Trevor's work has focused on climate scenarios and online mapping tools, downscaling to high resolution, analysis of historical climate data and improvement
of seasonal climate predictions.
These were used to estimate a normal pattern
of seasonal climate variation.
Another product to keep an eye on is the Climate Prediction Center CFS Forecast
of Seasonal Climate Anomalies.
This new prediction system shows the multi-year predictive skills of drought and wildfire conditions beyond the typical timescale
of seasonal climate forecast models.
Trevor's work has focused on climate scenarios and online mapping tools, downscaling to high resolution, indices of extremes, analysis of historical climate data and the improvement
of seasonal climate predictions.
Such is the nature
of seasonal climate forecasting when there is enough forecast uncertainty that «busts» can and do occur.
Not exact matches
But you can swing private lifeguarding as a
seasonal business if you live in a cold
climate, as long as you're supplementing this service with another stream
of income — just take your pick from any
of the other 40 small business ideas on this list.
Computer models being investigated both in the US and in the Soviet Union were demonstrating that a nuclear war involving the exchange
of a small fraction
of the total American and Russian bombs could change the
climate of the entire Northern Hemisphere, shifting it abruptly from its present
seasonal state to a long, sunless, frozen night.
I thought this was a good time to share it, for those
of you in
seasonal climates,...
At this time
of year we are prone to
Seasonal affective Disorder (SAD) due to the lack
of sunlight, especially those who live in northern
climates.
Plus, many
of the ingredients in this recipe are perfect for the fall equinox and helping our bodies adapt to colder
climates and
seasonal changes in the environment.
I thought this was a good time to share it, for those
of you in
seasonal climates, feeling the first signs
of spring among the remaining chill
of winter.
If the effects
of climate change weren't included in the model, the trends toward bigger
seasonal variations in CO2 at Arctic latitudes disappeared, researchers report online today in Science.
Martin King hopes that renewed interest in the
seasonal variation
of El Niño tele - connections in Europe will contribute to further progress in
climate predictions on monthly and
seasonal scales.
Pied flycatchers are thus less obliged to match their onset
of breeding with the
climate change - driven
seasonal advancement
of the peak
of caterpillar larvae.
Instead
of waiting for an event to happen, the idea is to incorporate
seasonal forecasts, which are done a month or more ahead
of time, into the
climate models.
If it was predicted in the real - world
seasonal forecast but not in the scenario which is stripped
of emissions, then it was made more likely by
climate change — a likelihood that can be calculated.
japonicus to expand its range is due to its ability to use a variety
of «larval habitats and a cold tolerance that allows an expanded
seasonal activity range in temperate
climates,» according to a 2014 article in the Annual Review
of Entomology.
A scientific study to understand the impact
of climate change and other factors on plant - pollinator interactions, geographic distributions and
seasonal abundances
According to the findings, the extent
of Arctic sea ice and its
seasonal distribution clearly have broad impacts on Arctic
climate that extend beyond the Arctic Ocean itself and have important implications for the future
of the Arctic system.
Seasonal changes in precipitation and water storage make it difficult for modelers to estimate water availability and impacts
of interventions, and the effects
of climate change can be difficult to tease out from other impacts like human activities.
«Hotspots show that vegetation alters
climate by up to 30 percent: Engineers find strong feedbacks between the atmosphere and vegetation that explain up to 30 %
of precipitation and surface radiation variance; study reveals large potential for improving
seasonal weather predictions.»
Each species seems to be tied to their local
seasonal cycle
of greening, which is markedly different among species, suggesting that annual
climate cycles may help maintain genetic and phenotypic divergence in giraffes.
«Looking at changes in the number
of dry days per year is a new way
of understanding how
climate change will affect us that goes beyond just annual or
seasonal mean precipitation changes, and allows us to better adapt to and mitigate the impacts
of local hydrological changes,» said Polade, a postdoctoral researcher who works with Scripps
climate scientists Dan Cayan, David Pierce, Alexander Gershunov, and Michael Dettinger, who are co-authors
of the study.
Also, according to the researchers,
seasonal climate forecasts enable a more effective and dynamic adaptation to
climate variability and change, offering an underexploited opportunity to reduce the fire impact
of adverse
climate conditions.
Shocks caused by
climate and
seasonal change could be used to aid recovery
of some
of the world's badly - degraded coral reefs, an international team
of scientists has proposed.
Comparing the snakes» most active temperature range with predictions
of shifts due to
climate change, the team pointed out that the timing
of seasonal activities may shift in the future — which could impact their interactions with other species.
