Sentences with phrase «of predictability studies»

The potential to make skillful forecasts on these timescales, and the ability to do so, is investigated by means of predictability studies and retrospective forecasts (termed hindcasts) using climate models and statistical approaches.

Latif, M., M. Collins, H. Pohlmann, and N. Keenlyside, 2006: A review of predictability studies of Atlantic sector climate on decadal time scales.

There are some source of predictability that are still not fully resolved (including those dealing with improving climate models, but also related to unexplored initial conditions or driving conditions), and a great benefit of these predictability studies is that they mimic the practice of weather prediction by confronting models with observations at the relevant time and spatial scales, leading to the necessary inspiration for this model improvement.

Not exact matches

The survey covers relevant studies of market efficiency, predictability, behavioral influences, diversification benefits, volatility drivers, macroeconomic influences and relationships with other assets.

As long as biology was headed for a complete predictability, it was necessary to believe that «the only method of learning about the organic is to study the inorganic.»

The study appears in the current issue of the journal Nature, and provides important information on the predictability of long - term climate fluctuations.

«It's very difficult to study predictability of heat waves using observations, because there are not very many events,» Teng said.

That may be, but a study published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA suggests there is market predictability in terms of trading success and hormones.

The commission also cited efforts already underway to test earthquake forecasting, in particular the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP).

«The kinds of environmental changes we detect very likely lowered the predictability of food and water available through this region of East Africa,» explained Rick Potts, director of Smithsonian Institution's Human Origins Program and a co-author of the Science studies.

Bringing together observed and simulated measurements on ocean temperatures, atmospheric pressure, water soil and wildfire occurrences, the researchers have a powerful tool in their hands, which they are willing to test in other regions of the world: «Using the same climate model configuration, we will also study the soil water and fire risk predictability in other parts of our world, such as the Mediterranean, Australia or parts of Asia,» concludes Timmermann.

Here we explore the limits of predictability in human dynamics by studying the mobility patterns of anonymized mobile phone users.

In a study published this week in Nature Communications, researchers from the Instituto Gulbenkian de Ciencia (IGC, Portugal) discovered that when the immune system of the host is compromised, the composition of the gut bacteria changes, and the pace and predictability of the process of adaptation of these bacteria are affected.

Future studies are expected to explore these patterns of predictability outside of human cells and with a range of enzymes, with potential relevance to fields such as agriculture, industrial biotechnology and beyond.

The global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) was formed in 2007 at the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) with support from the W.... Continue Reading»

Seismological Society of America > News > Journals > Call for Papers: SRL Focus Section on the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability: New Results and Future Directions

WCRP - JSC / CAS WGNE promotes co-ordinated numerical experimentation for validating model results, observed atmospheric properties, exploring the natural and forced variability and predictability of the atmosphere, (e.g. the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project, AMIP), as well as studies aimed at refining numerical techniques, and the formulation of atmospheric physics processes.

This study showed that the predictability of La Niña duration is controlled by the magnitude of initial oceanic heat content anomalies driven by the preceding El Nino.

When it was a standing committee (until December 2010), the CRC convened a number of forums focused on emerging issues of interest to the climate science and policy communities and was instrumental in developing several important NRC activities, including the America's Climate Choices suite of activities, the study on Stabilization Targets for Greenhouse Gas Concentrations, and a study on short - term (intraseasonal to interannual) climate predictability.

Regionally focussed on the North Atlantic and Arctic, his expertise includes modelling of thermohaline processes and climate predictability studies.

They can either ignore the failings of their downscaling approach when applied to multi-decadal regional climate change impact studies and continue to mislead those communities, or they can reassess and focus on the quantification of the predictability of regional climate statistics and their changes on different time and space scales.

Numerous studies have examined the predictability of the annular modes, and most of these studies focus on the impact of a relative slowly evolving boundary condition on the amplitude of the NAM or the SAM.

«The authors write that North Pacific Decadal Variability (NPDV) «is a key component in predictability studies of both regional and global climate change,»... they emphasize that given the links between both the PDO and the NPGO with global climate, the accurate characterization and the degree of predictability of these two modes in coupled climate models is an important «open question in climate dynamics» that needs to be addressed... report that model - derived «temporal and spatial statistics of the North Pacific Ocean modes exhibit significant discrepancies from observations in their twentieth - century climate... conclude that «for implications on future climate change, the coupled climate models show no consensus on projected future changes in frequency of either the first or second leading pattern of North Pacific SST anomalies,» and they say that «the lack of a consensus in changes in either mode also affects confidence in projected changes in the overlying atmospheric circulation.»»

