The interannual variation
of sea ice coverage is much larger than any trend (Fig 2).
600 At all stages, seeds of regime reversal are embedded within the collection of sub-processes regulating the Arctic freshwater balance, thereby subtly and incrementally imposing «curbs» on the prevailing trend
of sea ice coverage, assuring an inevitable regime reversal years in the future.
The loss
of sea ice coverage is expected to negatively impact its annual migration and winter survival while projected heavier snowfall could reduce the suitability of nest sites.
Air temperatures in the Arctic are determined by the amount
of sea ice coverage.
Progress in understanding this connection has converged on two key factors: (1) the variability of autumn snow cover in Eurasia, and (2) the variability
of sea ice coverage in the Barents - Kara Sea during late fall and early winter.
It's also worth noting that the area
of sea ice coverage is influenced by the wind, and the rapid area loss of last summer was mainly wind - driven — but thin sea ice is more sensitive to wind forcing than thick sea ice is.
Not exact matches
His 2011 data show the lowest
coverage of sea ice since records began.
Last Friday afternoon, on a conference call hosted by the National Research Council to present a recent report on the Arctic region, Stephanie Pfirman, an environmental science professor at Barnard College, said Arctic
ice coverage is shrinking and that thicker
sea ice blocks, which anchor much
of the landscape, are rapidly melting.
The Arctic Ocean's end -
of - summer
sea ice coverage has decreased, on average, more than 13 percent per decade since 1979.
The team used a worldwide climate model that incorporated normal month - to - month variations in
sea surface temperatures and
sea ice coverage, among other climate factors, to simulate 12,000 years» worth
of weather.
Again, Monckton must surely know full well that for the last 25 - 30 years satellite temperature measurement
of sea and land surface have replaced terrestrial temperature station measurements in many cases since these give a much greater
coverage (70 %
of the surface
of the Earth is water... it's difficult to put weather stations on top
of ice sheets etc.!)
The extent
of global
sea ice coverage reached its smallest area ever recorded in 2016, new data show.
The latest data by NSIDC for Arctic
sea ice extent shows that 2008
ice coverage has fallen to 2007 levels for the end
of May:
The final analysis will probably show slightly smaller changes because
of the
coverage /
sea ice issues.
This positive climate feedback is greater than expected from the additional forcing alone, due to amplification by reduced surface albedo through melting
of continental snow and decreased
sea -
ice coverage, especially in the wintertime.
During the so - called Holocene Climate Optimum, from approximately 8000 to 5000 years ago, when the temperatures were somewhat warmer than today, there was significantly less
sea ice in the Arctic Ocean, probably less than 50 %
of the summer 2007
coverage, which is absolutely lowest on record.
Although a recent downward trend in
coverage is clearly visible by naked eye inspection, Goddard invites us to believe there has ``... been no net gain or loss
of polar
sea ice since records began.»
One possible explanation is that the CMIP5 models underestimate the strength
of the feedback as did the CMIP3 models based upon the systematic errors in simulated
sea ice coverage decline relative to observed rates (Boe et al., 2009b).
Analysis
of observed declines in
sea ice and snow
coverage from 1979 to 2008 suggests that the NH albedo feedback is between 0.3 and 1.1 W m — 2 °C — 1 (Flanner et al., 2011).
Unfortunately, the tough scientific work to clarify
ice and
sea trends and dynamics has largely been obscured online by
coverage focused on an error on Greenland
ice loss that many polar scientists say made it into the new edition
of the Times Comprehensive Atlas
of the World (that's the British Times, just to be clear).
You can find out more (and see links to my earlier
coverage of Arctic
sea -
ice trends, and what's going on with
sea ice at the other end
of the planet) in my latest post on Dot Earth.
The same
sea -
ice experts foreseeing a new record retreat
of the Arctic Ocean
coverage this summer have explanations for the flow between Greenland and Iceland, too.]
The different color shading indicates the
coverage of sea ice.
Drawing on Hadley Centre
Sea Ice and Sea Temperature data from 1953 to 1978 and the National Snow and Ice Data Center's Sea Ice Index from 1979 to 2015, the researchers computed 30 - year running averages of September sea ice coverage — that is, they computed averages for the years 1953 — 83, 1954 — 84, 1955 — 85, and so
Sea Ice and Sea Temperature data from 1953 to 1978 and the National Snow and Ice Data Center's Sea Ice Index from 1979 to 2015, the researchers computed 30 - year running averages of September sea ice coverage — that is, they computed averages for the years 1953 — 83, 1954 — 84, 1955 — 85, and so
Ice and
Sea Temperature data from 1953 to 1978 and the National Snow and Ice Data Center's Sea Ice Index from 1979 to 2015, the researchers computed 30 - year running averages of September sea ice coverage — that is, they computed averages for the years 1953 — 83, 1954 — 84, 1955 — 85, and so
Sea Temperature data from 1953 to 1978 and the National Snow and
Ice Data Center's Sea Ice Index from 1979 to 2015, the researchers computed 30 - year running averages of September sea ice coverage — that is, they computed averages for the years 1953 — 83, 1954 — 84, 1955 — 85, and so
Ice Data Center's
Sea Ice Index from 1979 to 2015, the researchers computed 30 - year running averages of September sea ice coverage — that is, they computed averages for the years 1953 — 83, 1954 — 84, 1955 — 85, and so
Sea Ice Index from 1979 to 2015, the researchers computed 30 - year running averages of September sea ice coverage — that is, they computed averages for the years 1953 — 83, 1954 — 84, 1955 — 85, and so
Ice Index from 1979 to 2015, the researchers computed 30 - year running averages
of September
sea ice coverage — that is, they computed averages for the years 1953 — 83, 1954 — 84, 1955 — 85, and so
sea ice coverage — that is, they computed averages for the years 1953 — 83, 1954 — 84, 1955 — 85, and so
ice coverage — that is, they computed averages for the years 1953 — 83, 1954 — 84, 1955 — 85, and so on.
