«My interaction (over the years) with a broad segment of AMS members (that I have met as a result
of my seasonal hurricane forecasting and other activities) who have spent a sizable portion of their careers down in the meteorological trenches of observations and forecasting, have indicated that a majority of them do not agree that humans are the primary cause of global warming.
Not exact matches
Factors impacting natural gas value include
seasonal variations (since natural gas is used to generate electricity and heat / cool homes), severe weather disruptions (such as
hurricanes in the Gulf
of Mexico, a key natural gas - producing region in the world), and alternative energy developments.
Disease Smallpox Measles Malaria Tuberculosis AIDS pandemic
Seasonal influenza Cyclones (including
hurricanes) 1970 Bhola cyclone 1839 Indian cyclone 1737 Calcutta cyclone Super Typhoon Nina — contributed to Banqiao Dam failure Great Backerganj Cyclone
of 1876 Cyclone Nargis 1991 Bangladesh cyclone 1882 Bombay cyclone 1922 Swatow Typhoon 1864 Calcutta Cyclone Earthquakes 1556 Shaanxi earthquake 1976 Tangshan earthquake 526 Antioch earthquake 1920 Haiyuan earthquake 2004 Indonesian earthquake 1138 Aleppo earthquake 2010 Haiti earthquake 856 Damghan earthquake 893 Ardabil earthquake 1923 Great Kanto earthquake 1908 Messina earthquake 1948 Ashgabat earthquake 1290 Chihli earthquake 1755 Lisbon earthquake 1667 Shamakhi earthquake 2005 Kashmir earthquake 1727 Tabriz earthquake 1970 Ancash earthquake 1932 Changma earthquake 2008 Sichuan earthquake 1268 Cilicia earthquake 1693 Sicily earthquake 1935 Balochistan earthquake 1783 Calabrian earthquakes 1990 Manjil - Rudbar earthquake 1999 İzmit earthquake 1498 Meiō Nankaidō earthquake 1797 Riobamba earthquake 1927 Gulang earthquake 1939 Erzincan earthquake 1202 Syria earthquake 1939 Chillán earthquake 1949 Khait earthquake 2003 Bam earthquake 1988 Spitak earthquake 1293 Kamakura earthquake 1976 Guatemala earthquake 1896 Meiji - Sanriku earthquake 1812 Caracas earthquake 1905 Kangra earthquake 2001 Gujarat earthquake 1970 Tonghai earthquake 2011 Tōhoku earthquake and tsunami 1960 Agadir earthquake 1978 Tabas earthquake 1962 Bou'in - Zahra earthquake 1907 Qaratog earthquake 1968 Dasht - e Bayaz and Ferdows earthquake 1934 Bihar earthquake 1985 Mexico City earthquake 1509 Istanbul earthquake 1703 Apennine earthquakes 1703 Genroku earthquake 1854 Ansei - Nankai earthquake 1944 San Juan earthquake
When the church is consumed and possessed by mortgages, capital campaigns, membership numbers, qualifications for membership or deacon or elder, the variety and format
of financial reports, redecorating, ordination policies, the proper delineation
of committee responsibilities, the aggregation and strengthening and protection
of church hierarchical authority, the preference for political associations and prominence instead
of being a voice and influence for justice and compassion,
seasonal vestment colors, the abandonment and refusal to acknowledge congregations who dare to be excited by their proclaiming and provoking and living and sharing the Good News, the continual choosing and preoccupation with better organization over better outreach, or what styles
of worship are to be offered — then it is time for an earth - shaking, stone - rolling, curtain ripping,
hurricane - strength, fiery and noisy transformational revolution that will resurrect the Good News in the body and spirit
of communities and individuals.
While strong
seasonal hurricanes have devastated many
of the Caribbean and Bahamian islands this year, geologic studies on several
of these islands illustrate that more extreme conditions existed in the past.
NOAA evaluates the accuracy
of its
seasonal forecasts each year, with the aim
of seeing the number
of storms fall in the given ranges at least 70 percent
of the time, which they do consistently, Gerry Bell, lead
seasonal hurricane forecaster with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said.
«Fortunately, we've reduced the upper end, the number
of major
hurricanes,» said Gerry Bell, the lead
seasonal hurricane forecaster at the Climate Prediction Center.
The outlook ranges exceed the
seasonal average
of 11 named storms, six
hurricanes and two major
hurricanes.
By working on the still - not - fully - cracked nut
of estimating changes in
hurricane frequency and intensity in a warming climate, Gabe and his colleagues ended up with a modeling system with
seasonal skill in regional
hurricane prediction.
The short version
of my conversation with Dr. Gerry Bell, NOAA's lead
seasonal hurricane forecaster, on the significance
of having no August
hurricanes is: «We have been fortunate to date, but don't be fooled.
Those unexpectedly warm waters were what caused some
of the
seasonal forecasts to slightly underestimate the amount
of storm activity in the Atlantic, Philip Klotzbach, a
hurricane researcher and
seasonal forecaster at Colorado State University, wrote at the Capital Weather Gang blog.
