The range
of policy interest rates among industrial countries remains unusually wide.
In my view, the current episode vindicates the position that monetary policy, narrowly defined as the setting
of the policy interest rate, should be confined to targeting inflation.
Not exact matches
Unless something drastic happens, the era
of low - for - longer
interest -
rate policy is nearing an end.
Its
policy of maintaining extremely low
interest rates has been, in large part, responsible for fueling the current mania for housing.
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in such forward - looking statements and that should be considered in evaluating our outlook include, but are not limited to, the following: 1) our ability to continue to grow our business and execute our growth strategy, including the timing, execution, and profitability
of new and maturing programs; 2) our ability to perform our obligations under our new and maturing commercial, business aircraft, and military development programs, and the related recurring production; 3) our ability to accurately estimate and manage performance, cost, and revenue under our contracts, including our ability to achieve certain cost reductions with respect to the B787 program; 4) margin pressures and the potential for additional forward losses on new and maturing programs; 5) our ability to accommodate, and the cost
of accommodating, announced increases in the build
rates of certain aircraft; 6) the effect on aircraft demand and build
rates of changing customer preferences for business aircraft, including the effect
of global economic conditions on the business aircraft market and expanding conflicts or political unrest in the Middle East or Asia; 7) customer cancellations or deferrals as a result
of global economic uncertainty or otherwise; 8) the effect
of economic conditions in the industries and markets in which we operate in the U.S. and globally and any changes therein, including fluctuations in foreign currency exchange
rates; 9) the success and timely execution
of key milestones such as the receipt
of necessary regulatory approvals, including our ability to obtain in a timely fashion any required regulatory or other third party approvals for the consummation
of our announced acquisition
of Asco, and customer adherence to their announced schedules; 10) our ability to successfully negotiate, or re-negotiate, future pricing under our supply agreements with Boeing and our other customers; 11) our ability to enter into profitable supply arrangements with additional customers; 12) the ability
of all parties to satisfy their performance requirements under existing supply contracts with our two major customers, Boeing and Airbus, and other customers, and the risk
of nonpayment by such customers; 13) any adverse impact on Boeing's and Airbus» production
of aircraft resulting from cancellations, deferrals, or reduced orders by their customers or from labor disputes, domestic or international hostilities, or acts
of terrorism; 14) any adverse impact on the demand for air travel or our operations from the outbreak
of diseases or epidemic or pandemic outbreaks; 15) our ability to avoid or recover from cyber-based or other security attacks, information technology failures, or other disruptions; 16) returns on pension plan assets and the impact
of future discount
rate changes on pension obligations; 17) our ability to borrow additional funds or refinance debt, including our ability to obtain the debt to finance the purchase price for our announced acquisition
of Asco on favorable terms or at all; 18) competition from commercial aerospace original equipment manufacturers and other aerostructures suppliers; 19) the effect
of governmental laws, such as U.S. export control laws and U.S. and foreign anti-bribery laws such as the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and the United Kingdom Bribery Act, and environmental laws and agency regulations, both in the U.S. and abroad; 20) the effect
of changes in tax law, such as the effect
of The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (the «TCJA») that was enacted on December 22, 2017, and changes to the interpretations
of or guidance related thereto, and the Company's ability to accurately calculate and estimate the effect
of such changes; 21) any reduction in our credit
ratings; 22) our dependence on our suppliers, as well as the cost and availability
of raw materials and purchased components; 23) our ability to recruit and retain a critical mass
of highly - skilled employees and our relationships with the unions representing many
of our employees; 24) spending by the U.S. and other governments on defense; 25) the possibility that our cash flows and our credit facility may not be adequate for our additional capital needs or for payment
of interest on, and principal
of, our indebtedness; 26) our exposure under our revolving credit facility to higher
interest payments should
interest rates increase substantially; 27) the effectiveness
of any
interest rate hedging programs; 28) the effectiveness
of our internal control over financial reporting; 29) the outcome or impact
of ongoing or future litigation, claims, and regulatory actions; 30) exposure to potential product liability and warranty claims; 31) our ability to effectively assess, manage and integrate acquisitions that we pursue, including our ability to successfully integrate the Asco business and generate synergies and other cost savings; 32) our ability to consummate our announced acquisition
of Asco in a timely matter while avoiding any unexpected costs, charges, expenses, adverse changes to business relationships and other business disruptions for ourselves and Asco as a result
of the acquisition; 33) our ability to continue selling certain receivables through our supplier financing program; 34) the risks
of doing business internationally, including fluctuations in foreign current exchange
rates, impositions
of tariffs or embargoes, compliance with foreign laws, and domestic and foreign government
policies; and 35) our ability to complete the proposed accelerated stock repurchase plan, among other things.
