Sentences with phrase «of systematic uncertainty»

This is especially important because it eliminates many sources of systematic uncertainty.»

This study examines planet occurrence rates for the Kepler GK dwarf target sample for planet radii, 0.75 < Rp < 2.5 Rearth, and orbital periods, 50 < Porb < 300 days, with an emphasis on a thorough exploration and identification of the most important sources of systematic uncertainties.

The new 17 - author paper (accessible pdf)(lead by Ben Santer), does a much better job of comparing the various trends in atmospheric datasets with the models and is very careful to take account of systematic uncertainties in all aspects of that comparison (unlike Douglass et al).

Not exact matches

The two methods are far from mutually exclusive, however, as both seek to effectively serve customers» needs through a systematic, low - risk path to innovating in the face of uncertainty.

Its experimental character means it is a kind of theology well suited for times of uncertainty and change, when systematic, comprehensive construction seems inappropriate if not impossible.

In the last ten years I have moved increasingly toward experiential teaching (using self - awareness exercises, role playing of counseling methods, live demonstrations of growth groups, and so forth), which involves the students» own feelings, responses, and needs; asking the students to draw up their own «learning contract» based on what they want to get from a given course or workshop; expecting students to participate in the teaching by sharing in some systematic way the insights they have discovered to be meaningful; revealing my own struggles, uncertainties, and weaknesses; and asking the students to evaluate anonymously the course, including my teaching.

But if Wenger is continuing to hold the negative cloud of uncertainty over his future with the club on purpose in the hope the annual late rally to secure a top 4 spot would justify a new contract then I would rather finish 7th, outside of the European football places allowing a new manager to focus just on the PL and taking any arguments away from Wenger that would delude him into thinking he should continue his unsuccessful reign and the systematic dismantling of our competitive status and DNA.

A systematic review of the scientific literature indicates that women who intend to breastfeed but who later feed their babies formula consistently report feelings of guilt, anger, worry, uncertainty, and a sense of failure despite the relief that introducing formula after experiencing difficulties with breastfeeding may bring (Lakshman, Ogilvie, & Ong, 2009).

Pascale's article illustrates how systematic media practices minimized the presence of health risks, contributed to misinformation, and exacerbated uncertainties.

To limit inherent systematic uncertainties, Ghez's group accounted for overlapping light sources when one star passes in front of another or near the black hole itself, where infalling material emits radiation.

A systematic review of 49 studies, involving more than 1,600 patients and their caregivers, showed that this lack of knowledge leads to confusion, delays in seeking help, and uncertainty about the long - term outlook and how to manage their own care.

In science, «conservatism» implies proper acknowledgment of the uncertainties, it does not imply that systematic underestimation of effects.

Dooling's oil paintings nicely capture the feel of shtetl life, the horror of the systematic persecution of the Jews, and the uncertainty that goes along with leaving everything familiar to live in a strange new land.

There are two classes of uncertainty in models — one is the systematic bias in any particular metric due to a misrepresentation of the physics etc, the other is uncertainty related to weather (the noise).

Cox et al. provide a statistical uncertainty range for a single study, ignoring structural uncertainty and systematic biases resulting from their choice of model and method.

Clearly more analysis will clarify the uncertainties in the ocean heat estimates — which are very large and, I believe, may be understated in the Lyman et al paper since they address random but not systematic sources of error.

The past year, according to the NASA group (the «meteorological year» from December through November), is between the 7th and 12th warmest (because of the range of uncertainty in readings) since systematic meteorological record - keeping began in 1880.

Accounting for Both Random Errors and Systematic Errors in Uncertainty Propagation Analysis of Computer Models Involving Experimental Measurements with Monte Carlo Methods.

A number of people have pointed out the importance of separating the random and systematic components of the uncertainty.

I think that in order to get a handle on the uncertainties we need multiple, independent, well - thought - out assessments of both the coverage uncertainty and the systematic error uncertainty.

The step from empirical likelihood functions to PDFs with the help of a well defined prior is one of those illusionary attempts, and even more so, when the likelihood functions themselves are dependent on doubtful assumptions concerning systematic uncertainties and lack of knowledge.

Systematic errors propagate as their root - mean - square, which means that the uncertainty of an anomaly is greater than the uncertainty of the absolute temperatures used to calculate it.