And perhaps the added heat
of argument may add to the intensity
of the odd
seasonal hurricane hereabouts, until the storm hits a patch
of cool green comment that is.
The Atlantic basin is expected to see an above - normal
hurricane season this year, according to the
seasonal outlook issued by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center... 3 to 6 major
hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds
of 111 mph or higher)
I have given this sector less thought, but I would imagine there would be applications for stocking retail stores, particularly stores like Home Depot who need to stock for
hurricanes, snow fall, plus timing
of seasonal changes.
Nearly one year after
Hurricane Sandy ravaged the East Coast, the 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season has not produced a single land - falling hurricane in the U.S. Instead of having above - average storm activity, as the seasonal hurricane outlooks unanimously called for, the season has been quiet — notable for its in
Hurricane Sandy ravaged the East Coast, the 2013 Atlantic
Hurricane Season has not produced a single land - falling hurricane in the U.S. Instead of having above - average storm activity, as the seasonal hurricane outlooks unanimously called for, the season has been quiet — notable for its in
Hurricane Season has not produced a single land - falling
hurricane in the U.S. Instead of having above - average storm activity, as the seasonal hurricane outlooks unanimously called for, the season has been quiet — notable for its in
hurricane in the U.S. Instead
of having above - average storm activity, as the
seasonal hurricane outlooks unanimously called for, the season has been quiet — notable for its in
hurricane outlooks unanimously called for, the season has been quiet — notable for its inactivity.
In much the same way that the
seasonal forecasts for the number
of hurricanes is determined from a suite
of indicators, this seems to be the most reasonable approach for glacier mass balance forecasting.
Good afternoon all,
Hurricane Season begins June 1st, and I want to get to some
of the
seasonal forecasts that have been put out.
Traders and managers
of energy mutual funds and hedge funds are also using AER's
seasonal forecasts, environmental research, climate models, and weather and
hurricane forecasts to optimize their investment strategies.
The positive phase
of the AMO was also present during the above - normal
hurricane decades
of the 1950s and 1960s, as indicated by comparing Atlantic SSTs (Figure 3.33) and
seasonal ACE values (Figure 3.40).
RE: 4th Error -RCB- Poses an objection to the non-scientific term catastrophic [NOTE: Scientific «consensus» is often being used & / or implied in standard climate - change discourse - Yet Consensus is a Political Term - NOT a Scientific Term]- HOWEVER - When Jim Hansen, the IPCC & Al Gore, et - al - go from predicting 450 — 500 ppm CO2 to 800 — 1000ppm by the end
of the 21st century -LCB- said to the be highest atmospheric CO2 content in 20 — 30 Million YRS -RCB-; — & estimates for aver global temps by 21st century's end go from 2 * C to 6 * C to 10 * C; — & increased sea level estimates go from 10 - 20 cm to 50 - 60 cm to 1M — 2M -LCB- which would totally submerge the Maldives & partially so Bangladesh -RCB-; — predictions
of the total melting
of the Himalayan Ice caps by 2050, near total melting
of Greenland's ice sheet & partial melting
of Antarctica's ice sheet before the 21st century's end; — massive crop failures; — more intense & frequent
hurricane -LCB- ala Katrina -RCB- for much longer
seasonal durations, etc, etc, etc... — IMO That's Sounds pretty damned CATASTROPHIC to ME!
Among those in attendance was Phil Klotzbach, a
hurricane researcher at Colorado State University who now does much
of the research for Bill Gray's
seasonal hurricane predictions, the oldest and best - known annual forecast.
This forecast is slightly lower than the outlook issued in May, but remains above the
seasonal average
of 11 named storms, six
hurricanes and two major
hurricanes.
The truth is that scientists and forecasters don't really know what caused the lull during this season — which underscores the ongoing tentativeness
of our understanding
of what sparks individual
hurricanes, and what causes their
seasonal variability in general.
We are very near the
seasonal peak
of hurricane season, and we have not yet logged a
hurricane.
Elsner, J. B. and Schmertmann, 1993: Improving extended - range
seasonal predictions
of intense Atlantic
hurricane activity.
Floods, droughts,
hurricanes, sea - level rise and
seasonal unpredictability - hallmarks
of climate change - are affecting people's rights to life, security, food, water, health and shelter in all corners
of the world today.
The 2013 forecast compares to the long - term
seasonal average
of 12 named storms, six
hurricanes and three major
hurricanes.
In addition to his scientific papers available on the GISS site, highlights
of some
of Hall's
hurricane work have appeared on InsuranceLinked, including
seasonal forecasts
of hurricane landfall probabilities.
In making their
seasonal outlook, which was released on May 23, NOAA cited a broad area
of above - average sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic Basin, a continuation
of a natural cycle
of above - average
hurricane activity, and a lack
of an El Niño event in the Pacific Ocean as reasons why there may be more storms this year.
On average, the U.S. has been hit by two
hurricanes per season since an active period
of tropical activity began in 1995, said Gerry Bell, NOAA's lead
hurricane seasonal forecaster, in an interview.