Sentences with phrase «of seasonal data»

Although past performance is no guarantee of future results, the chart below, which takes into account 30, 15 and five years» worth of seasonal data for oil prices, illustrates Brian's point.

Not exact matches

Due to the number of seasonal workers in Canada, there is naturally a great deal of seasonality in the data, so it is helpful to look at year - over-year numbers.
The shifting timing of Lunar New Year celebrations in China, seeing the entire nation break for a week - long holiday, often creates seasonal distortions in Chinese economic data during this time of the year.
The problem with the data, however, was that they were inflated by out - of - whack seasonal - adjustment factors.
While the extent of the seasonal problem will be debated, monitoring year - over-year growth rates is a matter of simple prudence at this juncture not only for ECRI's indexes but also for other economic data.
But as I noted last week, much of that effect is actually tied to the very heavy downward seasonal adjustment that accompanies initial claims data in January.
Removing the seasonal impact of Chinese New Year on the NBS data for March therefore suggests that the underlying growth of China's manufacturing sector remains weaker than the published data suggest.
However, while the path of least resistance seems higher, with seasonal factors and solid economic data also favoring the bulls, stocks are clearly overbought and multiples are expanding.
Some, therefore, have argued that this month's data may be less important for the monetary outlook given the better tone of data leave some room for a headline miss, as well as seasonal issues affecting the August data.
* Seasonal adjustment removes normal seasonal variations, enabling analysis of monthly changes and fundamental trends in tSeasonal adjustment removes normal seasonal variations, enabling analysis of monthly changes and fundamental trends in tseasonal variations, enabling analysis of monthly changes and fundamental trends in the data.
Seeking to further explain the weakness, a number of economists emphasized the recurring pattern evident in quarterly GDP numbers since 2010 — whereby first - quarter growth has averaged less than half the rate for the rest of the year — raising suspicions that seasonal effects may be skewing the data.
Interpretation of data on imports is complicated by differences in the seasonal adjustments calculated on a monthly and quarterly basis.
Examples of these risks, uncertainties and other factors include, but are not limited to the impact of: adverse general economic and related factors, such as fluctuating or increasing levels of unemployment, underemployment and the volatility of fuel prices, declines in the securities and real estate markets, and perceptions of these conditions that decrease the level of disposable income of consumers or consumer confidence; adverse events impacting the security of travel, such as terrorist acts, armed conflict and threats thereof, acts of piracy, and other international events; the risks and increased costs associated with operating internationally; our expansion into and investments in new markets; breaches in data security or other disturbances to our information technology and other networks; the spread of epidemics and viral outbreaks; adverse incidents involving cruise ships; changes in fuel prices and / or other cruise operating costs; any impairment of our tradenames or goodwill; our hedging strategies; our inability to obtain adequate insurance coverage; our substantial indebtedness, including the ability to raise additional capital to fund our operations, and to generate the necessary amount of cash to service our existing debt; restrictions in the agreements governing our indebtedness that limit our flexibility in operating our business; the significant portion of our assets pledged as collateral under our existing debt agreements and the ability of our creditors to accelerate the repayment of our indebtedness; volatility and disruptions in the global credit and financial markets, which may adversely affect our ability to borrow and could increase our counterparty credit risks, including those under our credit facilities, derivatives, contingent obligations, insurance contracts and new ship progress payment guarantees; fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; overcapacity in key markets or globally; our inability to recruit or retain qualified personnel or the loss of key personnel; future changes relating to how external distribution channels sell and market our cruises; our reliance on third parties to provide hotel management services to certain ships and certain other services; delays in our shipbuilding program and ship repairs, maintenance and refurbishments; future increases in the price of, or major changes or reduction in, commercial airline services; seasonal variations in passenger fare rates and occupancy levels at different times of the year; our ability to keep pace with developments in technology; amendments to our collective bargaining agreements for crew members and other employee relation issues; the continued availability of attractive port destinations; pending or threatened litigation, investigations and enforcement actions; changes involving the tax and environmental regulatory regimes in which we operate; and other factors set forth under «Risk Factors» in our most recently filed Annual Report on Form 10 - K and subsequent filings by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
A limitation of this study is the use of a data collection period that fails to capture seasonal variations.
As you can see, the data is a bit volatile - most of which is seasonal variation.
The model also incorporates data on how people typically move between home, work, school, and shopping; on sexual behavior (Zika can be spread through unprotected sex); and on factors that affect mosquito populations, such as seasonal temperature swings, rainfall, and breeding sites such as caches of old tires.
It was only when he'd gathered a year of data that he realised there was a seasonal cycle.
The team used real - time seasonal rainfall, temperature and El Niño forecasts, issued at the start of the year, combined with data from active surveillance studies, in a probabilistic model of dengue epidemics to produce robust dengue risk estimates for the entire year.
