Sentences with phrase «of real world observations»

If you look again at my NCM you will see that by attributing an influence to the sun a large number of real world observations fit into a coherent overall picture going back into the last ice age and potentially back to the first formation of the oceans.
3) However, even if the actual variance in TSI during that period was less than 4 Watts per square metre the fact is that various changes in temperature trend did occur and the shape of the chart would remain so on the basis of real world observations we must accept that the lower the range of TSI involved then the more sensitive the Earth is as a water based thermometer.
I don't know of any real world observations or math that can support it.
They might also ask you to explain why for long term projections, initial conditions matter little, with the model outputs converging toward a common and relatively accurate simulation of real world observations.
That could explain the resolute failure of real world observations to match model expectations and the failure to appear of the anticipated tropospheric «hot spot» that was expected as a marker for AGW.

Not exact matches

Compare them both to repeated, detailed observations and measurements of the real world.
Atheism is based on clear minded objective observation of the real world.
«Critical consciousness» seems to entail a conviction that our ideas are in touch with the real world only if they pass the test of being «verifiable» or «falsifiable» according to methods of observation that are publicly accessible.
Other indications of evolution are too numerous to actually list in full, but a few might be the clear genetic distinction between Neanderthals and modern man; the overlapping features of hominid and pre-hominid fossil forms; the progressive order of the fossil record (that is, first fish, then amphibians, then reptiles, then mammals, then birds; contradicting the Genesis order and all flood models); the phylogenetic relationships between extant and extinct species (including distributions of parasitic genetic elements like Endogenous Retroviruses); the real time observations of speciation in the lab and in the wild; the real time observations of novel functionality in the lab and wild (both genetic, Lenski's E. coli, and organsimal, the Pod Mrcaru lizards); the observation of convergent evolution defeating arguments of common component creationism (new world v. old world vultures for instance); and... well... I guess you get the picture.
They grow up believing in an Eternal Hell of fire and brimstone, talking snakes, the Doctrine of Original Sin, animals in an ark, a Young Earth paradigm, the notion that people lived to be hundreds of years old a few thousand years ago, patriarchs that practiced child sacrifice and committed genocides, books that are supposed words of gawd that contradict real world observations, deities that kill their own children (human manifestations of their own selves) for the sake of sins that they never committed, the symbolic cannibalism and vampirism of a deity... I could go on for days.
Within their paper, the pair details their development of a new algorithm that simulates the evaporation of water at the molecular scale that matches theoretical, numerical, and real - world observations.
By combining laboratory experiments, computer simulations and real - world observations, researchers discovered that the horizontal movement of sloped seafloor during an underwater earthquake can give tsunamis a critical boost.
Going beyond this specific demonstration, if this approach, known as acoustic seafloor geodesy, proves to be robust in the long term (in this case, three to five years are planned, within the limits of the autonomy of the batteries), it could be included within a permanent underwater observatory as an addition to other observations (seismology, gas bubble emission, etc) for in situ real - time monitoring of the activity of this particular fault, or of other active submarine faults elsewhere in the world.
Francis, a leading proponent of the theory that the Arctic can wreak havoc on weather elsewhere in the Northern Hemisphere, adds that the proposed mechanism fits «observations of the real world in recent years.»
«Its existence was predicted by the standard model of particle physics and the fact that there's — we got a glimpse of it, it looks like it may very well be there — is a real victory for that model of science where you test, you put forward conceptual models of the way the world or the universe works and test those models against the observations and see the extent to which they can predict new observations and when they do, it gives you increased confidence in the models.
Likewise, while models can not represent the climate system perfectly (thus the uncertainly in how much the Earth will warm for a given amount of emissions), climate simulations are checked and re-checked against real - world observations and are an established tool in understanding the atmosphere.
We have already been able to make some interesting observations on real world chloride concentration changes over just 24 hour periods, illustrating the dangers of relying on single point, single time measurements.»
Both real - world observations and the team's simulations reveal that the abnormally strong winds — driven by natural variation in a long - term climate cycle called the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation — have, for the time being, carried the «missing» heat to intermediate depths of the western Pacific Ocean.
The key to this narrower but much higher estimate can be found in the real world observations around the role of water vapour in cloud formation.
The model is supported by observations from satellites, ground - based networks that measure ozone - depleting chemicals in the real world, and by observations from two decades of NASA aircraft field campaigns, including the most recent Airborne Tropical Tropopause Experiment (ATTREX) in 2013 and the Atmospheric Tomography (ATom) global atmospheric survey, which has made three deployments since 2016.
Your statement that «Thus it is natural to look at the real world and see whether there is evidence that it behaves in the same way (and it appears to, since model hindcasts of past changes match observations very well)» seems to indicate that you think there will be no changes in ocean circulation or land use trends, nor any subsequent changes in cloud responses thereto or other atmospheric circulation.
