However, scientists have used historical records
of sea ice conditions to estimate sea ice extent before 1979.
«An outline
of sea ice conditions in the vicinity of Iceland», Jokull 22: 1 - 11.
They may result from more tuning
of sea ice conditions within the models, improved model parameterizations and processes, or some combination of the two.
• How can improved estimates of sea ice thickness help improve seasonal predictions
of sea ice conditions?
Based on this plot, a classification
of sea ice conditions into permanent sea ice, extended sea ice, seasonal sea ice (ice edge), and ice - free is possible.
Not exact matches
One is changed environmental
conditions for a discrete subpopulation
of the original population, such as when
ice ages cause dramatic changes in
sea levels, cutting species into subgroups.
Says Chad Jay, the report's lead author: «We're really in a phase
of trying to see how the walruses respond to reduced
sea ice conditions.
By mapping current
conditions with the help
of Inuit hunters as well as by compiling maps
of the past based on oral histories and the memories
of elders, the researchers hope to capture the Inuit's special understanding
of sea ice.
Sea ice - associated decline in body
condition leads to increased concentrations
of lipophilic pollutants in polar bears (Ursus maritimus) from Svalbard, Norway.
The case
of this one polar bear and the failure
of her offspring to survive in the new environmental
conditions of the Arctic doesn't bode well for the future
of the species, especially as Arctic
sea ice continues to retreat at a record pace.
If we compare the
ice thickness map
of the previous winter with that
of 2012, we can see that the current
ice conditions are similar to those
of the spring
of 2012 — in some places, the
ice is even thinner,» Dr Marcel Nicolaus,
sea ice physicist at AWI, said today at a press conference during the EGU General Assembly in Vienna.
The study compared weather patterns during low
sea ice conditions as seen in recent years to weather patterns during high
sea ice conditions typical
of the late 1970s.
Under these
conditions, a disproportionately rapid retreat
of summertime
sea ice in the central Arctic Ocean over the course
of the next few decades, followed by its complete disappearance — depending on how quickly CO2 levels rise — roughly 250 years from now, is to be expected.
Scientists at the National Snow and
Ice Data Center (NSIDC), University College London, University of New Hampshire and University of Washington analyzed 300 summer Arctic sea ice forecasts from 2008 to 2013 and found that forecasts are quite accurate when sea ice conditions are close to the downward trend that has been observed in Arctic sea ice for the last 30 yea
Ice Data Center (NSIDC), University College London, University
of New Hampshire and University
of Washington analyzed 300 summer Arctic
sea ice forecasts from 2008 to 2013 and found that forecasts are quite accurate when sea ice conditions are close to the downward trend that has been observed in Arctic sea ice for the last 30 yea
ice forecasts from 2008 to 2013 and found that forecasts are quite accurate when
sea ice conditions are close to the downward trend that has been observed in Arctic sea ice for the last 30 yea
ice conditions are close to the downward trend that has been observed in Arctic
sea ice for the last 30 yea
ice for the last 30 years.
The team, which includes Professor Baldwin, will lead innovative new research, which aims to advance current understanding
of three key
conditions that influence seasonal weather across the continent — the North Atlantic upper - ocean heat content, Arctic
sea -
ice, and the stratosphere.
Our study underlines that these
conditions have led to a large loss
of ice and significant rises in global
sea level in the past.
A new NASA - led study has discovered an intriguing link between
sea ice conditions and the melting rate
of Totten Glacier, the glacier in East Antarctica that discharges the most
ice into the ocean.
During the later period, when there was less
sea ice, the whales dove significantly longer and deeper than in the earlier period — presumably in search
of prey as the animals, in turn, changed their habits because
of different ocean
conditions brought on by
sea ice loss.
This will allow us to get a much better characterization
of the
sea ice and other environmental
conditions, especially in the Pacific Arctic.»
Lack
of knowledge about the
ice sheets and their behavior is the primary reason that projections
of global
sea level rise includes such a wide range
of plausible future
conditions.
At its height between 1960 and 1980, Polyarka was staffed by more than fifty working scientists, engineers, and technicians focused on measurements
of surface weather, snow depth,
sea ice, and
conditions in the upper atmosphere.
Bacteria, however, have remained Earth's most successful form
of life — found miles deep below as well as within and on surface rock, within and beneath the oceans and polar
ice, floating in the air, and within as well as on Homo sapiens sapiens; and some Arctic thermophiles apparently even have life - cycle hibernation periods
of up to a 100 million years while waiting for warmer
conditions underneath increasing layers
of sea sediments (Lewis Dartnell, New Scientist, September 20, 2010; and Hubert et al, 2010).
In previous years, Antarctic
sea ice hit record highs, potentially due to changing ocean
conditions linked to the melting
of land - bound glaciers.
Current changes in the ocean around Antarctica are disturbingly close to
conditions 14,000 years ago that new research shows may have led to the rapid melting
of Antarctic
ice and an abrupt 3 - 4 metre rise in global
sea level.
