Recent estimates indicate that the Antarctic sea ice cover is expanding at a statistically significant rate with a magnitude one - third as large as the rapid rate
of sea ice retreat in the Arctic.
So, no new alarm bells this time from the glaciologists, but the uncertainties concerning outlet glaciers and the effects
of sea ice retreat are still in the air and imply that sea level rise estimates might need to be reconsidered.
Second, the rate
of sea ice retreat in recent years is also unprecedented in the historical record.
Gavin disputes that the main driver
of the sea ice retreat is the albedo flip, but we are seeing not only polar amplification of global warming but positive feedback, which would not be explained simply by radiative forces and ocean currents.
Furthermore, unraveling the causes
of sea ice retreat should help us understand the mechanisms behind climate change on a global level, which is interrelated to the ice reduction in the Arctic ocean.»
«Unraveling a major cause
of sea ice retreat in the Arctic Ocean.»
Not exact matches
Sensors that have plumbed the depths
of Arctic
seas since 2002 have found warm currents creeping up from the Atlantic Ocean and helping drive the dramatic
retreat of sea ice there over the last decade.
Evidence
of past glacial advance and
retreat is also more easily observed in the Dry Valleys, providing a window into the past behavior
of the vast Antarctic
ice sheets and their influence on global
sea levels.
The International Union for the Conservation
of Nature (IUCN), which maintains the international «Red List»
of threatened species, considers the polar bear «vulnerable» due to climate change - induced
retreating sea ice.
The case
of this one polar bear and the failure
of her offspring to survive in the new environmental conditions
of the Arctic doesn't bode well for the future
of the species, especially as Arctic
sea ice continues to
retreat at a record pace.
They found that, as
seas warmed at the end
of the last
ice age, Pine Island Glacier
retreated to a point where its grounding line — the point where it enters the ocean and starts to float — was perched precariously at the end
of a slope.
«Today, the Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers are grounded in a very precarious position, and major
retreat may already be happening, caused primarily by warm waters melting from below the
ice shelves that jut out from each glacier into the
sea,» said Matthew Wise
of Cambridge's Scott Polar Research Institute, and the study's first author.
«That means the rapid
retreat of Arctic
sea ice poses an especially serious threat for polar cod.
The biggest changes were seen in West Antarctica, where more than a fifth
of the
ice sheet has
retreated across the
sea floor faster than the pace
of deglaciation.
In addition, both studies have yielded valuable data that can be integrated into ecosystem models — which are in turn essential to forecasts
of how the
retreat of sea ice will affect the Arctic ecosystem.
«It is conceivable that part
of that litter then drifts even farther to the north and northwest, and reaches the Fram Strait,» states the AWI biologist, adding, «Another cause for litter in the Arctic could be the
retreat of the Arctic
sea ice.
«This study was the first to quantitatively elucidate that
ice - ocean albedo feedback is a primary driver
of seasonal and yearly variations in Arctic
sea ice retreat,» says Kay I. Ohshima.
Retreating sea ice in the Iceland and Greenland
Seas may be changing the circulation
of warm and cold water in the Atlantic Ocean, and could ultimately impact the climate in Europe, says a new study by an atmospheric physicist from the University
of Toronto Mississauga (UTM) and his colleagues in Great Britain, Norway and the United States.
Dr James Screen from the University
of Exeter used a computer model to investigate how the dramatic
retreat of Arctic
sea ice influences the European summer climate.
Data collected by ship and model simulations suggest that increased Pacific Winter Water (PWW), driven by circulation patterns and
retreating sea ice in the summer season, is primarily responsible for this OA expansion, according to Di Qi, the paper's lead author and a doctoral student
of Liqi Chen, the lead PI in China.
However, in recent years, the
sea ice has
retreated and with it the region
of maximum heat exchange.
As global warming affects the earth and ocean, the
retreat of the
sea ice means there won't be as much cold, dense water, generated through a process known as oceanic convection, created to flow south and feed the Gulf Stream.
Under these conditions, a disproportionately rapid
retreat of summertime
sea ice in the central Arctic Ocean over the course
of the next few decades, followed by its complete disappearance — depending on how quickly CO2 levels rise — roughly 250 years from now, is to be expected.
About 10,000 years ago, after the glaciers
of the
Ice Age
retreated from the Scandinavian landmass, bands
of hunters and fishers moved across the Baltic
Sea and into the Finnish wilderness.
The melting and
retreating of Arctic
sea ice in the summer months also has allowed PWW to move further north than in the past when currents pushed it westward toward the Canadian archipelago.
Melting
of the smaller Greenland
Ice Sheet can only explain a fraction
of this
sea - level rise, most which must have been caused by
retreat on Antarctica.»
The revised estimate for
sea - level rise comes from including new processes in the 3 - dimensional
ice sheet model, and testing them against past episodes
of high
sea - levels and
ice retreat.
