I would not try to assume that stocks are a good inflation hedge... Corporations have to buy raw materials and have to feed hungry workers... When the price of oil and foold go up it is very hard for corporations to improve on earnings, so if you think about it, much of the benefits of a rise in CPI are negated by a rise in raw materials prices... Put more bluntly, we are in a
period of stagflation right now.
The 20 - year period from 1977 to 1997, as this encompasses a variety of macro-economic conditions: five
years of stagflation and two back - to - back recessions (1977 - 1982), strong growth from 1983 to 1990, a mild recession in 1991, and growth from 1993 to 1997.
Some market players are already spotting cracks in the notion of so - called synchronized global growth, with others fearing a
whiff of stagflation.
The most prolific bull market in modern American history started at the
end of the stagflation era in 1982 and concluded during the dotcom bust in 2000.
The most prolific bull market in modern American history started at the end
of the stagflation era in 1982 and concluded during the dotcom bust in 2000.
Just as the events of the 1970s and
emergence of stagflation throughout the industrial world, led to new policy paradigms, I believe that recent events will force us to develop new approaches to thinking about economic fluctuations and inflation which will, in turn, drive major changes in thinking about fiscal and monetary policy.
«That said, recent data is more accurately characterized as a
hint of stagflation rather than anything more acute and, therefore, it shouldn't be a surprise that many of the economic metrics that have characterized periods of more pronounced stagflation historically, such as unemployment, still remain low,» he added.
So, it may take a seismic downtrend in the state of the jobs market for the other
criteria of stagflation to be met: high unemployment.
And in the present
situation of stagflation, their policy interests are directed toward their relations with the newly rich oil - exporting countries and with one another.
When the
onset of stagflation in the 1970s undermined Keynesianism, social democrats had no alternatives to hand.
The finance minister should know that monetary policy alone can not move the economy
out of stagflation.
Given this
kind of stagflation — population goes down, taxes go up — the council might have considered downsizing itself from nine to seven, or less.
Written in 1983, on the
heels of the stagflation of the 1970s and a recession caused by the Federal Reserve's attempts to curb inflation, it implied that the current state of the economy could be traced directly to the performance of the education system.
Labeling the Republicans» economic platform the «economic equivalent of creationism,» Roubini says a lack of bi-partisanism on fiscal issues could lead to a debt crisis and possibly send the U.S. into a Japanese - style
bout of stagflation.
Re-invested portfolio income should help anytime there is a market downturn but I think DGI's point is that a portfolio with mostly equities and bonds isn't likely to do well in
times of stagflation.
By the end of 1974, we had just experienced the collapse of the Bretton Woods system and had a terrible
case of stagflation.
Victory for populism, another vote against inequality, raises
risk of stagflation, likely will provide one of the last great opportunities to reduce exposure to bonds.
In May last year, we were at significant risk of a downgrading in our international credit rating, with a catastrophic impact on public services, business and consumer confidence, a long
period of stagflation, and a contraction in the economy.
-- The 20 - year period from 1977 to 1997, as this encompasses a variety of macro-economic conditions: five
years of stagflation and two back - to - back recessions (1977 — 1982), strong growth from 1983 to 1990, a mild recession in 1991, and growth from 1993 to 1997.
However, less than midway through the year and some market participants are already spotting cracks in the notion of so - called synchronized global growth, with some fearing that a
whiff of stagflation is starting to permeate.
«While the recent downtick in growth coupled with the uptick in various inflation indicators from wages to commodity prices, has been relatively modest, investors are now more open to the risk
of stagflation than previously,» he said.
In 1974, under the impact of the oil crisis and deficits, his theories once more took the back seat in the US and UK, as their economies entered a period
of stagflation.
Are we entering a period
of stagflation... where prices rise, but the economy doesn't grow?