The cooling from 1950 to 1970 is due to the cooling phase
of the ocean cycle as shown in the following paper (Figure 4): http://bit.ly/nfQr92
SAW is not composed
of ocean cycles, and by the end of the poster there is no attempt to claim that it does..
There are two main explanations for the 1940s to 1970s global temperature stagnation (or slight cooling): aerosol forcing and the negative phase
of an ocean cycle known as the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO), with the former contributing more than the latter.
What willard wrote — «Grant me a saw tooth that is composed
of ocean cycles.»
Grant me a saw tooth that is composed
of ocean cycles.
Should those cycles be also added it seems to me that the additive effects must be to increase the plausible contribution
of ocean cycles to the GW signal and therefore reduce the potential for AGW attribution.
During that same period, average annual rainfall in New South Wales declined by 3.6 inches (92 millimeters).3 Scientists think the decline in autumn rainfall in southeast Australia since the late 1950s may be partly due to increases in heat - trapping gases in Earth's atmosphere.3, 14 Major bushfires over southeast Australia are linked to the positive phase
of an ocean cycle called the «Indian Ocean Dipole» — when sea surface temperatures are warmer than average in the western Indian Ocean, likely in response to global warming.15, 16
You should tell them what you think
of their ocean cycles.
I just wonder if coral bleaching has been mostly correlated with warming events because over the last multiple decades there have been mostly warming events (due to positive phases
of ocean cycles).
Changes in sea level vary around the world and over time, because of the effects
of ocean cycles, volcanic eruptions and other phenomena.
The advantage of recognising a reversed sign for the solar effect high up in the atmosphere is that it enables a scenario whereby the bottom up effects
of ocean cycles and the top down effects of solar variability can be seen to be engaged in a complex ever changing dance with the primary climate response being changes in the tropospheric air circulation systems to give us the observed natural climate variability via cyclical latitudinal shifts in all the air circulation systems and notably the jet streams.
We could get rid of the negative forcings by subtracting the impacts
of ocean cycles etc. from the temperature record, leaving only the anthropogenic component.
None of the Annan / Hargreaves priors go below zero, and while this may be physically realistic it does not allow for the fact that the observational data generate negative sensitivities, mostly because
of ocean cycle warming and cooling effects that the radiative forcing estimates do not take into account.
It was mostly if not entirely a result of a change from a warm to a cold PDO cycle in 1939 (with a later assist from the AMO), and I get my negative sensitivities because the forcing estimates don't allow for the heating and cooling impacts
of ocean cycles.
There's good evidence that the extreme, temporary dry phase in the Sahara / Sahel area beginning in the mid 1960s was driven by the rhythm
of ocean cycles.
When examining a number
of ocean cycles such as the El Nino Southern Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation, it was observed that the various ocean cycles synchronised at certain moments after which climate seemed to shift to a new regime.
In 2009, they continue to examine the coupling
of ocean cycles, stressing «caution that the shifts described here are presumably superimposed upon a long term warming trend due to anthropogenic forcing» (Swanson & Tsonis 2009).
On the topic of warmist scientists, one has to wonder why they define «climate» as a stretch of weather of 30 years when
some of the ocean cycles take that long or longer and can run out of phase with each other.
Several researchers have shown that the warmth and drought predicted by CO2 driven models may have mistakenly modeled the climate effects
of ocean cycles but blamed the results on CO2.
The warming (WV is a ghg) is welcome (countering the average global cooling which would otherwise be occurring as a result of declining net effect
of ocean cycles and a declining proxy which is the time - integral of SSN anomalies) but the added WV increases the risk of precipitation related flooding.
The problem with that argument is that over long periods of time (like the six decades since 1950), positive and negative phases
of ocean cycles tend to cancel each other out, and thus internal variability doesn't have a large influence on long - term temperatures.
The air circulation changes ensure that over time the energy radiated to space matches the energy received from the sun despite disruptions in the flow caused by the effects
of the ocean cycles or changes in the composition of the air.
♣ Even though he informs us he is fully - signed - up to AGW - inexorably - warming - the - planet and that he is only saying that it is the temperature - wobbles - creating - slowdowns, he then manages to set out this question for us: «If there is a slowdown in Gistemp, was it because global warming slowed down, or was it because
of an ocean cycle?»
If there is a slowdown in Gistemp, was it because global warming slowed down, or was it because
of an ocean cycle?
Not exact matches
A huge proportion
of life depends on them — reefs cover less than 1 %
of the
ocean floor, yet 25 %
of fish species spend some part
of their life
cycles in them.
But perhaps more importantly, 25 %
of fish species spend some part
of their life
cycle in reefs, despite the fact that they cover less than 1 %
of the
ocean floor.
By its very nature, the
ocean is downstream from everything which means that a significant proportion
of our waste inevitably ends up there, unless we close the loop on our waste
cycle and begin producing sustainably.
