Sentences with phrase «of scenario simulations»

Paul, we mostly interested in the ability of scenario simulations in describing the present stagnation, not in explaining the stagnation.
For their future climate projections, Gillett et al. use five - member ensembles of scenario simulations from 2006 — 2100 with RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5 emissions scenarios.

Not exact matches

«As such, it's important to include a wide range of interactive training opportunities, like podcasts, eLearning games, scenarios, and simulations
Methods: The stock market performance of portfolios of CHAA winners was examined under six different scenarios using simulation and past market performance in tests of association framed to inform the investor community.
One of their best new features is their new Retirement Planning Calculator that pulls in your real data after you've linked all your account, and spits out future financial scenarios based on a sophisticated Monte Carlo simulation.
They run 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations for each of many initial withdrawal rate scenarios, with probability of success defined as the percentage of runs not exhausting the portfolio before the end of a specified retirement period.
The internet of course abounds with spaces like these — I can remember being absolutely fascinated years ago by a Geocities site based around the WW2 command simulation game Panzer General II, as strangers around the world helped each other build maps, scenarios and campaigns («anybody know the order of the 2nd Soviet Guards Tank Corps during the third day of the Battle of Kursk?»)
Murase and astrophysicist Ke Fang of the University of Maryland in College Park found that computer simulations of this scenario lined up with observations of how many cosmic rays, neutrinos and gamma rays reached Earth.
Permafrost expert Dmitry Nicolsky of the UAF Geophysical Institute provided simulation data on changes in the extent of permafrost in the northern hemisphere and the predicted thaw depth under the two scenarios.
The study used simulations from the Community Earth System Model (CESM) run at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and examined warming scenarios ranging from 1.5 degrees Celsius all the way to 4 degrees Celsius (7.2 degrees Fahrenheit) by the end of the century.
Simulations were run for a series of scenarios of ocean circulation typical for the area the oil spill is thought to have occurred in, and for this time of year.
However, Stephen Kelly, the University of Southampton PhD student who ran the model simulations, said «There was a high level of variation between different scenarios, depending on a number of factors.
Szpunar and his colleagues hypothesize that the emotion associated with a future simulation is the glue that binds together the details of the scenario in memory.
Guided by theory and using computer simulations to test various scenarios, the researchers looked at how beams of various colors and phases — basically a hodgepodge of laser light — affected the plasma.
To reach these conclusions, the researchers used simulations from five state - of - the - art climate models to investigate how the characteristics of ARs may change under future climate change scenarios.
The second simulation overlaid that same weather data with a «pseudo global warming» technique using an accepted scenario that assumes a 2 - to 3 - degree increase in average temperature, and a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide.
Model simulations were run over 15 years in 18 counties in Northern and Southern California, assuming a control scenario that reflects the current status of the urban areas, and a cool roof scenario in which all buildings had commercially available cool roofs installed.
Using results from simulations conducted using an ensemble of sophisticated models, Ricke, Caldeira, and their co-authors calculated ocean chemical conditions that would occur under different future scenarios and determined whether these chemical conditions could sustain coral reef growth.
However, comparing the results of the climate simulations for the most recent interglacial with scenario calculations for the future reveals substantial differences: thanks to the more intense solar radiation, back then the air temperatures at higher latitudes were also a few degrees higher than at present.
«We know that the manner in which a fault ruptures is an important factor in determining how buildings react to the shaking, and because we don't know how the Hayward fault will rupture or the precise geology of the Bay Area, we need to run many simulations to explore different scenarios.
«Our simulations could be used to help public authorities and policy makers create a comprehensive database of tsunami scenarios in the Mediterranean, identify vulnerable coastal regions for each scenario, and properly plan their defence.»
The Review is a super refined weekly web publication curated by subject matter experts from Yale who summarize important research articles from leading natural and social science journals with the hope that people can make more informed decisions using latest research results.The Review launched this week and covers a wide range of topics, like this brief about climate change and biodiversity («Biodiversity Left Behind in Climate Change Scenarios»): They find that simply using the traditional classification of a species in climate change simulations can underestimate the true scale of biodiversity loss.