A new study shows that the magnitude
of surface darkening in the Arctic (due to the
retreat of sea ice) is twice as large as that found in previous studies.
The
retreat of sea ice in the Arctic Ocean is diminishing Earth's albedo, or reflectivity, by an amount considerably larger than previously estimated, according to a new study that uses data from instruments that fly aboard several NASA satellites.
The publicly available report also divides the Arctic Ocean into 12 regions, and calculates the changes in the dates
of spring
sea ice retreat and fall freeze - up from NASA satellite images taken between 1979 and 2013.
The predictable
retreat of Arctic
sea ice under global warming presents one last opportunity to adopt effective marine management practices before, rather than after, an ocean is opened up to development, says Lisa Speer
of NRDC in New York City, who co-authored the workshop report.
In the case
of Arctic whales, the changes in
sea ice might benefit their populations, at least in the short term: the loss and earlier
retreat of sea ice opens up new habitats and, in some areas
of the Arctic, has also led to an increase in food production and the length
of their feeding season.
After 8 years
of decay
of its
ice shelf, Zachariæ Isstrøm, a major glacier
of northeast Greenland that holds a 0.5 - meter
sea - level rise equivalent, entered a phase
of accelerated
retreat in fall 2012.
Krill require a cover
of sea ice to spawn and hide from predators, and recent Antarctic krill declines have been linked to the
retreating ice.
The thinning and
retreat of the
sea ice thus seem to affect not only the marginal oceans
of the Arctic, but also the inner parts,» Riihelä added.
Dr Ohneiser says that one
of the key implications
of the study is that changes in global
sea - level are uneven when
ice sheets expand or
retreat.
The only way that significant amounts
of this mud could have been deposited as sediment in the
sea would be if the
ice sheet had
retreated inland and eroded these rocks, say the team.
The dramatic
retreat of Arctic
sea ice in recent years is changing disease patterns, altering the local food web and lowering the region's ability to reflect sunlight, according to two new studies.
«Arctic
sea ice once again shows considerable melting: With a minimum extent
of ca. 4.7 million square kilometres, Arctic
sea ice continues to
retreat.»
They are identifiable in
sea level rise, altered rainfall patterns,
retreat of Arctic
sea ice, ocean acidification, and many other aspects
of the climate system.
The abrupt changes seen in the Greenland
ice cores are due to
sea -
ice changes and the slower changes are the growth or
retreat of continental
ice sheets.
The
retreat of these glaciers in itself will have a negligible effect on
sea level, since most
of the
ice that has
retreated was in the water already.
The 14C Record
of Late Pleistocene
ice advance and
retreat in the central Ross
Sea, Antarctica.
A model
of a polar
ice stream, and future
sea - level rise due to possible drastic
retreat of the West Antarctic
ice sheet.
Shipp, S.S., Wellner, J.S., and Anderson, J.B.,
Retreat significance
of a polar
ice stream: sub-glacial geomorphic features and sediments from the Ross
Sea, Antarctica: J.A. Dowdeswell and C. O'Cofaigh (eds.)
Especially in West Antarctica, where much
of the
ice sheet sits below
sea level, complex interactions at the edge
of the
ice sheet can sensitively affect the rate
of ice - sheet
retreat.
Another sign climate change hasn't stopped is that other climate indicators have continued with no signs
of reversing, from Arctic
sea ice and glacial
retreat to rising
seas.
Since IPCC (2001) the cryosphere has undergone significant changes, such as the substantial
retreat of arctic
sea ice, especially in summer; the continued shrinking of mountain glaciers; the decrease in the extent of snow cover and seasonally frozen ground, particularly in spring; the earlier breakup of river and lake ice; and widespread thinning of antarctic ice shelves along the Amundsen Sea coast, indicating increased basal melting due to increased ocean heat fluxes in the cavities below the ice shelv
sea ice, especially in summer; the continued shrinking
of mountain glaciers; the decrease in the extent
of snow cover and seasonally frozen ground, particularly in spring; the earlier breakup
of river and lake
ice; and widespread thinning
of antarctic
ice shelves along the Amundsen
Sea coast, indicating increased basal melting due to increased ocean heat fluxes in the cavities below the ice shelv
Sea coast, indicating increased basal melting due to increased ocean heat fluxes in the cavities below the
ice shelves.
Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) occurs in response to
retreating ice from the last glacial period, where around most
of the world, land is subsiding at a fraction
of a millimetre per year, compounding the problem
of sea - level rise.
Pine Island Glacier could collapse — stagnate and
retreat far up into the bay, resulting in rapid
sea level rise — within the next few centuries, raising global
sea levels by 1.5 m11, 12, out
of a total
of 3.3 m from the entire West Antarctic
Ice Sheet13.