At 3.42 million square kilometres, it may still sound large, but this small extent
of Arctic
sea ice could have profound long - term consequences, and it follows a long trend
of low
sea ice conditions.
Unfortunately, due to extremely adverse climatic
conditions (primarily an abundance
of sea ice), our team was only able to prospect a small area
of one
of our islands
of interest, James Ross Island.
Toward colder extremes, as the area
of sea ice grows, the planet approaches runaway snowball - Earth
conditions, and at high temperatures it can approach a runaway greenhouse effect (8).
This new group
of scientists find some weather disturbances were not from the El Nino, La Nina cycle, but apparently regulated by
conditions in the Arctic — things like low
sea ice, low or shorter season snow cover, and even «sudden stratospheric warming».
Aside from watching the CO2 (e) numbers, another meaningful direct measure
of our plight is the
condition of the Arctic
sea ice.
Does it mean the first time the summer
sea ice goes beneath this threshold or does it imply a probability
of encountering low -
ice conditions over a period
of time?
This means that if the climatic
conditions remain unaltered, then the melt
of the Greenland
ice will accelerate and
sea level will rise by 5 metres.
The implications
of considering Arctic
sea -
ice - free
conditions for the transformation
of the global energy system are severe.
The advantage
of such partially - coupled models is that they can be driven by past atmospheric
conditions and the simulations match well the observed
sea ice variability, which is strongly forced by the atmosphere.
But before you read on, have a quick look at this short time - lapse video
of sea ice and weather
conditions in the central Arctic Ocean from early July through August 8, recorded by one
of the two autonomous cameras set on the
sea ice near the North Pole each spring by a research team from the University
of Washington (the same folks I accompanied in 2003).
This together with the reduced
sea ice conditions along the west coast
of the AP (another climate change effect), is undoubtedly increasing the ship traffic in the area — and with it the likelihood
of iceberg collisions.
I think these are simply features
of global climate that are embedded and as predictable as other large features like hurricane patterns, the gulf stream, the jet stream,
sea ice extent and mass, global glacial
conditions,
sea level etc..
The eventual demise
of the summer
sea ice is a common feature
of nearly every climate model projection (the exceptions are models with very inappropriate initial
conditions).
Now to contribute a single event to Global Warming, one has to look at the weather
conditions, and if patterns are sighted which are tied to alteration
of sea ice decline (our new atmosphere set up), we can connect the dots here too.
True enough, they might run out
of ice — but under what
sea level rise
conditions do we regard 50 - 70 cm as loose change, down in the noise level?
The study starts with observations
of eroding
ice sheets spreading, cooler freshwater at both ends
of the planet and geological hints
of tempestuous
conditions toward the end
of the Eemian, that last interval between
ice ages when global temperatures and
seas were higher than now.
I'll be filing something soon on an international betting pool
of sorts projecting
sea ice conditions in September.
You can experience 41 days
of conditions around the North Pole in 44 seconds, thanks to the web cams left behind by an international research team (funded by the National Science Foundation) that annually ventures northward to install and retrieve instruments on and under the drifting
sea ice at the top
of the world.
There is not a single example
of a simulation
of the coupled ocean - atmosphere -
sea ice system that spontaneously generates a change as big as doubling CO2, in Holocene type
conditions.
The main source
of my Arctic comfort level — besides what I learned while camped with scientists on the North Pole
sea ice — is the growing body
of work on past variations * in
sea ice conditions in the Arctic.
People interested in this post might be interested in polarbearsinternational (dot) org which has collared bear tracking and compare their locations in the Beaufort
sea to the current
condition of the Arctic
sea ice such as at the National Snow and Ice data center, nsidc (dot) org or the University of Bremen ma
ice such as at the National Snow and
Ice data center, nsidc (dot) org or the University of Bremen ma
Ice data center, nsidc (dot) org or the University
of Bremen maps.
First is the identification
of a runaway
condition in outflow glaciers
of the West Antarctic
ice sheet that makes the IPCC prediction for year - 2100
sea level rise clearly obsolete.
«in Western Hudson Bay, the decline in population size,
condition, and survival
of young as a consequence
of earlier breakup
of the
sea ice brought about by climate warming have all been well documented (Stirling et al., 1999; Gagnon and Gough, 2005; Regehr et al., 2005; I. Stirling and N.J. Lunn, unpub.»
The following video gives you a fascinating view
of one patch
of sea ice through 90 days, provided by a webcam left behind by researchers who annually set up camp near the North Pole to check ocean and
ice conditions up close.
A strong negative or positive
condition can powerfully influence weather around the northern half
of the globe and the behavior
of sea ice on the Arctic Ocean.
Having stood on the shifting
sea ice near the North Pole once, I do feel the desire to be bipolar and go to Antarctic waters someday, despite
conditions that will always make trips there adventure travel in the purest sense
of that word.