Steven, speaking of satellites, how confident are
you of their sea level measurement with the accuracy under 1 mm?
Not exact matches
It's directly measurable by
sea level as most
of the rises we are seeing are due to nothing more than thermal expansion (even the skeptics don't argue that, the
measurements are solid, and there's no explanation other than «it's getting hotter»).
But the study, published today in Earth's Future, finds that scientists won't be able to determine, based on
measurements of large - scale phenomena like global
sea level and Antarctic mass changes, which scenario the planet faces until the 2060s.
That
measurement included only the height above the average
level of the
sea and did not consider the depth
of the wave trough.
While satellites have provided consistently good data for years, the next frontier in
sea level rise
measurement is a new type
of radar that can capture a more crisp, higher - resolution picture
of sea surface heights.
In addition, GOCE data could be used to help validate satellite altimetry
measurements for an even clearer understanding
of ice - sheet and
sea -
level change.
By comparing several years
of measurements, climate researchers and oceanographers can now draw conclusions about changes in
sea level and ocean currents.
Raw data collected from altimeters have been re-processed and collated with wind speed data from scatterometers and
sea level measurements from tide gauges, to show the spatial structure
of each storm.
Further
measurements of sea level height, water temperature and salinity should help scientists unravel the mystery
of the bulge.
The two
measurements, plus warming
of the deep ocean, would equal the global
sea -
level rise
of 2.78 millimeters over the last decade.
New
measurements from a NASA satellite have allowed researchers to identify and quantify, for the first time, how climate - driven increases
of liquid water storage on land have affected the rate
of sea level rise.
«The tide gauge
measurements are essential for determining the uncertainty in the GMSL (global mean
sea level) acceleration estimate,» said co-author Gary Mitchum, USF College
of Marine Science.
(Parenthetically, tide gauge
measurements of sea level are made relative to the adjacent land, and have shown
sea level rises encroaching on the shoreline).
New research published this week in the Journal
of Climate reveals that one key
measurement — large - scale upper - ocean temperature changes caused by natural cycles
of the ocean — is a good indicator
of regional coastal
sea level changes on these decadal timescales.
Combining POLENET
measurements of gravity,
sea level, and the atmosphere will link ice sheet change to the global earth system.
Measurements of ice sheet elevation changes indicate the volume
of ice lost, and hence the contribution to
sea levels, he tells Carbon Brief.
This is based on the following graph showing satellite
measurements of sea levels over 2010:
Satellite
measurements of the Patagonian icefields suggest that they are currently rapidly receding and thinning, with a measureable contribution to eustatic
sea level rise2.
Our new study, published today in the journal Earth's Future, finds that — at least from
measurements of global
sea level and continental - scale Antarctic ice - sheet changes — scientists won't be able to tell which road the planet is on until the 2060s.
Recent methane
measurements at Terceira Island, Azores, Portugal and Tae - ahn Peninsula, Republic
of Korea (See http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/dv/iadv/index.php) in the context
of outlier data points over the last decade at sites such as Storhofdi, Vestmannaeyjar, Iceland, and reports
of methane releases from the Arctic seabed, tell us that at current
levels of AGW, the Earth's
sea - floor methane systems are not stable.
Pen y Fan is 886 meters above
sea level, or 2,907 feet in British imperial
measurement and can seem benign and easy on a cool spring day, with hundreds
of others climbing the well - trodden path known as the «M4» (after the nearby motorway that runs through south Wales) up the mountain.
A detailed body
of literature is on hand — alluding to Wagner, Dürer, the
measurements of the concentration camps, the geographical height
of the White Cube gallery above
sea level — to help you construct additional meanings.
Seems quite a bit easier to go with the tidal gauge record; it has its complications, but at least you are starting with reasonably direct
measurements of sea level.
Note that this sampling noise in the tide gauge data most likely comes from the water sloshing around in the ocean under the influence
of winds etc., which looks like
sea -
level change if you only have a very limited number
of measurement points, although this process can not actually change the true global - mean
sea level.
If you want to insist on the relation between temperature and
sea level then it's necessary to question the accuracy
of our
measurements of one or the other — or both.
Very recent, wide ranging review
of temperature
measurements in the oceans with a detailed discussion
of the accuracy
of the data, planetary energy balance and the effect
of the warming on
sea levels.
Has realclimate ever done (or considered doing) an entry about the immense contribution that satellite
measurements have made in the past two - three decades, in helping us to understand various components
of the earth system (e.g., vegetation, ozone, ice sheet mass, water vapor content, temperature,
sea level height, storms, aerosols, etc.)?
