A 7 - point line move has attracted the attention
of recreational bettors and professionals.
These artificially inflated lines have historically created value for opportunistic contrarian bettors since they're getting a better line purely based on the opinion
of recreational bettors.
This isn't all that surprising considering the reluctance
of recreational bettors to lay moneyline odds in such a high range, but bigger bets have come in on Mayweather.
Not exact matches
@groovinmahoovin It fails to cite a core problem with
recreational bettors buying picks: the cost
of picks relative to bet size.
This reverse line movement is an indicator that sharp
bettors have essentially «sold on good news» by allowing the sports media to pump up the perception
of Wichita State among fans and
recreational bettors, then buying back the inflated point - spread value with Dayton.
While
recreational bettors can't get enough
of the «over», sharp
bettors see this as an opportunity to buyback the public overreaction by playing the «under».
While
recreational bettors are loading up on North Carolina, sharp
bettors have hammered NC State, dropping this line off the key number
of 7, through 6.5 and 6, and down to 5.5 across the market.
While the vast majority
of recreational college basketball
bettors are waiting for Selection Sunday, sharp
bettors already have been firing away because they know some
of the best wagering opportunities
of the year happen during the conference basketball tournaments in the two weeks prior to the Big Dance.
For the purposes
of this column, we consider public money to be wagers made by
recreational bettors as opposed to those made by professionals, or «sharps.»
Recreational bettors want no part
of Andy Dalton and the Bengals but the Red Rifle has been hyper - efficient the last five games, throwing 10 touchdowns against one interception.
Of course, an influx of recreational money gives contrarian bettors plenty of opportunity to find valu
Of course, an influx
of recreational money gives contrarian bettors plenty of opportunity to find valu
of recreational money gives contrarian
bettors plenty
of opportunity to find valu
of opportunity to find value.
With a large handle being driven primarly by public
bettors, sharps have found multiple opportunites to take advantage
of recreational action by buying back the opposite sides
of those matchups.
While declaring that
recreational bettors aren't overly enthusiastic about the NIT isn't exactly breaking news, the lack
of action on tonight's slate is quite startling.
While declaring that
recreational bettors aren't overly enthusiastic about the NIT isn't exactly breaking news, the lack
of action on tonight's slate is quite
In 86.1 %
of those matchups,
recreational bettors sided with the winning crew.
When bookmakers know their customers they feel comfortable drawing a line in the sand inviting
recreational bettors of the $ 5 or $ 5,000 variety to fire into the market.
If
recreational bettors back the East leading Celtics, it has been profitable to fade teams with an ATS win rate
of 80 % or greater.
Dalton has a history
of exceeding expectations as an underdog but
recreational bettors taking the points are getting the worse
of the number in a matchup that has not been kind to the ginger quarterback.
Recreational bettors have declared for the Killer B's as more than 60 %
of spread tickets are laying the points with the road favorite.
The majority
of featured Wake and Rake matchups include smaller schools being ignored by
recreational bettors early each morning.
Now that the NCAA Tournament has advanced to the final day
of the Elite Eight, the lack
of college basketball games has
recreational bettors back on the NBA, especially in early betting.
Bigger games like Wisconsin - Maryland and Northwestern - Penn State are dominating in terms
of betting handle, but wiseguys have picked off a much smaller matchup that's being overlooked by
recreational bettors as one offering immediate value.
With only a handful
of games on Sunday's college basketball slate, most fans and
recreational bettors are laying low and waiting for tonight's NCAA Tournament Selection
Conference tournament time is great for both fans and
recreational bettors, offering plenty
of betting opportunities throughout the entire day.
It's no surprise to see
recreational bettors all over today's slate
of college basketball tournament matchups.
Pinnacle is a market - setting sportsbook with a reputation for taking very large bets from sharp players, revealing that wiseguys are in agreement with
recreational bettors regarding the right side
of this matchup.
With this influx
of public money hitting the market, oddsmakers react by shading their opening lines to the «public side» in anticipation that
recreational bettors will overwhelmingly, and sometimes blindly, bet the favorites in most matchups.