Before Yellen addressed the Economic Club
of Washington, her counterparts in Ottawa released their latest
policy statement, in which Canada's central bank said it was keeping its benchmark
interest rate at 0.5 %, a quarter - point shy
of the lowest level ever.
The ECB, however, said after its latest
policy - making meeting Thursday that it still doesn't expect to raise its own
interest rates until «well past» September next year — and even then, only if it is absolutely sure that inflation is back on track after a decade
of undershooting.
«I think
of it as a local phenomenon,» he said
of real - estate prices, effectively ruling out the possibility that his
interest -
rate policy has stoked a national mania.
October 21st, just two days after the election, will see the release
of the next Monetary
Policy Report along with another
interest rate announcement.
OTTAWA - Bank
of Canada key
policy interest rate announcement and monetary
policy report 1400 GMT.
Officials from the government shared their concerns about higher
interest rates with a Bloomberg reporter, violating the convention
of keeping politics out
of the day - to - day handling
of monetary
policy.
An Australian banker caught on live TV showing a high
interest rate in nearly - naked photos
of supermodel Miranda Kerr has launched a viral video that has already drawn hundreds
of thousands
of views on YouTube — and fresh debate about employer Internet
policies.
The U.S. is primed for higher
interest rates, but the Bank
of Canada won't follow suit until there are real
policy changes — not just Trump Tweets — to act on
Bernanke said specifically, when citing the lesson
of Milton Friedman: «We didn't allow the fact that
interest rates were very low to fool us into thinking that monetary
policy was accommodative enough.»
So that
policy response is going to lead to slightly higher inflation in terms
of wages and slightly higher
interest rates, and the market had to respond to that.
He also recalled one
of Friedman's most important lessons, that low
interest rates are not the same as loose
policy.
Druckenmiller argues the U.S. Federal Reserve has artificially suppressed
interest rates and refers to the current situation as the most excessive and drawn out monetary easing
policy in the history
of the United States.
His remarks can't be considered a roadmap for the future path
of interest rates; he made a point
of stating that every
policy meeting is «live,» meaning the latest data could alter assumptions.
The members
of the Bank
of Canada's
policy committee, like plenty
of others, thought they were going to cut
interest rates in January.
I'm glad you brought it up, because it shows how unreliable
interest rates can be as an indicator
of appropriate monetary
policy.
First the line about «it shows how unreliable
interest rates can be as an indicator
of appropriate monetary
policy» means that low
interest rates do not necessarily mean loose
policy.
Gold slid to a four - month low on Tuesday as the dollar strengthened ahead
of a US Federal Reserve
policy meeting that is being watched for clues on the future pace
of interest rate hikes.
CNBC's Kelly Evans sits down with billionaire investor Paul Singer
of Elliott Management to talk about central bank
policy,
interest rates and gold.
On Dec. 7, the Bank
of Canada endorsed negative
interest rates as a viable emergency stimulus measure, a significant shift that demonstrates the extent to which monetary
policy has evolved since the Great Recession.
Specifically, there are concerns about what might happen should the tide turn in the bond markets when 30 years
of falling
interest rates reverses at a time when the Federal Reserve is preparing to tighten monetary
policy by forcing
rates higher.