Shown is the past history
of sea level since the year 1700 from proxy data (sediments, purple) and multiple records from tide gauge
measurements.
Mike's work, like that
of previous award winners, is diverse, and includes pioneering and highly cited work in time series analysis (an elegant use
of Thomson's multitaper spectral analysis approach to detect spatiotemporal oscillations in the climate record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth
of GFDL showing evidence in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published in Nature), in showing how changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO, in examining the role
of solar variations in explaining the pattern
of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age, the relationship between the climate changes
of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global
sea level, and even a bit
of work in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis
of beryllium - 7
measurements).
The data come from a multitude
of sources that include not only temperature
measurements but also commensurate steric
sea level rise.
The issues relating to
sea level rise and the global water budget can only be addressed when the record
of satellite gravity
measurement from GRACE achieves adequate duration.
Given all the independent lines
of evidence pointing to average surface warming over the last few decades (satellite
measurements, ocean temperatures,
sea -
level rise, retreating glaciers, phenological changes, shifts in the ranges
of temperature - sensitive species), it is highly implausible that it would lead to more than very minor refinements to the current overall picture.
Here's an excerpt describing how the
measurements on the six glaciers in the study relate to projections
of sea -
level rise:
The data - gathering and environmental monitoring capabilities
of the FishPi may include temperature readings (air and
sea), salinity and pH
measurements, barometric monitoring, light
levels, and more, with some
of the data or images being relayed in real - time.
ScienceDaily (Oct. 3, 2008)-- Arctic
sea ice extent during the 2008 melt season dropped to the second - lowest
level since satellite
measurements began in 1979, reaching the lowest point in its annual cycle
of melt and growth on Sept. 14, according to researchers at the University
of Colorado at Boulder's National Snow and Ice Data Center.»
At the same time, the GRACE gravitational - anomaly satellites, the most accurate method
of measurement we have, showed
sea level actually falling from 2003 — 2009.
All
of the different satellite
measurements agree with that, but perhaps even more interesting is that the European RSL
measurement shows that the
sea level in 2011 was even lower than it was back in 2005.
Vertical land movements such as resulting from glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA), tectonics, subsidence and sedimentation influence local
sea level measurements but do not alter ocean water volume; nonetheless, they affect global mean
sea level through their alteration
of the shape and hence the volume
of the ocean basins containing the water.
In the coming months, ClimateDialogue.org will host discussions on such topics as climate sensitivity to CO2,
sea level rise, the reliability
of temperature
measurements, the reliability and usefulness
of climate models, and the extent to which oceans can store heat.
For the period before 1870, global
measurements of sea level are not available.
To extract the signal
of sea level change due to ocean water volume and other oceanographic change, land motions need to be removed from the tide gauge
measurement.
Despite
measurements of total heat absorbed by the oceans by Levitus et al. (2000) and Levitus et al. (2001), «20th - century
sea level remains an enigma — we do not know whether warming or melting was dominant, and the budget is far from closed,» according to Munk (2003).
Measurements of present - day
sea level change rely on two different techniques: tide gauges and satellite altimetry (Section 5.5.2).
a) People would find it interesting to take
measurements of c02 b) Some
of us are increasingly sceptical about «official» figures - such as the nonsensical global temperatures since 1850,
sea levels and co2
measurements.
Lower troposphere temperature data represents the temperature
of the atmosphere at approximately 3000 meters above
sea level, as determined by satellite
measurements.
I attribute both the «global» (dominated by Atlantic basin
measurement points) and European supposed «rise» in
sea level to tectonic subsidence at the passive margin combined with the trailing edge
of the great melt
of 10K years ago.
How accurate or valuable are satellite
measurements of sea -
level rise?
Other evidence surrounding the original placing
of the benchmark is less clear, but we do have one positive
measurement of where the benchmark stood relative to
sea level taken in 1888 by the then Government meteorologist, Commander J. Shortt R.N..
The primary danger from global warming was supposed to be the
sea level rise from melting ice caps but this hasn't occurred either and satellite
measurements show that the rate
of sea level rise has in fact decreased in 2004 to 0.37 mm / year in the Atlantic and 0.15 mm / year in the Pacific.
Three years
of measurements from CryoSat show that the Antarctic Ice Sheet is now losing 159 billion tonnes
of ice each year, enough to raise global
sea levels by 0.45 mm per year.