So a group
of researchers from all over Europe turned to looking at the timing
of flooding, as the
seasonal nature
of them is tied much more closely to
climate than to any other interfering factors.
«The finding that
climate change increases the
seasonal windows
of opportunities
of high fire danger in the geographic areas where these fires become disasters suggests that
climate change is a threat multiplier to the wicked fire problem that these communities face today,» said John Abatzoglou, a co-author
of the study and associate professor at the University
of Idaho.
While the majority
of climate change scientists focus on the «direct» threats
of changing temperatures and precipitation after 2031, far fewer researchers are studying how short - term human adaptation responses to
seasonal changes and extreme weather events may threaten the survival
of wildlife and ecosystems much sooner.
They suggest that dust could be arriving from snow - free land areas in Greenland and nearby in the Arctic that are experiencing earlier melting
of seasonal snow cover due to
climate change.
NOAA evaluates the accuracy
of its
seasonal forecasts each year, with the aim
of seeing the number
of storms fall in the given ranges at least 70 percent
of the time, which they do consistently, Gerry Bell, lead
seasonal hurricane forecaster with NOAA's
Climate Prediction Center, said.
Climate change hasn't been kind to the Arctic Circle, as evidenced by the decrease
of seasonal ice in the area and the encroachment
of temperate species.
But «while the Arctic maximum is not as important as the
seasonal minimum, the long - term decline is a clear indicator
of climate change,» Walt Meier, a sea ice researcher at the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, said in a statement.
Track a Tree will provide insights into the
seasonal timing
of U.K. woodland species, and how future changes in
climate may affect the interactions between trees and flowering plants
«During a time when the
climate was getting wetter and the wetlands expanding, this critical
seasonal resource that is ripe at the peak
of the flooding season when other resources are dispersed and scarce, residents
of Monte Castelo began to grow larger rice»
Those levees, most
of which are simple earthen berms, are weak and vulnerable to earthquakes,
seasonal floods, and rising waters expected as a result
of climate change.
At the moment the company is working with NASA to develop technology that would predict how small - scale,
seasonal shifts in temperature as well as large - scale
climate change influence the presence
of bacteria in the soil, air and water around crops.
While several studies have been conducted in the central and southern United States to compare and evaluate the durability
of pavement markings, Zayed points out that the findings don't translate very well given the strikingly different weather conditions between warm versus
seasonal climates.
Other
climate records point to a sometimes - green Sahara around this time, and Osborne thinks that
seasonal monsoons could have supported a patchwork
of life - saving oases across the desert.
«Fortunately, we've reduced the upper end, the number
of major hurricanes,» said Gerry Bell, the lead
seasonal hurricane forecaster at the
Climate Prediction Center.
Kalkbrenner says it was important to look at eastern states because
of the differences in
climate,
seasonal weather patterns and the chemical make - up
of the particulate matter that might impact brain development.
Climate change, resulting in more frost - free days and warmer
seasonal air temperatures, can contribute to shifts in flowering time and pollen initiation from allergenic plant species, and increased CO2 by itself can elevate production
of plant - based allergens.137, 15,16,17,18,19,138 Higher pollen concentrations and longer pollen seasons can increase allergic sensitizations and asthma episodes, 20,21,155,22 and diminish productive work and school days.138, 22,23
We were particularly interested in the nature
of this relationship because
of the hypothesized
seasonal movement
of krill to inshore waters around the Antarctic Peninsula in winter, rapid changes in the
climate and sea ice patterns
of the Antarctic peninsula [15], [16] and the known relationships between baleen whales and krill.
The increase in sea surface temperature over the central and eastern equatorial Pacific known as El Niño, and the corresponding decrease known as La Niña, contribute to
seasonal climate and weather fluctuations in many regions
of the globe.
«Differences Between
Seasonal and Mean Annual Energy Balance Model Calculations
of Climate and
Climate Sensitivity.»
By working on the still - not - fully - cracked nut
of estimating changes in hurricane frequency and intensity in a warming
climate, Gabe and his colleagues ended up with a modeling system with
seasonal skill in regional hurricane prediction.
In a recent study, scientists found that
climate change will decrease the number
of seasonal flowers, leading to an overall decrease in the number
of butterflies, who rely on flowers for a sustainable source
of energy - no destruction required.
What
climate change will mean for any
of these
seasonal tornado signals is still up in the air.
A new buzz - word is the concept
of «seamless prediction», in which predictions ranging from nowcasting all the way to future scenarios are provided with a sliding time scale and that doesn't make distinction
of incremental types such as «weather forecasts» «
seasonal predictions» and «
climate scenarios».