Thus it is natural to look at the real world and see whether there is evidence that it behaves in the same way (and it appears to, since model hindcasts of past changes match observations very well).
«This field site exhibits a typical North Atlantic biofouling community, most notably a population of blue mussels (Mytilus edulis), which allowed to compare the findings obtained in the laboratory with observations in real - world conditions,» says Stefan Kolle, a Research Associate in the Aizenberg lab at the Wyss Institute and SEAS who is also a co-first author of the paper.
Therefore, what Hansen's models and the real - world observations tell us is that climate sensitivity is about 40 % below 4.2 °C, or once again, right around 3 °C for a doubling of atmospheric CO2.
In February, we helped scientists create a real - time snapshot of the world's birds by counting the birds and sharing our observations.
Personally, I'm doubtful that emergent constraint approaches generally tell one much about the relationship to the real world of aspects of model behaviour other than those which are closely related to the comparison with observations.
The basic idea is that across the CMIP3 models there was a strong correlation of mid-tropospheric humidity variations with the model sensitivity, and combined with observations of the real world variations, this gives a way to suggest which models are most realistic, and by extension, what sensitivities are more likely.
For almost every brand or magazine for which Chaix works, she starts by envisioning a certain woman, idealised but also drawn from real - world observations: «Who is she, is she sensual, distant, iconic, full of energy or something else?»
After all, for all the film's broad yet astute observations of how romantic comedies operate and the real world romantic expectations that arise as a result, it is, ultimately, still a romantic comedy.
Real - world observations often lead to a significant amount of student inquiry.
The «real - world» goals of this assignment are evaluated in part by teacher observation of how the students work together, gather information, complete the writing, plan the illustration, and create the book.
Continuing in the Audubon tradition of artistic ornithology, many of Connor's bird paintings seem filtered through a lens of the imagination, effectively transporting the birds from the world of the real to a magical realm of observation and flight.
Though working on a diminutive scale as compared to Rosenquist's monumental compositions, Steele draws on rigorous observations of the real world to create fragmented images that waver between recognizable form and nonobjective abstraction.
«In his work Kelly abstracts the forms in his paintings from observations of the real world, such as shadows cast by trees or the spaces between architectural elements,» according to his biography on the Guggenheim's website.
It's something of an abstract concept, but with real world implications, and the universality of such physical models, based on things like radiative balance, atmospheric composition and density, distance from the local Sun, etc., is a very strong argument in favor of general acceptance of the results of climate models and observations on Earth.
So you try to simulate some aspect of the real world and compare the simulation with observations.
These are weather models which have the real world observations assimilated into the solution to provide a «best guess» of the evolution of weather over time (although pre-satellite era estimates (before 1979) are less accurate).
Science (which the models are part of) is evolving based on real world observations.
A simple comparison of observations with projections based on real world climate forcings shows a very close match, especially if we take natural unforced variability into account as well (mainly ENSO).
If the predicted cooling by la Nina had not occurred then 2008 would probably have been the same temperature (given the uncertainties) as every year since 2001 and that in itself would require explanation.I am broadly in favour of the global warmingCO2 hypothesis but I know it is just that, a hypothesis — and that needs testing against real observations in the physical world.
The basic idea is that across the CMIP3 models there was a strong correlation of mid-tropospheric humidity variations with the model sensitivity, and combined with observations of the real world variations, this gives a way to suggest which models are most realistic, and by extension, what sensitivities are more likely.
It appears that real world observations and not the wishful thinking of «uncertainty» shows that if anything, problems are arising faster than anticipated.
[Response: As a modeler of the deep sediment column, I go to talks about observations of the real world (geology, in other words), and am struck by how simplistic the models are.
Your statement that «Thus it is natural to look at the real world and see whether there is evidence that it behaves in the same way (and it appears to, since model hindcasts of past changes match observations very well)» seems to indicate that you think there will be no changes in ocean circulation or land use trends, nor any subsequent changes in cloud responses thereto or other atmospheric circulation.
And since the real world did not have those large eruptions (1963 Agung and 1982 El Chichón repeated), the agreement of observations with the forecasts is not as good as it appears.
So, for CMIP5, the diagnosis of ECS involves a much larger change in forcing than the period of observation (ie., ~ 40 % increase in the «real world», vs. a 400 % increase in the diagnostic test of model sensitivity.)
Instead, we have a very good idea of what GHGs do to radiation, we have a reasonable idea of what aerosols and land use changes do, and we can look for fingerprints in the real world observations that match what we expect to have happened.
I have to admit that this is exactly the kind of physics I enjoy, good simple theory joined at the hip with real world observation, and I find it very convincing.
To come to their findings, the authors used a mixture of paleoclimate records, computer models, and observations of current rates of sea level rise, but «the real world is moving somewhat faster than the model,» Hansen says.
I have been raising this issue for some time especially in my various articles for ClimateRealists.com in which I have been persistently proposing that on the basis of real world climate observations the effect of solar variability on climate must be the opposite of conventional climatology.
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