The estimates also suggests, based on current
sea -
ice coverage, that it will take another trillion metric tons
of carbon dioxide emissions before Arctic summer
sea ice more or less vanishes.
By contrast atmospheric temperature amplification is not evident in the Antarctic which is insulated by relatively stable circumpolar winds, persistent
sea -
ice coverage and the loss
of tropospheric ozone.
-- Susan Solomon, Nature The Long Thaw is written for anyone who wishes to know what cutting - edge science tells us about the modern issue
of global warming and its effects on the pathways
of atmospheric chemistry, as well as global and regional temperatures, rainfall,
sea level, Arctic
sea -
ice coverage, melting
of the continental
ice sheets, cyclonic storm frequency and intensity and ocean acidification.
For example, let's say that evidence convinced me (in a way that I wasn't convinced previously) that all recent changes in land surface temperatures and
sea surface temperatures and atmospheric temperatures and deep
sea temperatures and
sea ice extent and
sea ice volume and
sea ice density and moisture content in the air and cloud
coverage and rainfall and measures
of extreme weather were all directly tied to internal natural variability, and that I can now see that as the result
of a statistical modeling
of the trends as associated with natural phenomena.
Lacking a more direct measure
of the relationship between bearded seal vital rates and
ice coverage, the BRT assumed that this preference relationship reflects the species requirements for
sea -
ice coverage.»
Antarctic
sea ice coverage is slightly above average and the growth varies from one part
of Antarctica to another.
«The time
of occurrence
of the maximum and minimum
sea ice coverage in the Arctic showed slight trends towards occurring earlier in the year, although not significant.
Morover, I think you really should look at more recent work by Polyakov — say, his 2012 paper, «Recent Changes
of Arctic Multiyear
Sea Ice coverage and the Likely Causes.»
BBC News reports that data from Europe's Cryosat spacecraft shows that Arctic
sea ice coverage was nearly 9,000 cubic kilometers (2,100 cubic miles) by the end
of this year's melting season, up from about 6,000 cubic kilometers (1,400 cubic miles) during the same time last year.
Sea levels are a foot higher and Arctic
ice coverage is at the lowest levels ever — the
ice was gone as
of March, months early.
The coupling
of IP25 with phytoplankton biomarkers such as brassicasterol or dinosterol proves to be a viable approach to determine (spring / summer)
sea ice conditions as is demonstrated by the good alignment
of the PIP25 - based estimate
of the recent
sea ice coverage with satellite observations38.
As a consequence, any
sea ice coverage ensemble forecast that uses the 2007 temperature and specific humidity fields as part
of the input surface BCs will approximately have the 2007
sea ice minimum as the lower end estimate
of the ensemble.
To make use
of that potential we would need good estimates
of sea ice thickness, such as might be obtained from ICESat or CryoSat (i.e., complete spatial
coverage).
In addition, a combination
of thinner
sea ice initial conditions [Kwok and Rothrock 2009] and high surface temperature would significantly reduce arctic
sea ice coverage.
Arctic
sea ice coverage is approaching the record minimum for late October
of two years ago, according to the latest NSIDC plot.
Although there is significant season - to - season and year - to - year variability
of world
sea -
ice coverage, there is no dramatic trend in global
sea -
ice loss.
Some have claimed it was complete global
coverage of sea, though it seems me more would claim there remained corridor
of tropical ocean which remain
ice free.
This 7.8 million square kilometers
of effective reflective
sea ice is about 1.7 percent
of the cloud
coverage.
The cloud
coverage in the Arctic is about 60 percent in the winter so only 40 percent
of the 15 million square kilometers
of sea ice is reflecting the Sun's radiation.
The reason it is a mystery is because that increase in
sea ice coverage is contrary to the theory
of global warming.
It seems to me the variables effecting the amount or
coverage of sea ice, be it old vr.
Slate's Phil Plait was responsibly reserved in his
coverage, emphasizing that although one
of the press releases used the word «collapse,» the melting
of this particular glacier — which by itself contains enough
ice to raise global
seas by three feet — is a process that will take centuries, if not longer, to play out.
This coincided with record - breaking shrinkage
of Arctic
sea ice, where total
coverage at the peak
of melting season is now 40 percent lower than in the late 1970s.
How about the Roman Warm Period era, when Arctic temperatures were 2 to 6 degrees C warmer than now and the Arctic had less than 50 %
sea ice coverage 6 months
of the year vs. just 1.5 months
of < 50 %
sea ice coverage during the post-1950s «Anthropocene»?
The separation in REA16
of the effect
of masking from that
of sea ice changes on blending air and water temperature changes is somewhat artificial, since HadCRUT4 has limited
coverage in areas where
sea ice occurs.
Sea ice coverage is particularly low in the Barents and Kara
seas, which sit north
of Scandinavia and Russia and have been in the path
of those incoming storms.