CAS = Commission for Atmospheric Sciences CMDP = Climate Metrics and Diagnostic Panel CMIP = Coupled Model Intercomparison Project DAOS = Working Group on Data Assimilation and Observing Systems GASS = Global Atmospheric System Studies panel GEWEX = Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment GLASS = Global Land - Atmosphere System Studies panel GOV = Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment (GODAE) Ocean View JWGFVR = Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research MJO - TF = Madden - Julian Oscillation Task Force PDEF = Working Group on Predictability, Dynamics and Ensemble Forecasting PPP = Polar Prediction Project QPF = Quantitative precipitation forecast S2S = Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project SPARC = Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate TC = Tropical cyclone WCRP = World Climate Research Programme WCRP Grand Science Challenges • Climate Extremes • Clouds, Circulation and Climate Sensitivity • Melting Ice and Global Consequences • Regional Sea - Ice Change and Coastal Impacts • Water Availability WCRP JSC = Joint Scientific Committee WGCM = Working Group on Coupled Modelling WGSIP = Working Group on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction WWRP = World Weather Research Programme YOPP = Year of Polar Prediction

This workshop will provide an opportunity to review the main scientific advances in predictability, dynamical process studies and applications of ensemble forecasts across the medium and S2S forecast ranges.

Understanding the nature and predictability of decadal variability in SPNA temperatures has thus been a major goal in climate studies, and various hypotheses have been submitted to explain this decadal variability apparent in climate models and data records.

Unresolved issues that will be addressed in a series of forthcoming studies include the effects of ocean dynamics on the predictability of low - frequency atmosphere and land variability and the feedback of soil moisture variations on atmospheric temperatures and circulation (e.g., Rowntree and Bolton 1983; Atlas et al. 1993; Koster et al. 2000).

In many cases, we combine our experimental work with modeling studies to understand the underlying physics of the circulation or to explore predictability.

Our study has identified soil water predictability even beyond the interannual timescales, thus extending the potential predictive range of hydrological conditions over North America to almost a decade.

Predictability and prediction studies have focused largely on temperature, and there is evidence of skill in the prediction of variations in annual means of temperature over much of the globe for several years, conditional on the initialization of the forecasts.

Component C, Predictability, mechanisms, and case studies: the organization and coordination of decadal climate predictability studies and of case studies of particular climate shifts and variations, including the study of the mechanisms that determine thPredictability, mechanisms, and case studies: the organization and coordination of decadal climate predictability studies and of case studies of particular climate shifts and variations, including the study of the mechanisms that determine thpredictability studies and of case studies of particular climate shifts and variations, including the study of the mechanisms that determine these behaviours

A recent study has assessed longer - lived ice loss events (Tietsche et al., 2013) and found little predictability in the onset of these events but some predictability in the magnitude of the events in simulations initialized after their onset.

WCRP - JSC / CAS WGNE promotes co-ordinated numerical experimentation for validating model results, observed atmospheric properties, exploring the natural and forced variability and predictability of the atmosphere, (e.g. the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project, AMIP), as well as studies aimed at refining numerical techniques, and the formulation of atmospheric physics processes.

Scientists are interested in studying both the predictability and possible future changes in the frequency and intensity of such storms.

In this study, the potential predictability of seasonal variations in extratropical storm activity is investigated using analysis of variance to provide quantitative and geographical observational evidence indicative of whether it may be possible to predict storm activity on the seasonal timescale.

The purpose of the program is to bring together researchers studying the AMOC and to build partnerships among modeling and observational groups to address problems related to AMOC variability, predictability, and climate impacts.

DOC file says:» In this study, we investigate the weekly to monthly predictability of clouds and precipitation over the LSA - East, defined roughly by 33 — 430N latitude and 78 — 890W longitude...»

GFDL's global models are used to study the causes of annual variability and recent trends in hurricane activity, as well as the predictability of the Atlantic hurricane season.

Photo captions: Ornate Box Turtle and Massasauga are among the species in a study that focused on the predictability of species extinction risks due to climate change.

In terms of the overall effectiveness of AFAs, study participants named cost containment, increased legal budget predictability and greater efficiency, as the three major benefits of deploying AFAs for this type of legal work.

In each of these studies, the results have been able to differentiate with over 90 % predictability which couples are likely to succeed and which couples are likely to be in trouble.

Aim of the present study was to investigate the predictability of the main variables usually associated with the study of emotional awareness.