.
As the ocean circulation takes up the role
of transporting heat poleward the atmospheric circulation spins down.
Scientists are still trying to decide how the
poleward heat transport will be affected by global warming — but the rapid changes at the poles seem to involve a lot
of heat transport into that region via both the atmosphere and the oceans.
Is less
poleward transport of heat by the Gulf Stream as the AMOC weakens a positive feedback for global warming, since that energy will escape more slowly in the humid (higher water vapor GHG effect) tropics than near the poles?
You have variations in
poleward heat transport and a change in the intensity
of Sudden Stratospheric Warming events.
Although more research is needed, there is some agreement among oceanographers that, for the entire area north
of 30 N latitude, the ocean's
poleward transport of heat is the equivalent
of about 15 watts per square metre
of the earth's surface (W / m2).
Temperatures there are strongly dependent upon
poleward transport of heat.
The vertical transfer
of energy is directly proportional to the
poleward transport or advection
of heat.
If you have faith in the climate models and have any knowledge
of what they do with reduced
poleward ocean
heat transport, then you are expecting cooling unless the AMOC should speed back up.
John Wise - it seems to a be natural phenomenon tied to the
poleward transport of heat.
Conversely, during low solar activity during the Little Ice Age,
transport of warm water was reduced by 10 % and Arctic sea ice increased.17 Although it is not a situation I would ever hope for, if history repeats itself, then natural climate dynamics
of the past suggest, the current drop in the sun's output will produce a similar cooler climate, and it will likely be detected first as a slow down in the
poleward transport of ocean
heat.22 Should we prepare for this possibility?
In our model simulations this weakens the AMOC and
poleward ocean
heat transport, and diminishes the contribution
of ocean
heat transport to the reduction
of Arctic sea ice extent.
The conventional view on the connection between the AMOC and Arctic sea ice is that a weakening
of the AMOC should reduce ocean
poleward heat transport and, hence, expand sea ice.
They forced the model with CO2 and happened to catch it when it was in the process
of increasing
poleward ocean
heat transport.
Warm currents
transport heat from lower latitudes
poleward and tend to occur on the western sides
of oceans.
Put another way, a warmer climate will place greater demands on the atmosphere to
transport heat upward and
poleward, but this will be done more efficiently, in a smaller number
of events that each accomplish more
of the required
transport.
In which case, half
of the global warming in the last three decades is due to the negative feedback
of increased
poleward oceanic
heat transport as a result
of weaker solar activity.
Examining the role
of Greenland and the surrounding area on cyclone development and
poleward heat and moisture
transports
The Arctic responds strongly through teleconnections controlling the rates
of poleward oceanic and atmospheric
heat transport.
These oscillations are superimposed on a long term trend
of increasing
poleward ocean
heat transport.
All
of the warming since the LIA can easily be explained by increases in
poleward ocean
heat transport.
Waters moving in the western boundary currents adjacent to the major gyres (North and South Pacific and Atlantic basins and the Indian basin)
transport large quantities
of heat poleward from the tropics.
To ascertain with confidence the extent to which deep water production impacts the ocean's meridional circulation and hence the ocean's contributions to the global
poleward heat flux, continuous measures
of trans - basin mass and
heat transports are needed.
MOCHA array — provide a means to evaluate intergyre connectivity within the North Atlantic and allow for a determination
of how and whether deep water mass formation impacts overturning and
poleward heat and freshwater
transports throughout the North Atlantic.
Additionally, the intensified winds
of the mid-latitude westerlies, and a
poleward shift
of the strongest winds toward the Antarctic Circumpolar Current will also lead to stronger convergence
of surface currents, and stronger downward
heat transport.
While the baroclinic systems are efficient in
transporting heat, the enormous negative radiative forcing (Fig. 2) associated with these cloud systems seems to undo the
poleward transport of heat by the dynamics.
However, the mechanism
of increased
poleward heat transport can not be the only physical mechanism driving the reduced temperature gradient because it is in fact the surface temperature gradient that ultimately drives the flux
of heat poleward.
Most
of the observed decline in the latitudinal temperature gradient during the Pliocene can be explained by increased
poleward heat transport.
back to the horizontal gradient, if the upper tropospheric thermal wind shear increase is greater than the decrease
of the lower layer, then maybe the overall baroclinic instability would be stronger — but currently the upper level eddy circulations do not
transport much
heat poleward, so would the structure
of cyclones change so that a deeper layer
of air is involved in the thermal advection, compensating for a weaker temperature gradient?
Furthermore, even if the net meridional overturning circulation, which is broader than just the Gulf Stream, slows, that doesn't mean that the
poleward heat transport will be reduced, as a warmer wetter atmosphere can also
transport a great deal
of heat (latent
heat) to
poleward regions, which seems to be what has been happening.
We find that an increase in
poleward heat transport by the tropical ocean results in a warming
of the extra-tropics, relatively little change in the tropical temperatures, moistening
of the subtropical dry zones, and partial but incomplete compensation
of the planetary - scale energy
transport by the atmosphere.
The zonal integral (east to west)
of wind stress curl across an ocean basin is proportional to the western boundary current
transport (i.e., the
transport responsible for the dominant part
of the
poleward heat flux by the ocean).
On Earth this happens close to 30 degrees latitude, and
poleward of this the
heat transport is dominated by mid-latitude eddies rather than being under the wings
of a giant overturning circulation (you can still find references to a mid-latitude «Ferrell cell» in textbooks, but this is not a good description
of what happens).
Through baroclinic instability, the potential energy associated with temperature gradients is converted into the energy in atmospheric eddies that dominate the
heat and angular momentum
transport poleward of the subsiding region
of the Hadley cell.