For their study, the researchers carried out computer simulations of two scenarios, one with an eruption and the other without.
The simulations showed that a 40 percent reduction in fly infestation of nests would extend the predicted time to extinction by 60 years, which would mean more than 100 years to extinctions in the two gloomy scenarios.
Another possible scenario, though seen in only about 2 percent of the team's new simulations, is that Mars formed more than twice as far from the sun as its present - day orbit in the region currently inhabited by the asteroid belt.
It also has walls, which means scientists can fill it with water and create accurate, large - scale simulations of various oceanographic scenarios.
After running a simulation of data fabrication scenarios, they settled on 85 % as the cutoff.
By using simulations that were created by running the same model multiple times, with only tiny differences in the initial starting conditions, the scientists could examine the range of summertime temperatures we might expect in the future for the «business - as - usual» and reduced - emissions scenarios.
Simulations of different climate scenarios suggest that by midcentury some of the prime wine regions
Although the new scenario is based on a mathematical study and computer simulations, the proposed hardware of the sail is already being developed in laboratories today: «The sail could be made of graphene, an extremely thin and light but mega-tough carbon film,» René Heller says.
In the primary scenario, a gambling simulation, a person was asked to pick one of four cards and told he would get a dollar if he picked the right one.
And given the guideline of equalizing delays among airlines, the simulation maintained a scenario in which each airline was able to swap an identical number of flight - schedule slots.
DAC works by reducing degrees of freedom, the number of values that encode motion, to speed up simulations while still capturing important motions for dynamic scenarios.
Smidt and his colleagues performed the most detailed simulation yet of this «direct - collapse» scenario.
SRNL has unique experience and expertise in thermochemical hydrogen production flowsheet development, modeling, and simulation using commercial off - the - shelf (COTS) software to support conceptual designs, scenario studies, capital and operating cost estimates, comparison of alternative designs, and techno - economic analyses.
The complexity of these scenarios can only be grasped resorting to large scale numerical simulations.
Effects of climate change on US crop production: simulation results using two different GCM scenarios.
It is also equipped with phytotrons and greenhouses that enable the simulation of various climate scenarios, which helps researchers and scientists examine and predict the impacts of climate change on plant growth.
To provide guidance for future high - resolution simulations, Dai et al. used a computationally cheaper, two - dimensional chemical transport model to systematically estimate the effects of injecting sulfur dioxide and sulfate aerosols at a range of altitudes, latitudes, and time frames for 62 separate scenarios.
By the end of the simulation, the host population consisted mostly of individuals carrying the altruism - promoting microbe — in some scenarios, 100 percent of hosts ended up with the microbe.
The Biocomplexity Institute has run simulations on a variety of scenarios, including nuclear detonation in Washington, D.C..
A large ensemble of Earth system model simulations, constrained by geological and historical observations of past climate change, demonstrates our self ‐ adjusting mitigation approach for a range of climate stabilization targets ranging from 1.5 to 4.5 °C, and generates AMP scenarios up to year 2300 for surface warming, carbon emissions, atmospheric CO2, global mean sea level, and surface ocean acidification.
Although not all parts of Proxima b were habitable in all simulations (the night side in the tidally locked scenario hovered around a nice, balmy -200 degrees Fahrenheit), the models pointed to enough warmish regions to make our neighboring exoplanet a very acceptable interstellar vacation spot.
Points illustrate the mean probability that a tiger population of given starting size will decline to extinction over 1,000 model simulations both with canine distemper virus (CDV) infection (black dots) and a control scenario without CDV (open diamonds).
Courtship is the period in a couple's relationship which precedes their engagement and marriage, or establishment of an agreed relationship of a more Enspire Learning develops custom e-learning courses that include interactive multimedia, simulations, and engaging scenarios.
Her scenario might be another level in the simulation, or another projection of Nathan's twisted machismo.
future simulations in his head, and only one scenario involved the fall of Purple Rick Harrison.
Format 4 — Branching scenario - based simulations When you want to check if the learner can apply the learning of the formal training, you can use this technique to help them practice what they have learned in a safe environment.
A virtual reality simulation of emergency preparedness could provide more varied scenarios and help hospitals avoid the hasty, panic - driven thinking which can lead to unnecessary accidents and deaths.
In fact, a high quality simulation could realistically recreate scenarios inside a hospital, thus increasing the efficacy of training, he claims.
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