I choose to live life to the fullest through joy
of discovering His «art» like fractals, birth, consciousness, seasons, animals, the «mighty deep» thanks to a Creator rather than accidental and inconsequential life, while hanging in the perfect orbit between burning up and freezing, complete with the earth's own washing machine, the
ocean, which
cycles on accidental moon power.
There are more, however, including the amount
of sunlight an ice sheet is able to reflect; the larger an ice sheet, the more sunlight is reflected, but the smaller an ice sheet, the more
ocean there is surrounding the ice sheet to absorb the sunlight which in turn heats up the surrounding waters increasing the melt which decreases the size
of the ice sheet which in turn... and so goes the
cycle.
It includes the ecological
cycles that maintain the composition
of the atmosphere and the
oceans and those that are responsible for the degradation
of wastes.
June 17, 2013 — A new subduction zone forming off the coast
of Portugal heralds the beginning
of a
cycle that will see the Atlantic
Ocean close as continental Europe moves closer to America.
Of course, the plastics industry is fighting back with ocean plastics recovery schemes while stressing the life - cycle, convenience and performance benefits of plastics compared to heavier can
Of course, the plastics industry is fighting back with
ocean plastics recovery schemes while stressing the life -
cycle, convenience and performance benefits
of plastics compared to heavier can
of plastics compared to heavier cans.
Life
Cycles of the Seas» exhibit; and the eye - opening «Sea Debris: Awareness through Art,» which reveals the amount
of waste dumped into our
oceans every year and the impact it has on our coast's ecosystems.
But even earlier readings can provide a record
of natural climate variation caused by volcanic eruptions or
cycles in
ocean circulation.
The
cycle of Pacific
Ocean surface water warming and cooling has become more variable in recent decades, suggesting El Niño may strengthen under climate change
New research from the University
of East Anglia shows that rising
ocean temperatures will upset natural
cycles of carbon dioxide, nitrogen and phosphorus.
Ocean mixing is an important part
of the global climate
cycle: It churns up nutrients that feed phytoplankton blooms and aids the exchange
of gases with the atmosphere.
Rising
ocean temperatures will upset natural
cycles of carbon dioxide, nitrogen and phosphorus.
Looking at shifts in Manley's winter temperatures from year to year, he says, gives a good reading
of important natural
cycles that influence climate, such as changes in
ocean circulation like the North Atlantic Oscillation.
«Understanding nitrogen
cycling is crucial to understanding the productivity
of the
oceans as well as the global climate,» he said.
Plankton plays an important role in the
ocean's carbon
cycle by removing half
of all CO2 from the atmosphere during photosynthesis and storing it deep under the sea — isolated from the atmosphere for centuries.
Seasonal weather fluctuations also depend on factors such as proximity to
oceans or other large bodies
of water, currents in those
oceans, El Nino / ENSO and other oceanic
cycles, and prevailing winds.
The Carbon
cycle is a geological process that regulates the CO2 - level in the atmosphere and with that, the temperature
of the planet's surface: In the
ocean, CO2, in its dissolved form, undergoes a chemical reaction and is then transported into Earth's mantle.
While perturbations can be part
of a natural
cycle, humans have been jostling the
ocean ecosystem with dismaying gusto.
While Antarctic ice shelves are in direct contact with both the atmosphere and the surrounding
oceans, and thus subject to changes in environmental conditions, they also go through repeated internally - driven
cycles of growth and collapse.
This week, researchers revealed that the ancient
cycles of ice also left their mark on the sea floor, thousands
of meters below the
ocean surface.
The repeated
cycles of plate tectonics that have led to collision and assembly
of large supercontinents and their breakup and formation
of new
ocean basins have produced continents that are collages
of bits and pieces
of other continents.
In the twilight
of their brief lives adult Pacific salmon migrate back to their river
of birth to spawn, perpetuating a four - year life
cycle that boomerangs thousands
of kilometers into the
ocean.
Instead
of going from sky to rain, into rivers, and then back into the
oceans in the usual water
cycle, it got stuck in Australia, caught up in record - breaking floods and rivers that run backwards into the continent.
Now, using two deep cores collected at two
Ocean Drilling Program sites in the Southern Ocean, Jaccard and colleagues have reconstructed ocean records of productivity and vertical overturning reaching back a million years, through multiple glacial - interglacial cy
Ocean Drilling Program sites in the Southern
Ocean, Jaccard and colleagues have reconstructed ocean records of productivity and vertical overturning reaching back a million years, through multiple glacial - interglacial cy
Ocean, Jaccard and colleagues have reconstructed
ocean records of productivity and vertical overturning reaching back a million years, through multiple glacial - interglacial cy
ocean records
of productivity and vertical overturning reaching back a million years, through multiple glacial - interglacial
cycles.