Teams favored on the moneyline between -190 and -210 have won 65.9 %
of regular season games since 2005.
Not exact matches
While the percentage
of regular season games that went Under this year (51 %) is a bit higher than the average
since 2005 (49.8 %), betting every Under still would have lost just over 6 units.
The table below includes ATS results for all NFL
regular season games since the start
of the 2004
season (over 2,100 total
games).
This will be Houston's first
game as a home dog this
season and first time in the
regular season since January 20th
of last year, which was also against the Warriors.
Using Bet Labs, we first looked at how well NFL underdogs have done in
regular season games since the beginning
of the 2004
season.
In
regular season games since 2005, # 1 ranked teams have received the majority
of bets in 82.4 %
of games, at least 70 %
of bets 35.8 %
of the time, and at least 80 %
of bets 12.9 %
of the time.
Gore has played in all 16
games of the
regular season since 2011, despite originally falling in the 2005 NFL Draft due to injury concerns and then several missed
games over his first six
seasons in the league.
Hernandez has been plagued by injuries throughout the first three years
of his career, and has missed 10
of New England's 48
regular season games since he was drafted in 2010.
The Jayhawks won the Big 12 conference tournament for the third time in six
seasons, earned a share
of the Big 12
regular season title for the 14th straight year, and are now in the Final Four with the hope
of reaching their second national championship
game since 2012.
It's been a few years (the TBS days)
since every single
regular season game wasn't, on one
of the Fox networks or ESPN.
Henne, 32, hasn't thrown a pass in a
regular season NFL
game since 2014, yet still remains one
of the best backups in the league according to the books.
Since 2005, underdogs receiving at least two - thirds
of spread tickets have gone just 77 - 96 ATS (44.5 %) in
regular season games.
Since 2003, 3.98 %
of all
regular season and playoff
games have ended with a combined score
of 44.
Since the start
of the 2005
season, the favorite has received the majority
of spread bets in 61.7 %
of regular season games involving two ranked teams.
This system shows that
since 2004, underdogs receiving less than 20 %
of spread bets in
regular season games have posted a record
of 86 - 65 (ATS) for a profit
of +16.59 units and an 11 % return on investment (ROI).
Since 2005, the majority
of spread tickets have taken the underdog in 21.9 %
of regular season games and 38.7 %
of playoff
games.
Since 2005, the majority
of college basketball bettors have supported the favorite in nearly 80 %
of regular season games.
His base salary ($ 2.25 M) did become guaranteed the day he was due his roster bonus, but
since base salary is paid out in
game checks, none
of that money would count against the Raiders cap until the
regular season starts.
In the five years
since scoring 54 points in The Garden, Stephen Curry has won two championships, two MVPs, shattered three - point records, led the Warriors to the greatest
regular season of all time, and has generally asserted himself as the most genre - defining,
game - shifting player that we've seen in, well, decades.
He has not played many
games in the Premier League
since the start
of the
season and he is a
regular player in the French national team.
Since Saban was hired, the team has closed as an underdog in only in 9 out
of 124
regular season games and have been double - digit «dogs once.
My research found that,
since the start
of the 2005
season, AL teams have gone 1,672 - 1,371 (54.9 %) with +127.91 units won and a 4.2 % return on investment (ROI) in
regular season games against NL opponents.
Since 2005, AL teams have received a majority
of moneyline bets at our contributing sportsbooks in 57.05 %
of all
regular season games.
Since 2005, only seven
of 10,259
regular season and postseason
games have closed with a total
of 86 and above.
It's been nearly two years
since Dabo Swinney's Tigers lost a
regular season game, but they have played with fire in 2016, and trips to Doak Campbell Stadium have disrupted the plans
of plenty
of great teams.
Since 2003, a majority
of public bettors have taken the over in 86.64 %
of all
regular season games.
Since the start
of the 2005 NBA
season, a majority
of spread bets have been placed on the favorite in more than 75 percent
of all
regular season games.
Since the start
of the 2005
season, the favorite has gone 281 - 234 ATS (54.6 %) in
regular season games featuring two ranked teams.
Since tearing his ACL nearly five years ago, Rose has played in just 166
of a possible 410
regular season games while his per -
game averages have dipped significantly.
Haven't the Celtics won 75 %
of their
games over the seven
regular seasons since?
However, the build - up to the new
season has been far from ideal with Aldon Smith being suspended for nine
games, NaVorro Bowman is expected to miss a significant portion
of the
regular season while Ray McDonald was arrested last Sunday to ensure that the 49ers led the league with 10 arrests
since 2012.
Pittsburgh is 1 - 6 against Brady
since 2010, including a loss in the 2017 AFC Championship and the Jesse James catch / non-catch last year at Heinz Field in the most exciting
game of the NFL
regular season.
Since 2003, the majority
of public bettors have taken the under in just 11.8 %
of regular season games and 7.2 %
of playoff
games which makes this an incredibly rare occurrence.
Since 2003, the majority
of bettors have taken the over in 86.7 %
of all
regular season games.
Since the start
of the 2003
season, the majority
of spread tickets have taken the underdog in less than 20 %
of all
regular season games.
Since 2008, 51.2 %
of NFL
regular season games have gone «over» the total, indicating there is a slight trend towards «overs», yet not enough to cover the juice if assuming a normal -110 vig.
In fact, past research found that a majority
of public bettors have backed the favorite in more than 80 %
of all NFL
regular season games since the start
of the 2003
season.
Since 2005, we have tracked the majority
of moneyline bets (at least 51 %
of tickets) on the favorite in 79.9 %
of regular season baseball
games.
Since the start
of the 2003
season, the majority
of public bettors have taken the over in 86.6 %
of all
regular season games.
My research found that,
since the start
of the 2003 NFL
season, at least 50 %
of spread bettors have taken the favorite in 2576
of 3218
regular season games.
To determine whether it was really advantageous to take favorites early and underdogs late, I examined every NFL
regular season and playoff
game since the start
of the 2003
season.
The Blues are unbeaten in all competitions
since losing their
season opener and even though they will likely be making plenty
of changes to their
regular starting eleven, they will be expected to see off Forest who have lost three
of their last four
games in the second tier.
Having said that though, Wenger is lucky that the only 2 fit centre backs he has are the ones that have yielded him the best defensive results this
season, the emergence
of Djourou this
season is reminiscent
of song's development a couple
of seasons ago which has established him as a 1st team
regular, whilst Koscielny seems to be improving
game to
game since the victory against Chelsea.
Jacoby Brissett will continue to start at quarterback until Luck is ready to play in his first
regular -
season game since Week 17
of the 2016 campaign.