In the category
of communications
policy, we also extended our estimate
of how long we expect to keep the short - term
interest rate at exceptionally low levels to at least mid-2015.
Shirakawa's doubts kept the BOJ firmly focused on
interest rates, rather than the size
of its balance sheet, even after it had driven its
policy rate down close to zero after the global financial crisis.
Some still advocate sticking to a
policy of nudging down
interest rates further, such as by scrapping a 0.1 percent floor set on money market
rates.
With his first
interest rate announcement this week, Poloz's run as central
policy maker at the Bank
of Canada is officially underway.
But at that point, the Fed chair Janet Yellen and the other members
of the
interest rate - setting committee seemed to side with the idea that Trump's
policies would do more to help the economy than hurt it.
If we came to learn that excessive household debt posed a bigger threat to economic growth than does a certain level
of government debt, then
policy makers would want to take that into account when setting
interest rates.
I would encourage you to remember that the current low levels
of interest rates, while in the first instance a reflection
of the Federal Reserve's monetary
policy, are in a larger sense the result
of the recent financial crisis, the worst shock to this nation's financial system since the 1930s.
The divergence in
policy between the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank
of Canada is happening: the Fed likely will raise
interest rates at least a few times in 2017, while the Canadian central bank likely will do nothing at all.
But rather than politics, Darby, in a Dec. 3 report, wrote it's the country's monetary
policy — the Bank
of Thailand surprised analysts with an
interest rate cut last month to boost growth — that «ought to be setting the alarm bells ringing in investors ears.»
The Governing Council left the benchmark
interest rate unchanged at its ultra-low setting
of 0.5 %, but
policy makers were less than enthusiastic about the Canada's prospects.
The 30 - day Fed Fund futures can be used as a guide to predict when the Fed might increase
interest rates since the prices are an expression
of trader's views on the likelihood
of changes in U.S. monetary
policy.
While Kuroda has pledged to maintain the BOJ's ultra-easy
policy, he has refuted arguments that the stimulus programme needs to be expanded and has signaled the possibility
of raising
interest rates if inflation prospects brighten.
Australian shares were down 0.6 % after the Reserve Bank
of Australia's
policy board decided to cut its benchmark
interest rate by 25 basis points to an all - time low
of 1.50 %, as expected.
That debate takes place internally at the central bank, where contrasting views are regularly articulated by members
of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) as our Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers attempt to steer monetary
policy with regard to
interest rates.
His normally boilerplate explanation for his
interest rate decision contained a new line: «Some modest withdrawal
of the present considerable monetary
policy stimulus may become appropriate.»
«Emerging market powers eager to move away from being tied to the monetary
policy of the U.S. and the banking system as well as to adopt the block chain as a payment system prove willing adherents as they adjust to zero
interest rates and the decrease in systematic risk.»
Subdued inflation forced the BOJ to revamp its
policy framework in 2016 to one better suited for a long - term battle against deflation, which targets
interest rates instead
of the pace
of money printing.
To stage another fiscal drama just as the Federal Reserve starts to roll back its quantitative easing
policy (which will put upward pressure on
interest rates, including those on residential mortgages) would like banging pots and pans in the midst
of an already distressed cattle.
He has implemented a massive stimulus
policy by cutting the central bank's benchmark
interest rate to negative, keeping the 10 - year Japanese government bond yield near 0 percent in an effort to control the yield curve and stepping up the Bank
of Japan's asset purchases.
In his job as an activist at the Center for Popular Democracy, Barkan led a successful effort to get Fed officials thinking more about low - income Americans as they conduct monetary
policy, often arguing against
interest rate hikes in the face
of high underemployment and weak wage growth.
The most important
policy action for mitigating the damage
of a recession is for the central bank to keep
interest rates low, according to the respondents, followed by increasing spending on transportation and other infrastructure projects.
The Bank
of Canada wasn't so disenchanted that it felt a
policy change was needed:
policy makers left the benchmark
interest rate unchanged at the ultra-low setting
of 0.5 %.