Subtracting the average bias of a systematic error does not remove the over all uncertainty, and may even increase the total error.

The situation with your unsubstantiated certainty w / r / t economics does not necessarily generalize to your approach to climate science, but your failure to acknowledge an obvious case of being overly certain does suggest, I'd say strongly, a systematic problem in your approach to uncertainty.

«A review of sources of systematic errors and uncertainties in observations and simulations at 183 GHz.»

We applied the same method used in the observational analysis on general circulation model data to decrease the statistical uncertainty at the expense of an increased systematic uncertainty.

As the age gets quite old, the uncertainty in the radiocarbon signal becomes dominated by Poisson statistics; using a Neyman's Gaussian for the uncertainty here can lead to systematic overestimates of the age of the sample.

One might (or might not) argue for such a relation if the models were empirically adequate, but given nonlinear models with large systematic errors under current conditions, no connection has been even remotely established for relating the distribution of model states under altered conditions to decision - relevant probability distributions... There may well exist thresholds, or tipping points (Kemp 2005), which lie within this range of uncertainty.

However, even state - of - the - art climate models (GCMs) have systematic errors in simulation of different climate characteristics, which are often much larger than observations uncertainties (Covey et al. 2003).

You make some good points about the propagation of systematic errors and uncertainty.

Worst of all, temperature change still appears to reported as if all the uncertainty arises from scatter in the raw data and none from systematic errors that could arise from processing the data.

The Uncertainty Monster is birthed right here, in the random and systematic errors and imprecision of the daily Tmin and Tmax readings.

As the internal measurement errors and the external inter-equational uncertainties stem from independent sets of systematic errors, they combine as the rms: (+ / --RRB- sqrt [measurement error) ^ 2 + (inter-equational spread) ^ 2] = sqrt -LSB-(1.25) ^ 2 + (1.75) ^ 2] = (+ / --RRB- 2.2 C.

An example of what seems to be a systematic trend in documents fed to policy people — a trend toward the suppression of statistical information that would admit any uncertainty in our understanding of climate processes.

Uncertainties associated with «random errors» have the characteristic of decreasing as additional measurements are accumulated, whereas those associated with «systematic errors» do not.

In UKCIP08, for example, we are handling this problem by combining results from two different types of ensemble data: One is a systematic sampling of the uncertainties in a single model, obtained by changing uncertain parameters that control the climate system; the other is a multi-model ensemble obtained by pooling results from alternative models developed at different international centers.

If not, then in terms of systematic error, a per day uncertainty in a physical quantity (0.2 C per reading) of a physically unique data point can not be reduced to a physical uncertainty of 0.03 C merely by taking a mean of the points.

While individual papers are cited (e.g Schurr and Hasselman, Min and Hense), there is no evidence that I can see in chapter 9 of a systematic treatment of all the forcing, model, and data uncertainties and also the possibility of strong multidecadal natural internal variability.

Therefore they have decided to support the application of the precautionary principle by stating the uncertainties as less than any objective systematic analysis can support and using subjective judgments as a more reliable basis for quantitative conclusions than they really are.

Similarly, primary contributors to uncertainties in the valuation of the other emissions are climate sensitivity, climate - health impacts, and projected GDP, which are systematic across those pollutants and hence their relative importance is robust.

Much of the uncertainty is systematic, so despite large ranges, differences can be significant (e.g. coal - related damages are $ 410 (− 180 / +240; 5 — 95 % CI) billion greater than gas - related damages at 3 % discounting).

A review of the peer - edited literature reveals a systematic tendency of the climate establishment to engage in a variety of stylized rhetorical techniques that seem to oversell what is actually known about climate change while concealing fundamental uncertainties and open questions regarding many of the key process involved in climate change.

Caregiver - focused groups were rated as providing skills such as information and support that reduced the negative appraisal of caregiving, decreased uncertainty and lessened hopelessness, while also teaching skills to cope with the stresses of caregiving.66 This supports suggestions that such groups might give caregivers the chance to openly interact with other caregivers in the absence of their care recipients.57 Moreover, in a systematic review of psychosocial interventions, group based or otherwise, caregivers listed the most useful aspect of interventions as regular interactions with a professional, providing the chance to openly communicate issues with them, and as a time to talk about feelings and questions related to cancer.13, 66