Now an upgraded, more sensitive experiment called XENON100, also at Gran Sasso, reports that after four full years of data, they see no evidence for a seasonal modulation (arxiv.org/abs/1701.00769).
We identified individual - level diurnal and seasonal mood rhythms in cultures across the globe, using data from millions of public Twitter messages.
The data obtained from this study provide a basis for more rapid, cost - effective clinical trials to evaluate new influenza drugs or to determine the efficacy of candidate vaccines for both seasonal and pandemic influenza.
An analysis of 10 years» worth of data on human influenza B viruses has shed new light on the pathogen which can cause the seasonal flu.
Seasonal Shift Of course, looking for trends in tornado data is fraught with potential pitfalls owing to changes in how tornadoes have been reported over time.
The annual UK Flusurvey aims to collect data from men and women of all ages around the country, in order to map trends as seasonal flu takes hold, enabling researchers to analyse how the virus spreads and who it affects.
Then, they looked at satellite data that measures variations in Earth's gravitational field to track the long - term and seasonal movements of water between the oceans and the continents.
«The combined sea ice data suggest that the seasonal Arctic sea ice cover was strongly reduced during most of the early Holocene and there appear to have been periods of ice free summers in the central Arctic Ocean.
Using data from the High Resolution Imaging Science Experiment (HiRISE) camera on Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter (MRO), citizen scientists are examining images of Mars» South Pole mapping the size and directions of seasonal fans.
Jorge Vazquez - Aguirre is in charge of the climatology working group at the National Meteorological Service of Mexico with operational duties related to climatic data, seasonal prediction, drought monitoring and climate services.
Moukouba Moutoumounkata is a Meteorologist, Data Scientist, specialized in operational seasonal and interannual climate forecasting at the National Meteorological Department of the Agence Nationale d'Aviation Civile (ANAC Congo) in Brazzaville, Congo.
For example, few data are available for the polar winter, and it is not known whether aragonite - undersaturated areas decrease in size with the seasonal freezing of sea ice.
Data analyses have found an increase of drought intensity at many locations [130]--[131] The magnitude of change depends on the drought index employed [132], but soil moisture provides a good means to separate the effect of shifting seasonal precipitation and confirms an overall drought intensification [37].
For example, data may fluctuate depending on cell type, timing of data collection (during the cell cycle, or diurnal, seasonal, or annual variations), developmental stage, and various external conditions.
Using data from an observational study, we used sinusoidal regression models to evaluate seasonal variation of nutrient intake, PA, and body weight as amplitude and phase (a time while the measure was at peak).
GW: A tangible lack of data and facts, plus the collapse of seasonal fashion is putting a lot of pressure on the way the industry works today.
This pattern is more than a simple by - product of fickle millennial dating culture, it's a common trend that's been labelled «Seasonal Dating Disorder Major online dating site has contacted law enforcement and high - profile security firm FireEye to investigate a data breach.
Regardless of seasonal issues and totals, the data for months 5/6 is, I think, striking.
Other types of sector rotation investing may center around seasonal or yearly trends with data supporting advantages to rotating in and out of different profitable categories throughout the year.
The February - to - April period has «traditionally marked the slowest period of the year for domestic residential real estate loan growth, and our review of recent data clearly indicates that the seasonal deceleration will be more pronounced» in the banks» second quarter results which begin next week, he said.
The greater Sacramento resale housing market exhibited traditional seasonal behavior in the month of December 2013 according to data provided by TrendGraphix and reported by Lyon Real Estate.
Another way of visualizing the same data is by subtracting out the seasonal effect and observing the trend plus the random component.
The seasonal aspects of the data are modelled via a cyclic smoother on day - of - year or numeric month - of - year.
For the future, data assimilation might help us to keep the state of a climate model closer to the real world's, allowing us to improve predictions on seasonal and decadal time scales.
Climate modelers are very thankful for the existence of the seasonal cycle, for providing such a beautiful data set with which we can test a models quantitative response to a well - defined change in external forcing.
But there is a flip side to this point: suppose that we had no data on the amplitude of the seasonal cycle — how certain would we be that our models contained the right physics?
Since this does not include any climatic variations (not even the seasonal cycle), let alone a test period with a different CO2 level, this data test is unable to constrain the upper limit of the climate sensitivity range.
Soon had also calculated the impact of the AO on the Frobisher Bay data and, unsurprisingly, used the seasonal correlation that had the highest correlation.
They can be applied in a consistent way to different types of data (historical, seasonal forecasts, climate projections, etc.).
The seasonal amplitude was 54 ppm which was roughly 20 ppm more than the data measured at the coast of the Baltic sea at that times.
Spencer posted a Watts» site within a year (paper forthcoming) that the seasonal variation and long term trend of Mauna Loa CO2 data in its 13C / 12C fraction under an F - Test revealed the variation to be the very same.
Suess was wrong; the 13C: 12C ratio of the Mauna Loa seasonal and long term trend data are identical as measured by the F - Test.
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