Not exact matches
Silverstein: And so if you're in a period
of low and
stable inflation, the valuations don't look that overvalued.
Now what we're seeing is a far more
stable growth
of inflation, and they're trying to reform to get into the capital market so they have to keep it under control.
However, when we look at valuations and compare them to periods
of low and
stable inflation, it only looks like it's about 20 % overvalued.
We may eventually end up in a situation like that, not where you necessarily have sustained inverted curves, but where you see a more aggressive business cycle going through the front end
of the curve, relatively
stable long rates, and the reason for that would be that people are pretty comfortable that
inflation is going to be reasonably grounded.
For a couple
of decades, most central bankers thought that all they had to do to engineer a
stable economy was hit their
inflation targets.
It's the Fed's mandate to promote a
stable currency (2 %
inflation per year) and full employment (unemployment between 5.2 % and 5.5 % now, but this is more
of a moving target).
Although the country dealt with a series
of financial crises and rampant
inflation from 1993 to 2002, she says «the last ten years were more
stable.»
For investors, the real estate sector offers several benefits, including a potential hedge against
inflation and a relatively
stable source
of income.
The improved credibility
of the central bank's commitment to keep
inflation low and
stable should, in turn, allow it to deliver better
inflation outcomes with fewer short - run costs to economic growth and employment.
But none
of globalization's effects on
inflation, not even the potential reduction in inflationary bias, diminish the importance
of the principal objective
of central banks: setting policy to achieve low and
stable rates
of inflation over time.
For the past quarter century, the Bank
of Canada has had the responsibility
of using monetary policy to achieve low,
stable and predictable
inflation, a goal cemented in our 2 per cent
inflation target.
Indeed, the recent spurt
of integration has occurred during a sustained period
of relatively strong global growth, relatively
stable and low
inflation, and, although less widespread, a reduction in the volatility
of growth.
The fact that core
inflation has been broadly
stable over recent months in the face
of the earlier declines in energy and non-energy import prices is notable.
The figure includes the unemployment rate, the Fed's estimate
of the «natural rate» — the lowest unemployment rate they believe to be consistent with
stable inflation at the 2 % target — year - over-year wage and price growth (using the core - PCE deflator, the Fed's preferred
inflation benchmark right now).
I should make it clear that this is not part
of the Bank
of Canada's monetary - policy remit, which is to keep
inflation low,
stable and predictable, allowing Canadians to make spending and investment decisions with confidence.
To conclude, over the past decade and in a very volatile world, Australia has achieved the
inflation target, avoided a major economic downturn, seen remarkably little variability in real economic activity in the face
of enormous shocks, experienced a fairly low average rate
of unemployment, and had a
stable financial system as well.
The figure below shows some
of the key indicators from the Fed's dashboard, including unemployment, the Fed's guess at the «natural rate» (the lowest unemployment rate consistent with
stable inflation), actual
inflation (PCE core, the Fed's preferred gauge), and the Fed's
inflation target
of 2 percent.
Instead, it is the result
of nearly two decades
of having delivered low and
stable inflation.
«u *» is econo - shorthand for the so - called «natural rate»
of unemployment, or the lowest unemployment rate consistent with
stable inflation.
International investments, particularly investments in emerging markets, may carry risks associated with potentially less
stable economies or governments (such as the risk
of seizure by a foreign government, the imposition
of currency or other restrictions, or high levels
of inflation or deflation), and may be or become illiquid.
Consumer prices, usually more
stable than producer prices, have also accelerated on a similar basis from a recorded
inflation rate
of less than 1.0 percent last summer to 2.4 percent over the 12 - months ended this past March, also a smart acceleration in a brief time.
If matched properly, if properly regulated, there'd be no
inflation / deflation problem while the dual mandate
of maximum employment with a
stable economy is achieved.
Headline unemployment in the U.S. has already moved below the non-accelerating
inflation rate
of unemployment (NAIRU)-- the rate
of unemployment at which inflationary pressures are
stable.
By focusing on our mandate to keep
inflation low,
stable and predictable, the Bank has built up credibility, and Canadians have well - anchored
inflation expectations, even in the face
of large price swings.
«Over the majority
of the time period, we've seen a benign
inflation period characterized by
stable to falling interest rates,» he said.