While the Fed has indicated it plans to raise short - term
interest rates, the uncertain domestic and global economies and the still - loosening monetary
policy of central bankers in other countries suggests that
rates could remain very low for a long time still.
Such risks, uncertainties and other factors include, without limitation: (1) the effect
of economic conditions in the industries and markets in which United Technologies and Rockwell Collins operate in the U.S. and globally and any changes therein, including financial market conditions, fluctuations in commodity prices,
interest rates and foreign currency exchange
rates, levels
of end market demand in construction and in both the commercial and defense segments
of the aerospace industry, levels
of air travel, financial condition
of commercial airlines, the impact
of weather conditions and natural disasters and the financial condition
of our customers and suppliers; (2) challenges in the development, production, delivery, support, performance and realization
of the anticipated benefits
of advanced technologies and new products and services; (3) the scope, nature, impact or timing
of acquisition and divestiture or restructuring activity, including the pending acquisition
of Rockwell Collins, including among other things integration
of acquired businesses into United Technologies» existing businesses and realization
of synergies and opportunities for growth and innovation; (4) future timing and levels
of indebtedness, including indebtedness expected to be incurred by United Technologies in connection with the pending Rockwell Collins acquisition, and capital spending and research and development spending, including in connection with the pending Rockwell Collins acquisition; (5) future availability
of credit and factors that may affect such availability, including credit market conditions and our capital structure; (6) the timing and scope
of future repurchases
of United Technologies» common stock, which may be suspended at any time due to various factors, including market conditions and the level
of other investing activities and uses
of cash, including in connection with the proposed acquisition
of Rockwell; (7) delays and disruption in delivery
of materials and services from suppliers; (8) company and customer - directed cost reduction efforts and restructuring costs and savings and other consequences thereof; (9) new business and investment opportunities; (10) our ability to realize the intended benefits
of organizational changes; (11) the anticipated benefits
of diversification and balance
of operations across product lines, regions and industries; (12) the outcome
of legal proceedings, investigations and other contingencies; (13) pension plan assumptions and future contributions; (14) the impact
of the negotiation
of collective bargaining agreements and labor disputes; (15) the effect
of changes in political conditions in the U.S. and other countries in which United Technologies and Rockwell Collins operate, including the effect
of changes in U.S. trade
policies or the U.K.'s pending withdrawal from the EU, on general market conditions, global trade
policies and currency exchange
rates in the near term and beyond; (16) the effect
of changes in tax (including U.S. tax reform enacted on December 22, 2017, which is commonly referred to as the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
of 2017), environmental, regulatory (including among other things import / export) and other laws and regulations in the U.S. and other countries in which United Technologies and Rockwell Collins operate; (17) the ability
of United Technologies and Rockwell Collins to receive the required regulatory approvals (and the risk that such approvals may result in the imposition
of conditions that could adversely affect the combined company or the expected benefits
of the merger) and to satisfy the other conditions to the closing
of the pending acquisition on a timely basis or at all; (18) the occurrence
of events that may give rise to a right
of one or both
of United Technologies or Rockwell Collins to terminate the merger agreement, including in circumstances that might require Rockwell Collins to pay a termination fee
of $ 695 million to United Technologies or $ 50 million
of expense reimbursement; (19) negative effects
of the announcement or the completion
of the merger on the market price
of United Technologies» and / or Rockwell Collins» common stock and / or on their respective financial performance; (20) risks related to Rockwell Collins and United Technologies being restricted in their operation
of their businesses while the merger agreement is in effect; (21) risks relating to the value
of the United Technologies» shares to be issued in connection with the pending Rockwell acquisition, significant merger costs and / or unknown liabilities; (22) risks associated with third party contracts containing consent and / or other provisions that may be triggered by the Rockwell merger agreement; (23) risks associated with merger - related litigation or appraisal proceedings; and (24) the ability
of United Technologies and Rockwell Collins, or the combined company, to retain and hire key personnel.
The Bank
of Japan (BOJ) kept its monetary
policy on hold, leaving the short - term
interest rate target at minus 0.1 percent.