In turn, an environment
of low,
stable and predictable
inflation allows productivity - enhancing investments in physical and human capital.
«Among the characteristics needed to join the elite group are
stable macroeconomic policies,» says Kate Phylaktis, director
of the Emerging Markets Group at Cass Business School, City University
of London, adding «prudent fiscal policy, low
inflation and a
stable currency, political stability, good - quality institutions, good infrastructure (especially transport) and above all, education.»
The Bank
of Canada will continue to focus on what it does best: supporting the economic and financial well - being
of Canada by achieving low,
stable and predictable
inflation; by keeping core financial market infrastructure safe; and by giving sound advice on financial sector policies so that vulnerabilities do not get in the way
of sustainable, productive growth for all Canadians.
To achieve our monetary policy goal
of low,
stable and predictable
inflation at the 2 per cent target rate, our economy should operate at, or close to, its productive capacity.
Three popular explanations are offered to justify the high level
of share prices: that profits will grow faster; that the economy and hence equities have become less risky; and that lower, more
stable inflation will reduce real interest rates.
Inflation is what matters most for the Bank
of Canada, whose primary job is to keep prices
stable, something it defines as annual price increases
of about two per cent.
Looking at the main components
of euro area
inflation, food, alcohol & tobacco is expected to have the highest annual rate in June (3.2 %,
stable compared with May), followed by energy (1.6 % compared with -0.2 % in May), services (1.4 % compared with 1.5 % in May) and non-energy industrial goods (0.7 % compared with 0.8 % in May).
Canada's policy
of low,
stable and predictable
inflation has served Canadians extremely well.
The assumption that these goals were perfectly compatible rested, at least implicitly, on legislators» belief in the presence
of a
stable Phillips Curve, implying a negative relationship between the rate
of inflation and the rate
of unemployment.
The central objective
of policy, most mainstream economists believed, should be to achieve a low and relatively
stable rate
of inflation, since there were no permanent gains to be had from higher
inflation.
The best outcome would be a mild equity correction or bear market that coincided with a
stable or falling rate
of inflation.
In this way, we can arrive at a crude understanding
of the paradox
of disconnection: how volatile and often rapid monetary growth rates can be consistent with seemingly low and
stable inflation outcomes.
It's better to pay down loans borrowed with dollars that have lost value due to
inflation while prices
of goods remain
stable.
If it can pull it off, it will be behind one
of those technologies that could truly change the world: independent,
stable, secure and
inflation - resistant money.
The economy experiences periods
of rising
inflation, disinflation (i.e., declining
inflation), deflation (i.e., negative
inflation), reflation (i.e., increasing
inflation inside
of deflation), and price stability (i.e., low,
stable inflation).
Since profits are generally still rising when the Fed takes its foot off the pedal,
stable or declining
inflation rates help sustain P / E ratios as demonstrated by the Rule
of 20 (
inflation in green below).
The Fed's legal mandate is to minimize unemployment and keep prices
stable; the Fed has set a long - term
inflation target
of 2 percent per year.
However, digging a little more into the history book, I found that in 6
of the 8 years when the S&P 500 rose during the initial rate hike,
inflation was actually diminishing or
stable (2004).
Measures
of inflation expectations have been relatively
stable for some time (Graph 73).
With the dampening effect
of the appreciation on domestic
inflation still having further to run, our current assessment is that underlying
inflation will decline to around 1 1/2 per cent during 2004 (assuming the exchange rate remains
stable at around its current level).
He explained that the most important attribute
of currency is trust and that, despite
inflation, people trust fiat money issued in a
stable economy, like the United States dollar.
We will expect the figures to have an influence on the EUR, with any hint
of a pickup in
inflation and
stable economic growth through the 1st quarter the best outcome for the EUR and those looking for Draghi to begin shifting on policy towards interest rates.
Looking back over the past 25 years, a period
of low and
stable inflation, stock / bond correlation has generally moved in tandem with monetary policy, as measured by the effective federal funds rate.
George Selgin has worked out the theory
of competitive free banking in detail, and he argues that such a system would be
stable,
inflation resistant and self - regulating.
The cedi has been
stable for one
of the longest periods ever, expenditure has gone down, revenue has gone up, the deficit is coming down,
inflation is slowing, and so on the macro level, there is stabilization taking place.